presented by paolo molinari - european commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... ·...

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Presented by Paolo Molinari - and the contribution of Claudio Groff, Anja Jobin, Marko Jonozovic, Eric Marboutin, Francesca Marucco, Georg Rauer and Tomaz Skrbinsek.

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Page 1: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Presented by Paolo Molinari - and the contribution of Claudio Groff, Anja Jobin, Marko Jonozovic, Eric Marboutin, Francesca Marucco, Georg Rauer and Tomaz Skrbinsek.

Page 2: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

- Brief introduction to Alpine Convention and WISO Platform

- The status of large carnivores

- Biologic

- Legislation

- Social

- Changing attitudes . . . Exploring human tolerance

Structure of the presentation

Page 3: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The Alpine Convention is an international territorial treaty between the Alpine Countries (Austria, France, Germany, Italy, Liechtenstein, Monaco, Slovenia and Switzerland) as well as the EU, for the sustainable development and protection of natural environment of the Alps.

www.alpconv.org

Page 4: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

WORKING GROUPS AND PLATFORMS

The Permanent Committee establishes ad-hoc Working Groups and Platforms according to the current needs and takes over their coordination. Working Groups and Platforms support and work on different topics related to sustainable development and natural environment protection.

Page 5: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

WORKING GROUPS AND PLATFORMS

Their responsibility consists of developing new protocols, recommendations and implementing measures, study ongoing developments as well as reporting progress to the Alpine Conference and Permanent Committee.

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WORKING GROUPS AND PLATFORMS

Currently there are 9 different platforms . . . and one of these is WISO – Wildlife and Society . . .

Page 7: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

. . . the Platform of Alpine Convention on Large Carnivores, Wild Ungulates

and Society

Page 8: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Talking about - and working with - large carnivores means to deal with different issues: - Management and Conservation of brown bear, wolf and lynx means deal with people, deal with different human cultures, interest groups and stakeholder, perceptions and attitudes. Finally deal on different level . . . .

Page 9: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

. . . in fact the figure “large carnivore" contains three characters: - there is a "physical-biological carnivore", a "political-legislative carnivore" and a "social-emotional carnivore“ . . .

Page 10: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The biologic status of large carnivores in the Alps. Abundance, distruibution, population trend . . . .

Page 11: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected
Page 12: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Confined in the Central-Southeastern Alps . . .

Page 13: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

. . . and devided in 2 subpopulations . . . and some dispersing animals.

TN

SEA

Dinaric Source

Population

Page 14: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

TN Trentino «Subpopulation»

The estimated population in 2016 ranges from 49 to 66 individuals cubs included.

Foto Muse/PAT

Page 15: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Population trend (young and adult)

Page 16: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Distribuzione 2016 (n. 1217)

The occupied area only increases modestly, and the females remain in the central area.

ADIGE River

Page 17: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Uso del territorio

La densità registrata nella core area è

pari a 3,2 orsi/kmq

• In 2016 only 3 bear out of Province (M4, M29, M19)

• In 2016 only 3 bear out of Italy (M22, M18, M31))

Page 18: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

SEA South Eastern Alps occurrence = Northwestern expansion of Dinaric Population

The estimated population in 2016 ranges from 12 to 18 individuals.

Page 19: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The occupied area is the triangle region Italy-Austria Slovenia. No female present and no repruduction in this area.

Page 20: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Running project on bear conservation: -

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Wolf presence in the Alps

Page 23: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

In a substantial part of the Alps the wolf is present. But with very different numbers, densities and population dynamics.

In the French Alps and the Western Italian Alps, the wolf appears massively with numerous packs and constant reproduction.

Page 24: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Wolves are present in Switzerland as well , where they also appear in some packs and reproduce.

Other individuals appear in the central eastern Alps from Trentino to Friuli and Slovenia and with some erratic individuals also present in the Austrian Alps.

Page 25: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Wolf monitoring is the result of a coordinated operation. Here the example of the Italian Alps with focus on the Piedmont region.

1. Coordinated Monitoring Strategy 2. Training operators - Network Lupo Alpi and sampling effort 3. Results 2014-15 and 2015-16 with update 2016-17

Page 26: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

In 2015-2016 were detected:

31 packs

8 pairs

5 solitary individual

for a total of at least 188 wolves

Page 27: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

But the situation is dynamic and constantly changing. For example, the central and eastern current situation is that . . . the wolf's expansion continues to the east . . .

Page 28: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

LIFE presentation 28

Page 29: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected
Page 30: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

This ist the result of the transboundary

coordination over the Alps:

The Wolf Alpine Group (WAG) – Last workshop was held in October 2015 . . .

Page 31: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made.

What can be expected then?

Probably we approach the 50 packs and a total number of about 300 individuals ? ? ?

For now they remain rough estimates - have to wait until the new data processing within the WAG. Certainly, the wolf population continues to grow numerically and expand.

Page 32: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

LIFE12 NAT IT 000807 LIFE WOLFALPS

LIFE + Nature

Running project on wolf conservation: -

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Lynx presence in the Alps

v

Page 35: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Monitoring is coordinated at the Alpine level and follows severe and standardized criteria.

Page 36: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The main part of the Alpine

population lives in the

northwestern Swiss Alps.

The estimate is 120 – 150

individuals.

A second subpopulation is given by the French

occurrence with an estimate of ca. 15 individuals,

and a third one in the Austria Kalkalpen with an

estimate of 6 to 8 individuals.

Page 37: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

An additional occurrence is

that of Friuli / Tarvisiano.

In sharp decline and now

reduced to a few single

individuals.

Also the situation of the Slovenian Alps is very

precarious, with an estimate of only a few individuals

and lack of reproduction.

Page 38: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

This dramatic situation in the South-eastern Alps (as well as that of the Dinaric Mountains) has resulted in an important conservation project being launched that will also target the release of 14 individuals.

LIFE LYNX

LIFE16 NAT/SI/000634

Page 39: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Trend of the large carnivore populations in the Alps: - ___________________________________________

TN

SEA

CH

Page 40: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

What happens at the legal status level? The state of protection of the 3 species? ____________________________________________ Something is changing. For instance, it is argued that the protection status in the various national and international laws is to be lightened. For example, to downplay the wolf in the Berne Convention. Most of these . . . for now . . . are just proposals, but something is changing!

Page 41: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

And what happens at the social status level? Of the popularity index of these species - or rather - of the degree of tolerance? ____________________________________________

Even in this case something is changing. In some areas also drastically.

Page 42: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

For example the establishment of the «Brigade Loup», with the aim of shooting and regulating the wolf in France

Page 43: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected
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In South Tirol high level of emotions, zero tolerance for wolves “attacking children” and “destroying the province's economy” . . .

Page 45: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The same level of emotions in Lessinia, in the Veronese . . .

Page 46: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Much depends on the perceptions and beliefs. If people belief that there are too many large carnivores, for example bears, will result with expectations of population size control – and the level of tolerance will decrease.

Page 47: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Certainly this is also linked to the level of damage. If they are too high, then the level of tolerance falls.

In the Alps the social status is changing in the sense that they increase the demands of "large carnivore free zone” areas: - in many areas the level of tolerance is close to zero! The most opposing categories are clearly the ones living closest to these species, namely breeders and hunters. The less tolerant areas where these species are absent for the longest time.

Page 48: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

It is also interesting to observe the tolerance status in the presence of 1 species, 2 species, or all 3 species. Bear and lynx, individually or even together, tend to be tolerated, excluding exceptions. However, when the wolf appears, the situation changes drastically and often the tolerance level also affects the other two species.

Page 49: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

The example from Bear in Trentino: - as the density increases and accidents occur, the social capacity of bears falls drastically . . .

Page 50: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

24/10/14

The social context • dramatic decrease in public support for bear

presence in Trentino

75,4

16,2

8,5

73,2

20,6

6,2

30,3

64,6

5,2

0 20 40 60 80 100

Favorevole

Contrario

Astenuti/indecisi

1997 2003 2011

In favor in 1997

In favor in 2003

In favor in 2011

INQUIRY MADE BY

Page 51: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Generally the trend and origin of the rejection are the same. But there are also positive cases. The example is a “Life lynx” conservation project which also includes active measures such as population-reinforcement with animal release. In Slovenia hunters are an active partner. This leaves us well to hope . . .

Page 52: Presented by Paolo Molinari - European Commissionec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation... · Current estimates at the Alpine level have not yet been made. What can be expected

Finally . . . the story of the return of large carnivores in the Alps after their disappearance is in fact a story of success. But many of the problems of the past still exist today. The process is in full swing and will take some time. The conservation process is a constant up and down . . . the work to do is still a lot . . .

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