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PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees Group

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Page 1: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

PPP Decision Making –Approaches and Tools

11th October, 2017GIF Advisory Council Meeting

Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees Group

Page 2: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Presentation Outline

I. Benchmarking of PPP approaches

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs:

a. PPP Frameworks

b. Infrastructure Project Prioritization Screening for PPP suitability

c. Assessing fiscal risks and affordability

d. Disclosure of Contracts and Projects

Page 3: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

I. Benchmarking of PPP approaches

Page 4: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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I. Benchmarking of PPP Approaches Global Perspective: PPP regulatory framework goes hand-in-hand with

institutional arrangements to ensure successful PPPs- however there is no one size fits all!

All 82 economies adopted specific

frameworks for regulating PPPs with

different arrangement to fit their markets

49%

15%

11%

18%

7%

Specific law or act regulating PPPsConcession and PPP lawPPP guidelines or similar instrumentsGeneral procurement law for PPPsConcession or act exclusively

Types of PPP regulatory

framework in 82 countries

All 82 economies adopted specific

institutional arrangement but in itself is

not a guarantee of successful PPPs

Role of PPP Unit in Procurement

16% lead or formally co-lead procurement of PPP

69% play active clearance or advisory role

15% do not play a role

Page 5: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Benchmarking of PPP Approaches (2)While scores decline with income group, in general most improvement needed in preparation

and contract management

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Page 6: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Benchmarking of PPP Approaches (3)Only 23 % have detailed procedures to ensure PPPs are strategically prioritized

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Page 7: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

I. Benchmarking of PPP Approaches (4)One-third have adopted specific methodologies for conducting assessments during preparation

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Page 8: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Benchmarking of PPP Approaches (5) 23 % of the countries publish the PPP contract, and very few publish it online

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Page 9: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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Benchmarking of PPP Approaches (6)68 % regulate USPs. Only 21% have detailed procedures to evaluate consistency of USPs

Page 10: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs:

a. PPP Frameworks

Page 11: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs

a. PPP Frameworks - Country PPP Readiness Assessment Tool

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Page 12: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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Desktop Preparation

1

Undertake preparatory work to establish the status quo, initial baseline of the Country’s needs, readiness and enabling environment for undertaking PPPs.

Mission Diagnostic Drafting a Strategy

2

Confirm existing baseline, readiness and enabling environment for undertaking PPPs by running through the Diagnostic’s questions.

3

Based on the information gathered and due diligence done under the last Phase, develop a PPP Strategy and options for structuring a robust PPP program; select and recommend the most appropriate customized option.

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs

a. PPP Frameworks - Country PPP Readiness Assessment Tool (2)

Page 13: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs:

b. Infrastructure Project Prioritization Screening for PPP suitability

Page 14: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs

b. Infrastructure Project Prioritization Screening for PPP suitability (2)

Page 15: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs b. Infrastructure Project Prioritization Screening for PPP suitability (2)

Page 16: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Six key dimensions

User friendly approach

Decision-makers’ tool

• Weighted aggregates of scores on six parameters:o Strategic Suitabilityo Preliminary Feasibilityo Risk Assessmento PPP Suitability (VfM, Market Appetite)o Fiscal Affordabilityo Institutional Capability

• Sub-Parameters and Questions at second and third level• Links Parameters with Quantitative Elements• Variability of some Questions based on initial project data

• Easy data input screens• Drop-down menus for qualitative questions• Scores (between 0-5)• Dashboard with key conclusions• Detailed Output Sheet

• Pre-requisites• Potential Deal Breakers • Areas of strength and weakness of the project and suggestions 16

II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs b. Infrastructure Project Prioritization Screening for PPP suitability (3)

Page 17: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs:

c. Assessing fiscal risks and affordability

Page 18: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs c. Assessing fiscal risks and affordability

Page 19: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

• Expected cash flow for the private partner• Only to check

• Government income statement, balance sheet & cash statement• Cash and accrual

• Charts comparing fiscal situation with and without the project

• Fiscal risk retained by the government• Risk heat-map

• Nominal exchange rate (NER)• Gross domestic product (GDP)

Private partner cash flow

Public financialstatements

Macroeconomicimpact

Fiscal risk matrix

Sensitivityanalysis

PPP Fiscal Risk Assessment Model: PFRAM - Outcomes

II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs c. Assessing fiscal risks and affordability

Page 20: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

II. Tools to improve decision-making around infrastructure and PPPs:

d. Disclosure of Contracts and Projects

Page 21: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

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II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs d. Disclosure of Contracts and Projects

Page 22: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Guidance on Confidential Information

Standard Clauses

Template

Data Standards

PPP Policy/ PPP

Disclosure Guidelines

FOI Legislation

PPP Legislation

- Proactive disclosure

- Application to contracts/ PPP

- Pre- and post-procurement disclosure

- Institution responsible for disclosure

-Elements to be disclosed

-Timing of disclosure

- Process, roles and responsibilities

- Validation- Strategic: security, safety

- Public interest

- Commercial sensitivity

- Government negotiating position

-Timing issues-

- For RFP, contract documents

- By reference to PPP Disclosure

Guidelines/ template/ specific

information

- Dynamic

- Simple and short

- Linked to objectives, uses, benefits

- Cognizant of challenges, costs

- Structured, consistent and exploitable

data

II. Tools to improve decision-making around

infrastructure and PPPs d. Disclosure of Contracts and Projects (2)

Page 23: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees

Thank you

[email protected]

Page 24: PPP Decision Making Approaches and Tools AC Meeting... · PPP Decision Making – Approaches and Tools 11th October, 2017 GIF Advisory Council Meeting Infrastructure, PPPs and Guarantees