potential impact of wood building on ghgs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 scenario...

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Potential impact of wood building on GHGs Green Life of Wood LCA Workshop Geneva 15.10.2012 Tarja Häkkinen, Antti Ruuska, VTT

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Page 1: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

Potential impact of wood

building on GHGs

Green Life of Wood LCA Workshop

Geneva 15.10.2012

Tarja Häkkinen, Antti Ruuska, VTT

Page 2: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

2 15.10.2012

Objectives

To assess the potential impact

of the use of wood in

multi-storey residential

buildings in Finland on the

GHGs until 2030

To assess the significance of

building materials on GHGs of

buildings

Funding

Ministry of Ministry of employment

and the economy

Ministry of Environment

Methods

Case study

Model building

Parametric assessment

Page 3: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

3 15.10.2012

GHGs caused by all building materials

Construction + renewals 50 / 100 years. A1, A2, A3 (EN 15978)

Construction of site: GHGs 12-360t

When site ground needs to be stabilised (cement + lime): GHGs 1100 – 1400 t

Basic case

t (1000 kg)

Range, min…max

t

Construction materials

970 540… 1400

Renewals, 50 a

300 200… 400

Total, 50 a

1300 740… 1800

Extreme values: 750 t CO2e / 3600 t CO2e

Page 4: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

4 15.10.2012

Total GHGs (tonnes). Passive level building in Helsinki. Time frame 50 years.

(calculated considering the predicted change in GHGs of H&P)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Materials fornew

construction

Materials forrenovation

Construction,renovation,demolition

Heating,spaces

Heating, water Use ofelectricity

Page 5: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

5 15.10.2012

Model building

5-storey residential building

Building volume 6100 m3

Gross area 1800 m2

Structures included

Exterior walls

Roof

Base floor

Intermediate floors

Environmental data for building

materials

From cradle to gate

Transportation, assembly, loss –

not considered

Finnish environmental

declarations + VTT assessments

Page 6: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

6 15.10.2012

Building level results (in 1000 kg/building or GJ/building)

Building Weight

CO2e

Re-

new-

able

RM

Non

renew-

able

RM

Re-

new-

able

energy

GJ

Non-

renewa

ble

energy

GJ

CO2

abs.

Wood

Concrete 1900 360 10 2100 120 3500 0 0

Timber-framed 600 120 180 610 520 1800 240 150

CLT-based 910 180 500 700 1300 3400 580 390

Average wooden

(75% TF,

25% CLT)

680 130 260 630 720 2200 320 210

Page 7: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

7 15.10.2012

Annual building volumes were assumed to be equal

as in average in in 2000 – 2008

Building volumes in 2000 - 2008 9 310 000 gross m2

Model building’s area 1800 m2

Annual number of buildings 571

Share of buildings

Scenario

Concrete Wood

1 98 % 2 %

2 78 % 22 %

3 48 % 52 %

4 18 % 82 %

11

126

297

11

468

0

100

200

300

400

500Number of buildings

Annually built wooden residential multi-storey buildings, 2010-2030 … Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

Page 8: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

8 15.10.2012

Estimated GHGs (residential blocks of flats) in 2030

Annual GHG-emissions from construction of new residential blocks of flats

in 2030 (25% of wooden buildings CLT based)

CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ

tn/total tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3

Scenario 1 (2%) 200 000 350 190 58

Scenario 2 (22%) 180 000 310 170 50

Scenario 3 (52%) 140 000 240 130 39

Scenario 4 (82%) 99 000 170 95 28

Page 9: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

9 15.10.2012

Assessment of wood products’ carbon footprint on LC bases

Problematics:

Carbon up-take during growth

Land use

Carbon storage

End-of-life carbon emissions - allocation

Time frame

Relevant (draft) standards

prEN 16485 Round and sawn timber - Environmental Product Declarations -

Product category rules for wood and wood based products for use in construction

ISO DIS 14067 Carbon footprint of products – Requirements and guidelines for

quantifications and communication

EN 15804 Sustainability of construction works - environmental product

declarations - Core rules for the product category of construction products

EN 15942 - Sustainability of construction works - Environmental product

declarations - Communication format business-to-business

EN 15978 Sustainability of construction works - Assessment of environmental

performance of buildings - Calculation method

Page 10: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

10 15.10.2012

Guidelines for long / short term impact assessment

Standards give guidelines for long-term impact

assessment

Guidelines for the shorter term estimation are

inadequate.

prEN 16485:

as the formation of wood in the forest is based

on the absorption of CO2 from the atmosphere,

the amount of biogenic C in the wood product

is counted as a removal of CO2

all other natural processes related to the forest

are outside the system boundary of the LCA

temporal changes in forest C pools due to

forestry operations can be disregarded for

sustainably managed forests and for forests

where overall biogenic C stored in forest C

pools is stable or is increasing.

Page 11: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

11 15.10.2012

Short term assessment

Even sustainable forestry, where C balance of forest

land is basically neutral over the full rotation, cannot

be considered climate neutral.

Re-growth time typically much longer than the urgent

timetable of emission reductions (creating a C debt

with respect to the no-use baseline)

Dynamics of the terrestrial C is an issue to be

considered due to the urgency of emission reductions

To generate a reference scenario of not-harvesting

To estimate the difference of C balance over time

between scenarios.

Page 12: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

12 15.10.2012

201

176

137

99

-4

-41

-96

-151

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4

CO2-equ 1000 t/a

Residential multi-storey buildings GHG emissions and Carbon uptake, 2030

Stored carbon, total

Emissions, total

Page 13: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

13 15.10.2012

Amount of annual green house gas emissions, in 2030, mineral wool insulation

CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ

tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3

Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58

Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50

Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

Scenario 4 99 000 170 95 28

Amount of annual green house gas emissions, in 2030, cellulose insulation

CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ CO2-equ

tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3

Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58

Scenario 2 170 000 300 170 50

Scenario 3 130 000 230 130 37

Scenario 4 88 000 160 85 25

An additional maximum annual

saving of GHGs of 10 000 t in

2030 when wood based

insulation is used.

Page 14: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

14 15.10.2012

Wood in exterior wall refurbishment

Assumptions:

Model building 1800 m2

Number of buildings 3681

Exterior wall will be refurbished (constant rate) until 2030:

a) 50% (880 buildings per year)

b) 75% (1400 buildings per year).

Refurbishment concepts:

a) additional heat insulation and rendering (U = 0,16W/m2K)

b) additional heat insulation and wooden cladding (light weight / +

wooden frame)

Share of wood in exterior wall refurbishment

2, 22, 52 or 82 % until 2030.

Starting point:

Residential blocks of flats during 1950 – 2000

Total gross area 66 800 000 m2

Page 15: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

15 15.10.2012

0 1 3 5

12 10

6

2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Scenario1

Scenario2

Scenario3

Scenario4

Annual CO2-equ emissions, ktn/a Emissions,

Rendered

Emissions,Wooden

0 2 5 8

18 15

9

3

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Annual CO2-equ emissions, ktn/a

Emissions,Rendered

Emissions, Wood

CO2-equ emissions from

refurbishments, when

50% or 75% of buildings

are renovated, in 2030.

Estimated maximum

annual saving of GHGs

roughly

11 000 t in 2030 when there

is an increased use of

wood in refurbishment of

exterior walls.

Page 16: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

16 15.10.2012

19 17

14 11

-1

-12

-29

-45

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Scenario1

Scenario2

Scenario3

Scenario4

CO2-equ ktn/a

CO2-equ emissions considering carbon uptake. Refurbishment in 2030

Stored carbon, total

Emissions, total

Page 17: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

17 15.10.2012

SUMMARY

The objective was to assess the potential

impact of wood building on GHGs

Time frame: until 2030

Alternative scenarios for the building of blocks

of flats in Finland:.

Share of wood buildings grows to:

22, 52 or 82 %.

The corresponding decrease of GHGs in

2030 would be

13 % (26 000 t) when the share is 22%

32 % (64 000 t) when the share is 52 %

52 % (102 000 t) when the share is 82 %

Compared to basic case.

The material use in building refurbishment is

considerably less; thus also the related

changes in GHGs.

Page 18: Potential impact of wood building on GHGs...2012/10/15  · tn tn/building kg/brm2 kg/brm3 Scenario 1 200 000 350 190 58 Scenario 2 180 000 310 170 50 Scenario 3 140 000 240 130 39

18 15.10.2012

VTT creates business from

technology