portland economic trends · 2017. 5. 17. · raleigh boston san francisco portland miami employment...
TRANSCRIPT
Portland Economic Trends
Employment
Growth by US StateDec 2015 to Dec 2016
-2.7
-1.8
-1.4
-1
-0.7
-0.3
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.9
1
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.9
2
2
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.8
2.9
2.9
3
3
Wyoming
Alaska
North Dakota
Mississippi
Kansas
Maine
Oklahoma
Louisiana
Connecticut
West Virginia
Arkansas
New Jersey
New Mexico
Vermont
Illinois
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Iowa
Ohio
Indiana
Kentucky
Nebraska
Rhode Island
Wisconsin
Alabama
Maryland
Virginia
New York
Arizona
Minnesota
Tennessee
Michigan
South Dakota
Colorado
Hawaii
New Hampshire
South Carolina
Texas
North Carolina
Idaho
Massachusetts
California
District of Columbia
Georgia
Missouri
Utah
Nevada
Washington
Florida
Oregon
Job Growth by Metro2010 to 2016
Portland
161,500
Eugene
22,600
17,810
16,000
9,430
The Portland Metro
region has added 161,500
new jobs in the last six
years.
That’s 2 times more jobs
than the other six Oregon
Metros combined.
Salem
Bend
MedfordAlbanyCorvallisGrants Pass
-2%
-2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
6%
6%
6%
6%
7%
7%
7%
7%
8%
8%
8%
8%
9%
9%
10%
14%
Detroit
San Jose
Cleveland
Baltimore
Oklahoma City
Pittsburgh
Albuquerque
Columbus
Memphis
Tucson
Omaha
Kansas City
Fort Worth
Louisville
Indianapolis
Honolulu
Tulsa
St. Louis
Irvine
San Antonio
Nashville
Orlando
Las Vegas
Milwaukee
Charlotte
Philadelphia
Houston
New York
Tampa
Chicago
Washington DC
Los Angeles
Denver
Salt Lake City
Dallas
El Paso
Minneapolis
Paradise, NV
Jacksonville
Seattle
Sacramento
San Diego
Austin
Atlanta
Phoenix
Raleigh
Boston
San Francisco
Portland
Miami
Employment
Growth by US City2013 to 2015
50 Largest US Cities
US Census, ACS Table S0804
Portland enjoyed the second
fastest job growth rate among
the 50 largest US cities. That’s
more than twice the growth
rate of the United States.
The city of Portland added
42,062 jobs within the city
limits from 2013 to 2015.
That’s more than Salt Lake
City, Las Vegas and Milwaukie
combined.
-10%
-8%
-7%
-6%
-5%
-4%
-4%
-3%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
6%
6%
7%
7%
8%
8%
8%
9%
10%
10%
10%
10%
11%
11%
14%
18%
18%
19%
21%
23%
Las Vegas
Memphis
Detroit
Albuquerque
New Orleans
Tucson
Virginia Beach
Fresno
Jacksonville
Long Beach
Indianapolis
Charlotte
Wichita
Miami
Mesa
Los Angeles
Cleveland
Sacramento
San Antonio
Colorado Springs
Dallas
San Diego
Chicago
Tulsa
Houston
Milwaukee
Raleigh
New York
Columbus
Phoenix
Baltimore
Oklahoma City
Fort Worth
Boston
Omaha
Minneapolis
Kansas City
Louisville
San Jose
Oakland
Philadelphia
Nashville
Atlanta
El Paso
Washington DC
San Francisco
Denver
Portland
Austin
Seattle
Median Household
Income Growth by
US City 2010 to 2015
50 Largest US Cities
US Census, ACS Table S1901
Portland enjoyed the third
largest increase in household
income among the 50 largest
US cities. That’s more than
seven times the growth rate of
the United States at 2.5%.
(Inflation adjusted.)
That increase of $9,604 from
2010 to 2015 brought Portland
from being the 17th wealthiest
city to the 8th among the 50
largest US cities.
55%
37%
Portland Metro 20 Metro Composite
Housing Price Index
S&P CoreLogic Case-ShillerOctober 2011 to October 2016
Population Growth
US City2010 to 2015
US Census, ACS Table PEPPANNRES
The population of the city of
Portland grew by 8% from
2010 to 2015, slightly faster
than the 6.7% average growth
rate among the 50 largest US
cities.
-5%
0%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
6%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
7%
8%
8%
8%
8%
8%
8%
9%
9%
10%
10%
10%
11%
11%
12%
12%
12%
12%
13%
14%
Detroit
Baltimore
Memphis
Milwaukee
Chicago
Wichita
Tucson
Albuquerque
Long Beach
Philadelphia
Omaha
Tulsa
Louisville
Virginia Beach
Kansas City
Indianapolis
New York
El Paso
Los Angeles
Fresno
Sacramento
Jacksonville
Arlington
Las Vegas
San Diego
Oakland
Mesa
Minneapolis
San Francisco
San Jose
Boston
Columbus
Phoenix
Portland
Nashville
Dallas
Oklahoma City
Colorado Springs
Houston
Atlanta
Miami
San Antonio
Raleigh
Washington DC
Fort Worth
Charlotte
New Orleans
Seattle
Denver
Austin
1%
4%
5%
6%
9%
10%
11%
11%
12%
12%
12%
12%
12%
13%
13%
13%
14%
14%
15%
15%
16%
16%
16%
17%
17%
18%
18%
20%
20%
21%
21%
21%
21%
22%
22%
22%
23%
23%
23%
23%
24%
26%
27%
28%
28%
28%
29%
34%
34%
37%
Albuquerque
Plano
Virginia Beach
Memphis
Louisville
Long Beach
Sacramento
San Antonio
Jersey City
Indianapolis
Arlington
Kansas City
Scottsdale
Los Angeles
Chicago
Omaha
Minneapolis
Milwaukee
Phoenix
Fort Worth
Colorado Springs
Oakland
Las Vegas
New York
San Francisco
Oklahoma City
Houston
Raleigh
Boston
San Diego
Dallas
Atlanta
El Paso
Charlotte
Columbus
San Jose
Tampa
Nashville
Seattle
Fremont
New Orleans
Jacksonville
Portland
Baltimore
Irvine
Philadelphia
Washington DC
Denver
Miami
Austin
US Average
College Graduates
of Working Age
Growth by US City2010 to 2015
The city of Portland added
41,130 people with college
degrees, between the age 25
and 65, from 2010 to 2015.
That growth rate of 27% is the
8th fastest among the 50
largest US cities. The US
growth rate is 10%.
Portland’s growth in this
demographic is more than
Indianapolis, Milwaukie and
Minneapolis combined.
Multnomah County Economy Stats
• 20% of Oregon’s population (790,294 in 2015)
• 0.5% of Oregon’s area
• 27% of Oregon’s jobs (506,700 in Nov. 2016)
• 29% of Oregon’s payroll ($27.2 Billion in 2016)
• 22% of Oregon’s state personal income tax
• 40% of jobs created in Oregon in the last 10
years (52,200 jobs. 12% job growth versus 6% for Oregon)
• 20% of people in poverty in Oregon (121,764 in 2015)
77700
-
Employment Growth
by County2009 to 2016
Multnomah Co
77,700
Clackamas Co
21,800
Washington Co
51,900
Marion & Polk
Deschutes
Lane
Jackson
Benton
Linn
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Less than$10,000
$10,000 to$14,999
$15,000 to$24,999
$25,000 to$34,999
$35,000 to$49,999
$50,000 to$74,999
$75,000 to$99,999
$100,000 to$149,999
$150,000 to$199,999
$200,000 ormore
Median Household
Income is $60,892
Households with incomes of
more than $100,000 grew by
50%.
Households with incomes of
less than $35,000 declined by
20%.
Median tier households, with
incomes between $50,000 and
$75,000 grew by 2%.
Household Growth
by Income Level2010 to 2015
+13,198
+18,051
+1,000
-16,255
-6,855
US Census, ACS Table S1901
City of Portland
Portland Metro Industry Growth1 Year Trend – Feb 2017
1.2%
1.8%
-2.5%
3.5%
2.3%
1.4%
9.8%
1.9%
Government
Leisure & Hospitality
Manufacturing
Health Care & Social Asst.
Retail
Professional & Business Services
Construction
All Industries
Portland Metro Industry Growth10 Year Trend – Feb 2007 to Feb 2017
10%
23%
-5%
32%
9%
25%
1%
12%
Government
Leisure & Hospitality
Manufacturing
Health Care & Social Asst.
Retail
Professional & Business Services
Construction
All Industries
Job Growth by Industry WagesMarch 2017 / 2007 Portland Metro
Average
Wage $1,000Job GrowthIndustry
High Wage
High Tech Manufacturing $ 133
12%
Information $ 79
Professional and Technical $ 80
Financial activities $ 71
Wholesale Trade $ 70
Ambulatory health care $ 63
Middle Wage
Construction $ 59
4%Government $ 56
Manufacturing (non High Tech) $ 55
Low Wage
Employment services $ 37
15%Retail trade $ 31
Nursing and residential care $ 28
Leisure and hospitality $ 21
High Wage IndustriesPortland Region
Average Wage and Employment Growth from August 2010 to August 2016
All Industries $ 55,523 17%
Computer and electronic product manufacturing $ 132,712 10%
Management of companies and enterprises $ 132,421 27%
Computer systems design and related services $ 109,357 17%
Software publishers $ 107,623 42%
Scientific research and development services $ 92,563 9%
Architectural, engineering, and related services $ 78,984 19%
Ambulatory health care services $ 68,138 17%
Accounting, bookkeeping, and payroll services $ 60,398 27%
Specialized design services $ 59,968 29%
Employment Growth – Portland RegionOccupational Category 2010 to 2015
29%
10%
14%
10%
16%
21%
23%
33%
34%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Food preparation and serving related
Construction and extraction
Production, transportation, and materialmoving
Legal occupations
Business and financial operations
Life, physical, and social science
Architecture and engineering
Healthcare practitioner and technical
Computer and mathematical
Total
Population : 2010 to 2015College Degree Age 25-64
12,316
7,309
10,918
34,820
25,667
33,503
53,596
78,510
139,711
195,071
Yamhill County
Douglas County
Linn County
Deschutes County
Jackson County
Marion County
Lane County
Clackamas County
Washington County
City of Portland
1,622
-2,465
-1,040
8,828
543
-947
1,205
13,494
18,882
41,130
15%
-25%
-9%
34%
2%
-3%
2%
21%
16%
27%
Douglas Co
Linn CoMarion Co
Population Growth2010 to 2015
College Degree Age 25 to 64
City of
Portland
41,130
Clackamas
County
Deschutes
County
Washington
County
Jackson Co
44,574
These 9 counties have a population of 2.4 million.
That’s 59% of Oregon’s population and 3.8 times the
size of the City of Portland.
Lane CoYamhill Co
$-
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Graduate Degree
High School Diploma -10%
+8%
Bachelors Degree
-5%
Median Earnings by EducationPortland Metro - Males
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
$100,000 + Income WorkersCensus tracts where 1/3 or more of workers earn $100,000 +
Workers Earning
$100,000 +2015
Multnomah Co
38,335
Clackamas Co
23,045
Washington Co
38,373
Marion
Deschutes
Lane
Jackson
Benton
Linn
US Census ACS S2001
Average Income by Census Tract - 2015
Alameda
$104 K
Laurelhurst
$105 K
Pearl
District
$107 K
Eastmoreland
$106 K
Riverwood
$142 K
Lake Oswego
$119 K
Bull
Mountain
$102 K
Bethany
$117 K
Cedar Mill
$130 K
Average Income by Census Tract - 2015
Gresham
Golf Course
$35 K
Rockwood
$32 K
Eastport Plaza
$33 K
South
Rockwood
$34 KLents
$37 K
Clackamas
Town Center
$33 K
Downtown
$34 K
Milwaukie
$49 K
St. Johns
$49 K
Cully
$45 KKing
$45 K
People of Color33% or greater
US Census 2015 5 year ACS : S0601
Poverty Rate25% or greater
US Census 2015 5 year ACS
$21,972
$22,423
$23,050
$23,499
$23,793
$24,264
$24,590
$24,628
$25,892
$26,883
$31,618
$32,472
$33,014
$34,259
$36,004
Josephine
Umatilla
Linn
Klamath
Douglas
Marion
Jackson
Polk
Lane
Yamhill
Benton
Deschutes
Multnomah
Washington
Clackamas Per Capita Income
By Oregon County2015
89% of Oregonians live in one
of the 15 largest counties.
Multnomah is the 3rd
wealthiest of the large
counties.
Per Capita Income
By Oregon County2015
$21,972
$22,423
$23,050
$23,083
$23,499
$23,793
$24,264
$24,590
$24,628
$25,892
$26,883
$31,618
$32,472
$34,259
$36,004
$38,735
Josephine
Umatilla
Linn
Multnomah - East
Klamath
Douglas
Marion
Jackson
Polk
Lane
Yamhill
Benton
Deschutes
Washington
Clackamas
Multnomah - West
Imagine we divide Multnomah
County between “East” and
“West” along 82nd Avenue.
“West Multnomah” would be the
wealthiest Oregon county with an
average income 68% higher than
“East County”. If it were a US
state, it would be the 2nd
wealthiest state.
“East Multnomah” would be
among the poorer counties, but
with a population greater than
Linn, Umatilla and Josephine
combined. If it were a US state, it
would be the 49th wealthiest
state, between West Virginia and
Mississippi.
$53,122 $20,321
$73,959
$87,778
$57,657
$55,425
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mean Household IncomeEast Portland vs. Rest of City of Portland