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  • 8/4/2019 PPP Release FL 0929925

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    Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

    FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 29, 2011

    INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

    IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH

    OF THE PRESS RELEASE

    Obama leads Romney and Paul by only a point in Florida

    Raleigh, N.C. In what has been perpetually one of the closest and most important states

    in the last few presidential elections, President Obama now leads two of his potentialopponents by only a single point. The leader in the Florida primary, per yesterdays

    release, Mitt Romney trails only 46-45, up from 47-43 in June. The surprise is the other

    candidate breathing down his neck: Ron Paul, who lags only 45-44.

    Obamas approval rating in Florida has declined a little since PPP last polled the state

    three months ago. Then, voters about broke even on him, with 48% approving and 49%

    disapproving. That is now a 46-51 spread. Michele Bachmanns favorability has shifted29 points in the wrong direction since the previous poll. In June, 36% saw her favorably

    and 37% unfavorably. That is now 26-56, making her narrowly the least popular of the

    Republicans, followed closely by Newt Gingrich (28-57) and Rick Perry (29-58). Paulstands at 31-51, with Romney by far the best-liked of the GOP bunch, at 40-46, down

    slightly from 41-45 in June. Perry, Gingrich, and Paul were not tested then.

    Despite Bachmanns personal slide being much greater than the presidents, she has onlygained on him. Obama led her, 49-40, when she was first bursting onto the scene, but shenow trails only 49-44actually closer than Perrys and Gingrichs respective 50-43 and

    50-42 deficits.

    By a 42-49 margin, voters disapprove of the presidents handling of Israel, but Jewishvoters approve, 61-31. Only a quarter of voters think Social Security is a Ponzi scheme,

    and 63% disagree.

    Florida makes it pretty clear that out of the two Republican front runners theres one

    who can beat Barack Obama and one who cant, said Dean Debnam, President of Public

    Policy Polling. Theres no way the GOP wins next year without Florida, and it doesnt

    look like Rick Perry can do that.

    PPP surveyed 476 Florida voters from September 22nd to 25th. The margin of error for the

    survey is +/-4.5%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or politicalorganization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is

    a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of theNew York Times

    found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republicancandidates.

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    September 22-25, 2011Survey of 476 Florida voters

    September 22-25, 2011Survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Q12 If the candidates for President next year were

    Democrat Barack Obama and Republican MittRomney, who would you vote for?

    46%Barack Obama................................................

    45%Mitt Romney....................................................

    9%Undecided.......................................................

    Q13 Do you agree or disagree with the followingstatement: Social Security is a PonziScheme.

    25%Agree..............................................................

    63%Disagree.........................................................

    12%Not sure..........................................................Q14 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

    45%John McCain...................................................

    48%Barack Obama................................................

    7%Someone else/Don't remember......................

    Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

    10%Very liberal......................................................

    14%Somewhat liberal............................................

    32%Moderate.........................................................27%Somewhat conservative..................................

    16%Very conservative...........................................

    Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

    52%Woman...........................................................

    48%Man.................................................................

    Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

    press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

    40%Democrat........................................................

    37%Republican......................................................

    23%Independent/Other..........................................

    Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.

    16%Hispanic..........................................................

    67%White..............................................................

    12%African-American............................................

    6%Other...............................................................

    Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

    16%18 to 29...........................................................

    22%30 to 45...........................................................

    36%46 to 65...........................................................

    26%Older than 65..................................................

    Q20 Are you Jewish, Catholic, Protestant, anotherreligion, or no religion at all?

    5%Jewish.............................................................27%Catholic...........................................................

    51%Protestant.......................................................

    5%Another religion...............................................

    10%No religion at all..............................................

    1%Don't care to say.............................................

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    46% 7% 84% 36%

    52% 91% 12% 61%

    3% 2% 4% 3%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Obama Israel

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 8% 78% 19%

    49% 83% 15% 64%

    9% 8% 8% 17%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberBachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    26% 38% 16% 17%

    56% 37% 77% 43%

    18% 25% 7% 41%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberGingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 51% 9% 7%

    57% 29% 81% 63%

    15% 20% 9% 30%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Paul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 34% 28% 32%

    51% 41% 63% 35%

    18% 25% 9% 33%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 53% 8% 11%

    58% 27% 87% 63%

    13% 20% 5% 26%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberRomney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    40% 63% 21% 21%

    46% 19% 70% 48%

    14% 18% 8% 31%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberObama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 8% 90% 30%

    44% 85% 5% 40%

    7% 7% 4% 30%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Obama/Gingrich

    Barack Obama

    New t Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 9% 91% 30%

    42% 81% 6% 36%

    8% 10% 3% 35%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 7% 84% 23%

    44% 79% 11% 41%

    11% 13% 5% 35%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberObama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perry

    Undecided

    50% 8% 91% 33%

    43% 84% 5% 30%

    8% 8% 4% 38%

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    rememberObama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romney

    Undecided

    46% 7% 86% 26%

    45% 87% 8% 33%

    9% 6% 6% 41%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    2008 Vote

    John

    McCain

    Barack

    Obama

    Someone else/Don't

    remember

    Agree/Disagree:

    Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sure

    25% 39% 11% 24%

    63% 40% 85% 62%

    12% 21% 4% 14%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    46% 79% 80% 64% 15% 8%

    52% 9% 18% 32% 85% 92%

    3% 12% 2% 4% - -

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama IsraelApproval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 70% 77% 56% 18% 6%

    49% 20% 20% 32% 73% 90%

    9% 9% 3% 13% 9% 4%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    BachmannFavorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    26% 14% 14% 17% 32% 54%

    56% 83% 83% 63% 40% 30%

    18% 3% 3% 20% 28% 16%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Gingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 10% 8% 18% 41% 57%

    57% 80% 83% 66% 37% 31%

    15% 9% 9% 16% 22% 12%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Paul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 16% 25% 33% 33% 37%

    51% 76% 63% 47% 41% 52%

    18% 8% 12% 21% 26% 11%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 8% 4% 15% 46% 63%

    58% 91% 90% 69% 33% 28%

    13% 1% 6% 16% 21% 9%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Romney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    40% 7% 38% 27% 64% 51%

    46% 92% 56% 55% 19% 33%

    14% 1% 6% 18% 17% 16%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 89% 89% 65% 17% 7%

    44% 2% 9% 26% 74% 87%

    7% 9% 1% 9% 9% 6%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama/Gingrich

    Barack Obama

    Newt Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 90% 89% 69% 16% 6%

    42% 1% 10% 21% 75% 83%

    8% 9% 2% 10% 8% 11%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 93% 83% 56% 16% 6%

    44% 2% 15% 31% 71% 80%

    11% 5% 2% 13% 13% 14%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perr y

    Undecided

    50% 93% 89% 66% 18% 7%

    43% 2% 11% 23% 76% 81%

    8% 5% 1% 11% 6% 11%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Obama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romney

    Undecided

    46% 93% 86% 59% 14% 8%

    45% 3% 10% 27% 79% 84%

    9% 4% 5% 14% 6% 8%

    Base

    Ideology

    Very

    liberal

    Somewhat

    liberal Moderate

    Somewhat

    conservative

    Very

    conservative

    Agree/Disagree:

    Social Security is a

    Ponzi Schem e

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sure

    25% 8% 9% 19% 32% 51%

    63% 83% 89% 73% 53% 22%

    12% 8% 2% 8% 16% 27%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    46% 47% 44%

    52% 50% 53%

    3% 3% 2%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama Israel

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 43% 41%

    49% 48% 51%

    9% 9% 8%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Bachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    26% 24% 28%

    56% 56% 57%

    18% 20% 15%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Gingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 25% 32%

    57% 60% 53%

    15% 16% 15%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Paul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 26% 36%

    51% 54% 48%

    18% 20% 16%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 27% 31%

    58% 59% 57%

    13% 14% 13%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Romney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    40% 37% 44%

    46% 49% 42%

    14% 14% 14%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 52% 45%

    44% 42% 46%

    7% 6% 8%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama/Gingrich

    Barack Obama

    New t Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 52% 47%

    42% 39% 45%

    8% 9% 7%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 51% 39%

    44% 39% 50%

    11% 10% 11%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perry

    Undecided

    50% 52% 47%

    43% 40% 45%

    8% 7% 8%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Obama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romne y

    Undecided

    46% 50% 42%

    45% 43% 48%

    9% 7% 10%

    Base

    Gender

    Wom an Man

    Agree/Disagree:

    Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sure

    25% 20% 31%

    63% 64% 61%

    12% 16% 8%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama ApprovalApprove

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    46% 83% 8% 41%

    52% 15% 91% 52%

    3% 2% 1% 7%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama Isr ael

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sur e

    42% 73% 10% 41%

    49% 19% 83% 48%

    9% 8% 7% 12%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Bachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    26% 20% 38% 18%

    56% 69% 40% 60%

    18% 10% 23% 22%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Gingrich FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    28% 14% 50% 18%

    57% 75% 32% 62%

    15% 10% 18% 19%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Paul FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    31% 24% 33% 39%

    51% 64% 44% 41%

    18% 12% 23% 20%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    29% 11% 52% 22%

    58% 83% 29% 61%

    13% 7% 1 8% 16%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Romney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sur e

    40% 23% 63% 34%

    46% 69% 22% 42%

    14% 8% 1 5% 24%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama/BachmannBarack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 87% 8% 47%

    44% 9% 8 2% 43%

    7% 4% 1 0% 10%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama/GingrichBarack Obama

    Newt Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 88% 10% 47%

    42% 10% 79% 38%

    8% 2% 1 1% 15%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 84% 8% 37%

    44% 12% 74% 52%

    11% 4% 1 8% 10%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perr y

    Undecided

    50% 85% 9% 53%

    43% 10% 80% 40%

    8% 5% 11% 7%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Obama/RomneyBarack Obama

    Mitt Romney

    Undecided

    46% 82% 7% 45%

    45% 11% 84% 42%

    9% 7% 8% 13%

    Base

    Party

    Democrat Republican Independent/Other

    Agree/Disagree:Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sur e

    25% 12% 40% 23%

    63% 83% 39% 67%

    12% 5% 2 1% 11%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    46% 59% 33% 91% 70%

    52% 39% 64% 8% 28%

    3% 1% 3% 2% 2%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Obama Israel

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 55% 31% 81% 60%

    49% 35% 61% 8% 28%

    9% 10% 8% 11% 12%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherBachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    26% 23% 27% 28% 15%

    56% 72% 51% 58% 79%

    18% 6% 22% 14% 6%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherGingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 22% 33% 12% 21%

    57% 70% 51% 67% 70%

    15% 8% 16% 21% 9%

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    September 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida votersSeptember 22-25, 2011survey of 476 Florida voters

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Paul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 34% 34% 16% 15%

    51% 56% 45% 66% 81%

    18% 10% 21% 18% 4%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 25% 34% 6% 21%

    58% 68% 50% 79% 77%

    13% 7% 16% 14% 2%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherRomney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    40% 36% 46% 18% 32%

    46% 50% 39% 71% 59%

    14% 14% 15% 11% 9%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherObama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 68% 36% 90% 65%

    44% 25% 56% 6% 32%

    7% 7% 8% 4% 4%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Obama/Gingrich

    Barack Obama

    New t Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 69% 37% 90% 72%

    42% 25% 53% 6% 28%

    8% 5% 10% 4% -

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 59% 32% 89% 72%

    44% 33% 55% 6% 24%

    11% 8% 13% 5% 4%

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherObama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perr y

    Undecided

    50% 66% 38% 90% 63%

    43% 27% 53% 5% 37%

    8% 7% 9% 5% -

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American OtherObama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romney

    Undecided

    46% 65% 34% 84% 63%

    45% 26% 57% 6% 35%

    9% 10% 9% 10% 2%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Race

    Hispanic White

    African-

    American Other

    Agree/Disagree:

    Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sure

    25% 20% 29% 14% 15%

    63% 69% 57% 78% 83%

    12% 11% 14% 8% 2%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    46% 56% 43% 47% 39%

    52% 38% 55% 51% 58%

    3% 5% 2% 2% 3%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama Isr ael

    Approval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 46% 40% 48% 34%

    49% 33% 51% 49% 57%

    9% 21% 9% 3% 9%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Bachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    26% 15% 23% 27% 34%

    56% 67% 57% 61% 44%

    18% 18% 21% 12% 22%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Gingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 10% 30% 26% 40%

    57% 62% 53% 63% 47%

    15% 28% 17% 10% 13%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Paul Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    31% 41% 30% 26% 31%

    51% 41% 45% 60% 50%

    18% 18% 25% 13% 19%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Perry Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 15% 30% 26% 39%

    58% 69% 57% 63% 46%

    13% 15% 13% 11% 15%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Romney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    40% 33% 34% 43% 46%

    46% 51% 49% 48% 37%

    14% 15% 17% 9% 18%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 62% 45% 52% 39%

    44% 28% 43% 44% 54%

    7% 10% 11% 4% 7%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama/Gingrich

    Barack Obama

    New t Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 62% 47% 54% 40%

    42% 26% 38% 43% 54%

    8% 13% 15% 3% 6%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama/Paul

    Barack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 51% 45% 48% 38%

    44% 36% 43% 44% 50%

    11% 13% 11% 8% 12%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perry

    Undecided

    50% 62% 51% 52% 39%

    43% 31% 40% 41% 55%

    8% 8% 9% 7% 7%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Obama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romne y

    Undecided

    46% 62% 47% 45% 37%

    45% 31% 40% 48% 56%

    9% 8% 13% 7% 8%

    Base

    Age

    18 to

    29

    30 to

    45

    46 to

    65

    Older

    than 65

    Agree/Disagree:

    Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not sure

    25% 15% 34% 25% 23%

    63% 74% 57% 63% 60%

    12% 10% 9% 12% 16%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama ApprovalApprove

    Disapprove

    Not s ure

    46% 76% 45% 41% 53% 51% 31%

    52% 20% 53% 58% 47% 33% 59%

    3% 4% 1% 1% - 16% 9%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama IsraelApproval

    Approve

    Disapprove

    Not sure

    42% 61% 43% 40% 36% 47% 31%

    49% 31% 45% 54% 45% 43% 59%

    9% 8% 12% 6% 18% 10% 9%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Bachmann

    Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not s ure

    26% 17% 24% 31% 29% 11% -

    56% 78% 65% 44% 59% 78% 81%

    18% 5% 11% 24% 12% 11% 19%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Gingrich Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    28% 14% 29% 32% 27% 14% 45%

    57% 80% 56% 53% 52% 67% 55%

    15% 6% 15% 15% 21% 19% -

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Paul FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not s ure

    31% 15% 33% 29% 38% 39% -

    51% 75% 51% 51% 59% 40% 62%

    18% 10% 16% 20% 3% 21% 38%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Perry FavorabilityFavorable

    Unfavorable

    Not sure

    29% 5% 28% 34% 43% 8% 34%

    58% 93% 57% 50% 57% 85% 41%

    13% 2% 15% 16% - 7% 25%

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    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

    [email protected] / 888 621-6988

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Romney Favorability

    Favorable

    Unfavorable

    Not s ure

    40% 16% 42% 44% 43% 25% 41%

    46% 74% 44% 40% 45% 65% 41%

    14% 10% 13% 16% 12% 10% 19%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama/Bachmann

    Barack Obama

    Michele Bachmann

    Undecided

    49% 82% 50% 41% 41% 73% 41%

    44% 7% 41% 51% 56% 26% 59%

    7% 10% 9% 8% 3% 1% -

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama/GingrichBarack Obama

    Newt Gingrich

    Undecided

    50% 80% 50% 42% 50% 73% 56%

    42% 12% 42% 49% 36% 23% 34%

    8% 8% 8% 9% 14% 4% 9%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama/PaulBarack Obama

    Ron Paul

    Undecided

    45% 78% 43% 40% 50% 59% 41%

    44% 7% 51% 48% 33% 34% 41%

    11% 14% 6% 12% 17% 7% 19%

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    September 22-25, 2011September 22-25, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

    3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

    Crosstabs

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama/Perry

    Barack Obama

    Rick Perr y

    Undecided

    50% 82% 48% 42% 50% 77% 31%

    43% 2% 45% 49% 47% 23% 59%

    8% 15% 7 % 9% 3% - 9%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Obama/Romney

    Barack Obama

    Mitt Romney

    Undecided

    46% 78% 43% 40% 41% 71% 31%

    45% 11% 47% 51% 56% 22% 50%

    9% 10% 1 0% 8% 3% 7% 19%

    Base

    Religion

    Jewish Catholic Protestant

    Another

    religion

    No religion

    at all

    Don't care

    to say

    Agree/Disagree:Social Security is a

    Ponzi Scheme

    Agree

    Disagree

    Not s ure

    25% 7% 32% 25% 21% 16% 34%

    63% 85% 59% 60% 67% 74% 56%

    12% 8% 9% 15% 12% 10% 9%