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Time Value of Money Effective Annual Return
Practice Question An investment returns 8% semiannually. What is its effective annual return?
Practice Question An investment returned 12% over 3 years. What was its effective annual return?
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Practice Question
Question Inflation = 2%. What is the nominal return that an investor would need to achieve a real return of 6%?
(a) 3.92%
(b) 6.00%
(c) 8.00%
(d) 8.12%
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Time Value of Money Effective Annual Return
Practice Question A $10,000 90-day treasury bill is currently priced at $9,850. Which comes closest to its effective annual return?
(a) 1.50%
(b) 3.30%
(c) 4.50%
(d) 6.30%
Practice Question What is the geometric average of the following returns?
25%, -10%, 8%, 2%
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Time Value of Money Time Weighted and Dollar Weighted Returns
Example Given the following information, compute the time-weighted and dollar-weighted returns.
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Year ContributionsBeg. of Year
ValueEnd of Yr
2009 $700,0002010 +$50,000 $900,0002011 -$40,000 $1,000,000
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Time Value of Money Time Weighted and Dollar Weighted Returns
Example Given the following information, compute the time-weighted and dollar-weighted returns.
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Year ContributionsEnd of Year
ValueEnd of Yr
2009 $45,000 $700,0002010 +$50,000 $900,0002011 -$40,000 $1,000,000
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Time Value of Money Bond Price and Savings
Practice Question What is the price of a 15-year, $1,000 bond that pays annual coupons of 5% and has a yield-to-maturity of 7%?
Practice Question An investor plans to save $25,000 a year, starting next year, for the next 20 years. He plans to invest the money in a fund that has a compounded annual return of 6%. If the S&P500 returns 7% and inflation is 3%, how much will the investor have in 20 years?
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Time Value of Money Real Rate of Return and Convertible Bond
Practice Question Emmett Brown saved $100,000 10 years ago in an investment that provided an annual return of 6%. Average annual inflation over the time period was 3%. What was his average annual real rate of return?
(a) 2.91%
(b) 6.00%
(c) 9.03%
Practice Question A 12-year $1,000 convertible bond that pays annual coupons of 6% is currently priced at $1,020. It has a YTM of 6.5% and is convertible into 40 shares of the company’s stock. The stock is currently price at $25. Compute the conversion premium.
(d) $0
(e) $20
(f) $40
(g) $60
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Interest Rate Risk Practice Question
Practice Question The current interest rate environment presents a yield curve that is increasing. Which of the following is the least risky investment?
(a) A
(b) B
(c) C
(d) D
Four Situational Investing
Bond Maturity CouponA 5 10%B 6 5%C 11 10%D 10 5%
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Asset and Liability Management Which Risk?
Practice Question A client has a target liability duration of 6. Her assets are invested in a portfolio of bonds with a duration of 8.4. Which of the following risk is more dominant?
(a) Market Risk
(b) Price Risk
(c) Reinvestment Risk
(d) Idiosyncratic Risk
(e) Interest Rate Risk
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Asset and Liability Management Which Risk?
Practice Question A client has a target liability duration of 10. Her assets are invested in a portfolio of bonds with a duration of 8.4. Which of the following risk is more dominant?
(a) Market Risk
(b) Price Risk
(c) Reinvestment Risk
(d) Idiosyncratic Risk
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Asset and Liability Management Immunizing
Practice Question A client has a target liability duration of 9. Which of the following allocation in the following bonds would have the client immunized?
(a) 80% in A and 20% in B
(b) 60% in A and 40% in B
(c) 40% in A and 60% in B
(d) 80% in A and 20% in B
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Bond Duration
A 3
B 13
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Portfolio Theory Standard Deviation and Variance
Standard Deviation ~
Applications of standard deviation (and variance)
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Portfolio Theory and Computing Risk Standard Deviation and Variance
Practice Question Given the following information, compute the expected return and the standard deviation.
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Probability Return0.6 0.20.3 0.050.1 -0.06
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Computing Risk Standard Deviation and Variance
Practice Question Given the following which comes closest to the variance of returns.
(a) 32
(b) 27
(c) 12
(d) 5
Returns8%11%-3%4%
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Portfolio Theory and Computing Risk Value at Risk
Value at Risk
Practice Question A fund has a daily average return of .03% and standard deviation of 1.6%. What is the 95% VaR?
(a) -1.43%
(b) -2.02%
(c) -2.61%
(d) -3.70%
V aR = Avg � Z↵�
Zα = 1.28 for 90%Zα = 1.65 for 95%Zα = 2.33 for 99%
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Computing Risk Annualizing Standard Deviation
The quarterly standard deviation is 5%. Compute the annual standard deviation.
The monthly standard deviation of Fund XYZ is 6%. Compute the annual standard deviation.
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Portfolio Theory and Computing Risk Value at Risk
Practice Question A fund has an annual standard deviation of 20%. At what critical level is a monthly VaR of 7.39%?
(a) 68%
(b) 90%
(c) 95%
(d) 99%
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Portfolio Theory and Computing Risk Value at Risk
Practice Question A fund has a daily standard deviation of 1%. What is the critical value of a 30-day VaR of 7.01?
(a) 68%
(b) 90%
(c) 95%
(d) 99%
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Portfolio Theory Semi Deviation - Semi Variance
Semi Deviation
Applications of semi deviation (and semi variance)
Question: Which of the following is more appropriate to measure the downside
(a) Standard Deviation
(b) Correlation
(c) Semi Deviation
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(a) Variance
(b) CoVariance
(c) Semi Variance
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Portfolio Theory Correlation - Covariance
Correlation
Applications of correlation (and covariance)
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Portfolio Theory Correlation and Covariance
Practice Question Given the following information, compute the correlation between the S&P 500 and MSCI FM.
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Asset Return Std DeviationMSCI FM 0.09 0.22S&P 500 0.08 0.16
Covariance between SP500&MSCI FM = .0176
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Portfolio Theory Beta
Practice Question Given the following information, compute the beta of MSCI FM to the S&P 500.
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Asset Return Std DeviationMSCI FM 0.09 0.22S&P 500 0.08 0.16
Covariance between SP500&MSCI FM = .0176
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Benchmarking and Attribution Tracking Error
Tracking Error ~ Volatility of Excess Return
Applications of Tracking Error
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Portfolio Theory Return, Duration, Beta
Compute the Return of the Portfolio (Rp)
Compute the Duration of the Portfolio (Dp)
Compute the Beta of the Portfolio (βp)
Compute standard deviation of the portfolio (σp).
Asset Weights Return Duration Beta Std Dev
A 0.8 0.2 20 2 0.2
B 0.2 0.1 10 1 0.1
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Computing Risk Standard Deviation of a Portfolio
Practice Question The correlation between the two assets is .30, compute the return and the standard deviation of the portfolio.
Asset Weights Return Std DeviationAsset A 0.8 0.04 0.08Asset B 0.2 0.08 0.16
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Computing Risk Standard Deviation of a Portfolio
Practice Question What is the standard deviation of a portfolio that is equally weighted between the S&P 500 and the MSCI FM?
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Asset Return Std DeviationMSCI FM 0.09 0.22S&P 500 0.08 0.16
Covariance between SP500&MSCI FM = .0176
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Portfolio Theory The Opportunity Set
When correlation = 1, there is no advantage to diversification
When correlation = -1, we can create a risk free asset
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7.5%
8.5%
9.5%
0% 4.4% 8.8% 13.2% 17.6% 22%
Asset Return Std DeviationS&P 500 0.08 0.16
MSCI FM 0.09 0.22
S&P 500
MSCI FM
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Portfolio Theory The Optimal Portfolio29
4%
6.75%
9.5%
0% 4.4% 8.8% 13.2% 17.6% 22%
Corr. = .5
Asset Return Std DeviationS&P 500 0.08 0.16
MSCI FM 0.09 0.22
MSCI FM40% S&P 500
60%
S&P 500
MSCI FM
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Portfolio Theory The Efficient Frontier
The Efficient Frontier
MEAN VARIANCE OPTIMIZATION
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Portfolio Theory The Efficient Frontier
Practice Question Which of the following is not on the efficient frontier?
(a) A
(b) B
(c) C
(d) D
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Asset Return Std DeviationA 0.08 0.14B 0.13 0.24C 0.14 0.22D 0.11 0.16
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Portfolio Theory and CAPM Diversification Graph
Total Risk = Market Risk + NonMarket Risk
Practice Question Which of the following is more appropriate for a portfolio that goes from 60 stocks to 15?
(a) Its systematic risk has increased.(b) Its systematic risk has decreased.(c) Its unsystematic risk has increased.(d) Its unsystematic risk has decreased.
StandardDeviation
# of securities in a portfolio
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CAPM Summarizing the Theory
Stdev
E(R
)
Beta
E(R
)
Market Market
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CAPM Practice Question
Practice Question Which of the following statements is or are true? According to CAPM, a security is overpriced if _____
i. It has a negative alpha.
ii. Its return is lower than the market return
iii. It has a positive alpha.
iv. Its return is greater than the market return
(a) i only
(b) i and ii only
(c) iii only
(d) iii and iv only
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Portfolio Theory and Performance Measurements Metrics
Choose the appropriate metric for the appropriate investment decision
BetaTracking ErrorStandard Deviation
Investment Decision
The entire portfolio
A small addition into what is already a diversified portfolio
An actively managed fund
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Performance Measurements Summarizing
Standard Deviation - Sharpe and M2
Beta - Alpha, Treynor
Semi Deviation - Sortino Ratio
Tracking Error - Information Ratio
Measure of Risk Investment SituationBeta Marginal addition to a well-diversified portfolio
Standard Deviation All eggs in one basket, or the whole portfolioSemi Deviation Downside RiskTracking Error Active versus Passive
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Performance Measurements M2
Practice Question Evaluate the MSCI FM vs the S&P 500 using M2.
Asset Return Std Deviation BetaS&P 500 0.08 0.16 1
MSCI FM 0.09 0.22 0.36TBill 0.04 0
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Performance Measurements M2
Evaluating the MSCI FM vs the S&P 500 using M2.
Asset Return Std Deviation BetaS&P 500 0.08 0.16 1
MSCI FM 0.09 0.22 0.36TBill 0.04 0
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4%
6.75%
9.5%
0% 4.4% 8.8% 13.2% 17.6% 22%
S&P 500MSCI FM
Stdev
Ret
urn
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Assess Equity Markets US-Denominated Return
Example A client invested $200,000 in a Euro-denominated fund a year ago when
the exchange rate was $1.14 per €. The current exchange rate is $1.25 per €, what
was her US-denominated return if she had a 15% euro-denominated return?
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Assess Equity Markets US-Denominated Return
Example A client invested $150,000 in a Japanese stock. The original exchange rate
was 84 Yen per USD. It is presently 78 Yen per USD. What must have been her
yen-denominated return if she currently has $160,000?
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Assess Equity Markets International Investing
Practice Question You expect an inflationary environment in the United States.
Which of the following is the least appropriate investment?
(a) International Equity Fund
(b) Commodities
(c) Long Term Treasuries
(d) REITs
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Assess Equity Markets Protecting Your Purchasing Power of Money
Which of the following may be best to hedge your US inflation risk, thereby protecting your purchasing power of money?
(a) A domestic equity fund
(b) A domestic bond fund
(c) A diversified international fund, where the currency risks have been hedged
(d) A diversified international fund, where the currency risks have not been hedged
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Investment Choices
Practice Question You expect the dollar to weaken vs. the Euro, which of the following would be the more appropriate choice(s)?
i) European Stocks
ii) ADR on European Stocks
iii) US Stocks
iv) Emerging Market Stocks
a) i) only
b) i) and iv) only
c) i) and ii) only
d) ii) only
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Investment Choices
Practice Question Which of the following is more appropriate in a taxable account, as opposed to tax deferred?
i. REITs
ii. Zero Coupon Corporates
iii. High Yield Bonds
iv. Stocks
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Benchmarking and Attribution The Link Between Sharpe Ratios and Information Ratios
Information Ratio = Excess Return over Tracking Error (vs a benchmark)
Lets make the benchmark the treasury bill
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Ret (Bench)
Risk (Bench)
Ret (Fund) -
Risk (Fund) -
Excess Return
Tracking Error
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Benchmarking and Attribution Tracking Error
Practice Question Given the following information, compute the tracking error of the fund.
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Fund Return Bench Return6% 5%-2% -3%-1% -5%12% 9%
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Practice Question
Practice Question
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Asset Stdev Beta Sharpe Sortino SemiDevA 0.25 1.10 0.40 0.22 0.08B 0.28 0.90 0.27 0.21 0.13C 0.22 1.02 0.19 0.19 0.14D 0.20 0.88 0.32 0.18 0.11
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Space for Additional Questions
Practice Question Compute the P/E Ratio of the portfolio.
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Asset No. of Shares Price EarningsA 1,000 $10 $1B 2,000 $50 $2