premier oil 2014_hy_presentation
DESCRIPTION
Premier Oil plc 2014 half year presentationTRANSCRIPT
2014 Half-Yearly
Results21 August 2014
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that
both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future
events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
August 2014 | P1
Agenda
Introduction
Production
Solan
Catcher
Exploration
Finance
Summary & Outlook
August 2014 | P2
Tony Durrant
Garry Stoker
Robin Allan
Tamara Sebire
Toby Garwood
Aurangzeb Bozdar
Tony Durrant
ProductionGarry Stoker
Group Development & Operations Manager
Production – higher operating efficiency
August 2014 | P4
Indonesia• GSA1 market share 48%;
above contractual shareof 39.4%
• Additional 40 Bbtud via domestic swap agreement
0
5
10
15
20
2013 1H 2014
Vietnam• Chim Sáo achieved
25 mmbbls milestone• Dua on-stream
0
5
10
15
20
2013 1H 2014
Group
• Improved operating
efficiency
• Higher liquids
production
• Growing cash flows
Group
• Improved operating
efficiency
• Higher liquids
production
• Growing cash flows
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2013 1H 2014
Guidance
1H 2014
average:
64.9
kboepd
North Sea• Strong performance from
B-Block and Wytch Farm• Higher production from
Huntington and Rochelle
05
10152025
2013 1H 2014
Pakistan• In-line with expectations• New Kadanwari wells
brought on-stream• Bhit compressor project
underway
0
5
10
15
20
2013 1H 2014
OE
75%
OE
83%
OE64%
Production (kboepd)Production (kboepd)
Production (kboepd)Production (kboepd)
OE70% OE
70%
OE85%
OE90%
OE94%
OE96%
OE96%
August 2014 | P5
Chim Sáo – significant operational improvements
Operating efficiency improved from 70% in 2013 to >85% 1H 2014
Persons on boardincreasedBoilers upgradedDua on-stream
Operations
improvement
project
Additional diesel generators installed
August 2014 | P6
Balmoral –improving operating efficiency & delivery capacity
Production in 2014 1H up 48% on 2013
Operations improvement project
Power generatorsrecommissioned
Reinstatementof wells
>1 million
man-hours
without a
LTI
SolanRobin Allan
Director Business Units
Solan – significant progress made
August 2014 | P8
DECC approval of FDP Drilling – Phase 1 Drilling – Phase 2 Tank lowered to seabed
BiFab to build jacket & topsides Jacket progress Tank sailaway
2012 2013 2014
Awilco WilPhoenix secured Topsides moved outside Jacket roll-up
Drydocks World to build tank Tank progress Jacket sailaway
Drilling –Phase 3
Topsides installation
2015
HUC
Project metrics• >40 mmbbls
• $1bn of capex to date
• Robust economics:
rapid project payback
Today
Jacket installation
Solan – drilling and subsea update
• Drilling
– P1 completed; good flow rates
achieved
– W1 nearing completion
– Phase 3 drilling campaign in 2015
to complete P2 and W2
• Subsea oil storage tank
– Construction completed; sailed
from Dubai in June
– Offshore installation undertaken
by Heerema Thialf
– Piling operations
nearing completion
August 2014 | P9
Final stagesof execution
Solan – platform update
August 2014 | P10
Construction
of jacket and
topsides
completed
Jacket
loaded out and
installation
by Heerema
Thialf to
commence
shortly
Topsides
ready for load
out prior to
installation
Hook up and
commissioning
prior to first oil
0
1
2
3
4
5
20-Aug 21-Aug 22-Aug 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug
Swell Height
Sig Wave
Max Wave
Catcher Tamara Sebire
Catcher Area Development Manager
• All approvals received
– JV sanction in April
– Government (DECC) approval of
FDP in June
• Major contracts awarded
• Experienced project team in place to
deliver first oil in summer of 2017
• Robust project economics
– 96 mmboe
– Capex $2.25bn (gross)
– Pre-tax IRR > 20% based on $85/bbl
Catcher – 1H highlights
August 2014 | P12
August 2014 | P13
Catcher – execution phase progressing to schedule
Drilling• Contract awarded to Ensco
• Commence mid-2015
• 14 producers, 8 water
injectors
Model tanktesting
successful
Mooringsite surveycompleted
Subsea• EPCI: Subsea 7
• Template: Aquaterra
• Xtree and well production
systems: Dril-Quip
FPSO• Contract awarded to BWO
– 7yrs + options
– BWO financing in place
• Key sub-contracts awarded
– Hull: IHI
– Topsides design: Aibel
– Turret & mooring system: APL
Well sequencing
agreed
Fabricationcommenced
Carnabydiscovery
FPSO and SURF design and fabri-
cation commences
Formal concept select
Burgman and Varadero
discoveries
Catcher – look ahead
August 2014 | P14
Today
Acquired acreage as part of Oilexco
Catcher discoveryBonneville discovery
FPSO and SURF HUC
DECC approval Increased interest to 50% following
EnCore acquisition
• Experienced project team– >250 years project delivery experience across
leadership team • Cost certainty
– Leased FPSO– Lump sum contracts– 95% of contracts awarded or issued for tender
• Future opportunities– Reservoir upside– Bonneville and Carnaby– Exploration wells planned
for 2016
2009-2011 2012 2013 201620152014 2017 2018
SURFinstallation
Exploration
Development drilling
First
oil
ExplorationToby Garwood
Western Region Exploration Manager
Kenya – Block 2B, southern Anza Basin
August 2014 | P16
• Premier equity 55%
• Play opening test of the Tertiary
• Badada prospect
– Robust closure confirmed by
new 2D
– Premier gross resource
estimate: 13-90-363 mmbbls
(high value barrels)
– Spud late 2014 or
early 2015
A B
Badada-1~Base Quat
Mid Paleog
Base Neog
Mid Neog
Anza BasinAll 10 wells drilled
have oil / gas shows
Albertine Basin2.5 Bbbls discovered in
Tertiary fields
Lokichar Basin2 Bbbls discovered in
Tertiary fields
A
B
Look-a-like plays
to those proven
in Albertine and
Lokichar Basins
Norway – Mandal High
August 2014 | P17
• Myrhauk well – Q2 2015
– Play opening test
– Robust closure
– Gross prospective resource:
10-50-135 mmboe
• Significant running room
– >500 mmboe unrisked gross
prospective resource
Similar play
elements as at
Utsira High
North Falklands Basin –a proven, well calibrated petroleum system
August 2014 | P18
Mature oil source kitchen area
Brown = oilgeneratingsource rock
50k
m
F3 reservoir distribution
Zebedee
Chatham
Jayne-East
Isobel-Deep
Basement structure
Blue = DeepRed = Shallow
Sea Lion and satellites
North Falklands Basin –2015 exploration drilling campaign objectives
August 2014 | P19
Chatham
Zebedee
Isobel Deep
Jayne East
28 fans
identified
ZebedeeIsobelDeep
Jayne East
Chatham
1. SL western gascap appraisal
2. Extend F2 play South
3. Deepen play into F3
4. Prove-up southern area
Isobel-DeepMean STOIIP
Global Lacustrine fanfield analogues
Jayne East Mean STOIIP
Prospect volumes reality check
Total SouthernArea
Mean STOIIP
ZebedeeMean STOIIP
North Falklands Basin –impact of 2015 exploration on development volumes
August 2014 | P20
Phase 1 TLP
Devt Phase 3
Devt Phase 2
Chatham• Sea Lion western gas cap
appraisal
• If no gas, adds 60 mmbbls to
Phase 1
• Exploration deepening to
Chatham targets additional
4-19-80 mmbbls1
Zebedee• Low risk / high value prospect
• Adds 61-165-432 mmbbls1 to
Phase 2
Jayne East• Low risk / high value prospect
• Adds 23-73-232 mmbbls1 to
Phase 2
Isobel Deep• Designed to derisk undrilled
southern area of PL004
• 55-243-933 mmbbls11 Volumes quoted are grossunrisked prospective resources
Potential
for up to
2.1 Bbbls1
(mmbbls) DiscoveredMost likelyprospective
Upside prospective
Phase 1 308 387 448
Phase 2 87 325 751
Phase 3 - 243 933
North Falklands Basin –material and under-explored
August 2014 | P21
North Sea
Premier’s acreage covers an area equivalent to
55% of the North Sea South Viking Graben
• Equivalent SVG discovered Resource: 2.7 Bbbl
Maps
to same
scale
Falklands
Premier licences2441km2 / 942.59 miles2
FinanceAurangzeb Bozdar
Group Financial Controller
6 months to30 June 2014
6 months to30 June 2013
Working Interest production (kboepd) 64.9 58.6
Entitlement production (kboepd) 59.8 53.1
Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - pre hedge 109.4 107.2
Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - pre hedge 9.1 8.7
US$m US$m
Sales and other operating revenues 885 758
Cost of sales (646) (472)
Gross profit 239 286
Exploration/New Business (50) (22)
General and administration costs (13) (9)
Operating profit 176 255
Disposals (84) -
Financial items (41) (40)
Profit before taxation 51 215
Tax credit/(charge) 122 (54)
Profit after taxation 173 161
Increasing profitability
Operating costs (US$/bbl)
1H 2014 1H 2013
UK $35.0 $39.0
Indonesia $10.3 $9.4
Pakistan $2.9 $2.6
Vietnam $15.4 $14.4
Group $18.5 $16.0
Includes impairment charge of US$55m
(after tax) for Balmoral area and Huntington
Accounting profit from Scott area and Luno
II disposals will be booked on completion
offsetting recorded Block A Aceh disposal
UK tax credits for small field allowances for
Catcher fields and ring-fence expenditure
supplement
Liquids hedging
2H 2014 1H 2015
% hedged 53% 35%
Average price $103 $106
($/boe)
August 2014 | P23
Capital expenditure ($m)
1H 2014 FY 2014(e)
Exploration $91 $180
Development $415 $1,000
Total $506 $1,180
Will be repaid from enhanced share of
cash flows post first oil
Block A Aceh ($40 million), Scott area
($130 million) and Luno II ($17.5 million)
disposals to complete in 2H 2014
Strong, rising cash flows
6 months to30 June 2014
US$m
6 months to30 June 2013
US$m
Cash flow from operations 609 488
Taxation (110) (117)
Operating cash flow 499 371
Capital expenditure (506) (436)
Partner funding (Solan) (104) (51)
Disposals - -
Finance and other charges, net (48) (49)
Dividends/share buy back (77) (40)
Net cash out flow (236) (205)
Record first
half operating
cash flows
August 2014 | P24
Liquidity and balance sheet position
August 2014 | P25
At30 June 2014
$m
At31 Dec 2013
$m
Cash 255 449
Bank debt (721) (686)
Bonds (997) (992)
Convertibles 1(226) (224)
Net debt position (1,689) (1,453)
Gearing2 43% 41%
Cash and undrawn facilities 1,430 1,600
1 Maturity value of US$245 million2 Net debt/net debt plus equity
Drawn debt maturity profile (including
Letters of Credit)
Average debt costs of 4.8% (fixed) and
2.2% (floating)
Cash and undrawn facilities increased to
$2.7 billion after refinancing in July 2014
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
US
$ m
illi
on
s
OutlookTony Durrant
CEO
Government approval received from DECC
Building on our track record anddelivering our short term targets
August 2014 | P27
Production guidance 58-63 kboepd
Catcher sanction
Refinance 2015 bank facility
Exploration
Disposal programme
Solan on-stream
Sea Lion progress
~5 kboepd above guidanceDua, GSA5, Kyle, Pelikanand Naga
Refinanced on improved terms; facility increased to $2.5bn
~100 mmboe discovery on Tuna Block; continued licence divestment in UK & Norway; 2015/16 prospects matured
$190m of non-core asset sales announced
On course to achieve$300m target
Installation of facilities underway
First oil following completion of HUC
TLP FEED and exploration drilling contracts awarded
Farm down process targeted for Q4 2014/ Q1 2015
1) Deliver on short term targets for cash
flow growth and balance sheet
strength
2) Utilise share buybacks to buy
undervalued barrels
3) Selective growth using existing
strengths
August 2014 | P28
Looking forward
Q&A
Premier Oil Plc
23 Lower Belgrave Street
London
SW1W 0NR
Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111
Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696
Email: [email protected]
www.premier-oil.com
21 August 2014