preface simulation modeling and analysis

7/28/2019 Preface Simulation Modeling and Analysis

1/3

PREFACE

The goal of this third edi\on of Simulation Modelin9 4nd Andlysir rennins tbesame as for the first rwo editions: To g've a comPrehensive and staie-of-the-art tseat_ment of a[ lhe important aspcls of a simulation snrdy, including modeling, simu_lation softwar, model venfication aDd validation, input lllodeling, random-numbergenerators, Senemting randoEr variates and Focesses, statistica.l design and analy-sis of simulation experiments, and to highligbt majot application areas such a,s man_ufacturing. The book stdves to motivate inhrition abou! simulation and modeling, aswell as to present them in a tecbnically coflect yet clear manner. Therc arc ma.nyexamples and problems thFughout, as well as extensive rcfereDces to the simula_tion a rclated lituab.rc for fifther study-the book can serve as the pdmary tfxt for a variety of courses; fol example:. A fust cou$e in simulatioD at the juniot soior, or begitrnilg-gmduate-studentlevel in engineering, matrufacturing, bustness, or computer scieDce (Chaps. Ithrough 4, and pans of Chaps. 5 through 9)- At the end of such a course, the so-

dent will be Fepared to carry out complete atrd effective simulation studies, andto take advanced simulation couses.. A second cou$e in simulatiotr for gmduate students in any of the above disci-plines (most of Chaps. 5 tbrcugh 12). After comPleting ihis cource, the stualentshould be famitiar with the mor advanced melhodological issues involved in asimulation sNdy, and should be prepaled !o understand ard conduct simulalionrcsearch.. An iDtroduction to simuladon as pan of a Seneil couse in oPemtions research ormanagment science (parts of Cbaps. 1,3,5,6, and 9).

Por instrucrors who have adopted lhe book for use in a course, welave made avail-able for download from the web site http://www.mhhe.comrawkelton a variety ofteaching support materjals. fiese include a comprehensive set of solutions to $eProblems, lecture slides, and all the compurer code (including all lhe simulationmodels) in the book. Adopting instructors should contact their local Mccraw-Hillrepresentative for login identifcation and a password to gain access to the mater_ial on this site; local rcprcsentatives can be jdentified by calling 1-800-338'3987,sending e-mail to [email protected], or by the representative locabr athttp://www.mhh.com.


2/3

Thc book c[n also scrve as a definitivc rofcrEncc for simuhtlon Ftclltloncrsand rcscorchcrs. To this end we have ircludcd douilcd discussio[ of mrsy llllctlcalexamples gleaned in pan fiom our own expcricn@s and applications. Wo havc olsomade major efrorts to link subjects ro the tclev&t rcserNrch litenturc, both in printand on the web, and ro keep this material up to data,Prerequisilas for undeNtanding the book are lorowledge of basic calculus-basedprobability aid statistics (though we give a rcview of thse topics in Chap. 4), andsome expdiencewith computing. For Chaps. I aDd 2 the reader should also be fa-miliar with a general-purpose progamning language like FORTPIA.N or C. Occa-sionally we will also make use of a small amount of linear algebra or matrix theory.More advanced or tcbnically difficult material is in srafed sections or in appen-dixes to chapters. A! tbe beginning of each chapts we suggest sections fot a fustreadiDg of thar chaPter.We have Eaale many changes and additions to (and some deletions ftom)the second edition of the book lo arrive at this third editioD, but tbe organizarionhss remained the $ame, as has th basic outlinc and nurlbring of lhe chaprers.Following culrcnt piactice i! plogramming languages, we have deletd Pascalfrom Chap. I (lhough tbe Pascal code rcmains available for download ftomhttpi//wwwtr$he.coE awkelton), which now coDrains FOKIRAN 77 and C: wehave Elso moved ihe code in Chap, 2 ftom FORTRAN ?? to C (again, d|e olderFORTRAN 77 plotr"Ds are on th above web sirE). with rhe help of Dr. GregoryGlockner's C version of the original FORIRAN SIMLIB code ftom the first twoeditions of rhis book on which our C version of sirnlib in Cbap. 2 is based. Becausesimulation softwarc has made great advaDces since the secod dition, Chap. 3 hasbeen completely rewritten to make it curent. Since Chap, 4 i6 basic background onprobability ard statistics, it is largely unchaDged. The Factice of model validationhas improved ma*edly, a'ld so Chap. 5 has ben extensively re$dtren end updatedto reflect this. For Chap. 6 on input modeling, we have intsoduced some importantnew distributions, included discussion of recent developments in modeling and es.timating correlated structurcs and ptocesses, as well as discussed otber recent ie-search, New and gready improved random-number generators are discussed inChap. 7, and code is given (end caD be downloaded from the web sire). We have up-dated the material in Cbap. 8 on variate and Focess generation, including rccentwork oD gener-ating correlrtd sfuctures and processes conesponding to their spec-ification as discus$d in Chap. 6. The statistical design-and-anaiysis methods ofChaps. 9 through 12 have been xpanded and updated to reflect current pracLice andrecent research, including a much-e[ianced discussion of optimizing simulationmodels in Chap. 12. The discussion of simulating manufacruring systems inChap. 13 has been brougbt up to date in terms of currenr pmctic and new software.Unlike the first two editioDs, we have collected the referEnces for all the chapters to-gether at the end of the book, to mate this material morE compact and convenient tothe readr; we have also listed with each reference the page number(s) in the bookon which each reference item is cited, ro aid the reader in idenrifying potentiallyhelpful lir (ages between iopics in different pans of the book (and !o liminate the


3/3

Coing back ovcr 20 yoert sgo !oourbeginning work on the first edition of lhisbook, and cominS dght up to lhc present day with our effo(s on lhis third edition,there have been many, Inany tolented and generous people arld supponive organiza-tions who have providcd si8nificdni (sometimes essential) help to us in writiog,rewiting, and maintlining this book. Espcialy for Feparation of this third editson,we ore deeply gratefirl ro Mr. Michael C. Mccomas of Averill M. Law & Associatesfor his invaluable input to many differcnt aq)cB of the book including modlin8,analysis, rcsearch, computing, and rcading our sometimes-very-rough drafts. Sub-stantial and valuable support for Fepa.ation of this eahtion, aid of earlier edltions,has come fiom the Defense Modeling and Simulation Ofice, the University ofCincinnati's Depaftment of Quantitative Analysis and Operations Managemnt, theUniversity of Minnesota Suprcomputer Institute, the Offrce of Naval Research,and the AImy Research Office's firnding of the Mathematics Research Center at theUniversity of llsconsin. The rcvieweF for ahjs edition, KeD Baur (Air Force In'stitute of Technology), Jeff Cochr"atr (Arizona State UniveKity), Dave Goldsman(Georgia Tech), and Mansoorch Motlaghasemi (JnivNiry of Central Florida), prc-vided exEefigly helpful and in-depth feedback on our plans and drafts, whichgreatly stren$hened both content and exposition; this added to the already-valuablereviews of eorlier editions done by Osman Balci (virginia Tech), wafk Iskander(Wst VirginiE University), Barry Nelson (Nonhweslm Universily), James Riggd(deceased), Pirooz vakili (Boston University), and Frank \ryolf (westem MichiganUniversiry). Knowing that we will cenainly inadvertently cornmit gnevous erorsof omission, we would nonetheless like to thank the following individuals for theirhelp in various ways: Kaushik Balalcishnan, Russ Barton, Aarti Bhate-Felsheim,Bill Biles, Diane Bischak E-berhad Blilmel, Jason Boesel, Dan Brunner, JefCamm, Mame Cario, John Carson, John Chtmes, Jack Chen, Russell Cheng,Youngsoo Chun, Bob Crain, Bob Diahond, E(l Dudewicz, George Fishman, PaulFishwick, Ben Fox, Mike Fu, Richard Fujimoto, Fred Glover, Jorge Haddock, PhilHeidelberger Jim Henriksen, Sheldon Jacobson, Mark Johnson, Doug Jones, PeterIGlish, Jirn Kelly, Steve Kimbrough, Jack Kleijnen, Gary Kochenberger, LloydKoenig, Manuel La$rna, Steve lrvenberg, Pierre L Ecuyer, Marty Levy, Peterl,orenz, Herb Morgen, Doug Molrice, Joe MDnay, Dick Nance, David Nicol, BiNordgren, David Normar. Jean O'Reilly, Jim Palmet Dennis Pegden, TylerPhillips, Alan hitsker, John Ramberg, Ian Rawles, Chuck Reilly, Steve Roberts,Ralph Rogers, Ed Russell, Deb Sadowski, Randy Sadowski, Safi Safzadeh, PaulSanchez, Susan Sanchez, Bob Sargent, Bruce Schmeiser, Tom Schribr, LeeSchruben, Thomas Schulze, Murali Shanker. Bob Shannon, Marlene Smith, KarenStailey, Dave Sturtock, Jim Swain, Mike Taafie, Laurel Tmvis, Kerim Tbmay,Briar Unger, Willem van Groenendaal, Thomas varle, Ed Watson, Peter Welch,Jim Wilson, Brian Wood, Simone Youngblood, ard Enver Yucesan.Aveill M- Ia9

W. DavA Kehon

preface simulation modeling and analysis

Documents