practical roadmap exercise: solar energy · 2019-11-27 · energy technology roadmaps solar process...

© OECD/IEA 2009

Energy technology roadmaps

© OECD/IEA 2009


Practical Roadmap Exercise: Solar Energy

© OECD/IEA 2009


Group exercise

• Establish a vision for the solar sector– Describe what you hope it looks like in the year 2030

• Identify critical stakeholders to engage in roadmap process – Government, academia, industry, NGO community

• Assess the status of your baseline information

• Identify 5, 10, 15, and 20-year milestones to monitor progress toward vision

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar Vision for South Africa in 2030

© OECD/IEA 2009


Planning and Preparation

• Who will set roadmap goals and milestones?

• What human resources are available to accomplish roadmap activities and priorities?

• Who will be responsible for carrying out activities?

• What skills and tools will be needed to prepare roadmap?

• Are sufficient personnel available to manage and implement the roadmap development process?

• Are appropriate data and analytic tools available?

• What funds are available to develop the roadmap?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Stakeholder Engagement

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A solar roadmap for RSA

• Solar cooking

• Solar water heaters

• Solar process heat/solar cooling

• Off grid and mini-grid solar electricity

• On-grid solar electricity

• Solar fuels

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar cooking

• Is cooking an important issue for parts of the population?

• Is there a potential for solar cooking

– In households

– In community kitchens?

• What is the experience so far? Lessonslearned?

• Possible targets? Supporting policies?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar water heaters

• What is the demand for water heating, how does it play on electricity demand, demand for other fuels? Potential for peak shaving?

• Targets and policies currently in place and lessons learned

• How could the policies be strengthened? Where are the weak points? Should targets berevisited?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar process heat/solar cooling

• What are the heat requirements of industries?

– by temperature levels

• Has the potential for solar process heat been investigated? Any experience so far?

• Can targets be formulated? What support policies would be required?

• Is there a role for direct solar cooling (i.e. not from solar electricity)?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar Cooking, Water & Space Heating

• Baseline

• Milestones – 5, 10, 15 20 yrs

© OECD/IEA 2009


Off-grid and mini-gridelectrification

• How many people do not have access to the grid? How many in low-density population areas, how many in high-density areas?

• What policies are already in place to provideaccess with solar or hybrid systems? Lessonslearned?

• Can targets be formulated? What are the required support policies?

© OECD/IEA 2009


On-grid electrification

• What role for decentralised on-grid solarelectricity (PV), what role for centralised solarelectricity?

• How does the load curve look like? How important is it to shift generation to match the peaks? What role for utility-scale PV vs. CSP?

• What are the possibility for hybrid coal-CSP plants?

© OECD/IEA 2009


On-grid electrification (Continued)

• What policies have been put in place?

• Can targets be formulated?

• What would be investment costs and support costs?

• What policy instrument would be support the deployment of on-grid solar electricity ?

– Decentralised

– Centralised

© OECD/IEA 2009


Solar fuels

• Is there a potential for solar fuels or solar-enhanced biofuels?

• Can solar heat substitute for fossil fuels as process energy for manufacturing liquid fuels from coal?

• Could targets be formulated? What would bethe required support policies?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Visioning and Roadmap Development

• What data are needed to establish baseline conditions, set goals and targets, and prepare forecasts?

• Are essential analytic capabilities and tools available to evaluate alternative scenarios?

• What technical expertise is needed to evaluate technology performance and limitations?

• Which regulators and policy leaders can provide insight on factors affecting technology adoption?

• Which private entities will be key to technology success?

© OECD/IEA 2009


Visioning and Roadmap Development

• Will goals and milestones include date-based, quantitative targets?

• Which solar technologies should be included?

• What information must be included in the roadmap?

• What level of detail is needed for effective implementation and action?

• What supporting information and data are needed?

• Will activities be assigned to organisations for action?

practical roadmap exercise: solar energy · 2019-11-27 · energy technology roadmaps solar process...

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