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21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric mobility in public transport” Confidential document for discussion only

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Page 1: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

21.04.2017

Deployment of electric buses in India

Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric mobility in public

transport”

Confidential document for discussion only

Page 2: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

2

Electric Mobility Alliance is one of its kind initiative launched in late 2016 to accelerate adoption of electric mobility in India

It is the thought leadership platform that

brings all stakeholders together with singular

objective of accelerating adoption of electric

mobility in India.

Confidential document

Page 3: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

Milestones

Leveraging our strengths in

operating renewable energy

projects and understanding of the

power sector, we have pioneered

the introduction of electric buses in

India

• Business case for introduction of electric buses in Bengalaru

• Part of consortium awarded supply of 25 electrc buses in the state of Himachal Pradesh, a first in the country

• Electric bus demonstration successfully conducted in October 2016 on Manali-Rohtangroad – highest altitude for an electric bus

• Collaboration with leading electric bus manufacturers to build ecosystem for electric bus in India

Mytrah NN4Energy 3

Mytrah NN4Energy team is pioneering commercial introduction of

electric buses in IndiaMidi bus successfully operated over a month on Manali – Rohtangmarking the successful trial at the highest ever altitude as on date for an electric bus

Publications and thought leadership

Page 4: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

4Confidential document

Why are electric buses not taking off in India in a big way?

Page 5: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

5Confidential document

• Electric bus are expensive. Why should we do it?

• Can technology support my operational duty cycles?

• How will my organization mange this new technology?

• What is policy of Government of India for promoting adoption of

electric buses?

Voice of customer

Page 6: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

6Confidential document

Are electric buses expensive?

We aim to match Year 1 rates for Electric bus at par with that of Volvo but with time,

E-bus rates will be lower than the cost of running Volvo bus factoring in more stringent

environmental norms & increasing fuel cost

Bus Hiring Rate Comparison

– APSRTC v/s Volvo hire v/s Ebus

94

89

85

74

71

80

105

95

8986

70

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

Ye

ar

4

98

7578

103

Ye

ar

11

78

Ye

ar

8

83

92

Ye

ar

6

Ye

ar

7

Ye

ar

5

Ye

ar

9

Ye

ar

10

82

Ye

ar

2

Ye

ar

3

68

73

Ye

ar

1

68

101

Ye

ar

14

Ye

ar

15

Ye

ar

12

108

Ye

ar

13

98

Ebus

Volvo

61.00

68.90

67.00

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Volvo hiringfor STU as

per ASRTC

7.20Ebus

APSRTC

68.20

Electricity Cost*

*Electricity cost currently @6/- per unit.

Actual rates may vary as per realization

2-3X180 - 260

AC Diesel bus E-bus

60-100

Capital cost of E-bus is 2-3 times of

Diesel AC bus

INR Lacs

24-30

E-bus

2-3X

6-12

AC Diesel bus

Operating cost of E-bus is 65% lower than

that of Diesel AC bus

INR / KM

Let’s think INR / km

instead of INR / busYEAR 1

Cost

*Hiring Cost of Volvo – Rs 39.5/-

Operating cost of Volvo – Rs 24.6/-

Current Diesel Price – Rs 59/-

MVT – Rs 3.9/-

We aim to match Year 1 rates for Electric bus at par with that of Volvo but with time,

E-bus rates will be lower than the cost of running Volvo bus factoring in more stringent

environmental norms & increasing fuel cost

Bus Hiring Rate Comparison

– STU v/s Volvo hire v/s Ebus

94

89

85

74

71

80

105

95

8986

70

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

103

Ye

ar

9

98

Ye

ar

11

Ye

ar

5

78

82

101

Ye

ar

6

Ye

ar

8

98

Ye

ar

7

Ye

ar

15

108

Ye

ar

12

Ye

ar

10

Ye

ar

14

Ye

ar

13

92

83

Ye

ar

1

68

78

73

Ye

ar

2

Ye

ar

4

Ye

ar

3

75

68

Ebus

Volvo

61.00

68.90

67.00

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

STU

7.20

Volvo hiringfor STU as

per ASRTC

Ebus 68.20

Electricity Cost*

*Electricity cost currently @6/- per unit.

Actual rates may vary as per realization

60-100

AC Diesel bus

2-3X

E-bus

180 - 260

Capital cost of E-bus is 2-3 times of

Diesel AC bus

INR Lacs

2-3X

AC Diesel bus E-bus

6-12

24-30

Operating cost of E-bus is 65% lower than

that of Diesel AC bus

INR / KM

YEAR 1

Cost

*Hiring Cost of Volvo – Rs 39.5/-

Operating cost of Volvo – Rs 24.6/-

Current Diesel Price – Rs 59/-

MVT – Rs 3.9/-

Page 7: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

7

Voice of customer: Can technology support my operational duty cycles?

Confidential document

Page 8: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

8

Manpower cost and fuel cost account for more than 60-85% of the total cost of STU depending on the bus model

75.0

67.1

0.6

1.3

3.8

25.9

7.9

8.1

8.7

9.6

9.1

Conductor

Cost without

conductor

Insurance

Allocated

Overhead

Total

Cost

Interest

Cost

Maintenance

Cost

Capital

Cost

Driver

Motor Vehicle

Tax

Operating

Cost

Volvo price assumed at INR. 90 lac

Annual run of ~1 lac kms for ~350 days operations

Diesel assumed @INR. 57 per liter, Mileage @2.2 KMPL

All values in INR per km

35%

5%

1%

11%

25%

13%

12%

Fuel cost

Motor vehicle tax

Insurance

Maintenance cost

Manpower

Capital cost

Interest cost

Estimated Cost build-up of premium AC low

floor 12m for daily fleet run of ~270 kms

Cost breakup for premium AC low floor

12m Bus

Page 9: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

9

Electric buses should offer similar duty cycles as diesel buses for STU to have flexible operations and no additional cost

DAILY FLEET AVERAGE ACROSS STUs – 9m

>200.0DTC,

Delhi NCR

APSRTC,Andhra Pradesh

>300.0TSRTC,

Telengana

~230.0BMTC,

Bengaluru

>300.0

Avg. fleet Run (kms)

DAILY FLEET AVERAGE ACROSS STUs – 12m

HRTC,Himachal Pradesh

130.0 – 160.0

BEST,Mumbai

~190.0

Avg. fleet Run (kms)

The typical operational requirement for STUs for intracity operations with 12m buses is around 200 – 300 kilometres. Many STUs have routes with average daily run in excess of 300 Kms

Confidential document

Larger

battery

packs

Fast

charging

Opportunity

charging

Page 10: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

10

Appropriate solutions can be determined based on Total system cost and not just cost of the bus

Overhead

Cost

manpower

at

charging

station

Maintenance

Cost

Bus Cost Depot

electricity

infra

Electricity

supply infra

augmentation

Operating

Cost

Total Cost

Operating

Cost

Bus Cost Total CostMaintenance

Cost

depot

Charging

infra Cost

Overhead

Cost

Larg

e B

att

ery

pa

ck (

nig

ht

tim

e d

ep

ot

ch

arg

ing

) ILLLUSTRATIVE

Confidential document

Fa

st c

ha

rgin

g

(mu

ltip

le in

tra

da

y c

ha

rgin

g)

Op

po

rtu

nity

ch

arg

ing

(ev

ery

fe

w b

us

sto

ps)

Overhead

Cost

dedicated

route

Maintenance

Cost

Bus Cost Land at

bus stops

dedicated

electricity

supply

infra

Operating

Cost

Total Cost

Page 11: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

11

Voice of customer: How will my organization manage this new technology?

Confidential document

Page 12: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

NN4 Energy 12

• Capital Investment

• Day to day Operations planning & execution

• Service & Maintenance

• Driver training & availability

• Training & Capability activities

• Charging Infrastructure sourcing & procurement

• Schedule Availability & Planning

• Depot Availability

• Space Charging Infrastructure

• Electricity for Charging

• Ticketing

Activities to be covered for successful

deploymentOperator scope STU Scope

Gross cost contract allows STUs to deploy electric buses at scale

without technology risks and need for capacity building

Page 13: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

13

Focus on higher utilization and scale of deployment enable lower VGF for electric buses

Impact of economies of scale on cost VGF requirement based on scale95

78

66

0

20

40

60

80

100

50 Buses100 Buses150 Buses

VG

F

135

9066

0

50

100

150

180 - 220

Annual Fleet Average, Kms

VG

FR

eq

uire

me

nt

280 - 330 220 - 270

VGF for 150 12m premium AC Ebuses basis scheduled km/dayIN

R in

La

cs

pe

r b

us

INR

in L

ac

s p

er

bu

s

Capital cost

Operating cost

Financing cost

Maintenance cost

Spare cost

Training cost

Overhead cost

High impact Confidential document

Page 14: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

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What is the policy framework for encouraging adoption of electric buses?

Confidential document

Page 15: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

15

Policy framework for deployment of electric buses should primarily focus on outcome and not be prescriptive

1.

2.

3.

Utility scale deployment

with long term policy

roadmap

Generation based

incentives or performance

linked VGF

Encourage private sector

participation

4.

Technology agnostic

approach and outcome

focus

Insights from solar success in India

Deployment at scale

Gross cost contract

model

Encourage competition

across value chain

Let policy evolve based

on initial success

Be technology and

feature agnostic

Policy framework for electric bus

Long term policy

support to enable

investment

Outcome focus: Focus

on daily utilization

Page 16: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

16

Policy roadmap should start with focusing on quick success to catalyse ecosystem for future growth

Deployment at scale

Gross cost contract

model

Encourage competition

across value chain

Let policy evolve based

on initial success

Be technology and

feature agnostic

Long term policy

support to enable

investment

Outcome focus: Focus

on daily utilization

• Set fixed VGF (capital) amount for initial two

years. VGF to be revised after two years based on success of initial set of projects

• Performance linked VGF to allow scale deployment

• Encourage STUs to go for deployment to establish performance benchmarks for further policy review

• Support STUs proposals for faster implementation and buy in

• A 2x growth every year would take deployment to 25000 buses

• Yr1: 1000; Yr2: 2000; Yr3 4000, Yr4 8000; Yr5: 16000

Page 17: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

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A refund mechanism for VGF (capital) in case of non performance of electric buses would ensure performance & hence impact

Year of default (From date of

deployment of bus on the road)

DHI’s right to refund of VGF/

claim on assets (% of VGF paid)

Up to 1 year 100%

1-2 years 80%

2-3 years 60%

3-4 years 40%

4-5 years 20%

5-6 years 0%

1. At least 25% of buses fleet is not able to able to run more than 200km on single

charge under standard driving conditions.

2. If the fleet availability is less than 65% on an annual basis for any 1 year of

operations in the first 5 years

Non-performance is defined as either:

Confidential document

Page 18: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

18Confidential document

• Gross cost contract model is most suitable for deployment at scale of

electric buses

• Electric buses need to provide similar duty cycle for identified routes to

be cost competitive for STU

• GOI policy framework should be outcome focus in terms of bus

deployment and not be prescriptive to catalyse ecosystem

• There is need for some quick deployment cases to establish

performance benchmark for future scale up

• A refund mechanism for VGF (Capital) would ensure accountability

and performance of electric bus technology by operators

Conclusion

Page 19: Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of ... · PDF file21.04.2017 Deployment of electric buses in India Presentation for National workshop on “introduction of electric

19

Thank you

[email protected] SAS Tower, Medicity, Sector 38 Gurgaon 122018

Confidential document