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Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond Program New Bond Program Tuesday, January 26, 2016 Broker/Dealer Services and Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., an SEC registered investment adviser, a registered broker/dealer, member FINRA/SIPC. SEC registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Insurance offered by BOSC Agency, Inc., an affiliated agency. Investments and insurance are not insured by FDIC, are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by, any bank or bank affiliate. Investments are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal amount invested.

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Page 1: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis –New Bond ProgramNew Bond Program

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Broker/Dealer Services and Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., an SEC registered investment adviser, a registered broker/dealer, member FINRA/SIPC. SEC registration does not imply a certain level of skill ortraining. Insurance offered by BOSC Agency, Inc., an affiliated agency. Investments and insurance are not insured by FDIC, are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by, any bank or bankaffiliate. Investments are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal amount invested.

Page 2: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis

The Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis is based upon the assumptions summarized herein. To theextent the District’s actual results differ from the assumptions herein the financial impact to the Districtextent the District s actual results differ from the assumptions herein, the financial impact to the Districtwill correspondingly change.

Scenario 1: $230.0 Million Bond Program;

Scenarios Presented

$ g ;

Scenario 2: $240.0 Million Bond Program; and

Scenario 3: $250.0 Million Bond Program.

1

Page 3: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued)

Assumptions

The District’s I&S tax rate is 28.01 cents in year 2015/16.

Any I&S tax rate increase associated with the new bond program occurs in year 2016/17.y p g y /

The new bond program is sold at an interest rate of 4.50%. Current market rates are approximately3.75%.

Bonds are initially structured with periodic principal payments over a 25-year repayment period andare designed to allow the District to prepay the bonds prior to scheduled maturity, as deemedappropriate.

Short-Term Projects: $15.0 million for technology related projects (computers, infrastructure, etc.) isrepaid within 7-years and $30.0 million for equipment, buses and other short-term assets is repaidwithin 15-years.

Tax collection rate of 98.5%.

2

Page 4: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued)

Historical and Assumed Taxable Valuations(Net of Frozen Values and TIRZ Values)

0 60 11 265

908

337 40 209

09

$10,000,000,000

$12,500,000,000

Val

uati

on

390,

357,

147

544,

488,

974

523,

019,

697

684,

795,

520

10,1

92,2

64,6

6

0,08

5,30

5,11

10,3

87,8

64,2

10,4

91,7

42,9

10,5

96,6

60,3

10,7

02,6

26,9

10,8

09,6

53,2

0,80

9,65

3,20

$5,000,000,000

$7,500,000,000

xabl

e A

sses

sed

V

$9,3

$9,5

$9,5

$9,

$1 $10

$1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1

$0

$2,500,000,000Tax

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 &Thereafter

Average Annual Increase – Years Fiscal Year 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16(A) 2011/12 – 2015/16 Taxable Assessed Valuation $9,390,357,147 $9,544,488,974 $9,523,019,697 $9,684,795,520 $10,192,264,660 $10,124,143,115 ---Dollar Change $ --- $154,131,827 ($21,469,277) $161,775,823 $507,469,140 ($68,121,545) $146,757,194 Percentage Change ---% 1.64% (0.22%) 1.70% 5.24% (0.67%) 1.52%

Average Annual 2021/22 & Increase – Years Fiscal Year 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 Thereafter 2016/17 – 2020/21 Taxable Assessed Valuation $10,427,867,408 $10,532,146,082 $10,637,467,543 $10,743,842,218 $10,851,280,640 $10,851,280,640 ---

3

Dollar Change $303,724,293 $104,278,674 $105,321,461 $106,374,675 $107,438,422 $--- $145,427,505Percentage Change 3.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% ---% 1.40%

Source: Tarrant Appraisal District and Dallas Central Appraisal District.

__________(A) Net of $167,123,910 increase in the District’s State mandated Residential Homestead Exemption as a result of Senate Bill 1.

Page 5: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued)

Maximum Projected I&S Tax Rate – With New Bond Program

39.70 Cents 40.29 Cents 40.88 Cents45 0 Cents

50.0 Cents

11 69 Cents 12 28 Cents 12 87 Cents35.0 Cents

40.0 Cents

45.0 Cents

ate

11.69 Cents 12.28 Cents 12.87 Cents

25.0 Cents

30.0 Cents

I&S

Tax

Ra

28.01 Cents 28.01 Cents 28.01 Cents

15.0 Cents

20.0 Cents

I

10.0 Cents$230.0 Million Bond Program $240.0 Million Bond Program $250.0 Million Bond Program

4

Current I&S Tax Rate Projected I&S Tax Rate Increase - New Bond Program

Page 6: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued)

Bond Program Alternatives –Projected I&S Tax Increase For Various Taxable Home ValuesProjected I&S Tax Increase For Various Taxable Home Values

TaxableHome Value Annual Monthly Annual Monthly Annual Monthly

Bond Program Bond Program Bond Program$230.0 Million $240.0 Million $250.0 Million

y y y$200,000 $233.76 $19.48 $245.64 $20.47 $257.40 $21.45225,000 263.04 21.92 276.36 23.03 289.56 24.13250,000 292.20 24.35 306.96 25.58 321.72 26.81275 739 322 32 26 86 338 64 28 22 354 84 29 57275,739 322.32 26.86 338.64 28.22 354.84 29.57300,000 350.76 29.23 368.40 30.70 386.16 32.18325,000 379.92 31.66 399.12 33.26 418.32 34.86350,000 409.20 34.10 429.84 35.82 450.48 37.54375,000 438.36 36.53 460.56 38.38 482.64 40.22400,000 467.64 38.97 491.16 40.93 514.80 42.90425,000 496.80 41.40 521.88 43.49 546.96 45.58450 000 526 08 43 84 552 60 46 05 579 12 48 26

Note: The State Property Tax Code allows for school property taxes on an individual homestead to be “frozen” at the age of 65. If you are 65 years of age or olderand you have filed for the “Over 65 Homestead Exemption”, there is a ceiling on the amount of school taxes to be paid – The only exception is if improvements are

450,000 526.08 43.84 552.60 46.05 579.12 48.26475,000 555.24 46.27 583.32 48.61 611.28 50.94500,000 584.52 48.71 614.04 51.17 643.56 53.63

5

made to a home. As such, a tax increase from a new bond program cannot increase the applicable tax ceiling of a taxpayer that has qualified for the “Over 65Homestead Exemption.”

Page 7: Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis – New Bond … › assets › tax-rate-impact-analysis...Jan 26, 2016  · Preliminary Tax Rate Impact Analysis (Continued) Assumptions The District’s

BOSC, Inc. –Specialized Texas School District Finance Professionals

Joshua M. McLaughlinManaging Director, Co-Director of Texas Public Finance

William J. GumbertHead of Municipal (Tier I) Sales, Trading and UnderwritingCo-Director of Texas Public Finance

p

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected]: 214.576.0878 │ Mobile: 972.897.0503 │ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected]: 214.576.0880 │ Mobile: 214.212.3153│ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

Mik J ll D C h BMike JollyInvestment Banker, Texas Public Finance

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected] t 512 868 1980 │ M bil 512 751 0479│ F 214 576 0890

Dr. Cathy BryceInvestment Banker, Texas Public Finance

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected] bil 214 477 5972 │ F 214 576 0890

Omar GarciaInvestment Banker, Texas Public Finance

Alison M. LongInvestment Banker, Texas Public Finance

Direct: 512.868.1980 │ Mobile: 512.751.0479│ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

Mobile: 214.477.5972 │ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected]: 512.243.5917 │ Mobile: 512.565.7005 │ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected]: 214.576.0881 │ Mobile: 254.744.4555 │ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

John RobuckInvestment Banker, Texas Public Finance

Nick PolyakSenior Vice President, Institutional Investments

6

1401 McKinney Street, Suite 1000 │ Houston, Texas 77010E-Mail: [email protected]: 713.289.5897 │ Mobile: 281.610.8335 │ Fax: 713.354.0257

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC

333 West Campbell Road, Suite 350 │ Richardson, Texas 75080E-Mail: [email protected]: 214.346.3921 │ Mobile: 972.365.8806 │ Fax: 214.576.0890

Securities offered by BOSC, Inc., Registered Investment Advisor, a registered Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC