presentation by hiroyuki konuma of fao on “rise of the south: perspectives from asia and the...
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Presentation by Mr. Hiroyuki Konuma, Assistant Director-General and Regional Representative for Asia and the Pacific, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) during UN Day 2013 Seminar “Rise of the South: Perspectives from Asia and the Pacific”.TRANSCRIPT
United Nations Day Seminar24 October 2013,UNCC Bangkok
Food Security and Human Development Report
Hiroyuki KonumaFAO Assistant Director- General and Regional
Representative for Asia and the Pacific
4
World Population Trends
Source: UN, 2011
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
19
50
19
55
19
60
19
65
19
70
19
75
19
80
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
20
05
20
10
20
15
20
20
20
25
20
30
20
35
20
40
20
45
20
50
20
55
20
60
20
65
20
70
20
75
20
80
20
85
20
90
20
95
21
00
developed Sub-Saharan Africa
NothAfrica and the Middle East Latin America and Caribb
South Asia Eastern Asia
percentage annual growth rate (right scale)
millions
5
Food Consumption Trends(Kcal/person/day)
Source: Alexandratos, 2011
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1969/71 1979/81 1990/92 2005-07 2030 2050
Industrial countries Sub-Saharan Africa
Near East-North Africa Latin America & Caribbean
South Asia East Asia
60% increase in food production needed by 2050(77% increase, if developing countries only)
6
56
317
170
24
77
60
0 100 200 300 400
developed countries
developing countries
world
percent
2005/07-
2050 (projected)
1961-2005/07 (observed)
Source: Bruinsma, 2011
Future Outlook Towards Year 2050
Can we increase food production by 60 %(or 77% in developing countries) by 2050 to meet the
needs of growing population which would exceed 9 billion at that time?
Yes! In principle ,we must
Majority of it (91 %) has to come from existing arable land through agricultural research and
yield increase,
But…. many constrains and uncertainties7
Learning from the Human development Report 2013
• Rising economic strength in the South, but need for filling the gap , promote equity and create safety nets
• Promoting regional institutions to facilitate regional integration and S-S Cooperation
• Building multi-stakeholder consultation mechanism, and just and fair Governance
• Learning from the success of emerging economies in the South
Learning from Brazilian experienceZero Hunger Programme
• Pro-hunger, pro-poor policy ( eradicating hunger and fighting poverty became key Govt. objectives and integrated in Brazil’s macroeconomic policy , and created a national food and nutrition security policy)
• Increase in minimum wage, guarantee the right to land, promote gender equality, support to family farming production
• Greater access to social security system, particularly to social welfare benefits and Family Grant programme, Food Card programme, Food Acquisition programme, etc.
• Involvement of civil society and entrepreneurs
10