ppt (foreign exchange market-part2).pdf
TRANSCRIPT
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International Finance
Foreign Exchange Market (Part 2)
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Bid-Ask Cross Rate Calculations
Example 1: Calculating the Direct Quote forthe British Pound in Zurich
£ : US$ 1.4419-36SFr : US$ 0.6250-67
What is the direct quote for the pound in Zurich?
What is the direct quote for the Swiss franc in
London?
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Bid-Ask Cross Rate Calculations
Example 2: Calculating $/£ and £/$ Bid-AskCross Rates
£ : € 1.5473-80
$ : € 1.0164-67What is the $/£ bid-ask cross exchange rates?
What is the £/$ bid-ask cross exchange rates?
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Bid-Ask Cross Rate Calculations
Example 3: Direct Quote for the pound inZurich
£ : £ 1.5473-80/US$
SFr : SFr 1.5957-00/US$What is the SFr/£ bid-ask cross exchange rates?
What is the £/SFr bid-ask cross exchange rates?
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Forex Arbitrage
Arbitrage Defined:
Simultaneously buying and selling currenciesin two different forex markets to profit from the
misalignment of currency values Types:
Bilateral/Spatial Arbitrage
Triangular Arbitrage (using midpoints)
Triangular Arbitrage (using bid-ask spreads)
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Forex Forward Market
Forward Market
Forward contract: contract between a bankand its client calling for delivery, at a fixed
future date, a specified amount of onecurrency against another, with the exchangerate fixed at the time the contract is enteredinto
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Forward Market
Forward Market
Forward rates can be expressed as:
Outright rate – actual price quoted to bank clients
Swap rate – forward rate quoted as discount orpremium on spot rate
Forward Premium/Discount
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Forex Swap Rates
Swap rates in the forex market do not carry positiveor negative signs. A way to determine whether aforward rate is at a premium or discount is to use thefollowing rule: When the forward bid in points is smaller than the ask rate in
points, the forward rate (i.e. foreign currency) is at apremium and the points should be added to the spot rate tocompute the outright quote. Conversely, if the bid in pointsexceeds the ask in points, the forward rate is at a discount
and the points must be subtracted from the spot price.
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Forex Swap Rates
Spot Rate 30-day 90-day 180-day
£: $2.0015-30 19-17 26-22 42-35
SFr:$0.6963-68 4-6 9-14 25-38
In this example, the pound is at a forward discount vis-à-vis thedollar while the Swiss francs is at a premium
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Forex Risk
Exchange Risk
Spreads in the forward market are a functionof both the breadth of the market (volume of
transactions) in a given currency and the riskassociated with forward contracts. Risk, inturn, are based on the variability of future spotrates. Such uncertainty will get reflected in the
forward market. Uncertainty will increase withlengthening maturities of forwards contracts.