portfolio sale of distressed assets by bad bank in cee

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Germany Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote Consumer Debt Sale conference Berlin, 27th November 2015 Portfolio sale of distressed assets by wind-down entity in CEE

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Page 1: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

Germany

Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote

Consumer Debt Sale conference

Berlin, 27th November 2015

Portfolio sale of distressed assets

by wind-down entity in CEE

Page 2: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

2 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria

II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts

III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions

IV. Outlook / Questions and answers

Page 3: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

3 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria

II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts

III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions

IV. Outlook / Questions and answers

Page 4: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

4 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Source: National Banks

CEE Market – NPL Development

NPL in Banking Sector in CEE in EOY 2014

UA 19%

BG 18%

HR 17%

HU 16%

RO 14%

KZ 12%

SI 12%

CEE 10%

Others 8%

RU 7%

CZ 6%

SK 5%

AT 3%

TR 3%

NPL Ratio (pp YOY 2014) NPL Volume (EURbn)

RU 59.9

AT 22.9

UA 22.0

TR 12.9

HU 7.8

KZ 7.7

RO 6.5

CZ 6.3

HR 6.2

BG 4.7

SI 3.9

SK 2.3

Others 5.3

Page 5: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

5 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Source: Bulgarian National Bank, IMF

Bulgarian Market – NPL Development

NPL Volume by Client (EURbn) Key insights

3.6

1.2

4.8

2012

3.7

1.2

4.9

2013

3.6

1.1

4.7

2014

Retail Corporate

NPL ratios increased in last

3 years up to 13% (Retail) and

21% (Corporate) in 2014

Corporate NPLs substantially ex-

ceed housing & consumer NPLs

High level of NPLs and provision-

ing leads to Banking willing to sell

Though sufficient NPL stock

available service platforms limited

Type of potential investors attract-

ed by (amongst others) total NPL

portfolio size

Trend of increasing NPLs

expected to continue as result of

scheduled AQRs in 2016

Page 6: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

6 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Source: Publicly available information

Bulgarian Market – Potential buyer side perspective

Selected Transactions with Local Buyers Advisors Opinions

Considering this environment, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria

to assess best option for envisaged exit strategy

Seller Buyer Amount (EURmln)

Segm‘t

TBI Credit APS BG ~49 Retail

BNP

Paribas Frontex ~47 Retail

BNP

Paribas N/A ~45 Retail

UBB EOS ~30-35 Retail

N/A APS BG ~29 Corporate

Source: Bulgarian Big4 Transaction Advisors (2015)

Page 7: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

7 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria

II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts

III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions

IV. Outlook / Questions and answers

Page 8: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

8 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Quo Vadis HETA Asset Resolution

HETA Asset Resolution Group had been established in 2014

while having carved out good bank of former Hypo Alpe Adria

Bank and successfully privatized

Remaining part is wind-down part, present in 11 countries in

Central and South Eastern Europe including HETA Asset

Resolution in Bulgaria

By 2020 latest, all entities shall have been closed; thus,

both portfolio and structures are continuously shrinking

HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria consists of a gross exposure

of 3-digit EURmln, o/w significant part non performing

Mostly unsecured NPL portfolio consists of both, Retail and

Corporate loans/finance lease agreements; majority had

been fully provisioned – signals in case of embezzlements

For preparing its wind-down, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria

carefully assessed all appropriate exit strategies

HETA Asset Resolution („HAR“) is the wind-down part

of the former Austrian bank Hypo Alpe Adria

Page 9: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

9 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Driving wind-down process via portfolio sales is

preferred exit strategy for HAR Bulgaria

Fast execution

Transfer of staff

Eliminating

potential close

down cost

Preserving value

Staff transfer poss.

Combination of

(PL and NPL)

investor universe

Maximize value for

individual large

tickets

Use existing

resources and

systems

Write-off loans

Corporate

sale 1

Portfolio

sale 2

Single tickets

sale 3

Run

off 4

Exit strategies

analysis

Preferred option

How to structure one-off sale? Con Pro

No value

maximization

Questionable

investor appetite

for corporate sale

No immediate NPL

resolution

More complex

Platform possibly

not sold

Residual part of

portfolio could be

unsolved

Time consuming

Platform and staff

not sold

Long time needed

Fix costs base

remains

Decreasing

profitability during

time

Page 10: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

10 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria

II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts

III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions

IV. Outlook / Questions and answers

Page 11: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

11 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Structuring the portfolio shall consider both, specifics

of seller structure and addressing buyer expectations

“Value drivers” of selected portfolio structure criteria to be assessed

Source: Publicly available information

Portfolio Sale – Size and Structure as essential criteria “to map”

Buyer perspective Seller perspective – HAR view

Siz

e

Str

uctu

re

Supranational ~15-20 (e.g. EBRD, IFC, ..)

International > ~50 (e.g. GS, LSF, DB1, ..)

Regional ~15-20 (e.g. Artemis, PPF, ..)

Local ~10-50 (e.g. EOS, APS, ..)

Investor type Investm‘t capable (in EURm)

Client segment

Performance/DPD

Underlying asset

Size of loan/lease

Criteria for portfolio tranching

Data quality &

completeness

Stage of litigation

Possible criterion, broken down e.g. by

partially provisioned (i.e. asset not yet

repossessed),

fully provisioned (i.e. asset

repossessed but not sold),

pure debts

Possible criterion, considering envisaged

portfolio size ~EURm 100 (examplarily)

price range ~2-25% (depending on

portfolio structuring and tranching)

1 GS - Goldman Sachs / LSF – Lone Star Funds / DB – Deutsche Bank

Page 12: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

12 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Leveraging quality of a portfolio structured by stages

of litigation while focussing on „value drivers“

Source: Bulgarian Civil Code of Procedure

Challenge “Litigation process” Possible solution

Legal due diligence:

validity of receivable based

on legal analysis of

underlying contracts

assessed

Appropriate tranching:

structure portfolio by value

drivers

Comprehensive

documentation: high

quality of documentation of

validity of debt in data room

(cooperating with externals)

1. Non performing lessee but recovery potential?

2. (Finance) lease agreement terminated?

3. Ignored notary invitation with voluntary payment?

4. Leased asset repossessed?

5. Criminal signal filed (in case of missing asset)?

6. Any outstanding exposure after asset sale?

7. Any documents (e.g. promissory notes)

for accelerated writ of execution available?

8. Lessee ignored voluntary payment by bailiff?

9. Enforcement title issued by Court?

10. Decision not objected by defendant?

11. Declaratory claim filed?

12. …

Potential

value driver

Potential

value driver

Potential

value driver

Potential

value driver

Page 13: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

13 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria

II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts

III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions

IV. Outlook / Questions and answers

Page 14: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

14 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Outlook / Q&A

Outlook of envisaged portfolio sale – seller perspective

Select

advisor

Determine appropriate transaction and legal advisor

with required local market know-how and expertise

Complete

data room

Ensure having data room with complete

documentation in place fulfilling investor expectations

Clarify

servicing

Define if service platform shall be offered as well

acknowledging increasing investor interests

Identify

investors

Approach suitable potential buyers (e.g. local or

regional investors) considering portfolio specifics

Page 15: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

Germany

Contact Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote

Chief Executive Officer

HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD

[email protected]

Web www.heta-asset-resolution.bg

www.aaaplatform.com

Thank you very much

15 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Page 16: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

16 Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015

Disclaimer

HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD (the “Company”) does not make any

representation or warranty, expressly or implicitly, as to the validity, accuracy,

reliability, suitability or completeness of any of the information contained in

the presentation.

The Company accept no liability or responsibility to any person with respect

to, or arising directly or indirectly out of the contents of or any omissions

from this presentation.

This presentation is being provided to the recipient and may not be

reproduced, distributed, passed on or published, in whole or in part, to any

person without the prior written consent of the Company.

The content of the presentation is not to be construed as legal, business,

investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult with its own

professional advisers for any such matters and advice.

By viewing this presentation, the recipient acknowledges, and agrees to

abide by, the aforementioned.

Page 17: Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

Germany

Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote

Consumer Debt Sale conference

Berlin, 27th November 2015

Portfolio sale of distressed assets

by wind-down entity in CEE