portugal in the eu: the perspective of convergence · sousa galito, maria (2000). portugal in the...
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SOUSA GALITO, Maria (2000). Portugal in the EU: the Perspective of Convergence – Anexos – A. CI-CPRI, Tese, 'º16, Setembro, pp. 94-100.
Portugal in the EU:
the Perspective of
Convergence
Tese de Mestrado
Âmbitos (2000):
Economia Estudos Europeus
CI-CPRI
ANNEXES
94
Annexes for the First Part: What About Converqence?
Annexe 1: Econometric Estimations - Test oÍ Hélin and Le Pen
Ëconometric Estimation 1: for UK, lreland, Denmark and Portugal
Jependent Variable: LOG(G?)-LOG(G?-70)
vlethod: GLS (Cross Section Weiqhts)
)ate: 08/29100 Time: 22:46
iamole: 1970 1997
ncluded observations: 28
l-otal panel (balanced) obseruations '112
Variable CoefÍicien Std. Error t-Statistic Prob
C 0.13031t 0.005347 24.37432 0.000c
LOG(G?-70) -0.013141 0.000595 -22.09274 0.000(
Weiohted Statistics
ì-souared 0.80756t Mean dependent var 0.017291
\diusted R-souared 0.80s8'lt S.D. dependent var 0.015572
l.E. oÍ reqression 0.00686i Sum souared resid 0.00517s
-oo likelihood 481.772( F-statistic 461.630(
furbin-Watson stat 0j03271 Prob(F-statistic) 0.00000(
Unweighted Statistics
ì-squared 0.76143Í Mean deoendent var 0.01553S
\diusted R-souared 0.759271 S.D. dependent var 0.01602 /
i.E. of reqression 0.00786e Sum souared resid 0.00680i
)urbin-Watson stat 0.098144
Source: Own estimations using data from the Chelem CEP II
Econometric Estjqrêlian2: for Sweden, Austria, Finland and Portugal
G?)-LOG(G?-
:08l29lOO ïime:22:57
ncluded observations: 28
el (balanced) observations 1 12
LOG(G?-70
Mean deoendent var
S.D. dependent varusted R-souared
Sum souared resid
377.37
Prob(F-statistic0.10627bin-Watson stat
Source: Own estimations usins data from the Chelem CEP Il
95
Econometric Estimation 3: for Greece, Spain and Portugal
Source: Own estimations using data from the Chelem CEP II
Econometric Estimation 4: for France and Portugal
Source: Own estimations using data from the Chelem CEP II
96
)eoendent Variable: LOG(G?)-LOG(G?-70)
\4ethod: Pooled Least Squares
)ate: 0B/29l00 Time: 22:53
Samole: 1970 1997
ncluded observations: 28
I-otal panel (balanced) observations 84
Variable CoefÍicien Std. Errorll t-Statistit Prob
0.200991 0.00845111 23.7828i 0.000(
LOG(G?-70) -0.021452 o.ool oo6ll -21 .3216t 0.000(
ì-souared 0.84719C Mean dependent var 0.02154t
Adiusted R-squared o.84532e S.D. dependent var 0.01789t
S.E. oÍ reqression 0.00703s Sum squared resid 0.00406:
-oq likelihood 328.9832 F-statistic 454.612r
)urbin-Watson stat 0.144931 Prob(F-statistic) 0.00000(
Jeoendent Variable: LOG(G?)-LOG(G?-70)
Vlethod: Pooled Least Squares
)ate: 08/29100 Time: 22:38
iamole: '1970 1997
ncluded observations: 28
fotal oanel (balanced) observations 56
Variable ll Coefficienl Std. Erro t-Statistic Prob
c ll 0.174454 0.01084111 16.0923€ 0.000c
-
!
LOG(G?-70) ll -0.017e7c 0.00124111 -14.4836i 0.000(
R-squared _jl 0.795281 Mean dependent var 0.018372
\diusted R-squared Il 0.79149( S.D. dependent var 0.01933Í
j.E. of regression ll o.Ooaeze Sum squared resid 0.00420s-"_ I
-oq likelihood 11 192.7612 F-statistic 209.7761
f urbin-Watson stat il 0.1 1331C ProbíF-statistic) 0.00000c
Econometric Estimation 5: for ltaly and Portugal
Econometric Estimation 6: Íor UK and Portugal
Source: Own estimations usins data from the Chelem CEP II
)ependent Variable: LOG(G?)-LOG(G?-70)
úethod: Seeminolv Unrelated Reqression
)ate: 08/29100 Time: 23:03
iample: 1970 1997
ncluded observations: 28
fotal panel (balanced) observations 56
Variable Coefficien Std. Erro t-Statistic Prob
c 0.160678 0.00955s 16.8087C 0.000c
LOG(G?-70) -0.016515 0.001094 -15.10085 0.000c
Weiqhted Statistics
-oo likelihood 195.4112
Unweiqhted Statistics
ì-squared 0.79015( Mean deoendent var 0.020195
\diusted R-souared 0.786264 S.D. deoendent var 0.01906€
i.E. oÍ reqression 0.0088'15 Sum souared resid 0.00419€
furbin-Watson stat 0.'1 1793(
Source: Own estimations usins data from the Chelem CEP II
)eoendent Variable: LOG(G?)-LOG(G?-70)
Vlethod: Pooled Least Souares
)ate: 0B/29i00 Time: 23:08
Samole: 1970 1997
ncluded observations: 28
fotal panel (balanced) observations 56
Variable Coefficien' Std. Erro t-Statistic Prob
0.18349€ 0.01085s 16.8983( 0.000(
LOG(G?-70) -0.019157 0.00126411 -15.1562: 0.000(
ì-squared 0.80966€ Mean dependent var 0.01979i
{diusted R-souared 0.806141 S.D. deoendent var 0.0'1900r
3.E. of reqression 0.008367 Sum squared resid 0.003781
-oq likelihood 193.603C F-statistic 229.711
lurbin-Watson stat 0.118744 Prob(F-statistic) 0.00000(
97
Graphs of Residuals 1:
of 1970-1997.oÍ the econometric estimation 1.1 (pp. 20) Íor the period
Source: Own estimations using data from the Chelem CEP II
_GÉR Residuals
98
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