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    Portfolio Management

    The art and science of making decisionsabout investment mix and policy, matching

    investments to objectives, asset allocation

    for individuals and institutions, and

    balancing risk against. performance.

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    What we have learnt till date

    Concept and calculation of factors affecting

    portfolio performance.

    Risk and Return

    Performance of a portfolio depends on the balanceof Return V/s Risk

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    Factors for Portfolio Performance

    Risk

    Variance

    Standard Deviation Beta

    Correlation Coefficient

    Covariance

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    Factors for Portfolio Performance

    Return

    Expected Rate of Return

    Require Rate of Return Risk Free Rate of Return

    Market Return

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    Factors for Portfolio Performance

    Risk Return relationship

    Coefficient of variation

    Sharpe measure Treynors measure

    Jensens Alpha

    Benchmark

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    Portfolio management is all about

    strengths, weaknesses,

    opportunities and threats in thechoice of tradeoffs encountered in

    the attempt to maximize return at a

    given appetite for risk

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    Trade offs

    debt vs. equity

    domestic vs. international

    growth vs. safety Sector Specific vs Market

    Mid Cap vs Large Cap

    etc

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    What do we require of portfolio

    managers?

    1. Earn an average (or fair) return for the

    level of risk in the portfolio

    2. Ability to manage risk

    3. Eliminate unnecessary risks

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    Portfolio Performance

    Measurement Benchmarking

    Gives us a reference point for comparison

    Comparison of return and risk

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    Portfolio Performance

    Measurement Choosing a benchmark

    The most important consideration for

    portfolio performance measurement is

    bench

    mark ch

    oice. All portfolio evaluationis dependent on benchmark choice

    1. Make sure the benchmark is unambiguous

    2. Make sure the benchmark is an investable

    index

    3. Make sure the benchmark has a

    measurable value

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    Portfolio Performance

    Measurement Choosing a benchmark

    4. Make sure that the benchmark is

    appropriate for the style of portfolio that you

    are evaluating

    5. Make sure the benchmark is specified in

    advance

    6. Make sure the benchmark reflects currentknowledge and opinion

    7. Dont change indices. Be consistent

    across portfolios

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Treynors measure

    i

    fi

    i

    RR

    T F

    !

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Treynors measure

    Treynors measure basically gives us a

    measure of return per unit of market risk (or

    systematic risk) that our investment earns

    Strictly speaking, the larger the Treynor

    measure the better. However, we would like

    tohave some benc

    hmark wit

    hwhich

    tocompare our individual Treynor measures.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Tryenors measure

    Benchmark comparison

    fmm

    fm

    m RR

    RR

    T !

    ! F

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Treynors measure

    If Ti > Tm, the portfolio would plot above the

    security market line, indicating superior

    performance by the portfolio manager.

    If Ti < Tm, the portfolio would plot below the

    security market line, indicating poor

    performance by the portfolio manager.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Sharpe performance measure

    i

    fi

    iSW

    !

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Sharpe performance measure

    Thus, the Sharpe measure gives us a

    measure of return per unit of total risk.Again, the higher the Sharpe measure, the

    better the performance. We can also

    compare individual Sharpe measures to a

    benchmark:

    m

    fm

    m

    RRS

    W

    !

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Sharpe performance measure

    Instead of plotting deviations from the security

    market line, like the Treynor measure, we are

    plotting deviations from the market determine

    price of risk as defined by the capital market

    line (CML).

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Sharpe measure

    If Si > Sm, the asset earn more than the risk

    premium required by the capital market line,

    indicating superior performance by the

    portfolio manager.

    If Si < Sm the asset earn less than the risk

    premium required by the capital market line,indicating poor performance by the portfolio

    manager.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Comparing the Treynor and Sharpe

    measures

    For a completely diversified portfolio of

    assets, the Sharpe and Treynor measures

    would be identical in what they are measuring

    Treynor measures performance relative to

    systematic risk Sharpe measure s performance relative to

    total risk

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Comparing the Treynor and Sharpe

    measures

    Sharpe measure gives some indication ofhow

    good the portfolio manager is at diversifying

    away unsystematic risk

    A poorly diversified portfolio could have a high

    Treynor ranking

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Jensens Alpha Jensens alpha is based on the ideas

    contained in the CAPM. It, like the Treynor

    measure, measures how well a portfolio

    manager does at dealing with systematic

    risk

    To calculate Jensens alpha we need to

    estimate the following regression model:

    )( ,,,, tftmiitfti RRRR ! FE

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Jensens Alpha

    E measures the degree to which managers

    are earning significant returns after

    accounting for market risk, as measured by

    beta. If the manager is earning a fair return

    for the given portfolios systematic risk, then E

    would be zero.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Jensens Alpha

    (+) E indicates good performance

    (-) E indicates poor performance Jensens alpha allows us to statistically test

    whether the return the manager earns is

    significantly more (or less) than what we

    would expect using the CAPM. Jensens alpha allows us to get a

    performance measure that incorporates

    information from more than one time period.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Jensens Alpha

    The validity of the Jensen performance

    measure is tied to the validity of the CAPM.

    Thus, some individuals will choose estimate

    Jensen's alpha performing the regression

    model without subtracting the risk-free rate.

    This gives us the alpha from the characteristic

    line. Its interpretation is the same as the

    interpretation of Jensen's alpha.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Fama and French (1993) three factor

    model

    The alpha in this model can be interpreted in

    the same way as the Jensen's alpha. A

    positive Fama/French alpha would indicate

    performance better than expectations.

    Given that the Fama/French model predictsreturns better than the CAPM, the

    Fama/French alpha should be a more precise

    measure of portfolio performance than the

    Jensen's alpha.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    Fama breaks performance by a portfolio

    manager into two categories: selectivity and

    diversification. Famas measure incorporates

    measures for managing both systematic and

    unsystematic risk.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    Selectivity: measures the ability of the

    portfolio manager to earn a return that is

    consistent with the portfolios market

    (systematic) risk. The selectivity measure is:

    ))((( fmifi RRRR F

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    (+) selectivity indicates that the manager

    earned a higher return than the systematic

    risk of the portfolio would indicate. Basically,

    you are just comparing the return on the asset

    with the return earned by the CAPM.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    Diversification: Diversification measures the

    extent to which the portfolio may not have

    been completely diversified. Diversification is

    measured as:

    ifmfm

    ifmf RRRRRR FW

    W )()(

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    If the portfolio is completely diversified, contains

    no unsystematic risk, then diversification measure

    would be zero. A positive diversification measureindicates that the portfolio is not completely

    diversified; it would contain unsystematic risk.

    If the diversification measure is positive, it

    represents the extra return t

    hat th

    e portfolioshould earn for not being completely diversified.

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    Portfolio Performance Measures

    Famas performance measure

    Net selectivity = selectivity - diversification

    Net selectivity measureshow well t

    heportfolio manager did at earning a fair

    return for the portfolios systematic risk and

    how well the portfolio manager did at

    diversifying away unsystematic risk. Positive net selectivity indicates the

    portfolio manager did a good job. Negative

    net selectivity indicates that the portfolio

    manager did a poor job.

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    The Following Information is available on

    performance of the seven portfolio

    Portfolio Return SD Beta Correlation

    1 15.60 27.00 1.823 0.81

    2 11.80 18.00 0.825 0.553 8.30 15.20 0.481 0.38

    4 19.00 21.20 1.325 0.75

    5 -6.00 4.00 0.150 0.45

    6 23.50 19.30 1.013 0.63

    7 12.10 8.20 0.670 0.98

    Market 13.00 12.00

    T Bill 6.00

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    Measurement of Performance

    Rank th

    e portfolios based on sh

    arpe ratio Rank the portfolios based on treynor ratio

    Compare the ratings between sharpe and

    treynor and explain th

    e reason fordifferences

    Rank based on Jensen measure

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    Sharpe Measure

    Port turn ill - f h rp n

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .. . . .

    - . - . . - .

    . . . .

    . . . .

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    Treynor Measure

    Port turn T - f t Tr nyor n

    - - -

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    Reason for Difference

    The measure of risk for treynor is Beta ,higher the correlation of the stock with the

    market higher the beta and lower the

    treynor .

    Port Sharpe Rank Trenyor Rank Correlation

    1 0. . 0. 1

    2 0. 2 5 7.03 4 0.55

    3 0.15 6 4.78 6 0.384 0.61 3 9.81 2 0.75

    5 -3.00 7 -80.00 7 0.45

    6 0.91 1 17.27 1 0.63

    7 0.74 2 9.11 3 0.98

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    Consider the following data

    Return of Stock 30% arket Return 18%

    SD of Stock 7% SD of arket 5%

    Beta of Stock 1.5 Risk free Rate 7%

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    Using Farma measure calculate

    Selectivity

    Diversification

    Return required Net selectivity

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    Expected return on systematic risk

    E r = Rf + Beta * ( Rm- Rf)

    E r = 7 + 1.5 * ( 18 7 )

    E r = 23.5%

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    Return from Selectivity

    Return from Selectivity

    Return on Stock Expected Return on systematic risk

    Return from Selectivity = 30 23.5 = 6.5

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    Return from Diversification

    Return from Diversification

    = Rf + SD stock / SD market * ( Rm Rf ) Er

    = 7 + 8 / 5 * ( 18 7 ) 23.5

    = 24.6 23.5

    = 1.1

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    Return from Net Selectivity

    5.4 = 6.5 1.1

    Net electivity = electivity iver ific tion

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    Consider the following information

    related to the performance of two

    portfolio managers A, B and BenchmarkPortfolio against which their performance

    may be measured

    Weight Return Weight Return Weight Return

    Stock

    Bonds

    Cash

    Benchmark ManagerA Manager B

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    Based on the information calculate theoverall return for the two managers and

    benchmark portfolio against which their

    performance may be measured.

    Weight eturn W*R

    Stock . . .onds . . .

    ash . . .

    .Return

    enchmark

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    W i t R t r W*R

    St 50% -5% -2.50%B 20% -3.50% -0.70%

    C 30% 1.30% 0.39%

    -2.81%

    r

    R t r

    W i t R t r W*R

    St 30% -6% -1.80%

    B 40% -4.50% -1.80%C 30% 1.30% 0.39%

    -3.21%

    rB

    R t r

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    Sharpe measure of Portfolio

    Performance is based on

    Systematic Risk of Portfolio

    Unsystematic Risk of Portfolio Total Risk of Portfolio

    Market Risk of the Portfolio

    None of the above Ans 3

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    If the return of a portfolio is 13%

    and risk free rate is 7% and beta is1.2 . The Treynor measure for

    portfolio is

    5 6

    6.5

    7.5 8

    Ans 1

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    If the return of a portfolio is 15% and

    risk free rate is 10% and SD is 25% .

    The Sharpe measure for portfolio is

    0.15

    0.20 0.25

    0.35

    0.40

    Ans 2

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    If the Jensens alfa is positive it

    indicates

    Inferior Performance of Portfolio Manager

    Superior Performance of Portfolio

    Manager Netural Performance of Portfolio Manager

    Both 2 and 3

    None of th

    e above Ans 2

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    The ranking of the Treynor and Sharpe

    measure will be identical when

    The funds under consideration areperfectly diversified

    The funds under consideration have the

    same correlation with the market The funds under consideration have the

    same return

    The funds under consideration haveperfectly positive correlation

    Ans 1

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    If selectivity is positive and net

    selectivity is negative in a portfolio it

    implies that

    The portfolio has outperformed the market

    The portfolio manager could have produced

    better returns at lesser risk using market indexportfolio

    The portfolio has give returns superior to themarket but at a higer lever of risk

    Both

    1 and 3 All of the above

    Ans 2