power generation american bar association forum on the construction industry american bar...
TRANSCRIPT
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POWER GENERATIONPOWER GENERATIONPOWER GENERATIONPOWER GENERATION
American Bar AssociationAmerican Bar Association
Forum on the Construction IndustryForum on the Construction Industry
American Bar AssociationAmerican Bar Association
Forum on the Construction IndustryForum on the Construction Industry
Presented By:Presented By:Donna HobbsDonna Hobbs
Bechtel Power CorpBechtel Power Corp
J. Bradford McIlvainJ. Bradford McIlvainArcher & Greiner PCArcher & Greiner PC
InfrastructureCivil Works Projects for Lawyers
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StatisticsStatistics
– U.S GENERATED 4,143 billion kilowatt hours of electricity in 2011 (1.5kW/person)
– Sources Generating Electricity– Coal 41.6%
– Natural Gas 25.5%
– Nuclear 19.1%
– Hydro 7.8%
– Renewable/Other (Solar/Wind ) 6.0%
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U.S. ELECTRIC POWER U.S. ELECTRIC POWER PRODUCTION 2011PRODUCTION 2011
2011 STATISTICS (ROUNDED)2011 STATISTICS (ROUNDED)
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POWER GENERATION POWER GENERATION TRENDSTRENDS
2011 2010 2000
Coal 41.6% 44.5% 51.3%
Natural Gas/Oil 25.5% 24.1% 18.9%
Nuclear 19.1% 19.4% 19.7%
Hydro 7.8% 6.1% 6.8%
Renewable Other 6.0% 5.9% 3.4%
Total Generated (billion kWh) 4,143 4,151 3,836
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POWER GENERATION POWER GENERATION TRENDSTRENDS
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POWER GENERATION TRENDSPOWER GENERATION TRENDS
Source Trend ReasonCoal decline EnviroNuclear decline Enviro/RegulatoryGas CC growth Price/EfficiencyHydro decline Enviro/CostWind growth Regulatory/subsidyPV Solar growth Regulatory/Price
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FOSSIL/NUCLEAR FOSSIL/NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATIONELECTRICITY GENERATION
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COALCOAL
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COAL PLANT PROCESS (RANKINE COAL PLANT PROCESS (RANKINE CYCLE)CYCLE)
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NATURAL GAS COMBINED NATURAL GAS COMBINED CYCLECYCLE
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COMBINED CYCLE COMBINED CYCLE (BRAYTON+RANKINE) PROCESS(BRAYTON+RANKINE) PROCESS
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NUCLEARNUCLEAR
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HYDROHYDRO
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WINDWIND
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SOLARSOLAR
SOURCE: GTM Research and SEIAM Research and SEIA
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BUILDING THE PLANTBUILDING THE PLANT
Developing, designing, purchasing, constructing, and starting up a large power generation facility is a complex, risky business that involves the management of thousands of interface points and requires extensive planning and coordination.
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Development ConsiderationsDevelopment Considerations
– Pro Forma comparing cost to revenue for the facility life cycle
• Life cycle of a plant is about 40 years
• Revenue Stream from generation will last 40 years (projected demand)
• Current cost is as much $ 1.7 million per megawatt
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What to Build?What to Build?
– Considerations• Site Location & Space Considerations
• Fuel Source and projected cost/availability
• Water Source and projected cost/availability
• Schedule & Cost
• Environmental &Regulatory Concerns
• Public/Social Considerations
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Levelized MWh Cost by TypeLevelized MWh Cost by Type
Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2012. June 2012, DOE/EIA-0383(2012).
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STEPS IN CONSTRUCTING A STEPS IN CONSTRUCTING A POWER PLANTPOWER PLANT
– Regulatory Approval and Permits– Design/Purchase of Generating Equipment– Design of Fuel Delivery System– Electrical Transmission Considerations– Design of the Facility– Construction– Startup, Commissioning & Testing– Operation & Maintenance
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Regulatory Approval & Regulatory Approval & PermitsPermits
– Vary by State & locality– EPA & Regulatory Considerations
• Air Pollution (Sox, Nox, Particulates, Carbon)• Grey water treatment• Ground Water• Wet lands• Other (Noise, aesthetics, social benefits, etc.)_
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Design and Pre Purchase of Design and Pre Purchase of Generating EquipmentGenerating Equipment
– Major Equipment is Designed & Manufactured by OEM Vendors (Boiler, Steam Turbine, Combustion Turbine, AQCS)
– Equipment can take years to Design and Manufacture long lead deliverables
– Equipment is often assigned to EPC Contractor– Performance guarantees, delivery lead times,
constructability, warranties and long term maintenance agreements are critical purchase considerations
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Power TransmissionPower Transmission
– Age (technology of transmission system)– Capacity / Constraints of Transmission System– If New Transmission is required. How long to
Build (Right of Ways)?– Other (Interconnect studies, VAR support)
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Facility DesignFacility Design– Power generating facilities are huge complex projects that
demand extensive experience and coordination from the designer, builder and OEM vendors.
– Previous era plants were constructed as “Design-Build” where all aspects of the design and procurement were completed before construction began.
– Today contracts are often awarded on an EPC (Engineer, Procure, Construct) basis with a “fast track” schedule where construction often begins before all systems are designed. This reduces cost (IDC) but can add risk.
– A Reference Plant, a 1,000 MW (2x500) generating plant was estimated to require 898,200 man hours for design.
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ConstructionConstruction– Schedule (CPM)
• EPC Contractor develops Baseline Schedule
• EPC Contractor provides Periodic/regular schedule updates identifying problems and projecting final completion
– Budget (LSTK, Cost Plus, Gmax)• EPC Contractor develops Baseline Budget
• EPC Contractor provides Periodic/Regular Budget revisions identifying contract changes and projecting final project cost.
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Construction RisksConstruction Risks• Differing Site/Design Conditions• Labor dispute/Productivity• Design/Manufacturing Errors & Omissions • Quality Assurance/Quality Control• Regulatory Approvals• Safety/Injuries• Shipping/Storage Damage/Loss• Commissioning errors• Performance Shortfalls
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ConstructionConstruction2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Mobilization, General Conditions, Demobilization
– Project Duration Approximately 4 years
Man-hours Labor, Mat'l &
Equip CostSupervision 2,015,600 $163,851,000Misc. Support 1,222,000 $82,055,000Startup 707,200 $69,029,000Temporary Facilities 639,800 $82,761,000Equipment, Tools & Supplies 0 $124,437,000Total 4,584,600 $522,133,000
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Site Work
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Site WorkSite Work2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Site Work includes:• Clear and Grub
• Site and Building Excavation
• Sewer, Water and Storm Sewer
• Streets, Sidewalks and Landscape
• Stormwater Retention
– Cost can vary by location Man-hours
Total Direct Costs
Site work 588,000 $115,117,000
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Civil Work
▪
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Civil Work
– Civil Work Includes• Building & Equipment Foundations
• Building Structural Concrete
– 1,000 MW reference plant requires over 130,000 cy. – Trades involved : ironworkers, carpenters, cement
masons, laborers, operators, electricians.
Man-hours Total Direct
Cost
Concrete 1,105,200 $106,431,000
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Structural SteelStructural Steel
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Structural SteelStructural Steel2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Structural Steel Work Includes• All Building Structural Systems
– Most Work is performed By Iron Workers– Major Equipment (cranes etc.) is required– Typical 100 MW plant requires about 25,000 tons
Man-hours Total Direct
CostSteel Related Work 240,800 $143,192,000
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ArchitecturalArchitectural▪ Then:
Design Build, Brick & Mortar, Overbuilt, Cheap Labor, Long Schedules
▪ Now:Fast Track, Prefab Steel, Structurally optimized, Critical Path Schedule
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Architectural WorkArchitectural Work2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Architectural work includes all interior and exterior architectural elements.
– Work is performed by carpenters, drywallers, painters, floor installers, plumbers, HVAC installers and electricians
Man-hours Total Direct
CostArchitectural Work 83,200 $114,687,000
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Generating EquipmentGenerating Equipment
▪ The most expensive and critical aspect of the plant– Long lead
– Exotic precision design, delicate
– Basis of plant performance production
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Major Equipment Major Equipment – Major Generating Equipment
• May be Pre-purchased by Owner
• Designed & Manufactured by Vendor (OEM)
• & Assigned to EPC Contractor
– Work is performed by pipefitters, steamfitters, millwrights, electricians.
Manhours Total Direct CostSteam Generators (Boilers) 2,742,800 $450,945,000Steam Turbine Generator 212,800 $142,193,000Air Quality Control 978,800 $78,173,000Water Treatment 116,600 $50,667,000Material Handling 1,167,000 $155,508,000Rotating Equipment 102,700 $51,781,000Balance of Plant 91,200 $101,539,000Total 5,411,900 $1,030,806,000
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Piping WorkPiping Work2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Piping Work Includes• Water, Steam, Fuel and Exhaust Piping
– Work is performed by Pipefitters, Steamfitters and Plumbers
– Advanced metallurgy requires specialty welding skills and procedures (P91)
– Typical plant requires about 771,365 linear feet of pipe.
Man-hours Total Direct
CostPiping 1,699,100 $194,343,000
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Electrical and CablingElectrical and Cabling2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
▪ Over 6 million linear feet or over»
1000 miles of cable and wire.
1,110 miles of cable and wire
may be used.
This much wire would stretch from
Denver to Chicago.
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Electrical WorkElectrical Work2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Electrical and Cabling work includes• Internal Plant wiring
• Internal Power Distribution Cabling & Supports
• Exterior Transmission interface
• Control Wiring
– Work is performed by Electricians and Linemen– Typical plant requires over 6 million lineal feet of
cable and wire.
Man-hours Total Direct
CostElectrical 1,871,100 $195,006,000
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Instruments and ControlsInstruments and Controls2x500 Reference Plant2x500 Reference Plant
– Work includes all control system installation for mechanical and electrical systems.
– Distributed Control Systems (DCS) is the brain and nervious system of the power plant.
– Work is performed by specialized control technicians, electricians, HVAC and plumbers.
Man-hours Total Direct CostControls and Instruments 82,900 $23,517,000
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Power Plant TotalsPower Plant Totals
Man-hours Total Direct Costs
Site work 588,000 $115,117,000
Concrete 1,105,200 $106,431,000
Steel 240,800 $143,192,000
Architectural Work 83,200 $114,687,000
Equipment 5,411,900 $1,030,806,000
Piping 1,699,100 $194,343,000
Electrical 1,871,100 $195,006,000
Controls and Instruments 82,900 $23,517,000
Miscellaneous $404,777,000
Totals 11,082,200 $2,327,876,000
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Coal, Nuclear, Gas
– U.S. Coal plants are aging and though fuel source is plentiful, environmental concerns will hinder future growth of coal plants in the U.S. “Clean coal” technologies are complex, expensive and inefficient.
– U.S. Nuclear plants are aging and regulatory and complexity will hinder future growth of Nuclear plants in the U.S.
– Natural gas combined cycle plants are very efficient, flexible and cost effective to build. With the advent of advanced gas recovery techniques (Fracking) the U.S. is poised to have a new resurgence of combined cycle plant construction in the U.S.
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Hydro, Wind, Solar
– Hydro capacity is not likely to increase in U.S. Large dams will not be built in the U.S. in the near future due to environmental, regulatory and cost constraints.
– Wind technology is well developed but over all costs are still higher than fossil plants and this source is largely subsidized.
– Solar technology is still developing and is largely subsidized but PV panel costs are falling fast and both utility and distributed (rooftop) scale implementations are promising
– Storage/availability remains a significant issue for wind and to lesser degree solar
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Legal Issues Presented by Legal Issues Presented by Power Construction Power Construction
ProjectsProjects
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Owner-Furnished EquipmentOwner-Furnished Equipment
▪ Power plants are primarily equipment plus Power plants are primarily equipment plus connections and controls.connections and controls.
▪ Equipment costs are the largest single Equipment costs are the largest single component of construction costs.component of construction costs.
▪ Owners often prefer to purchase the major Owners often prefer to purchase the major equipment directly.equipment directly.
▪ Owner-Furnished equipment presents unique Owner-Furnished equipment presents unique problems.problems.
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Owner-Furnished EquipmentOwner-Furnished Equipment
▪ Worst-case scenario for contractor:Worst-case scenario for contractor:– Owner furnishes equipment.Owner furnishes equipment.– Contractor responsible for delays in delivery.Contractor responsible for delays in delivery.– Contractor responsible for inspection of Contractor responsible for inspection of
equipment upon arrival.equipment upon arrival.– Contractor responsible for storage of equipment.Contractor responsible for storage of equipment.– Contractor responsible for defects in equipment Contractor responsible for defects in equipment
not discovered in initial inspection.not discovered in initial inspection.
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Owner-Furnished EquipmentOwner-Furnished Equipment
▪ More reasonable approach:More reasonable approach:– Owner furnishes equipment.Owner furnishes equipment.– Delays are compensable.Delays are compensable.– Owner and contractor responsible for inspection Owner and contractor responsible for inspection
upon arrival for physical damage.upon arrival for physical damage.– Owner responsible for storage until project is Owner responsible for storage until project is
ready to accept equipment.ready to accept equipment.– Owner responsible for latent defects in equipment.Owner responsible for latent defects in equipment.
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Owner-Furnished EquipmentOwner-Furnished Equipment
▪ Warranties should always be the Warranties should always be the responsibility of the party furnishing the responsibility of the party furnishing the equipment.equipment.– May be complications due to equipment May be complications due to equipment
connections.connections.– Best solution: contractor warrants connections, Best solution: contractor warrants connections,
owner warrants equipmentowner warrants equipment
▪ Ditto for manuals, training, spare parts.Ditto for manuals, training, spare parts.
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Any Questions?
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Thank YouThank You