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PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME CLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER IN BUILDING ENVELOPE INSTITUT PENYELIDIKAN, PEMBANGUNAN DAN PENGKOMERSILAN (IRDC) UNIVERSITITEKNOLOGI MARA 40450 SHAH ALAM, SELANGOR MALAYSIA BY: MASRIAH HJ AWANG ZAINAZLAN MD ZAIN JANUARY 2007 COPYRIGHT © UiTM

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Page 1: PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME …ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/1534/1/LP_MASRIAH_HJ_AWANG_07_24.pdfCLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER BEHAVIOUR !N BUILDING ENVELOPE

PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME CLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER IN

BUILDING ENVELOPE

INSTITUT PENYELIDIKAN, PEMBANGUNAN DAN PENGKOMERSILAN (IRDC)

UNIVERSITITEKNOLOGI MARA 40450 SHAH ALAM, SELANGOR

MALAYSIA

BY:

MASRIAH HJ AWANG ZAINAZLAN MD ZAIN

JANUARY 2007

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PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME CLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER IN

BUILDING ENVELOPE

BY:

PROF MADYA MASRIAH HJ AWANG PROF MADYA DR HJ ZAINAZLAN MD ZAIN

JANUARY 2007

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Surat Kami Tarikh

600-IRDC/ST 5/3/1007 08 Julai 2005

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA Institut Penyelidikan, Pembangunan dan Pengkomersilan (IRDC) Institute of Research, Development and Commercialisation (IRDC) tSebelum mi Jiketiah srbtixtii Biro Penyelidikim tian Penmdm^an)

40450 Shah Alam, Malaysia Website : ht tp/ /: www.uitm.edu.my/brc

Prof. Madya Masriah Hj Awang Fakulti Teknologi Maklumat dan Sains Kuantitatif Universiti Teknologi MARA 40450, Shah Alam Selangor

Tuan / Puan

TAJUK PROJEK : PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME CLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER BEHAVIOUR !N BUILDING ENVELOPE

Dengan hormatnya perkara di atas adalah dirujuk.

Sukacita dimaklumkan bahawa cadangan penyelidikan yang telah dikemukakan oleh tuan/puan bersama Encik Zainazlan Bin Md Zain telah diluluskan.

Tempoh projek penyelidikan ini ialah 12 bulan hingga 30 Jun 2006.

iaitu bermula 1 Julai 2005

ii. Walaubagaimanapun, adalah dimaklumkan bahawa kos yang diluluskan adalah sebanyak RM 8,000.00 sahaja. Diharapkan perkara ini tidak mematahkan semangat tuan/puan untuk menjalankan penyelidikan dan diharapkan kos tersebut dapat membantu pihak tuan/puan memulakan projek.

iii Tuan/puan juga perlu mengemukakan semula keperluan kewangan J-Series mengikut jumlah peruntukan yang telah diluluskan. Pembiayaan pembentangan kertas kerja dan perjalanan ke luar negara dihadkan kepada RM 2,000.00 sahaja. Permohonan peralatan penyelidikan adalah dicadangkan dari Fakulti/ Cawangan masing-masing.

iv ^uan/^uar! ^er'u memhe'aniakap. 50% Harioada oeran oenvelidikan vanQ telah diluluskan bagi projek tuan/puan dalam tempoh 6 bulan pertama projek berjalan. Sehubungan itu , pihak IRDC akan memantau penggunaan geran penyelidikan tuan/puan untuk memastikan 50% daripada jumlah geran yang diluluskan telah dibelanjakan sehingga bulan Disember 2005.

v. Semua pembelian peralatan yang kosnya melebihi RM500.00 satu item perlu menggunakan Pesanan Jabatan Universiti Teknologi MARA (LO). Pihak tuan/puan juga dikehendaki mematuhi peraturan penerimaan peralatan. Panduan penerimaan peralatan baru dan pengurusannya , dilampirkan.

PENYELIDIKAN, PEMBANGUNAN DAN PENGKOMERSILAN LANDASAN KEWIBAWAAN DAN KECEMERLANGAN

>. Telefon : nolong Naib Canselor (Penyelidikan) ;tua Penvelidikan (Sains Sosial dan Pengurusan) tua Penyelidikan (Sains dan Teknologi) tua INFOREC 'tua Perundingan (Kewangan)

03-55442094/? 03-55442097 03-55442091 03-55442760 03-55442090

Ketua Perundingan Ketua Pengkomersilan Ketua Harta Intelek Penolong Pendaftar Pegawai Sains

03-55442100 03-55442750 03-55442753 03-55442092 03-55442098

Pegawai Eksekutif Pejabat Am Fax Unit Kewangan Zon 17 Penolong Akauntan

03-55442057 03-55442093/2101 03-55442096 03-55443440 03-55442099

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MS ISO 9001 REG NO AR2857

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vi. Semua peraiatan / kelengkapan penyelidikan yang dibeli adalah menjadi hak milik fakulti. Semua peraiatan / kelengkapan hendaklah diserahkan kepada pihak fakulti setelah tamat penyelidikan untuk kegunaan bersama.

vii. Seperti yang tuan/puan sedia maklum tuan/puan perlu membentangkan kertas kerja di Seminar Hasil Penyelidikan IRDC setelah projek tamat dijalankan nanti.

viii. Kertas kerja boleh dibentangkan di seminar selain daripada yang dianjurkan oleh IRDC setelah 75% deraf awal laporan akhir projek dihantar ke IRDC untuk semakan. Walau bagaimanapun , tuan/puan perlu membuat permohonan kepada pihak kami.

ix. Pihak tuan/puan dikehendaki mengemukakan Laporan Kemajuan kepada IRDC 3 kali setiap tahun iaitu pada bulan April , Ogos dan Disember sepanjang penyelidikan tuan/puan berjalan. Laporan Akhir perlu dihantar sebaik sahaja projek penyelidikan disiapkan. Format menulis laporan akhir boleh diperolehi di Institut Penyelidikan , Pembangunan dan Pengkomersilan.

Sekian, terima kasih.

'SELAMAT MENJALANKAN PENYELIDIKAN'

Yan

DRAZNIZAIN AHMED Timbjalan Naib Canselor (Penyelidikan)

1. Dekan Fakulti Teknologi Maklumat dan Sains Kuantitatif UiTM, Shah Alam

2. Prof. Madya Dr. Daud Mohamad Timba'an Dekan (Kualiti dan Penyelidikan) Fakulti Teknologi Maklumat dan Sains Kuantitatif UiTM, Shah Alam

3. Penolong Bendahari Unit Kewangan Zon 17 Institut Penyelidikan , Pembangunan dan Pengkomersilan (Sila ambit maklum dan daftarkan projek penyelidikan ini)

llsue

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Tarikh : 24 Januari 2007

No Fail Projek: 600-IRDC/ST 5/3/1007

Penolong Naib Canselor (Penyelidikan) Institut Penyelidikan, Pembangunan dan Pengkomersilan(IRDC) Universiti Teknologi MARA Shah Alam

Ybhg. Prof,

LAPORAN AKHIR PENYELIDIKAN "PRELIMINARY STUDIES OF FOURIER ANALYSIS FOR SOME CLIMATE DATA THAT INFLUENCES HEAT TRANSFER IN BUILDING ENVELOPE "

Merujuk kepada perkara di atas, bersama-sama ini disertakan 3 (tiga) naskah laporan akhir penyelidikan bertajuk "Preliminary Studies Of Fourier Analysis For Some Climate Data That Influences Heat Transfer In Building Envelope".

Sekian, terima kasih.

Yang benar,

/ PROF MADYA MASRIAH HJ AWANG Ketua Projek Penyelidikan

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PROJECT TEAM MEMBERS

PROF MADYA MASRIAH HJ AWANG Project Leadep-

r

Tandatangan

PROF MADYA DR HJ ZAINAZLAN MD ZAIN Project Member

_ - ^ Tandatangan

n

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PENGHARGAAN

Setinggi-tinggi penghargaan dan ribuan terima kasih kepada semua pihak yang terlibat secara langsung atau tidak langsung bagi menjayakan projek ini dan seterusnya dapat

menyiapkan laporan projek dengan sempurna.

Di antaranya

Prof Dr Azni Zain Ahmed (Penolong Naib Canselor IRDC)

Prof Madya Dr Adnan Ahmad (Dekan Fakulti Teknologi Maklumat & Sains Kuantitatif)

Prof Madya Dr Yusof Md Salleh (Dekan Fakulti Kejuruteraan Elektrik)

Dr Wan Azli Wan Hassan (Pengarah, Jabatan Meteorologi Malaysia)

dan

Nur Sa'idah Ismail, (Pembantu Penyelidik)

111

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Pages Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 1

1.1 Preliminary 1 1.2 Rational of the Study 2 1.3 Scope of the Study 2

Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 3

2.1 Temperature 3 2.2 Solar Radiation 5 2.3 Relative Humidity 7 2.4 Rainfall 8 2.5 Wind-speed 10 2.6 Pressure 11 2.7 Least Square Method 11 2.8 Fast Fourier Transform 12 2.9 Summary 13

Chapter 3 METHODOLOGY 15

3.1 Monthly Averaged Hourly of Climate Data 15 3.2 Time Domain Analysis 17 3.3 Frequency Domain Analysis 20

Chapter 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 24

4.1 Monthly Averaged Hourly of Climate Data 24 4.1.1 Temperature 24 4.1.2 Solar Radiation 27 4.1.3 Relative Humidity 29 4.1.4 Rainfall 32 4.1.5 Wind-speed 35 4.1.6 Pressure 41 4.2 Time Domain Analysis 41 4.2.1 Temperature 43 4.2.2 Solar Radiation 45 4.2.3 Relative Humidity 47 4.2.4 Rainfall 49 4.2.5 Wind-speed 28 4.2.6 Pressure 51 4.3 Frequency Domain Analysis 53 4.3.1 Temperature 53 4.3.2 Solar Radiation 57

IV

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4.3.3 Relative Humidity 62 4.3.4 Rainfall 65 4.3.5 Wind-speed 68 4.3.6 Pressure 71

Chapter 5 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 74

BIBLIOGRAPHY 75

APPENDICES 79

v

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LIST OF FIGURES

Pages Figure 4.1 Monthly Averaged Hourly Temperature for Subang 1998-

2002 26

Figure 4.2 Monthly Averaged Hourly Solar Radiation for Subang 1998-2002

29 Figure 4.3 Monthly Averaged Hourly Relative Humidity for Subang

1998-2002 32

Figure 4.4 Monthly Averaged Hourly Rainfall for Subang 1998-2002 35

Figure 4.5 Monthly Averaged Hourly Wind-speed for Subang 1998-2002 38

Figure 4.6 Monthly Averaged Hourly Pressure for Subang 1998-2002 41

Figure 4.7 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Temperature 42

Figure 4.8 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Solar Radiation 44

Figure 4.9 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Relative Humidity 46

Figure 4.10 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Rainfall 48

Figure 4.11 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Wind-speed 50 •

Figure 4.12 The least squares Polynomials of degree four and ten for Pressure 52

Figure 4.13 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for Temperature 56

Figure 4.14 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Temperature 57 Figure 4.15 A Periodogram of Power and Period for 57

Temperature Figure 4.16 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for Solar

Radiation 60

Figure 4.17 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Solar Radiation 61

Figure 4.18 A Periodogram of Power and Period for Solar Radiation 61 Figure 4.19 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for Relative

Humidity 63 Figure 4.20 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Relative

Humidity 64

VI

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Figure 4.21 A Periodogram of Power and Period for Relative 64 Humidity

Figure 4.22 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for Rainfall 66 Figure 4.23 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Rainfall 67 Figure 4.24 A Periodogram of Power and Period for Rainfall 67 Figure 4.25 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for Wind-speed

69 Figure 4.26 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Wind-speed 70 Figure 4.27 A Periodogram of Power and Period for Wind-speed 70 Figure 4.28 The Fourier Coefficients in Complex Plane for

Pressure 72 Figure 4.29 A Periodogram of Power and Frequency for Pressure 73 Figure 4.30 A Periodogram of Power and Period for Pressure 73

vn

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LIST OF TABLES

Pages Table 3.1 Climate Data for Subang on 1.1.1999 16 Table 4.1 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r2 for

Temperature 43 Table 4.2 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r2 for Solar

Radiation 45 Table 4.3 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r for Relative

Humidity 47 Table 4.4 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r2 for Rainfall 49 Table 4.5 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r2 for Wind-

speed 51 Table 4.6 Least Square Error, Norm of Residuals and r2 for Pressure 53

vm

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ABSTRACT

Energy utilization in buildings continues to increase as quality of life increases. Buildings are built in an environment and the climate surrounding a building is a factor that will influence the amount of energy for the building services. The higher the thermal stress due to the external condition, the higher the energy needs to provide the same building service. This paper discusses the different types of analyses of climate for Subang. The climate data were calculated using the monthly hourly averaged. Then the least squares method and fast Fourier transform via MATLAB were explored in order to get some important information.

Overall, the temperature distribution, solar radiation, relative humidity distribution, rainfall distribution, wind-speed distribution and pressure distribution were presented. The least square polynomial of degree four and ten were chosen to represent the climate data. The least square error and the norm of the residual for these two polynomials were the smallest among other polynomials. The coefficients of determination were also calculated. The Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) from MATLAB toolbox was also used to disclose the pattern of the climate data. The FFT shows the Fourier coefficient on the complex plane. A peridogram of power versus frequency and a peridogram of power versus period were obtained for the climate data via MATLAB.

These studies reveal the patterns that need to be considered for optimum energy utilization in buildings.

IX

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CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION

1.1 Preliminary

Generally, people are concerned about the possibility of global climate change

and its effect to their life. Due to this, there are an increasing number of studies and

analyses of distribution and pattern of climate data. The analysts want to determine either

the changes of increasing or decreasing in climate data has great value of influence to the

global life.

A major challenge when dealing with climate data is in analyzing and interpreting

any possible hidden information to the user. This information visualization allows users

to get some important information and focus on items of interest. For a closer overview to

the distribution and pattern of climate data, approximation methods are helpful that

provide a means to display as much of the necessary information as possible.

This project paper has three objectives. The first objective is to analyze some

climate parameters in Subang. The second objective is to study time domain analysis via

least square method. The third objective is to analyze the climate data using frequency

domain analysis. These analyses are done by MATLAB.

1

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1.2 Rational of the Study

There are patterns in the climate conditions. Recognizing the patterns and

understanding the phenomena will enable the efficient management of the climate

modifying process such as air conditioning in building space. A building is a climate

modifier. The energy utilized in a building is dependent on the climate condition

surrounding the building.

Fourier transform provides a good study on the repetitive or cyclic phenomena of

the climate data. Climate data that will be analyzed using Fourier Transform will be solar

radiation, relative humidity, rain, wind and pressure. It is hoped that this study will give

the general pattern and provide the opening for further studies on the weather data

derivatives.

1.3 Scope of the Study

Climate data can be in the form of temperature, solar radiation, rain, relative

humidity, wind, pressure and other phenomena. In this study we analyze the temperature,

solar radiation, rainfall, relative humidity, wind-speed and pressure for Subang. The tool

that we used in this study is MATLAB.

2

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CHAPTER 2

LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 Temperature

Temperature is a measure of the average kinetic energy of the particles in a

sample of matter (Temperature, 2005). In other words, temperature of an object can be

described as the sensation of warmth or coldness felt from contact with it. Temperature

can also be written as a property which governs the transfer of thermal energy, or heat,

between one system and another (Temperature, 2005).

" Being a country closed to the .equator, Malaysia has uniform temperature

throughout the year (Climate, 2006). The highest average monthly temperature was

recorded in April and May in most places and December and January shows the lowest

value of average monthly temperature (Climate, 2006).

Analyses of temperature data produce significant information in our life. Through

a detailed study of temperature data, the climate change scenario (especially for

temperature) and its implication towards human, animal and plant life can be determined.

The climate change scenario describes a future in which the gradual rising temperature

accelerates the rate of warming, increasing the sea levels, floods in mountainous regions,

3

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droughts occur in coastal and agriculture areas and thinning artic ice (Shearer, A.W.,

2005). The temperature data in climate model also has its important role. Alnaser, W.E.

and Merzaa, M.K. (2005) stated that climate model concerning of monthly and yearly

average temperature variations is significance as air temperature is an important factor to

estimate the added energy (Egreenhouse ) from the greenhouse gasses.

The measurements of surface temperature were recorded daily at hundreds of

locations over a long time. The easiest way of obtaining daily scenario temperature data

is to simply apply monthly scenario changes to a daily-observed station weather record

(Barrow, E.M. & Lee, R.J., 2000). For the purpose of synthesizing daily temperature

data corresponding to a particular climate change scenario, a stochastic weather generator

can be applied (Barrow, E.M. & Lee, R.J., 2000). This is done in order to observe and

analyze the temperature data so that a warming pattern in Earth's temperature variation

can be analyzed. It has been proved that the increasing of average temperature year by

year has been affected with the increase of the greenhouse effect gasses emissions due to

the industrialization (Wesker, E., 1996).

The historical climate change analysis is also based on temperature data, which

can be used as a point of reference for cyclic average Earth's temperature variation

(Global Warming, 2000). Besides that, the analysis of temperature data and its results are

very useful to forecast the future temperature pattern as well as the climate changes due

to changes in temperature data. The climate model are possible to predict and summarize

the potential consequences of climate change such as tendency for drought in some

4

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regions and higher rainfall in others and also the potential for crop distribution to change

due to the hotter and drier conditions (Global Warming, 2000). A historical weather

record can be used to construct analogue scenario for the future such as to identify

extreme conditions (drought or flood) and the consequent impacts (Barrow, E.M. & Lee,

R.J., 2000).

2.2 Solar Radiation

Solar radiation is the energy from the sun transferred to the earth's surface and

sun is the source energy. The earth revolves round the sun in an elliptical orbit. The earth

will receive 7 percent more radiation in January than in July. (CP Arora, 2000). This

happened because the position of the earth which is closest to the sun on January and

remotest from it on July which is about 3.3 percent farther away. The rate at which solar

radiation strikes earth's upper atmosphere is expressed as the solar constant.

Being a country closed to the equator, Malaysia received quite an ample quantity

of sunshine and thus solar radiation. Solar radiation is very much related to temperature.

If the temperature is higher, then the amount of solar radiation will be higher. As we

know solar radiation does not exist in early morning and night. On the average, Malaysia

receives about six hours of radiation per day. Due to the amount of solar radiation that we

received, it is important to study on solar radiation pattern.

5

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The demand of solar radiation data is high as it is uses in many aspects and

application of life. Chuah et al. (1984) listed various types of uses of solar radiation data.

Information such as the availability, seasonal and geographical distribution of total,

direct, diffuse radiation are important in the design and performance prediction of solar

energy system. In addition, it is also useful for atmospheric science studies and

meteorological forecasting.

There are several methods in analyzing and interpreting solar radiation data. One

of the methods is by using statistical approaches. Rehman, Shafiqur, et al. (2000) studied

the spatial variation in Saudi Arabia using geostatistical techniques. Besides, Ianetz, et al.

(2000) presented a method based on analysis approach that can be applied to characterize

and differentiate sites with regards to their potential for solar energy conversion systems.

This statistical method had been demonstrated by applying it to three sites located in

southern Israel.

However in Riyadh, the ASHRAE clear sky model seem to be the method in

analyzing and interpreting solar radiation data. Al-Sanea, et all, (2004) applied the

ASHRAE model to calculate the monthly average hourly global solar radiation in Riyadh

on a horizontal surface. The calculation from the model is compared with measurements

for Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. ASHRAE model also can be used to determine the beam,

diffuse and ground reflected solar radiation components separately. This solar model is

beneficial in such a way that this model can be made as an integral part of the entire heat-

transfer analysis model in order to contribute for the boundary conditions.

6

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On the contrary, Flor et. al, (2004) explained the calculation of the incident total

solar radiation in all type of surface either in open urban environments or inside building.

This methodology is relevant for problems related to solar access, solar gains and day

lighting. Certainly, solar radiation is the main contributor to heat gains in buildings,

especially in residential buildings where internal gains are very low.

Solar Radiation data is essential in order for the design and assessment of future

solar radiation profile prediction. Solar radiation information is needed in variety of

applications and areas including agriculture, water resources, day lighting, architectural

design and climate change studies (Power,H.C, 2001). For these reasons, solar radiation

data play an important role in many aspects of life.

2.3 Relative Humidity

Relative humidity is a term of percentage that describes the quantity of water

vapor that exists in a gaseous mixture of air and water (Humidity, 2006). Relative

humidity can be used as an indicator of precipitation, dew or fog in weather forecasts and

reports.

Overall, the mean monthly relative humidity in Malaysia is in the range from 70%

to 90%) from month to month. In Peninsular Malaysia, the minimum range of mean

relative humidity varies from a low 84% in February to a high of only 88% in November

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(Climate, 2006). In January and February, it is observed that all states in Peninsular

Malaysia are experiencing minimum relative humidity except for Kelantan and

Terengganu. These two states show the minimum relative humidity in March. However,

the maximum relative humidity is generally found in November (Climate, 2006).

Analysis of relative humidity data produces significant information in our life

using various methods. Alnaser, W.E. and Merzaa, M.K. (2005) performed regression

methods including polynomial and sinusoidal models to fit the data in modeling the

average yearly and average monthly variations to obtain the coefficients of determination

(R ). A companson with similar studies from nearby countries was done between

Kingdom of Bahrain, Oman and Kuwait.

Guan, L. et al. (2005) reported that there is a strong linear correlation between

hourly variations of dry bulb temperature and relative humidity based on a statistical

analysis of 10 years historical hourly climatic data in Australia. It is observed that when

dry bulb temperature increases, the relative humidity generally tends to decrease.

2.4 Rainfall

Rain is a form of precipitation includes sleet, snow, hail and dew (Rain, 2006).

Falling water drops from clouds to Earth's surface form rain. Rain has important role in

hydrologic cycle in which moisture from the oceans evaporates, condenses into clouds,

precipitates back to earth, and eventually returns to oceans via streams and rivers to

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repeat the cycle again (Rain, 2006). Water vapor that respires from plants and evaporates

also join other water molecules in condensing into clouds but in a small amount. The

amount of rainfall is expressed as the depth of water that collects on a flat surface and

measured by a rain gauge (Rain, 2006).

In general, most places in the Malaysia received average to much above average

amount of rainfall. Combination of pattern of seasonal wind flow with the local

topographic features determines the rainfall distribution patterns over the country. Heavy

rain spells mostly occurs in the exposed areas like the east coast of Peninsular Malaysia,

Western Sarawak and the northeast coast of Sabah during the northeast monsoon season

(Climate, 2006).

Several studies have been carried out based on rainfall data in terms of timing and

volume. Ceballos, A. et al. (2004) analyzed the trends in rainfall and the behavior of dry

spells in Mediterranean. The relationship between annual rainfall, the length and

frequency of dry spells and the annual variability of these has been studied. They also

found that there is no relationship between total annual rainfall with an increment in

intra-annual variability in rainfall and a very pronounced occurrence of dry periods.

In a study carried out in a typical Mediterranean semi-arid area in Spain, Lazaro,

R. et al. (2001) analyzed a rainfall time-series (1967-1997) for implications on vegetation

using statistical methods. They found that all types of rainfall, in terms of volume, timing

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and intensity, have consequences for the composition, density and distribution of

vegetation.

2.5 Wind-Speed

Wind is the roughly horizontal movement of air caused by uneven heating of the

Earth's surface (Wind,2006). Wind can be classified into global winds, upper-level winds,

synoptic-scale winds and Mesoscale winds. Wind speed usually measured by

anemometer.

In general, wind flow in Malaysia is light and variable. However, the wind flow

patterns experiences some uniform periodic changes in certain period (Climate, 2006).

Therefore, four seasons can be distinguished, namely, the southwest monsoon, northeast

monsoon and two shorter intermonsoon seasons (Climate, 2006).

The studies of wind data is high has been done in various part of the world.

Nfaoui, H. et al. (1996) developed an autoregressive model to stimulate hourly average

wind speed based on twelve years of hourly average wind speed data. They studied the

wind behavior by doing comparisons between generated and real series of data. Then,

this model was used to generate reference monthly data in order to build up a reference

yearly average wind speed data in Tangiers (Morocco). Blanchard, M. and Desrochers,

G. (1984) used the Box-Jenkins method to build up a new model and a new generator of

hourly wind speeds. They proved that hourly wind speed data is sufficient to reproduce

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the main statistical characteristics such as monthly mean, standard deviation and high

hourly autocorrelation of wind speed.

2.6 Pressure

Pressure (symbol: p) is the force per unit area applied on a surface in a direction

perpendicular to that surface (Pressure, 2006). Pascal (Pa) is the SI unit for pressure and

equal to one newton per square metre (N-m" or kg-m" -s" ). Some meteorologists prefer

the hectopascal (hPa) for atmospheric air pressure. Atmospheric pressure is the pressure

above any area in the Earth's atmosphere caused by the weight of air (Pressure, 2006).

Several previous studies have been carried out based on pressure data. Guan, L. et

al. (2005) reported that the final change of pressure due to changing temperatures is

dependent on the product of new air density and temperature. The study is based on a

statistical analysis of 10 years historical hourly climatic data in Australia. It is observed

that an increment in temperature will lead to the decrement in pressure. They also found

that the change in pressure is fairly small with a wide range of variation in temperature.

2.7 Time Domain Analysis

Coefficient of determination, also known, as the r-squared value is one of the

measurements to indicate the quality of the curve fit. It was proven that r value was

widely used in many researches of variety fields. El-Metwally, M. (2004) used

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