presented by jon groussman, j.d., president and coo, cap ...€¦ · disclaimer:the findings in...

Presented byJon Groussman, J.D., President and COO, CAP Index

Basia Pietrawska, Vice President, Crime Intelligence Analysis, CAP Index

LPRC Houston Robbery SummitJuly 27, 2016

Disclaimer: The findings in this report are intended to provide a basis of understanding forthe reader on the issues presented. The information is not to be construed or used as asubstitute for specific legal advice and may not reflect an analysis of all relevant variablesor the operational feasibility of the considerations presented. Individuals seeking legaladvice for a particular problem or issue should obtain advice from an attorney of theirchoosing.

All materials herein are to be considered confidential and privileged. Do not distribute nordisseminate without permission of CAP Index, Inc. or the participating members of thestudy.

WHAT ABOUT RETAILINDUSTRY CRIME?

ABOUT THE ANALYSIS

2013 - May 2016 Robbery

Data obtained from the Houston Police Department: http://www.houstontx.gov/police/cs/stats2.htm

PREMISES INFORMATION Premises information is missing

for a portion of reported incidents, with certain months in 2014 having a higher concentration of missing information. For this reason, 2014 counts for the retail segment and retail sub-segments should be taken with caution.

Premises Type2013 - May

2016 Robbery

Adult Book Store or Newsstand 34Book, Record, Stationary, Office Supplies 3Clothing Store 98Convenience Store 696Convenience Store Parking Lot 786Department or Discount Store 551Drug Store or Medical Supply 219Electronics Store, Electrical Supplies 167Furniture, Appliances, Radios, TV Store 12Garden Supply, Nursery, Florist 1Grocery Store or Supermarket 473Grocery Store or Supermarket Parking Lot 569Jewelry Stores 20Liquor Store 47Liquor Store Parking Lot 20Mall Common Area 46Mall Parking Lot 220Pawn, Resale Shop, or Flea Market 73Service or Gas Station 1149Specialty Store (Non-Specific) 337Sporting Goods or Gun Shops 5Toys, Arts Craft,Musical, Bike,Pet Stores 3Vehicle/Auto Sales/Lease/Auto Parts Store 73Video Rental & Sales 14

PREMISES CATEGORIZATIONAll Locations

Convenience Stores

Department or Discount Stores

Drugstores or Medical Supplies

Grocery Stores or Supermarkets

Retail Locations

Convenience Store Parking Lots

Electronics Stores or Electrical Supplies

Grocery Store or Supermarket Parking

Lots

TEMPORAL PATTERNS

2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

1,663 1,4531,839

747 661

Retail Locations

ROBBERY – BY YEAR

2013 2014 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

9,874 9,990 10,2783,993 3,954

All Locations

*Due to having a higher concentration of missing premises information, 2014 figures should be taken with caution.

2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

283185

246

92 72


ROBBERY – BY YEAR

2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

96 166331

135 103

Convenience Stores


2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

73 55 64 28 27


2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

61 50 36 24 20


ROBBERY – BY YEAR

2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

149 132 19098 80



2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

184130

189

66 66

Grocery Store or Supermarket Parking Lots

ROBBERY – BY YEAR

2013 2014* 2015 JAN-MAY 2015

JAN-MAY 2016

202 131 103 39 37



ROBBERY – BY MONTH (BASED ON 2015 DATA ONLY)

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

8.4%6.1%

7.5% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.5% 9.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.4%9.7%

All Locations


8.1% 7.1%8.5% 7.8% 9.1% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.0%

6.6%9.0%

Retail Locations



6.3% 6.0%

12.7%7.9% 7.9%

11.5% 10.3%7.6%

5.4%

9.4%6.9% 8.2%

Convenience Stores


6.9%9.3%

5.3%

8.9%6.9%

12.2%

6.1%

11.8%8.1% 7.7% 6.9%

9.8%




8.9% 10.0% 9.5%7.9%

15.3% 10.0%7.9% 7.4%

4.2%7.4%

3.2%

8.4%



7.8%9.4%

4.7% 4.7%

17.2% 10.9%

6.3%

17.2%

6.3%7.8%

3.1%4.7%



19.4% 13.9% 16.7% 11.1%

5.6%

11.1% 11.1%

0.0%

5.6%

0.0%

5.6%

0.0%




8.7%6.8%

8.7% 7.8%5.8%

11.7%7.8% 8.7% 9.7%

7.8% 6.8%9.7%



5.3% 5.3%7.9%

6.3%

10.1%6.9%

12.2%8.5%

13.8%

5.8% 5.8%

12.2%


MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN

14.5% 13.1% 13.7% 13.1% 14.5% 15.8% 15.4%

All Locations

ROBBERY – BY DAY OF WEEKMost likely

on Saturday.


14.1% 13.7% 14.2% 14.0% 14.9% 15.5% 13.7%

Retail Locations

Most likely on

Saturday.


15.2% 13.4%16.1%

12.5% 14.4% 15.4%13.1%

Convenience Stores


14.8%12.8% 14.5% 13.6% 15.1% 15.8%

13.4%



on Wednesday.

Most likely on Saturday.


14.0% 12.9%15.8%

13.2%15.2% 16.2%

12.7%



12.3%14.6% 16.0% 14.2% 13.7% 15.5% 13.7%



11.4%14.4%

9.6%

15.0% 25.1% 17.4%

7.2%



ROBBERY – BY DAY OF WEEK

Most likely on

Wednesday.

Most likely on Friday.


11.8%14.8% 17.3%

13.5% 15.2%11.2%

16.1%Grocery Stores or Supermarkets


13.5% 14.8%12.0%

13.9% 13.7%17.0% 15.1%



on Wednesday.


0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

6%4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%

7%8% 8% 7%

All Locations

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

3%2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 6%6%

Retail Locations

ROBBERY – BY HOUR

Most prevalent in the late evening

hours.


hours.

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1%2% 3% 3%

4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4%6%

8%9% 11%

8%

Convenience Stores

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

7%4%

3%4%

3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%4% 5% 4% 3% 4%

5% 4% 4%7% 7% 8%8%


ROBBERY – BY HOURMost prevalent in the late evening

hours.


hours.

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3%5% 6% 5%

8% 7% 7% 7% 6%10% 11%12%

7%

1% 1%


0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

5%4%

1% 1% 0%2% 1%

3% 3%5% 4%

7%5%

3%5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7%

5%7% 7%

4%


ROBBERY – BY HOURMost prevalent in the afternoon and

evening hours.

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%3%

5%2%

11% 11%8%

10%8%

12%9%10%

8%

1% 0%0%


Most prevalent in the afternoon and

evening hours.

Most prevalent in the afternoon and

early evening hours.

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

1% 1%2% 1% 1% 1%

2% 3% 3%4% 4% 5%

8% 7% 7% 8%6%

5%

8%5% 5% 6% 6%

2%


0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

4%1% 2% 2%

0%1%

0%2% 2% 3% 4%

5% 6% 5%7%

5%

9%

5%7% 6%

7% 6% 7%5%


ROBBERY – BY HOUR

Most prevalent in the afternoon

and evening hours.

Most prevalent in the afternoon

and evening hours.

CRIME RISK IN HOUSTON, TX

2015 – May 2016 Houston Retail Robbery

0.3% 4.1% 21.9%

73.7%

All Locations

0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

ROBBERY BY CAP INDEX RISK CATEGORY

The vast majority of robberies occurred

in socially disorganized

neighborhoods, as measured by CAP

Index Scores.

0.3% 4.9% 27.2%67.5%

Retail Locations

0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

0.0% 4.0% 25.1%

70.9%

Convenience Stores

0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000





Index Scores.

0.0% 1.7% 21.5%

76.9%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

0.0% 4.8% 28.8%66.4%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000





Index Scores.

1.5% 7.0%38.2%

53.3%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

0.0% 2.8%32.4%

64.8%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%

1.9% 4.1% 28.4%65.6%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000





Index Scores.

0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%

0.6% 4.5% 28.9%66.0%


0-99 100-199 200-399 400-2000

POST INCIDENT RESPONSE

Jon Groussman, J.D.President and COO, CAP Index, Inc.

Email: [email protected]: 239.248.4455

Basia PietrawskaVice President, Crime Intelligence Analysis, CAP Index, Inc.

Email: [email protected]: 267.506.6237

presented by jon groussman, j.d., president and coo, cap ...€¦ · disclaimer:the findings in...

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