predictive analytics by discourse analytics

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Page 1: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

1

ENGAGE

Page 2: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

2

Overview

Page 3: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Humanize Audience…One Person At A Time

I want my MTV

Yes I liked Anchorman 2,

World War Z and Noah !

Jackass & country music

Rules !

I prefer Daniel Craig to Sean

Connery.

How do I not get bored during my

commute.

Page 4: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Profile

Listen

Cluster

Personalize

Causation not Correlation

Page 5: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Technology

Page 6: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Unify & engage across platforms & channels

• Engagement API

• Content API• Activities API• Social API• Discussions

API• Mobile API• Data

Taxonomy

• Customized Content

• Structured Conversations

• Issue Driven Clusters

RELEVANCE. CONTEXT. TIMELINESS.

Page 7: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

API driven for easy integration

7

Survey

Social

Emails

Mobile

User Identificatio

n

User Engagemen

t

DA Analytics Engine

Individual Profiles

User Interactions

Users

Attitudinal Profiles

Profile Clusters

Behavioral Insights

Segments, clusters

Customer Engagement Schema

DA API Library

DA Knowledge Repository

SMS

Targeted Content

Content Development

Networks & Conn.

Product Offering

Internal

API

External

DIGITAL ASSET

CRM/CMS

Page 8: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Clusters Build Context

ID the personTrack Interest & Inclination over time

Grouping similar people based on profiles enables the development of highly effective social networksPredictive responses:

Profile characteristics Other people’s responses Other’s responses are validated

based on predictive power drawn from historical evidences (agreements and disagreements)

Page 9: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Attribute mapping for profiling

Mood and ToneLightheartedDarkSuspensefulEmotionalSentimental

FlagsChildrensTeensClassicSports

Structures

RealityMusical

DocumentaryStrong female

leadInterviews

Plot Elements

One man armyRomantic

comedyFamily

relationsWorkplace

School experience

Page 10: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Actual responses

Extrapolated responses

Extrapolation to Enhance Profile Building

‣ 390 individuals downloaded the app and answered 2,668 questions on the app

• 101 questions helped build attitudinal profiles

• 107 questions indicated behavioral choices

‣ Based on the responses and overlaps, 28,680 responses were extrapolated

Page 11: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Predictive tool A California court ruled it illegal to check smartphone maps while driving. In your opinion…

Actual Distribution Estimated Distribution

Distracted driving is dangerous, should be illegal 22.2% 23.2%

Unreasonable to expect and difficult to enforce 66.7% 55.6%

Nanny state! Keep your hands off my phone 0.0% 15.8%

Don’t know enough about the court ruling 11.1% 5.4%User Dangero

usUnreasona

bleNanny state!

Don’t know

Predicted Actual Outcome

96454 3.0% 73.8% 19.7% 3.5% 2 2 -

97663 3.8% 66.0% 30.2% 0.0% 2 2 -

98523 62.3% 17.3% 10.0% 10.3% 1 4 x

98578 59.5% 22.7% 5.2% 12.6% 1 1 -

98892 60.0% 23.6% 5.5% 10.9% 1 1 -

99255 0.0% 83.3% 16.7% 0.0% 2 2 -

99807 7.7% 70.7% 18.5% 3.1% 2 2 -

100089

5.4% 72.2% 17.1% 5.3% 2 2 -

100488

7.0% 70.7% 19.3% 3.0% 2 2 -

Accuracy 89%

Page 12: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Appending Profile Data into CRM

Campaign Management System Repository

User Issue Leaning Cluster117053 Education 5.00 1 124082 Education 2.00 1 124427 Education 2.00 1 124461 Education 2.00 1 124471 Education 2.00 1 124481 Education 2.00 1 124579 Education 5.00 1 124585 Education 2.00 1 124606 Budget Issues 8.00 1 124606 Education 5.00 1 124606 Constitution 7.67 1 124669 Education 2.00 1 125262 Education 5.00 1 125289 Education 9.00 1 125308 Education 2.00 1 125544 Education 2.00 1 125562 Education 8.00 1 129341 Budget Issues 6.00 2 129341 Education 4.00 2 129341 Healthcare 1.00 2 129341 Abortion/Choice 5.00 2 129341 Constitution 3.40 2 131450 Constitution 3.00 2 134215 Constitution 9.00 3 134300 Budget Issues 8.00 3 134300 Education 2.00 3

Constitution

Budget Issues

Education

Healthcare

Abortion/Choice

Constitution

Budget Issues

Education

Healthcare

Abortion/Choice

Constitution

Budget Issues

Education

Healthcare

Abortion/Choice

DA Profile Repository

JSON / XML / ASCII

Individual profiles

Clusters

Augmented campaign strategies

Page 13: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Clients and examples

Page 14: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Deep insights into preferences

Rock

Country

R&B

Pop

Other

Jazz

Hip-hop

Abortion/ChoiceBudget issuesCivil RightsConstitutionCrimeEducationGay RightsHealth CareImmigrationSenior IssuesTaxes

90 % of this segmentare African-Americanmales over the age of 45

• October 2012-October 2013

• 137k people answered

questions

• 238k total questions answered

• Added over 1,900 hours time on

site

Page 15: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Audiences are dynamicYour relationship with them should be too

BeforeNov ‘12

Nov ‘12-Jan ‘13

Feb’13-Apr ‘13

May‘13-Jul ‘13

Jul ‘13-Sep ‘13

Workday readers9 AM – 5 PM

Second Screeners6 PM – 11 PM

Gay RightsMore likely to agree gay rights are civil

rightsLess likely to agree that gay rights are civil

rights

Preferred type of car

Prefer gas powered cars to hybrid, electric or diesel

Twice as likely to drive electric cars

Oct 13

Abortion/ChoiceBudget issuesCivil RightsConstitutionCrimeEducationGay RightsHealth CareImmigrationSenior IssuesTaxes

Daily Discoveries

Yearly Discoveries

Page 16: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

Three clusters identified

35 individuals

24 individuals

12 individuals

Very optimistic about the economy Strongly approves Barack Obama Thinks climate change is very serious Blames Republicans for shutdown

Not very optimistic about the economy Somewhat approving of Barack Obama Thinks climate change is very serious Blames both parties equally for shutdown

Not very optimistic about the economy Somewhat disapproving of Barack Obama Thinks climate change is not a problem Blames both parties equally for shutdown

Behavioral Clusters and Profiles

Page 17: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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User 1092345

Name Janey Rocket

Facebook ID A00843932

Gender Female

DOB 1986

Email [email protected]

Cluster 4

Platform Mostly mobile

Node Interest

Leaning

News 56 2.5

Family oriented 62 8.7

Comedy 76 9.0

Romance 35 7.5

Absurdity 95 2.5Episodic suspense 89 1.4

Don’t chase eyeballs, understand mindsets

Page 18: Predictive analytics by Discourse Analytics

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Lou AronsonFounder, [email protected] 202-486-30401140 19th St. NW Suite 610 | Washington DC 20036@discourseli

Some Press Some Clients

Vijay Perincherry, PhDCo-founder, CSO

Contact us