FEWS NET

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FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect

the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government

PRICE WATCH June 2014 Prices July 31, 2014

KEY MESSAGES

In West Africa, large producers and traders increased sales of last year’s remaining stocks with the onset or progression of rains throughout the region. Prices were stable or declining with the exception of deficit areas of Niger and Chad. Record-high rice and wheat imports from international markets reinforced food availability in Senegal and Mauritania (Pages 3-5).

In East Africa, sorghum prices increased more quickly than usual due to constrained trade flows during the lean season in northern and eastern South Sudan, southern Somalia, Darfur and South Kordofan States of Sudan. Maize prices declined seasonably across most markets in Tanzania, Uganda and the areas of Ethiopia dependent on the February-to-June (Belg) rains. Livestock prices declined in some pastoral and agro-pastoral markets due to poor animal body conditions following varied performance of March to May rains (Pages 6-9).

In Southern Africa, staple food prices declined or remained stable as the harvest season continued. Regional food availability is average to above-average. Maize prices were generally below their respective 2013 levels. In Zambia, the removal of the subsidy on the Federal Reserve Agency’s maize selling price and increased transportation costs since 2013 kept maize meal prices relatively high (Pages 9-12).

In Haiti, staple food prices were stable due to adequate food availability countrywide following early local harvests. In Central America, red bean prices increased atypically from December through June in Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador due to a below-average Primera harvest and increased regional and export demand. Local and imported rice prices remained stable throughout the region. Global coffee prices increased by over 64 percent since December 2013 due to poor harvests prospects in key exporting countries (Pages 12-14).

In Central Asia, wheat grain and flour availability was good region-wide in June. Prices were stable but above the recent five-year average (Pages 14-15).

International rice prices remained stable in June 2014 (Figure 2). Maize and wheat prices declined due to positive supply outlooks for 2014/15. The probability of an El Nino occurring in 2014 continues to rise, and could affect global staple food production in late 2014 and early 2015. Crude oil prices were stable (Pages 2-3).

Figure 1. FEWS NET regional price indices and FAO Food Price Index,

April 2009 – June 2014

Sources: FAO and FEWS NET.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available

in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Program (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.

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INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Current situation

International rice prices remained stable in June and were almost 25 percent lower than their respective 2013 levels (FAO). Crop conditions varied, with mostly favorable conditions except some concerns about dryness in parts of Thailand, and excessive wet conditions in some parts of China (AMIS). Availability began to tighten last month with the suspension of rice sales from public stocks by the Thai Government. Global rice production is still expected to remain at above average levels in 2014, and global rice trade is projected to reach record high levels (InterRice).

World maize prices dropped slightly in June and were significantly lower (by approximately 30 percent) than their respective 2013 levels due to favorable crop prospects in key maize producing and exporting countries, especially the United States, China, and several countries in South America (AMIS and FAO). U.S. maize export prices dropped to their lowest levels in almost four years with increasing stocks and expectations of a bumper harvest. Argentina, Brazil, and Black Sea prices also declined (USDA FAS). Weather conditions remain favorable in both the northern and southern hemispheres (AMIS).

International wheat prices declined in June as global production prospects remained positive and concerns over the political tensions in the Black Sea region eased (FAO and AMIS). Conditions remain mostly favorable in the E.U., Russia, Ukraine, and China. There are some concerns over drought and frequent rains in the U.S. and Canada, respectively, possibly leading to slight reductions in production (AMIS). Expectations of large volumes of global carryover stocks from 2013 and favorable 2014 global growing conditions (especially in the E.U.) have kept prices from rising (AMIS and FAO).

World soybean prices were steady in June. Conditions are favorable in the southern hemisphere, where the harvest is almost finished and is expected to be a record level, as well as in the northern hemisphere as the season is just beginning (AMIS).

International crude oil prices are stable. Oil supply decreases in Iran, Libya, and Nigeria from January March 2014 were offset by increases in output from Iraq and Saudi Arabia (World Bank).

Outlook

Global rice production is expected to reach an all-time high in 2014, resulting in ample global stocks and stable prices. The global production forecast was adjusted upwards last month due to higher output expectations from Myanmar, Pakistan, and Tanzania. However, potential El Nino effects could affect production in Asia. World rice trade is also expected to reach record high levels. (InterRice and AMIS).

The 2014/15 global maize production forecast increased due to improved prospects in China, the E.U., and the U.S. (IGC and AMIS). Although global maize demand is projected to expand, large inventories in China, Argentina, Brazil, the E.U., and the U.S. indicate that world ending stocks will increase for the fourth consecutive year, reaching the highest level in 15 years (IGC, AMIS, USDA FAS). Trade in 2014/15 is expected to decline from 2013/14 due to a possible reduction of imports by the E.U. (AMIS).

The 2014 world wheat production forecast increased in June due to improved prospects in the E.U., Brazil, India, China, and Russia (IGC and AMIS). Global trade is expected to be below the record volumes of 2013 due to smaller wheat purchases by China and Brazil. Global stock projections were adjusted slightly downwards based on reductions in inventories of China, Canada, Iraq, and Russia (AMIS).

FEWS NET will continue to monitor the implications of the possibility of below-average rainfall trends in India for global rice markets, as well as in Kazakhstan for wheat markets (India Meteorological Department and USGS).

Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international markets,

April 2009 – June 2014

Sources: FAO and World Bank.

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The global soybean production forecast still indicates record global output and trade levels in 2013/14, but was adjusted downwards slightly based on lower than expected harvest in Brazil. Global trade is also expected to increase due to higher import demand from China. The effects of lower stock forecasts for Brazil and the U.S. were offset by higher stock estimates for Argentina and India. Overall stocks are forecast to rise (AMIS).

International crude oil prices are expected to decline slightly due to expanded output in non-traditional exporting countries. Non-OPEC oil production is expected to continue to rise, encouraged by high prices and innovative technique exploration. However, fuel prices will increase in some importing countries due to the depreciation of the local currency vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar and changing local fuel price policies.

Staple food price trends across the FEWS NET countries will vary considerably in the coming months in response to local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 1). Fuel price trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation to the U.S. Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.

WEST AFRICA

Current Situation

West Africa: The agricultural production season set in throughout the coastal Soudanian and bimodal areas of the region since April/May. The rains had not yet set in throughout the Sahel in June. Nevertheless, markets functioned normally in June due to adequate availability of supplies in the region's wholesale markets and regular trade flows between the surplus and deficit areas. The onset of rains in the Soudanian zones of the central and eastern basins assured adequate market availability. Households in the Sahelian zones of the region have also started selling off remaining stocks to help finance agricultural input purchases, as they normally do at this time of year. Market supplies are generally above-average during the current lean season, but declining with the progression of the lean season. Large-scale long distance trade flows between structurally surplus and deficit areas of the region have increased in recent months. Trade flows from Nigeria toward Niger (Maradi and Konni) are taking place at normal levels, whereas Boko-Haram related market disruptions in northeastern Nigeria have restrained trade flows towards Diffa and increased marketing costs into that structurally deficit area. The presence of refugees from the Central African Republic (CAR) in the border areas of Chad coupled with production deficit in the Sahelian part of Chad have put upward pressure on markets in recent months. The central basin continues to supply the deficit areas of western Niger, with Burkina Faso consistently supplying the area with maize and Mali supplying the area with sorghum over the past four months due to the availability of low and stable prices in the central basin’s surplus-producing areas. In the western basin, this year’s production shortfalls have been offsets by record levels of rice and wheat imports into Senegal and Mauritania. Limited exports of sorghum from Mali toward the rain fed agricultural areas of Mauritania have likewise improved market supplies in border areas. Price trends varied by marketing basin and commodity depending on the local balance between market supply and demand. Prices were stable in most markets between April and June at a time when prices typically begin rising in April as stocks begin to deplete. However, food prices did begin rising in the region’s structurally deficit areas in June. Staple food prices were generally lower than their respective 2013 and five-year average levels in central basin due to good production in 2013/14, particularly for maize. In the Eastern and Western basins, production was generally lower than their historical levels (for millet and sorghum in particular) and prices are generally higher than their historical levels. Millet and sorghum prices increased slightly in some areas with increased demand during Ramadan.

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• Maize prices were stable or declined between May and June and compared to the five-year average in the central basin where trader stocks are well above-average. Ample grain availability is attributed to good production in 2013, but also lower than anticipated institutional purchases earlier in the year. Maize prices were stable compared to the previous months across much of the eastern basin, but are above-average in the eastern part of Niger, Nigeria, and Chad due to the effects localized grain deficits and market disruptions.

• Millet production continued to decline regionally in 2013/14 (20 percent below the five-year average), while household-level demand remains strong. Sorghum production was up to 30 percent below-average in the western basin. Millet and sorghum prices are generally higher than their respective 2013 and five-year average levels, particularly in the eastern and western basins. Millet trade flows within the region are average to below-average. Sorghum stocks in the western basin have depleted much earlier than normal in the western basin results in particularly sharp price increases. Sorghum and millet demand increased slightly in June and July during Ramadan when both are consumed.

• Pasture quality and availability remained problematic in the pastoral areas of the Sahel in June, particularly in Niger and Burkina Faso. Despite the onset of some rains in May and June, grassland growth remains below average. Local uneven rainfall in June extended the lean season for animals in some areas and livestock body conditions are below-average, particularly among poor households. In urban and peri-urban areas, livestock feed is largely assured through agricultural residues, cultivated forage, and agro-industrial byproducts. Supplies of livestock with very good body conditions are relatively low. In Chad, livestock supply has increased atypically in recent months due to the presence of pastoralists and agro-pastoralists from the CAR. Small ruminant prices have declined compared to previous months and were up to 16 percent below the five-year average in Moundou.

Eastern basin (Benin, Nigeria, Niger, and Chad): Staple food market supplies were average in June in the south western part of Niger due to the availability of imports from Burkina Faso, Mali, and Benin. Market supplies in Nigeria are largely assured through sales by large producers and traders ahead of the upcoming agricultural season. Subsidized food sales and early food distributions improved staple food availability in parts of central and eastern Niger and Chad. Market supplies are nevertheless estimated to be below-average in eastern Niger, north eastern Nigeria, and western Chad due to the combined effects of below-average production in those areas and market disruptions linked to civil insecurity. Market demand has increased in those same areas in recent months as household stocks deplete and they begin to rely increasingly on markets to meet their staple food needs, particularly in deficit areas of Chad. However, food prices have remained stable at high levels (above the five-year average) due to the availability of adequate trader stocks, trade flows, and ongoing interventions by governments and humanitarian organizations in deficit areas.

Figure 3. Price trends in selected markets in West

Africa

Note: the figures follow the marketing year in each country.

Sources: FEWS NET, OMA, ONASA, and the World Bank.

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Maize: Nominal retail prices in Bol, Chad

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Maize: Nominal retail prices in Malanville, Benin

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Nigeria: Large-scale producers and traders continued selling off their stocks to purchase inputs in June, which improved market supplies and contributed to stable and decreasing prices in many areas. Staple food availability was further reinforced by yam, cassava, and early maize harvests. Grain prices were stable or declining in many areas due to substitution toward these other foods. Market supplies remain limited and prices well-above their historical levels in conflict-affected areas, including Maiduguri and Damassak. Staple food (mainly maize) prices are well-below their respective 2013 levels due to improve overall availability in 2014 as the market recovered from the effects of last year’s flooding and aftermath. Benin: Maize prices were stable throughout the country in June, but declined slightly by six percent in Parakou due to increased market supplies. Maize prices remain below their respective 2013 and five-year average levels. Niger: Cereals supplies were assured through traders and regional markets. Market supplies were further reinforced as producers sold off their remaining stocks to purchase inputs and with subsidized sales and distributions by the governments in some communes. Indeed, the subsidized prices were approximately 2/3 of the prevailing market prices (13,000 FCFA/bag versus the market price of 20,000 FCFA/bag). Market supplies were therefore adequate despite increased market demand with the start of the lean season. Prices were therefore stable or declining in most places between May and June and compared to these respective 2013 levels. Prices have nevertheless increased progressively in some areas, including in Diffa due to localized production deficits in these areas and market access constraints between typical source areas of Nigeria. Prices are generally highest compared to their respective 2013 and five-year average levels in the eastern part of the country (Diffa, Zinder, and N’guigmi), where marketing corridors have been disrupted by Boko-Haram-related conflict. Prices are likewise lowest in the western part of the country, which is supplied by Benin and Burkina Faso, and to a lesser extent, Mali. Chad: Markets supplies and price levels varied by agro-ecological zone in June. Staple food markets are well supplied in the Soudanian zones of the country, where harvests were above-average and in the area surrounding Lake Chad where off-season maize harvests recently ended. Market demand increased in June in deficit areas of the country (largely in the Sahelian zones) where household stocks started to deplete and market demand increased. Government sales at nearly 50 percent of the prevailing market prices improve food availability and prevent steep price increases in some areas in June. Sorghum prices nevertheless increased by 11 percent in Mongo due to increased trader demand from Bitkine which experienced below-average production this year. Presence of refugees from the Central African Republic (CAR, approximately 100,000) put pressure on food availability among host communities, particularly in the areas of Mandoul, Moyen Chari, Logone Oriental, and Salamat. Grain prices in affected areas have therefore increased in recent months and compared to their respective 2013 levels. On the other hand, the presence of pastoral populations from the CAR increased livestock supplies in border ears, resulting in declining prices in Moundou and N’Djamena. Central Basin (Mali and Burkina Faso): Markets were well-supplied with grain from domestic stocks was well as recent local off season rice harvests. The availability of imports following ongoing harvests in coastal countries (Ghana and the Ivory Coast) further supported market availability in the Burkina Faso in June. Market supplies of local rice increased in Mali in June with off-season harvests in the Office du Niger (Ségou), and riverine areas of Timbuktu and Gao. Market demand increased in parts of Mali with increased household purchases during Ramadan and late ongoing institutional purchases. Domestic trade flows between the southern and northern regions increased in June as food needs among recently returned refugee and international displaced populations (IDPs) were not being met through relief distributions. Food availability in the Mali’s northern regions was assured through domestic production and imports from neighboring Algeria. Limited volumes of sorghum exports continued toward border areas of Niger and Mauritania. Prices in both Burkina Faso and Mali were stable between May and June and at or below their respective five-year average levels. Western basin (Senegal and Mauritania): Staple food production was generally below-average in 2013/14. Markets are largely supplied by record-high rice imports from international markets and limited volumes of regional sorghum and millet imports. Mauritania: Market supplies were largely assured by sorghum imports from Mali and Senegal and rice and wheat imports from international markets. Imports are expected to be well-above average in 2014 due to below-average national production in 2013/14. Imports from Mali increased marginally in June as Malian producers in border areas sold off stocks ahead of the agricultural season. Market demand increased slightly between May and June as the lean season progressed and with the start of Ramadan. Sorghum prices declined by seven percent in Adel Bagrou in June due to increased availability Malian imports. Sorghum prices increased by 17 percent in Nouakchott in June, but were generally stable at high levels elsewhere. Households began consuming more and more wheat in June as a substitute for locally produced sorghum due to increased availability from humanitarian distributions and relatively low prices compared to traditional grains (sorghum).

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Senegal: Trade flows declined seasonally between May and June as trader and producer stocks of local cereals declined. Nearly record high volumes of rice imports have offset most of the effects of local production shortfalls in 2013. Local rice harvests in the northern river valley contributed to market supplies in June. Staple food prices were stable in most places in June. Outlook West Africa: Market demand will increase rapidly in the coming months are household stocks deplete during the lean season. The lean season will begin earlier than usual in the western basin and parts of the eastern basin, where local production was below-average in 2013/14. Long distance trade flows from Nigeria, Benin, Ghana, the Ivory Coast and Burkina Faso toward Niger will continue to increase in July and will assure supplies in deficit areas. Yam, cassava, and early maize harvests will likewise bolster market supplies in the Sahel. Regional trade flows from Mali, Burkina Faso, and the Ivory Coast as well as above-average imports from international markets will contribute to market supplies in Mauritania and Senegal. Food supplies will continue to be further reinforced in parts of Niger, Chad, Mauritania, and northern Mali through subsidized food sales and distributions.

Overall, the current rainfall outlook for the June to September rains is average to below-average. Localized areas of low and poorly distributed rainfall in May and June led some producers to replant. These conditions may lead some large producers and traders to retain stocks until there is more certainty about the performance of the rainy season, which may lead to some atypical market and price trends.

Trade flows between surplus and deficit areas of the country will continue to assure market supplies in structurally-deficit countries. This includes exports from Burkina Faso, Benin, and Nigeria towards Niger and from Mali toward Mauritania. In the Western Basin, market availability will continue to be reinforced by record levels of imports of rice and wheat from international markets.

Millet and sorghum prices may increase during the month of July, which coincides with the peak of the lean season as well as the month of Ramadan. However, ongoing and planned food distributions and subsidized sales may prevent prices from increasing abnormally in deficit areas (like urban areas or pastoral and agro pastoral zones). Price increases will be limited in the central basin due to above-average market supplies and close to normal in the eastern and western basins.

Starting in October grain harvests in the Sahel should be well underway leading to increased market supplies, even in areas that required replanting. Prices are expected to begin declining across the Sahel at that point as harvest arrive onto markets, before increasing gradually in December.

Livestock body conditions will depend on the evolution of pasture quantity and quality. Ruminant prices are expected to increase ahead of Tabaski in early October. However, the extent of the price increases will depend on the quality of livestock available on markets and the quantities supplied.

EAST AFRICA

Current Situation

In East Africa, staple food market and price trends varied considerably across the sub region and between commodities. Maize prices continued to increase typically in June in Somalia, Rwanda, Kenya, and areas of Ethiopia dependent on June-to-September rains with the progression of the June-to-September lean season. Maize prices declined across most markets in Tanzania, Uganda, and areas of Ethiopia dependent on the February-to-June (Belg) rains due to increased market supplies from the ongoing June-to-August harvest. Sorghum prices increased faster than usual at this time in Somalia and Sudan due to unseasonably low household and market stocks, and conflict-related trade disruptions in southern Somalia, as well as the Darfur and South Kordofan States of Sudan. In South Sudan, sorghum prices were exceptionally high in the conflict-affected areas of Unity, Upper Nile, and Jonglei States, but were stable or declining elsewhere (including greater Equatoria) with the start of the June-to-August harvest.

Dry bean prices declined seasonably across most markets in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda due to increased supply from the ongoing average to above-average harvests in Tanzania and Uganda. Dry bean prices increased slightly in Rwanda due to reduced supplies from below-average June-to-July harvests.

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The performance of the March to May rains varied in timing, spatial and temporal coverage leading to reduced water and pasture availability in parts of Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and Somalia. Livestock prices have declined in affected pastoral and agro-pastoral areas due to generally poor livestock body conditions.

Sudan: Sorghum, millet, and local wheat prices increased by 10 to 20 percent between May and June with progression of the May-to-September lean season as households rely increasingly on market purchases. However, price have hit record-high levels in many places this year due to low supplies of locally produced grains following significantly below-average November-to-January harvests and high transport costs due to the partial removal of the national fuel subsidy in late 2013. Trade has been disrupted in some areas due to insecurity, putting further upward pressure on prices in affected areas

June sorghum, millet, and local wheat prices were, on average, 80, 95, and 70 percent higher than their respective June 2013 prices and anywhere from 120 to 180 percent higher than their respective five-year average levels.

In Darfur, sorghum prices stabilized at high levels in El Fasher (North Darfur State) due to recent exclusion of sorghum in ongoing food voucher programs, resulting in depressed demand due to relatively low purchasing power. In Geneina (West Darfur), millet prices increased by 22 percent due to constrained food availability attributed to a ban on food exports by the government of Chad. The rollout of food vouchers in some IDP camps put additional pressure on market supplies.

In Kadugli (South Kordofan), sorghum prices increased sharply by 50 percent in June as markets corrected for the steep declines (20 and 14 percent) in April and May as result of increased food aid distributions by the government to conflict-affected populations. Local wheat grain prices followed similar trends, as households substituted across grains.

South Sudan: Domestic conflict and insecurity continued to restrict staple food trade flows and availability in Unity, Upper Nile, and Jonglei States. Elsewhere in the country, food prices started to resume their seasonal trends with the start of harvests in the southern and southeastern bimodal areas. Regional Imports (albeit in low volumes) reinforced food availability outside of conflict-affected areas as well.

Although tension levels remain high through the

country, the intensity of the conflict in South Sudan

continued to abate through June enabling some markets

to restart operations or continue thriving in conflict-

affected States including: Mirmir market in Koch County

(Unity State) where sorghum is sourced from Yirol County

(Lakes) and maize from Mayom (Unity); emergence of a

Figure 4. Price trends in selected markets in East Africa

Note: the figures follow the marketing year in each country.

Sources: FAMIS, Tanzania Ministry of Industry Trade and

Marketing, WFP, MIS/Farmgain Africa Ltd and the Uganda

Bureau of Statistics (UBoS).

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new market near UNMISS Potection of Civilian site (PoC) in Malakal (upper Nile) that sources sorghum and wheat flour

from Renk (Upper Nile) and Sudan; Bor market in Jonglei that continued operations through June with commodities

sourced from Uganda through Juba.

However, staple food commodities are scarce and prices exceptionally high in these operational markets in conflict-

affected areas. For example, the price of sorghum increased by 150 and 75 percent between June 2013 and 2014 in

Mirmir and Malakal markets respectively. Stockholdings and trade volumes are also atypically low (70 percent lower in

Bor market compared to the pre-conflict period) for the May-to-August lean season when many households typically

revert to the market for food supplies. This is attributed to high costs of supply due to seasonally poor road conditions

but heightened by widespread insecurity, reduced number of traders, low number of buyers, and reduced purchasing

power as a result of the domestic conflict.

Outside of conflict-affected areas, sorghum and maize prices increased seasonably with progression of the May-to-August lean season in unimodal areas. In the bimodal production areas of Greater Equatoria and adjacent areas, prices remained seasonably stable or started declining with the start of the June-to-July harvest. Reduced demand from conflict-affected areas and imports from Uganda contributed to adequate local food availability in these areas. However, informal sorghum imports from Uganda and Sudan were relatively low during the first and second quarters of 2014. Imports from Uganda were 89 lower than the recent three-year average due to diminished demand and supply as a result of the domestic civil strife.

Ethiopia: Staple food prices trends varied by agro-ecological zone in Ethiopia. Market supplies improved with the start of the June-to-July harvest in Belg-dependent areas while market supplies contracted elsewhere with the continuation of the June-to-September lean season. Wheat prices increased seasonably by 43 and 27 percent in Yabello (Borena) and Kersa (East Hararghe) in Oromia Region as supplies from the previous October-to-January (Meher) harvest dwindled. The increase in wheat prices was accentuated by the effects of well-below average (50 percent) Belg crops production in the lowlands of eastern and central Oromia Region. The Belg harvests performed better in other Belg-dependent areas, resulting in declining prices in parts of SNNPR and the highlands of eastern Oromia Region. The poor performance of the March to May (Gu) rains reduced water and pasture availability, resulting in poor livestock body conditions and a significant decline in livestock prices in most of the southern and southeastern pastoral markets. Sheep and goat prices declined atypically between May and June by 11 to 31 percent in Gode, Degehabour, Afder,and Warder.

Somalia: The performance of the April-to-July (Gu) season was normal to below-normal in terms of the timing, coverage, and duration across most agro pastoral areas in southern Somalia. Although the rains improved the availability of water, pasture, and livestock body conditions, cereal production prospects were revised downwards due to a reported Quellea bird attack on the maturing sorghum crop in Bay and Shabelle regions, resulting in localized crop losses. Conflict and displacement in Lower Shebelle have negatively affected maize crop production there.

Red sorghum prices increased seasonably between May and June across most markets but were accentuated in some areas by levies imposed by insurgents, the availability of limited food interventions in the southern region, and the effects of uncertainty over Gu harvests following the Quellea bird attack. Sorghum prices in Baidoa increased slightly between May and June and were 80 percent higher than their respective 2013 levels. Maize prices, increased seasonably by 14 and 12 percent in Merka and Afgooye. However, maize prices declined atypically by 23 percent in Qoryoley due to increased supply as traders sold off old stocks ahead of the July-to-August harvests. The downward price trend was reinforced by limited outflow from the area as a result of intensification of conflict along the outlet routes to Mogadishu.

Goat prices declined by up to 25 percent (Bardera) in some markets in drought-affected agro pastoral areas of Hiraan, Bakool, Gedo and Middle Juba, due to increased market supply of animals with poor to average body conditions . Livestock prices were seasonably high and increasing elsewhere in the country due to good animal body condition. The increase in livestock prices was also driven by high demand for during the Ramadan and Hajj religious festivities.

Kenya: Production was below-average during the most recent October-to-January harvests, increasing Kenya’s import needs. Imports of maize and beans from Tanzania and Uganda during the second quarter of 2014 (April to June) were well above their respective three-year average levels due to the effects of reduced availability in Kenya and favorable production conditions in regional exporting countries. Wholesale maize prices continued to increase seasonably between May and June and by up to eight percent in Kisumu as market supplies tighten amidst typical high demand during May-to-July. Maize prices were, on average, 14 percent higher than respective recent five-year average levels. In the southeastern and coastal markets, maize prices remained stable at high levels due to imminent start of below average July-to-August harvest and seasonal but

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high imports from Tanzania. Prices increased typically in pastoral markets with progression of the April-to-August lean season. Dry bean prices declined typically across most markets and by up to 18 percent in Kisumu ahead of the July-to-August harvest. Cattle prices remained typically stable at high levels across most markets in northern Kenya. However, prices declined unseasonably by eight percent Kajiado market in southern Kenya and marginally in Mandera and Garissa markets in the northeast due to poor livestock body conditions stemming from poor pasture and water availability.

Rwanda: Staple food price trends varied between May and June, as crop development varied by agro-ecological zone. Cassava flour prices decreased seasonably by an average of 16 percent as dry weather allowed drying enabling increased supplies to the market, while cooking banana prices declined, on average, by 16 percent as production normally peaks in the July-to-August dry season. The effects of 40-60 percent below-average bean production prospects put upward pressure on dry bean prices, resulting in earlier than usual price increases. White maize grain prices increased seasonably by an average of 13 percent between May and June as maize matures relatively late in the season and as households rely increasingly on markets. This increase in maize prices was further reinforced by the effects of an anticipated 30-50 percent below-average harvest during the February-to-June (Season B) as a result of increased sorghum production.

Uganda: Staple food prices seasonably with the start of June-to-August harvest, which is expected to be average to above average. Retail cooking banana prices declined by up to 15 percent in Kampala, while dry bean prices declined by five to 22 percent with the start of harvests. Maize, millet and sorghum prices remained stable between May and June in the main producing areas of Masindi, Lira and Gulu where stocks from the new harvest had not yet arrived onto markets.

Tanzania: Staple food prices decreased seasonably across most markets with progression of the May-to-August harvest in the southern bimodal areas. Harvests in those surplus-producing areas are expected to be above-average and similar to those of 2013. Harvests prospects were also good ahead of the July-to-September harvest in the northern bimodal areas. Wholesale maize, rice and dry bean prices decreased typically by up to 14 percent in Mtwara, Mwanza, and Dodoma. Declining dry bean prices were reinforced in Kigoma by decreased export demand from Burundi and Democratic Republic of Congo, where harvests are also ongoing. Wholesale maize prices increased seasonably by eight percent in the main production markets of Mbeya and Songea due to increased purchases of dry maize for sale to other domestic and regional markets in East Africa as fresh harvests continued to arrive onto those markets. Maize exports from Tanzania to Kenya increased significantly between the first and second quarters of 2014 and were approximately double their respective three-year average levels.

Outlook

Sudan: Sorghum, millet and locally produced wheat prices are expected to continue increasing seasonably with progression of the May-to-October lean season as both household and market stocks tighten and more households revert to the market to acquire food. Increasing prices will likely be heightened by atypically low levels of stocks following below average November-to-January harvest, disruption of supplies due to insecurity, high transfer costs because of high inflation and high import prices due to the declining value of the local currency.

South Sudan: Staple food commodity prices are expected to ease seasonably in July outside of conflict-affected areas with the start of the June to July harvest. However, declining prices may be muted in areas in close proximity to the conflict due to high demand from IDPs hosted among communities and increased trade with some operational markets in conflict-affected areas. Staple food prices in conflict-affected Unity, Upper Nile, and northern Jonglei States are expected to remain unseasonably very high due to constrained supply from local production, as well as domestic and cross-border trade.

Ethiopia: Staple food prices are expected to stabilize in areas dependent on the June-to-July (Belg) harvests, including SNNPR, eastern Amhara and southern Tigray regions. Prices are expected to continue increasing elsewhere in the country, where households depend more on the June-to-October (Meher) rains and harvests beginning in October. Livestock prices are expected to continue declining in the southern and southeastern pastoral areas due to deteriorating pasture and water availability and resulting poor livestock body conditions.

Somalia: Sorghum and maize prices are expected to increase further through July, at the peak of the April-to-July agro-pastoral lean season. Prices are unlikely to decline in agro-pastoral areas until late August due to a delay in the July-to-August (Gu) harvests. Livestock prices are expected to increase over the next couple of months as demand increases for local meat consumption and export to the Arabian Gulf with the start of the Hajj in September.

PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 10

Kenya: Maize prices are expected to continue increasing through August. The effects of expectations of below-average harvests in the surplus-producing areas will likely reinforce price increases. Imports from Tanzania are expected to improve food availability and access in the southeastern and coastal marginal agricultural areas. Livestock prices are expected to vary through July due to spatial differences in rainfall performance and pasture availability.

Uganda: Staple food prices are expected to continue declining typically through August with increased supplies from the June-to-August harvest.

Rwanda: Staple food commodity prices are expected to decline seasonably through August with increased supply from the ongoing June-to-July harvest. However, the reductions in prices are expected to be muted by the effects of by below-average harvest caused by dry spells during the March-to-May rainy season.

Tanzania: Maize, rice, and bean prices are expected to decline through September as the May-to-August (Msimu) harvest intensifies. The July-to-August (Masika) harvests in the northern region are expected to further reinforce downward pressure on prices. The government’s intends to buy 190,000 MT of maize in the coming months for sale domestic use as well as export to neighboring countries (Kenya). However, the government intervention will only support floor prices for a short period of time because of the relatively low quantities to be purchased.

SOUTHERN AFRICA Current situation:

Southern Africa: The 2014 harvest was above average in most surplus-producing areas of the region. Prices of staple food commodities declined or remained stable between May and June in line with seasonal trends as new harvests were offloaded onto the markets, boosting availability. Maize grain prices were generally lower than their respective 2013 levels, but higher than five-year average levels due the lingering effects of low production and market disruptions during the two previous seasons. Dry beans, cassava, and imported rice further reinforced regional food supplies. Rice prices were stable.

Mozambique: This year’s production was above-average in the southern region and average in the northern and central regions. Carryover stocks from the previous marketing year combined with ongoing harvests resulted in above-average maize availability resulting in declining prices country wide. In Chokwe, located in a surplus-producing area in the south, maize prices decreased steeply by 42 percent between May and June, reaching nominal prices that were last observed in August 2007. Prices there are now significantly lower than their respective 2013 and five-year average levels.

Maize grain prices also decreased seasonally in June in the northern and central regions. Maize prices decreased by eight percent in Nampula in the northern surplus-producing area, and by 22 percent at Tete located, in a grain-deficit area of the central region. Prices were among the lowest in the country in Gorongosa, located in a surplus-producing area of the central region, where they increased marginally by six percent due to increased demand from elsewhere in the country. Prices at Tete, Nampula, and Gorongosa markets were lower than their respective 2013 levels and comparable to their respective five-year average levels.

Bean prices followed seasonal trends. Prices were relatively stable with the exception of Maxixe and Tete where prices increased marginally due to dwindling supplies from remote areas of Tete and Niassa provinces. Prices were significantly higher than 2013 prices and five–year averages. Imported and locally-produced rice prices remained stable.

Zambia: Maize grain prices continued declining across the country in June with increased availability due to above average harvests. Maize meal prices remained stable. National maize production in the 2013/14 season was 32 percent higher compared to the 2012/13 season, with the greatest increase in the central region (up by 50 percent), followed by the southern and northern regions (30 percent and 27 percent, respectively). The effects of bove average harvests and reduced household-level market demand boosted availability and lowered prices in both surplus and deficit areas. In the southern surplus-producing areas of Choma and Kabwe, maize grain prices fell sharply by 33 percent and 15 percent, respectively. Prices decreased similarly in the northern grain-deficit area at Mansa by 21 percent, and in the southwestern grain-deficit area of Mongu by 19 percent.

PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 11

Maize prices remained above their respective 2013 levels and five-year averages (by 36 percent) except in Choma, Kabwe, and Solwezi markets. The persistently high prices since 2013 are attributed to the removal of subsidies on both fuel and the FRA’s maize selling price. Maize prices were slightly below their respective June 2013 levels in Choma and Kabwe, both located in the country’s surplus-producing areas.

Price were likewise lower in Solwezi, on the border with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), due to increased availability from the second maize harvest in southern Democratic Republic of Congo during May and June. This led to decreased informal exports from Zambia to the DRC. Informal maize exports to Tanzania increased by 60 percent between May and June following above average harvests and the lifting of export restrictions.

Maize meal prices remained stable in June. However, prices were above their respective 2013 and five-year average levels due to the residual effects of last year’s high maize grain purchase prices and relative high fuel costs, which put upward pressure on both the cost of transportation and processing.

Malawi: Maize prices were generally stable or declined between May and June and below their respective 2013 levels due to higher production in 2014 compared to the previous year. National maize production this year was eight percent higher than last year, increasing in all three regions of the county (by nine percent in the Central region, and by five percent in both the Northern and Southern regions), and 14 percent higher than the five-year average. Maize prices declined sharply by 29 percent in Mitundu in the high-productivity Central region as recent harvests boosted availability. Prices remained stable in reference markets in the surplus Northern region and structurally-deficit Southern region. Maize prices remained well above their respective five-year average levels because of the lingering effects lower production in the preceding agricultural seasons of 2011/12 and 2012/13 and devaluation of the local currency in 2012 and resulting inflationary pressure.

Informal maize imports from Mozambique nearly doubled between May and June (from 1,128 MT to 2,283 MT) at the Muloza border due to favorable price differentials. Maize grain prices were 10 percent lower on the Mozambican side. Informal maize exports to Mozambique, Tanzania, and Zambia remained at the same levels as those of the previous month.

Locally-produced rice prices decreased by 15 to percent in June with increased availability from recent harvests. However, prices were 13 to 16 percent higher than their respective 2013 levels with the exception of the surplus-producing Northern region. Cassava prices generally declined, declining in some areas as markets were replenished by new harvests but rising in others. that were slightly greater than 2013 harvests

Zimbabwe: Maize grain and maize meal price trends varied in June. Prices remained stable in the northern part of the country but declined sharply in the structurally-deficit southern areas. Maize grain prices declined by 28 percent in the urban markets of Renkini in the south and Kombayi in Midlands province as newly harvested grain from distant surplus-producing areas reached markets.

Figure 5. Price trends in selected markets in Southern

Africa

Note: the figures follow the marketing year in each country.

Sources: Malawi Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and

Water Development (MITM), Zambia Central Statistics

Office, and SAFEX.

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Maize Meal: Nominal retail prices in Kasama, Zambia

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Maize: Nominal retail prices in Renkini, Zimbabwe

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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 12

Maize grain was available for the first time since March 2013 in Gwanda, in the south. Prices were significantly lower than their respective 2013 levels prices except in Mbare, a large urban market situated in the north, where prices were nine percent higher than the previous year due to high urban demand.

Maize meal prices declined in Renkini and Muchecke by seven to 10 percent in June, and were six to 23 percent below their respective 2013 levels. Maize meal prices were significantly higher than their respective two-year average levels due to below-average maize production during the of 2011/12 and 2012/13 agricultural seasons couple with the effects of relatively higher imports from regional markets.

Tanzania: Maize grain prices were generally stable or decreasing as the availability of cereal substitutes from the Musimu harvest continued to reduce maize demand. Exceptions were seen in Mbeya and Songea in the southern unimodal rainfall areas where maize prices increased by eight percent due to preference for dry maize over newly harvested grain. Prices were generally lower than their respective 2013 prices but significantly higher than their five year levels.

Rice prices continued decreasing with increased availability from ongoing harvests. Prices are well below their respective 2013 levels and at almost the same levels as the five-year averages with the exception of Dar es Salaam and Dodoma markets which are major consumer markets in low production areas.

Bean rice trends varied in June, but remained stable in many reference markets during June and were significantly higher than 2013 prices and five-year averages as a result of below-average production during the past few seasons. Bean prices decreased by eight percent in Kigoma and Dodoma in June due to increasing supplies from their respective sources; Lake Zone and the southern highland areas where there has been recent improvements in road infrastructure, and through informal trade from Burundi where the harvest is ongoing. Prices rose by 10 percent in Mtwara as the cost of transportation from high production areas in Ruvuma and Dar es Salaam increased.

South Africa: Maize grain prices continued declining, now down by 72 percent since January, following an above-average harvest in 2014. White and yellow maize spot prices declined by seven and five percent, respectively in June. These prices were 20 percent and 14 percent below their respective 2013 levels, but six percent and 13 percent above their respective five-year average levels.

Outlook

Southern Africa: Grain prices are expected to follow typical seasonal trends in July. Prices will continue decreasing in high production areas as a result of above-average harvests that will continue to boost availability. However, prices will begin or continue to rise in low production areas and those serving large urban populations as stocks begin to dwindle. Prices are expected to be higher than five-year averages but will generally remain similar or lower than 2013 prices because of above-average production this year. Beans prices will start increasing in the coming months and remain higher than their respective 2013 and five-year average levels.

Mozambique: Maize grain prices are generally expected to start increasing in July until they peak in February, maintaining levels similar to five-year averages but below last year’s prices due to above average production. Price increases may be delayed until September or October in the southern region where production was above average. Beans prices will start increasing and remain higher their respective 2013 and five-year average levels. Rice prices are expected to remain stable.

Zambia: Maize prices will decline further in July as more maize is offloaded on the market, before stabilizing through September or October. Prices will however be higher than July 2013 levels and higher than their five year averages due to the recent removal of the subsidy on the FRA selling price and the lingering effects of increased fuel costs. The Food Reserve Agency (FRA) is expected to expand its maize purchases in July with a purchase prices of ZMW 70.00 per 50 kilogram bag, which was higher than the prevailing market price in some areas in May and June. This may limit the extent to which prices decline in the coming months. Large surpluses will lead traders to increase exports to Tanzania for the Kenyan market. Furthermore, significant increases in the cost of subsidized fertilizer may cause further increases in maize prices next year. Maize meal prices will marginally decline, maintaining levels higher than 2013 and five-year average as the recent increase in the electricity tariff raises milling costs.

Malawi: Maize stocks will begin declining in deficit areas as early as July until February, resulting in steadily increasing prices. These prices will be at levels lower than last year but above their five-year averages as effects of the depreciation of local currency lingers. Rice and cassava prices will remain stable or start rising steadily in July. Prices will be maintained below

PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 13

those of 2013 but above the five-year averages. Informal imports from Mozambique will remain strong as traders take advantage of favorable price differentials.

Zimbabwe: Maize grain and maize meal prices are expected to continue decreasing until August before stabilizing and beginning to increase in October when household become more market dependent. Prices will be lower than 2013 levels due to above average harvests.

Tanzania: Maize, rice, and bean prices are expected to decline through September as the May-to-August (Msimu) harvest intensifies. The July-to-August (Masika) harvests in the northern region are expected to further reinforce downward pressure on prices. The government’s intends to buy 190,000 MT of maize in the coming months for sale domestic use as well as export to neighboring countries (Kenya). However, the government intervention will only support floor prices for a short period of time because of the relatively low quantities to be purchased.

South Africa: SAFEX spot price will continue decreasing given above average 2014 harvests. Prices will be below 2013 levels but above five-year averages. This will also be in-line with global trends where maize prices are lower this year as a result of high production in key maize producing and exporting countries.

CENTRAL AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN

Current situation:

Central America and Haiti: Staple food availability was generally good throughout the region in June, with imports compensating for the depletion of local stocks as the lean season progressed. After remaining at below-average levels in 2013, red bean prices have more than doubled since December 2013 in Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador. Black bean prices were stable in Haiti from May to June and were below their respective 2013 levels countrywide as well as the five-year average in most of the country. In Guatemala, black bean prices increased seasonally and were comparable to their respective 2013 levels. White maize prices began increasing seasonally between May and June in the region, and were generally below June 2013 prices and five-year average levels. Imported rice prices and availability remained stable region-wide. Haiti: Black beans, maize, wheat and maize flour, and sugar prices remained stable or decreased between May and June as early spring black bean and maize harvests (June- August) contributed to increased food availability. Imports from international markets helped maintain adequate market supplies. Prices for nearly all commodities remain below their respective 2013 levels, when markets were influenced by two consecutive poor agricultural seasons in 2012. • Black beans prices remained stable or declined slightly between May and June due to ongoing harvest, except in

Ouanaminthe where prices increased by seven percent due to delayed harvests. Black bean prices were below their respective 2013 levels country wide by up to 37 percent as markets recovered from production shocks in 2012 and early 2013. Prices also remained slightly below their five-year average levels, except in Port-au-Prince.

Figure 6. Price trends in selected markets in Central

America and Caribbean

Note: the figures follow the marketing year in each country.

Sources: FEWS NET/ CNSA Haiti and the World Bank.

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Red Beans: Nominal wholesale prices in Tegucigalpa, Honduras

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Black Beans: Nominal retail prices in Port-au-Prince, Haïti

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Arabica Coffee: Global Prices

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PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 14

• Maize and maize flour prices decreased throughout the country compared with last month and last year, dropping by 20 to almost 51 percent since 2013. Prices also remain lower than their five-year average levels.

• Imported rice, wheat flour, and sugar prices remained generally stable in June and below last year prices. Central America: Food availability (via regional production and imports from international markets) remains adequate to meet local needs. Red bean prices have increased atypically throughout the sub region since December 2013. Maize prices remained stable between May and June in Guatemala but increased seasonally elsewhere in the region, and remain lower than their respective 2013 and five-year average levels.

Maize stocks continued declining in May and prices were either stable or increased between May to June. Price trends varied by country, but were generally below their respective 2013 and five-year average levels. Maize prices increased seasonally in June in El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua, and were stable in Guatemala and Costa Rica. The greatest month on month prices increases occurred in Honduras (up to 20 percent), while prices in El Salvador and Nicaragua both increased by up to 15 percent. Although maize prices were generally stable last month in Guatemala, prices have increased significantly since January 2014, by 18 percent in Guatemala City and up to 24 percent in other markets. These atypical price increases are attributed to the effects of reduced market supplies after significant losses during the 2013 Primera cycle. Furthermore, because prices are similar to those in Mexico there are only limited incentives for traders to import to offset reduced local availability. Increased transport costs, due to recent increases in diesel prices, have further reduced long distance trade incentives.

Red bean prices increased persistently and atypically in Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador between January and June 2014, by up to 129 percent. Red bean prices increased further by up to ten percent between May and June and were more than double their respective 2013 levels. These atypical price trends are attributed to a number of factors including (1) the early depletion (by two months) of household stocks in some areas following below-average Postrera harvests in December, (2) two consecutive seasons of below-average harvests in Honduras, (3) a reduction in the area of red beans planted in Nicaragua in favor of black beans, (4) high regional demand (especially from Costa Rica, which recently stopped purchasing form China) leading to above-average trade flow within the region, and (5) speculation by traders who anticipate higher prices in 2014. Red bean prices are higher than their respective five-year average levels.

Black beans prices were stable in Guatemala in June after increasing atypically between January and May due to trade stockholding. Prices finally stabilized in June, as is expected for this time of year, due to adequate supply of stored grain from last harvest in the Northern (the surplus-producing area of the country) and Eastern areas. Farm gate prices continued increasing in the Western region, a major structurally deficit area that receives supplies from Guatemala city and the Eastern surplus area, due to higher source market prices and increased transportation costs. Prices are stable compared to their respective June 2013 levels, but remain below their five-year average levels.

Imported rice prices were stable across the sub region between May and June. Prices remain relatively stable compared with June 2013, except in Guatemala City where retail prices have increased (13 percent). Rice supply in the market is composed mainly of imports. Even though international prices significantly decreased and imports increased since May, the reduced prices have not been transferred to consumers. In Nicaragua, rice prices are now 8 to 15 percent above their respective 2013 levels due to recent changes to the VAT (value added tax) and the effects of ongoing negotiations between producers and industry.

In February, FEWS NET reported on the effects of recent coffee rust outbreaks and lower global export prices on farmer and casual labor revenues in Central America. International Arabica coffee prices increased by over 63 percent since December 2013 largely due to a drought in Brazil (the world’s largest exporter). Global Arabica coffee prices are 29 to 43 percent higher than June 2013 levels and up to seven percent above the five-year average. However, based on past trends, these increases in export prices have not affected smallholder producers since they have already sold their product.

PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 15

Outlook Haiti: Food availability is expected to improve until August as the spring harvest continues to reach markets throughout the country. Imports are expected to remain at average levels. Local grain prices expected to decline in the coming months. Central America (El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Guatemala): Local staple food prices are expected to increase in the coming months with the progression of the lean season. White maize and bean prices will continue increasing until the Primera harvest in August/September. In an effort to alleviate these expected price increases, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua are importing red beans from Ethiopia. So far, the imports have started to arrive in El Salvador and Nicaragua. Furthermore, the government of Nicaragua is providing red beans through ENEBAS (National enterprise of Supply) and, according to MAGFOR (Ministry of Agriculture and Forest), is trying to apply measures to decrease trader speculation. The Ministry of Agriculture of El Salvador also recently announced an agreement to reduce red bean exports until August 2014. For the next three months, prices are expected to increase more quickly than usual. In Central America and Haiti, the forecast indicates below-average rainfall for the region with 60 percent of probability of an El Niño occurring during the last months of this year. This could result in severe losses during the Primera season. If the below-average and erratic rainfall patterns continue after August, the Postrera harvest will also be at risk. This result in below-average production and cause prices to increase even further by the end of the year. Potential damages from the below-average and erratic rainfall may prevent prices from decreasing as normally expected in the region starting in August. The price and availability of imported rice and wheat flour in both Central American and Haiti will depend heavily on local market conditions and exchange rate regimes as international reference prices. FEWS NET will continue to monitor the coffee rust and export price situation in the coming months.

CENTRAL ASIA Current situation

Central Asia: Regional wheat grain and flour availability in Central Asia is adequate following average to above-average harvests and carryover stocks in 2013 and the first half of 2014. Wheat export prices in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest producer and exporter, were stable in June after prices slightly increased (eight percent) in May. Prices are still 10 percent lower than their respective 2013 levels, but 18 percent higher than their respective five-year average levels. Wheat and wheat flour prices decreased in Pakistan as above-average harvests concluded. In Afghanistan, wheat harvests (that are expected to be above-average) began in June, resulting in declining wheat grain prices .Wheat flour prices increased further in Tajikistan before new harvests arrive onto markets.

Afghanistan: Wheat production is expected to be above-average in 2014, the second consecutive year of above-average production. Wheat grain prices began declining in June as harvests began, following a period of relatively stable prices in February 2014. Wheat flour prices are still stable at higher level in most markets of Afghanistan due to stagnant trade with Pakistan related to the current political uncertainty.

Figure 7. Price trends in Central Asia

Note: the figures follow the marketing year in each country

Sources: WFP.

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Wheat Flour: Nominal retail prices in Quetta, Pakistan

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Milling Wheat: Nominal retail prices in Aktau Port, Kazakhstan

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Wheat: Nominal retail prices in Nili,Afghanistan

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PRICE WATCH July 2014

Famine Early Warning Systems Network 16

Wheat grain prices decreased in majority of Afghan markets when harvest started in lowland areas in Afghanistan and entered into local markets. The highest price decrease occurred in Hirat market (west region) where price decreased 12 percent in June 2014. Both imported and local produced wheat flour prices were stable in June, except in Mazar-e-Sharif and Maimana markets (north region) were prices increased eight and six percent, respectively, due to increased imported wheat flour from Pakistan.

Locally-produced rice (the second most important staple food in Afghanistan), prices were stable in June, as were vegetable oil and diesel prices.

Livestock (sheep), prices were stable in most urban markets in June. Sheep prices increased by six percent in Faizabad (northeast region) where livestock body conditions continued to improve due to favorable higher-elevation pastures conditions. Unskilled labor wage rates remain lower than their respective 2013 levels due to decreasing work opportunities in the retreating construction sector while agricultural wages remain similar to their respective 2013 levels and increased seasonally between May and June during harvests.

In Nili wheat grain and flour prices began declining in June after poor production in 2013 led to limited local availability and atypically high prices. Crop production conditions are believed to have improved considerably this year. Livestock prices improved in previous months, but currently stable and still lower than last year and five-year average by 21 and 17 percent respectively.

Tajikistan: Wheat production during the May to July winter harvest is expected to be above-average. Although wheat harvest started in the lowlands of Tajikistan, supplies from ongoing harvests have not yet reached markets and prices remained stable in June.

Wheat flour prices increased slightly over the first half of 2014, but remained stable between May and June as ongoing harvests had not yet reached markets. Wheat flour prices are slightly lower than their respective 2013 levels.

The price of potatoes, another important staple food, decreased nationwide by an average of 14 percent in June after harvests started in the lowlands of Tajikistan and neighboring countries. Prices remain well above (56 percent) their respective 2013 levels.

Outlook:

The USDA recently revised its wheat production forecast for Kazakhstan, and now anticipates slightly below-average harvests starting in September 2014. This coupled with atypically low carryover stocks (due to strong exports in 2013 and early 2014) may result in rising prices later this calendar year. Wheat supplies in Pakistan are expected to improve considerably in the coming months following the recent above-average harvests (nearly 25 MMTs according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics). The Pakistani government producer prices support program might limit the extent to which wheat grain and flour prices decline. There have been no major changes to the trade policies between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and wheat flour export are expected to remain consistent this consumption year. The rice crop in Pakistan also progressed normally during the April/May growing season. Harvests are currently estimated at over six MMT. This will contribute to adequate rice availability in Pakistan and neighboring Afghanistan through 2014. Potato prices are expected to decline with the start of harvests throughout the region starting in July/August. The recent lifting of potato export duties will improve potato availability and prices in importing countries in the coming months.

Wheat grain prices will likely decrease further in the coming months in Afghanistan once the ongoing wheat harvest is complete and supplies enter onto markets. Political uncertainty from the prolonged presidential voting process discouraged large trade volumes (wheat flour in particular) earlier in the year and may hinder the extent to which prices decrease, despite favorable crop condition in both countries. Tajikistan likewise expects above-average wheat harvests this year. Higher Kazakh export prices may put upward pressure on regional prices.

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Cotonou Maize* Dried Milk

Benin XOF 220 XOF 5,500

$0.46 $11.39

Rice Gasoline

XOF 530 XOF 732

$1.10 $1.52

Cowpea Koudougou Millet*

XOF 645 Burkina Faso XOF 183

$1.34 $0.38

Bohicon Maize* Maize

Benin XOF 165 XOF 135

$0.34 $0.28

Rice Sorghum

XOF 450 XOF 168

$0.93 $0.35

Come Maize* Djibo Millet*

Benin XOF 215 Burkina Faso XOF 203

$0.45 $0.42

Rice Maize

XOF 530 XOF 199

$1.10 $0.41

Malanville Wh Maize* Sorghum

Benin XOF 160 XOF 179

$0.33 $0.37

Cassava Flr Bobo Millet*

XOF 375 Dioulasso XOF 207

$0.78 Burkina Faso $0.43

Parakou Maize* (Nineta) Maize

Benin XOF 160 XOF 128

$0.33 $0.26

Rice Sorghum

XOF 485 XOF 152

$1.00 $0.31

Ouagadougou Millet* Pouytenga Millet*

Burkina Faso XOF 221 Burkina Faso XOF 203

(Sankaryare) $0.46 $0.42

Maize Maize

XOF 146 XOF 143

$0.30 $0.30

Sorghum Sorghum

XOF 212 XOF 149

$0.44 $0.31

Veg Oil Solenzo Millet*

XOF 900 Burkina Faso XOF 165

$1.86 $0.34

FEWS NET

fewsnetmt@fews.net

www.fews.net

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one month, one month,

6 ►

-5 ►

0 0 -1 ► ► ►

-14 ► ▼

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 June 2014 Prices July 31, 2014

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

► ▲

-1 -6 1 ► ▼ ► 0 -9

► ▲

0 0 2 ► ► ► 0 0

▼

West

Afr

ica

0 0 14 ►

▼

-6 -6 -5 ▼ ▼ ▼

▼ ▼

0 -25 -16 ► ▼ ▼ 0 -12

3 4 3 ► ► ►0 6 - ► ▲ -

-1 13 8 ► ▲ ▲0 -33 - ► ▼ -

8 -5 4 ▲ ▼ ►-20 -34 26 ▼ ▼ ▲

-1 10 6 ► ▲ ▲-3 -20 -9 ► ▼ ▼

0 -1 1 ► ► ►-2 1 - ► ► -

4 -16 -16 ► ▼ ▼-6 -22 - ▼ ▼ -

-1 -8 -11 ► ▼ ▼1 -8 -15 ► ▼ ▼

-4 -2 1 ► ► ►2 -9 1 ► ▼ ►

-2 2 1 ► ► ►0 -10 0 ► ▼ ►

-2 3 -1 ► ► ►0 -4 8 ► ► ▲

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides prices and

price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices listed are final monthly average prices for June, 2014. The commodities

with an asterisk (*) are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the same areas or

fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an increase of

five percent or greater, The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price decreases that are

five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year average. The “-“ symbol

indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.

PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Solenzo Maize Mongo Millet

Burkina Faso XOF 116 Chad XAF 280

$0.24 $0.58

Sorghum Bamako Millet*

XOF 128 Mali XOF 225

$0.26 $0.47

N'Djamena Millet Rice

Chad XAF 280 XOF 375

$0.58 $0.78

Sorghum Ségou Millet*

XAF 200 Mali XOF 200

$0.41 $0.41

Imp Rice Rice

XAF 500 XOF 300

$1.04 $0.62

Loc Rice Kayes Millet*

XAF 400 Mali XOF 250

$0.83 $0.52

Maize Koulikoro Millet*

XAF 240 Mali XOF 225

$0.50 $0.47

Abeche Millet Sikasso Millet*

Chad XAF 240 Mali XOF 200

$0.50 $0.41

Sorghum* Mopti Millet*

XAF 170 Mali XOF 200

$0.35 $0.41

Moundou Millet Timbuktu Rice*

Chad XAF 240 Mali XOF 282

$0.50 $0.58

Sorghum* Gao Millet*

XAF 200 Mali XOF 225

$0.41 $0.47

Sarh Millet Nouakchott Sorghum*

Chad XAF 240 Mauritania MRO 350

$0.50 $1.22

Sorghum* Wheat*

XAF 198 MRO 150

$0.41 $0.52

Moussoro Millet Maize

Chad XAF 260 MRO 250

$0.54 $0.87

Maize* Imp Rice

XAF 250 MRO 260

$0.52 $0.90

Imp Rice Loc Rice

XAF 500 MRO 200

$1.04 $0.70

Bol Maize* Veg Oil

Chad XAF 220 MRO 480

$0.46 $1.67

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

0 -11 -10 ► ▼

July 31, 2014

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ► ►

-2 8 8 ► ▲ ▲

▼ ▲ ▲

-7 5 2 ▼ ▲ ►

▼

West

Afr

ica

-7 5 9

0 0 4

0

▲ ▲

3 -8 -2 ► ▼ ► 0

▼ 0 14 8 ►

0 -2 ► ► ►

-3 4 -5 ► ►

► ►

-10 -3 -2 ▼ ► ► 0

▼ 0 0 0 ►

-8 -13 ► ▼ ▼

-3 -9 -7 ► ▼

▼ ▼

6 55 5 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0

► -7 -9 -6 ▼

0 9 ► ► ▲

0 11 -2 ► ▲

► ▼

0 -3 7 ► ► ▲ 0

▲ 0 1 -18 ►

0 1 ► ► ►

0 6 12 ► ▲

▼ ▲

-1 -8 6 ► ▼ ▲ 0

▲ 17 -9 27 ▲

7 8 ► ▲ ▲

0 -5 5 ► ▼

▼ ▲

-7 17 -4 ▼ ▲ ► 4

▼ 25 -17 24 ▲

7 17 ► ▲ ▲

-7 -3 -8 ▼ ►

▼ ▲

38 35 15 ▲ ▲ ▲ -4

▼ 0 -9 5 ►

0 16 ► ► ▲

-17 -17 -15 ▼ ▼

0 14 ► ► ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

17

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Nouakchott Gas Oil Magta-Lahjar Wheat*

Mauritania MRO 385 Mauritania MRO 150

$1.34 $0.52

Gasoline Imp Rice

MRO 436 MRO 248

$1.52 $0.86

Adel Bagrou Sorghum* Loc Rice

Mauritania MRO 148 MRO 205

$0.51 $0.71

Wheat* Veg Oil

MRO 180 MRO 500

$0.63 $1.74

Imp Rice Sugar

MRO 248 MRO 238

$0.86 $0.83

Loc Rice Niamey Millet*

MRO 200 Niger XOF 263

$0.70 $0.54

Veg Oil Maize

MRO 495 XOF 198

$1.72 $0.41

Sugar Rice

MRO 253 XOF 400

$0.88 $0.83

Aoujeft Sorghum* Sorghum

Mauritania MRO 375 XOF 239

$1.31 $0.49

Wheat* Dried Milk

MRO 150 XOF 3,800

$0.52 $7.87

Boghé Sorghum* Veg Oil

Mauritania MRO 200 XOF 850

$0.70 $1.76

Wheat* Bread

MRO 150 XOF 161

$0.52 $0.33

Imp Rice Gas Oil

MRO 200 XOF 540

$0.70 $1.12

Loc Rice Gasoline

MRO 180 XOF 538

$0.63 $1.11

Veg Oil Maradi Millet*

MRO 400 Niger XOF 220

$1.39 $0.45

Sugar Sorghum

MRO 212 XOF 193

$0.74 $0.40

Magta-Lahjar Sorghum* Maize

Mauritania MRO 238 XOF 221

$0.83 $0.46

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

0 0 26 ► ►

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

▼ ▲

-8 -2 -2 ▼ ► ► -6 -2

► ▲

0 0 21 ► ► ▲ 1 -7

▲

West

Afr

ica

0 0 18 ►

8 ►

8 ▼

3 -4 -2 ► ► ►

15 ► ▲ ▲

-5 -2 11 ▼ ► ▲

► ▲

7 11 35 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0 22

0 -15 -9 ► ▼ ▼1 -1 13 ► ► ▲

-5 -6 4 ▼ ▼ ►-7 -9 2 ▼ ▼ ►

-2 -2 4 ► ► ►-6 -3 11 ▼ ► ▲

0 -11 -9 ► ▼ ▼5 -3 -1 ▲ ► ►

- -11 -3 - ▼ ►0 14 27 ► ▲ ▲

- 19 20 - ▲ ▲0 -6 18 ► ▼ ▲

0 0 1 ► ► ►0 0 6 ► ► ▲

0 0 -3 ► ► ►0 -2 27 ► ► ▲

6 -22 2 ▲ ▼ ►0 11 4 ► ▲ ►

0 0 1 ► ► ►0 0 4 ► ► ►

9 -11 -1 ▲ ▼ ►-5 10 9 ▼ ▲ ▲

-3 -19 -2 ► ▼ ►-4 -10 -9 ► ▼ ▼

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

18

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Maradi Dried Milk Sabon Machi Cowpea (W)

Niger XOF 3,200 Niger XOF 285

$6.62 $0.59

Veg Oil Tillabery Sorghum*

XOF 775 Niger XOF 231

$1.60 $0.48

Tahoua Millet* Millet

Niger XOF 281 XOF 255

$0.58 $0.48

Sorghum Tounfafi Cowpea

XOF 258 Niger XOF 349

$0.53 $0.72

Diffa Millet* Kano Maize (W)

Niger XOF 298 Nigeria NGN 60

$0.62 (Dawanu) $0.37

Sorghum Sorghum (W)

XOF 231 NGN 60

$0.48 $0.37

Cowpea Millet (W)

XOF 393 NGN 68

$0.81 $0.42

Dried Milk Grdnut Oil

XOF 4,000 NGN 215

$8.28 $1.33

Veg Oil Gasoline

XOF 900 NGN 97

$1.86 $0.60

Agadez Millet* Diesel

Niger XOF 283 NGN 165

$0.59 $1.02

Rice Kaura Maize

XOF 500 Nigeria NGN 67

$1.04 $0.41

Dried Milk Sorghum*

XOF 3,700 NGN 63

$7.66 $0.39

Veg Oil Ibadan Maize

XOF 900 Nigeria NGN 67

$1.86 (Bodiga) $0.41

Gaya Maize* Sorghum*

Niger XOF 176 NGN 70

$0.37 $0.44

Bakin Birji Millet* Bread

Niger XOF 211 NGN 150

$0.44 $0.93

Cowpea Palm Oil

XOF 400 NGN 240

$0.83 $1.48

Ouallam Millet* Gasoline

Niger XOF 295 NGN 97

$0.61 $0.60

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

- 7 3 - ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▼ ►

- -8 8 - ▼ ▲

► - -

- -3 -9 - ► ▼

►

West

Afr

ica

3 - -

3 -5 -3

2

▼

▼

▲

►

▼

▼

►

-

10 -5 19 ▲ ▼ ▲ 0

▲ 19 -10 - ▲

-13 - ► ▼ -

- 1 14 - ►

▲

-11 -28 -24 ▼ ▼ ▼ 0

- 0 -8 9 ►

-29 -5 ► ▼ ▼

5 -5 - ▲ ▼

▼

- -10 1 - ▼ ► 0

▲ 0 49 -8 ►

-24 1 ► ▼ ►

- 29 23 - ▲

▲

0 0 5 ► ► ▲ 0

▲ 0 0 15 ►

0 4 ► ► ►

-3 -11 12 ► ▼

►

- 0 -6 - ► ▼ 0

▲ 0 -42 -3 ►

-33 1 ► ▼ ►

- 23 20 - ▲

►

-29 -17 7 ▼ ▼ ▲ 0

▼ 0 -26 -3 ►

-29 -10 ► ▼ ▼

-4 -20 -16 ► ▼

►

-6 6 6 ▼ ▲ ▲ 0

▲ 0 0 3 ►

0 -5 ► ► ▼

14 -33 6 ▲ ▼

0 5 ► ► ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

19

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Ibadan Diesel Lagos Yams*

Nigeria NGN 155 Nigeria NGN 500

(Bodiga) $0.96 $3.09

Abuja Bread Dakar Millet*

Nigeria NGN 250 Senegal XOF 258

$1.55 (Tilene) $0.53

Palm Oil Rice

NGN 260 XOF 267

$1.61 $0.55

Gasoline Kaolak Millet*

NGN 97 Senegal XOF 188

$0.60 $0.39

Diesel Rice

NGN 165 XOF 270

$1.02 $0.56

Dandume Rice Saint-Louis Millet*

Nigeria NGN 165 Senegal XOF 243

$1.02 $0.50

Millet Rice

NGN 73 XOF 300

$0.45 $0.62

Sorghum* Tambacounda Millet*

NGN 55 Senegal XOF 196

$0.34 $0.41

Giwa Maize Ziguichor Maize*

Nigeria NGN 58 Senegal XOF 263

$0.36 $0.54

Sorghum* Rice

NGN 50 XOF 275

$0.31 $0.57

Saminaka Maize

Nigeria NGN 48

$0.30

Sorghum*

NGN 64

$0.40

Damasak Millet* (W)

Nigeria XOF 208

$0.43

Illela Millet* (W)

Nigeria XOF 189

$0.39

Sorghum (W)

XOF 179

$0.37

Maidua Mille*t (W)

Nigeria XOF 208

$0.43

Sorghum (W)

XOF 161

$0.33

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

West

Afr

ica

0 -6 8 ► ▼

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

► ▲

0 -2 14 ► ► ▲ -14 3

▲ ▲

0 -7 15 ► ▼ ▲ 0 2

▲

West

Afr

ica

0 25 92 ►

13 ►

-8 ▼

1 -1 -4 ► ► ►

4 ▼ ▼ ►

0 0 15 ► ► ▲

► ▼

0 0 19 ► ► ▲ -6 -6

12 15 1 ▲ ▲ ►-2 -19 -4 ► ▼ ►

1 -2 2 ► ► ►8 -6 6 ▲ ▼ ▲

5 -12 -4 ▲ ▼ ►2 -31 -8 ► ▼ ▼

1 -4 1 ► ► ►-7 -24 -7 ▼ ▼ ▼

0 -40 -18 ► ▼ ▼

0 -2 -6 ► ► ▼0 -36 -21 ► ▼ ▼

2 -19 6 ► ▼ ▲

3 -20 1 ► ▼ ►

1 -17 -7 ► ▼ ▼

1 -19 -7 ► ▼ ▼

-4 -28 -14 ► ▼ ▼

0 -19 3 ► ▼ ►

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

20

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Djibouti City Rice Belem Addis Ababa Mixed Teff (W)

Djibouti DJF 140 Ethiopia ETB 14.66

$0.79 $0.76

Wheat Flr* Bahir Dar White Maize* (W)

DJF 120 Ethiopia ETB 5.30

$0.68 $0.27

Dikhil Rice Belem Mixed Teff (W)

Djibouti DJF 130 ETB 12.32

$0.73 $0.64

Wheat Flr* Bure White Maize* (W)

DJF 120 Ethiopia ETB 5.24

$0.68 $0.27

Tadjourah Rice Belem Wheat Grain (W)

Djibouti DJF 130 ETB 7.60

$0.73 $0.39

Wheat Flr* Dire Dawa White Maize

DJF 100 Ethiopia ETB 6.50

$0.57 $0.34

Alisabieh Rice Belem Yellow Sorghum

Djibouti DJF 140 ETB 8.00

$0.79 $0.41

Wheat Flr* Wheat Grain (W)

DJF 130 ETB 11.00

$0.73 $0.57

Sorghum Flr Mixed Teff (W)

DJF 180 ETB 13.49

$1.02 $0.70

Arta Rice Belem Gode White Maize* (W)

Djibouti DJF 120 Ethiopia ETB 10.00

$0.68 $0.52

Wheat Flr* Yellow Sorghum

(W) DJF 120 ETB 28.00

$0.68 $1.44

Sorghum Flr Jijiga White Maize* (W)

DJF 200 Ethiopia ETB 20.00

$1.13 -

Obock Rice Belem Wheat Grain (W)

Djibouti DJF 140 ETB 11.00

$0.79 $0.57

Wheat Flr* Yellow Sorghum

(W) DJF 120 ETB 10.00

$0.68 $0.52

Addis Ababa White Maize* (W) Mekele White Maize* (W)

Ethiopia ETB 7.00 Ethiopia ETB 5.68

$0.36 $0.29

Yellow Sorghum

(W)

Yellow Sorghum

(W) ETB 13.00 ETB 8.10

$0.67 $0.42

Wheat Grain (W) Wheat Grain (W)

ETB 10.00 ETB 8.94

$0.52 $0.46

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

0 -7 -10 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ ▲

0 -7 -9 ► ▼ ▼ -1 -9

► ▲

0 0 0 ► ► ► 0 -10

▼

East

Afr

ica

1 -2 38 ►

23 ►

27 ►

- 17 - -

-27 -20 3 ▼

-2 -4 28 ►

0 75 - ►

▲ -

- - ▼ -

0 4 -5 ► ► ▼

▼ ▲

0 9 17 ► ▲ ▲ - -7

▼ ►0 17 2 ► ▲ ►

-13 -13 12 ▼ ▼ ▲0 0 -7 ► ► ▼

► ▲0 50 34 ► ▲ ▲

10 10 34 ▲ ▲ ▲0 4 15 ► ► ▲

▲ -0 -8 -2 ► ▼ ►

0 25 64 ► ▲ ▲0 0 -16 ► ► ▼

10 38 77 ▲ ▲ ▲0 0 -5 ► ► ▼

0 25 85 ► ▲ ▲0 - - ► - -

- -12 18 - ▼ ▲0 0 26 ► ► ▲

0 33 92 ► ▲ ▲0 -8 3 ► ▼ ►

- 6 28 - ▲ ▲43 18 28 ▲ ▲ ▲

- -16 27 - ▼ ▲- 30 62 - ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

21

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Mekele Mixed Teff (W) Kisumu Potato (W)

Ethiopia ETB 14.00 Kenya KES 43

$0.72 $0.50

Nekemte White Maize* (W) Beans (W)

Ethiopia ETB 4.90 KES 84

$0.25 $0.97

Sodo White Maize* (W) Kitui Wh Maize*

Ethiopia ETB 5.80 Kenya KES 38

$0.30 $0.44

Wheat Grain (W) Sorghum (W)

ETB 9.80 KES 40

$0.51 $0.46

Yabelo Wheat Grain (W) Potato (W)

Ethiopia ETB 10.00 KES 47

$0.52 $0.55

Nairobi Wh Maize* (W) Beans

Kenya KES 37 KES 81

$0.43 $0.94

Beans (W) Eldoret Wh Maize* (W)

KES 72 Kenya KES 34

$0.83 $0.40

Potato (W) Beans (W)

KES 37 KES 90

$0.43 $1.04

Sorghum (W) Potato (W)

KES 45 KES 28

$0.52 $0.33

Maize Flr Sorghum (W)

KES 63 KES 75

$0.73 $0.87

Bread Garissa Wh Maize*

KES 50 Kenya KES 60

$0.58 $0.70

Veg Oil Lodwar Wh Maize*

KES 215 Kenya KES 82

$2.49 $0.95

Milk Mandera Wh Maize*

KES 45 Kenya KES 57

$0.52 $0.66

Gasoline Marsabit Wh Maize*

KES 115 Kenya KES 52

$1.33 $0.60

Diesel Mombasa Wh Maize* (W)

KES 105 Kenya KES 37

$1.22 $0.42

Kisumu Wh Maize* (W) Beans (W)

Kenya KES 44 KES 58

$0.51 $0.68

Sorghum (W) Sorghum (W)

KES 42 KES 38

$0.49 $0.44

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

-4 -6 31 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▲ ▲

15 -9 19 ▲ ▼ ▲ 3 15

▲ ▲

- 4 - - ► - -4 8

▲

East

Afr

ica

-10 10 14 ▼

24 ►

17 ►

-10 18 16 ▼

0 14 12 ►

-31 9 28 ▼

0 33 32 ►

▲ ▲

39 ► ▲ ▲

43 18 77 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

15 17 - ▲ ▲ - 0 64

▲ ▲-6 14 15 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 8 12 ► ▲ ▲8 11 10 ▲ ▲ ▲

▲ ▲1 3 21 ► ► ▲

-5 17 23 ▼ ▲ ▲-15 -10 7 ▼ ▼ ▲

▲ ▲11 25 30 ▲ ▲ ▲

15 48 51 ▲ ▲ ▲0 19 19 ► ▲ ▲

2 -27 -4 ► ▼ ►0 15 37 ► ▲ ▲

9 -5 36 ▲ ▼ ▲0 16 16 ► ▲ ▲

6 16 18 ▲ ▲ ▲0 6 16 ► ▲ ▲

8 14 16 ▲ ▲ ▲0 6 15 ► ▲ ▲

-5 -24 4 ▼ ▼ ►5 5 15 ▲ ▲ ▲

-16 -7 -1 ▼ ▼ ►5 10 17 ▲ ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

22

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Moyale Wh Maize* Mogadishu Diesel

Kenya KES 40 Somalia SOS 22,000

$0.46 (Bakara) -

Wajir Wh Maize* Baidoa Rd Rice

Kenya KES 49 Somalia SOS 14,200

$0.57 -

Kigali Maize Rd Sorghum*

Rwanda RWF 231 SOS 6,220

$0.34 -

Beans* Wh Maize

RWF 409 SOS 9,400

$0.61 -

Banana Veg Oil

RWF 197 SOS 28,000

$0.29 -

Irish Potato Gasoline

RWF 188 SOS 23,000

$0.28 -

Cassava flour Diesel

RWF 372 SOS 24,000

$0.55 -

Gasoline Beled Hawa Rd Sorghum*

RWF 1,010 Somalia SOS 13,200

$1.50 -

Musanze Maize Buale Wh Maize*

Rwanda RWF 222 Somalia SOS 8,400

$0.33 -

Beans* Cowpea

RWF 429 SOS 23,000

$0.64 -

Banana Merka Cowpea

RWF 138 Somalia SOS 17,300

$0.21 -

Mogadishu Rd Rice Qorioley Rd Rice

Somalia SOS 13,000 Somalia SOS 16,000

(Bakara) - -

Rd Sorghum* Wh Maize*

SOS 9,300 SOS 9,000

- -

Wh Maize Rd Sorghum

SOS 10,600 SOS 6,900

- -

Cowpea Lugh Wh Maize*

SOS 18,600 Somalia SOS 13,000

- -

Veg Oil Rd Sorghum

SOS 26,000 SOS 9,000

- -

Gasoline Beled Weyne Rd Sorghum*

SOS 21,000 Somalia SOS 12,000

- -

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

5 21 23 ▲ ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▼

1 -19 - ► ▼ - 7 86

▲ ▼

2 -2 -9 ► ► ▼ 1 3

▲

East

Afr

ica

10 5 -21 ▲

-26 ►

-16 ▲

-3 4 -33 ►

0 -4 -21 ►

14 40 -22 ▲

-7 37 -26 ▼

► ▼

-2 ► ▲ ►

36 44 - ▲ ▲ -

▲ ▼

12 -1 - ▲ ► - 2 55

► ▼22 25 - ▲ ▲ -

3 -2 -19 ► ► ▼3 -20 - ► ▼ -

▲ ▼10 7 - ▲ ▲ -

2 32 -15 ► ▲ ▼0 -1 - ► ► -

▲ ▼-26 -26 - ▼ ▼ -

0 -8 - ► ▼ -24 9 - ▲ ▲ -

0 61 6 ► ▲ ▲55 75 4 ▲ ▲ ►

-21 23 -14 ▼ ▲ ▼0 -4 -35 ► ► ▼

17 44 30 ▲ ▲ ▲28 43 -19 ▲ ▲ ▼

6 73 -19 ▲ ▲ ▼18 33 2 ▲ ▲ ►

9 78 - ▲ ▲ -0 -8 -23 ► ▼ ▼

0 13 -21 ► ▲ ▼18 8 -31 ▲ ▲ ▼

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

23

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Dhusamareb Rd Rice Hargeisa Rd Rice

Somalia SOS 20,000 Somalia SLSH 4,500

- -

Rd Sorghum* Togwajale Wh Sorghum*

SOS 17,500 Somalia SLSH 2,900

- -

Veg Oil Juba Sorghum*

SOS 55,000 South Sudan SSP 3.43

- $1.16

Gasoline Maize

SOS 20,000 SSP 2.86

- $0.97

Diesel Wheat Flr

SOS 25,250 SSP 6.00

- $2.03

El Dhere Cowpea Aweil Sorghum*

Somalia SOS 14,250 South Sudan SSP 3.86

- $1.30

Galkayo Rd Rice Grd Nuts

Somalia SOS 16,000 SSP 6.00

- $2.03

Rd Sorghum* Wau Sorghum*

SOS 14,000 South Sudan SSP 3.50

- $1.18

Cowpea Wheat Flr

SOS 20,750 SSP 6.00

- $2.03

Garowe Rd Rice Grd Nuts

Somalia SOS 16,000 SSP 6.00

- $2.03

Bossasso Rd Rice Khartoum Wh Sorghum*

Somalia SOS 14,750 Sudan SDG 4.75

- (Om Durman) $0.84

Burao Rd Rice Wheat

Somalia SLSH 5,000 SDG 5.18

- $0.91

Rd Sorghum* Millet

SLSH 3,000 SDG 7.75

- $1.37

Wh Maize El Fasher Wh Sorghum

SLSH 4,000 Sudan SDG 4.94

- $0.87

Veg Oil Wheat

SLSH 12,000 SDG 5.99

- $1.06

Gasoline Millet*

SLSH 7,000 SDG 5.98

- $1.06

Diesel Damazine Wh Sorghum*

SLSH 6,800 Sudan SDG 4.50

- $0.79

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

0 -17 -26 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ▲

0 -8 -16 ► ▼ ▼ 0 -29

► ►

9 13 4 ▲ ▲ ► -6 4

▼

East

Afr

ica

0 0 3 ►

24 ▼

-1 ►

0 -4 - ►

0 -40 - ►

20 -14 - ▲

19 90 196 ▲

► -

20 ► ► ▲

0 -16 -18 ► ▼ ▼

▼ ►

0 -20 -25 ► ▼ ▼ 0 0

▼ -0 0 2 ► ► ►

13 4 19 ▲ ► ▲78 119 -37 ▲ ▲ ▼

▼ -4 4 -32 ► ► ▼

-13 -18 2 ▼ ▼ ►0 40 24 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲5 -2 -22 ▲ ► ▼

0 -54 - ► ▼ -7 3 -17 ▲ ► ▼

11 104 - ▲ ▲ -0 0 11 ► ► ▲

15 80 - ▲ ▲ -0 0 5 ► ► ▲

17 70 - ▲ ▲ -0 0 7 ► ► ▲

0 72 133 ► ▲ ▲0 33 19 ► ▲ ▲

4 107 210 ► ▲ ▲4 1 12 ► ► ▲

11 99 152 ▲ ▲ ▲0 0 12 ► ► ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

24

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Damazine Wheat Nyala Wheat

Sudan SDG 6.30 Sudan SDG 5.92

$1.11 $1.05

Millet Millet*

SDG 7.00 SDG 6.61

$1.24 $1.17

Dongola Wh Sorghum* Port Sudan Wh Sorghum*

Sudan SDG 4.20 Sudan SDG 3.66

$0.74 $0.65

Wheat Millet

SDG 3.81 SDG 6.66

$0.67 $1.18

Millet Dar es Wh Maize*

SDG 6.20 Salaam TZS 720

$1.10 Tanzania $0.44

El Obeid Wh Sorghum Beans (W)

Sudan SDG 3.87 TZS 1,725

$0.68 $1.05

Wheat Rice

SDG 4.64 TZS 1,450

$0.82 $0.88

Millet* Iringa Wh Maize*

SDG 6.94 Tanzania TZS 400

$1.23 $0.24

Gadarif Wh Sorghum* Rice

Sudan SDG 3.66 TZS 1,300

$0.65 $0.79

Wheat Arusha Wh Maize* (W)

SDG 5.78 Tanzania TZS 492

$1.02 $0.30

Millet Beans (W)

SDG 6.50 TZS 1,331

$1.15 $0.81

Geneina Wh Sorghum Rice (W)

Sudan SDG 3.78 TZS 1,292

$0.67 $0.79

Millet* Dodoma Wh Maize* (W)

SDG 4.40 Tanzania TZS 558

$0.78 $0.34

Kadugli Wh Sorghum Beans (W)

Sudan SDG 3.10 TZS 1,295

$0.55 $0.79

Wheat Rice (W)

SDG 4.50 TZS 1,338

$0.79 $0.82

Millet* Kigoma Wh Maize* (W)

SDG 7.00 Tanzania TZS 452

$1.24 $0.28

Nyala Wh Sorghum Beans (W)

Sudan SDG 4.00 TZS 1,279

$0.71 $0.78

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

0 50 - ► ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▲ ▲ ▲

0 79 66 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲ -

2 110 - ► ▲ -

-

East

Afr

ica

15 88 -

9 69 145

0

▲

▲

▼

▲

▲

▲

▼

-

0 68 - ► ▲ - 0

- 0 94 - ►

57 122 ► ▲ ▲

6 51 - ▲ ▲

▲

1 60 - ► ▲ - -3

▲ 3 14 40 ►

-8 -3 ► ▼ ►

0 71 128 ► ▲

▼

16 103 150 ▲ ▲ ▲ -4

- 0 -18 -30 ►

-15 3 ► ▼ ►

8 116 - ▲ ▲

▲

2 94 - ► ▲ - 0

- -9 5 15 ▼

-12 0 ► ▼ ►

10 55 - ▲ ▲

▲

22 110 150 ▲ ▲ ▲ -4

▲ -4 9 5 ►

17 21 ► ▲ ▲

5 119 157 ▲ ▲

▲

67 100 - ▲ ▲ - -5

▲ -8 23 7 ▼

-9 13 ► ▼ ▲

50 66 97 ▲ ▲

-

1 48 81 ► ▲ ▲ -18

▲ -6 -6 - ▼

-24 -9 ▼ ▼ ▼

40 75 168 ▲ ▲

1 - ▼ ► -

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

25

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Mbeya Wh Maize* (W) Lira Sorghum*

Tanzania TZS 442 Uganda UGX 1,000

$0.27 $0.39

Beans (W) Beans

TZS 1,325 UGX 1,850

$0.81 $0.72

Rice (W) Arua Cassava Chp*

TZS 1,225 Uganda UGX 1,000

$0.75 $0.39

Mtwara Wh Maize* (W) Gulu Sorghum*

Tanzania TZS 410 Uganda UGX 1,000

$0.25 $0.39

Mwanza Rice (W) Beans

Tanzania TZS 1,144 UGX 2,000

$0.70 $0.78

Songea Wh Maize* (W) Masindi Sorghum* (W)

Tanzania TZS 341 Uganda UGX 1,441

$0.21 $0.56

Beans (W) Maize (W)

TZS 1,233 UGX 823

$0.75 $0.32

Tanga Rice (W) Beans (W)

Tanzania TZS 1,202 UGX 1,785

$0.73 $0.70

Kampala Wh Maize*

Uganda UGX 1,438

$0.56

Matoke

UGX 924

$0.36

Wh Maize* (W)

UGX 859

$0.34

Beans (W)

UGX 1,436

$0.56

Sorghum (W)

UGX 795

$0.31

Soroti Sorghum*

Uganda UGX 1,000

$0.39

Millet

UGX 1,800

$0.70

Mbarara Matoke*

Uganda UGX 903

$0.35

Beans

UGX 2,450

$0.96

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

East

Afr

ica

8 0 15 ▲ ►

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

► ▲

-12 -6 4 ▼ ▼ ► 2 25

▲ ▲

-3 28 29 ► ▲ ▲ -14 3

▲

East

Afr

ica

0 90 45 ►

6 ▼

27 ►

-14 19 7 ▼ ▲ ▲

46 ► ▲ ▲

-15 -5 -4 ▼ ▼ ►

▲ ▲

0 0 15 ► ► ▲ 0 67

2 34 - ► ▲ --3 54 76 ► ▲ ▲

-2 94 - ► ▲ -8 10 39 ▲ ▲ ▲

3 12 28 ► ▲ ▲

-14 9 - ▼ ▲ --5 -11 -2 ▼ ▼ ►

-2 31 24 ► ▲ ▲

-15 115 57 ▼ ▲ ▲

-3 54 20 ► ▲ ▲

-28 -1 -9 ▼ ► ▼

2 20 28 ► ▲ ▲

0 60 26 ► ▲ ▲

-5 26 35 ▼ ▲ ▲

-9 273 86 ▼ ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

26

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Karonga Wh Maize* Maputo Rice

Malawi MWK 80 Mozambique MZN 25

$0.21 $0.79

Rice Mz Meal

MWK 272 MZN 28

$0.70 $0.89

Cassava Wh Maize*

MWK 73 MZN 13

$0.19 $0.41

Lunzu Wh Maize* Beans

Malawi MWK 75 MZN 45

$0.19 $1.44

Rice Grd Nuts

MWK 399 MZN 41

$1.03 $1.32

Cassava Veg Oil

MWK 75 MZN 50

$0.19 $1.60

Mchinji Wh Maize* Bread

Malawi MWK 66 MZN 22

$0.17 $0.70

Mitundu Wh Maize* Diesel

Malawi MWK 70 MZN 37

$0.18 $1.18

Rice Gasoline

MWK 398 MZN 48

$1.03 $1.52

Cassava Manica Maize*

MWK 82 Mozambique MZN 8

$0.21 $0.26

Mzuzu Wh Maize* Rice

Malawi MWK 76 MZN 25

$0.20 $0.80

Rice Beans

MWK 328 MZN 50

$0.85 $1.60

Cassava Chokwe Maize*

MWK 118 Mozambique MZN 5

$0.31 $0.17

Nsanje Wh Maize* Rice

Malawi MWK 94 MZN 30

$0.24 $0.96

Salima Wh Maize* Beans

Malawi MWK 62 MZN 80

$0.16 $2.56

Rice Gorongosa Maize*

MWK 400 Mozambique MZN 6

$1.03 $0.20

Cassava Beans

MWK 109 MZN 63

$0.28 $2.01

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

4 -5 78 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

► ► ▲

-16 37 - ▼ ▲ - 0

► ► ►

-15 -6 52 ▼ ▼ ▲ 0

▲

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-1 -1 0

4 12

-4 2

0 36

-18 13

-16 -4

► ► ▲

-17 13 83 ▼ ▲

► ► ►

-6 -18 51 ▼ ▼ ▲ -4

▼ ▼ ▼

5 -26 52 ▲ ▼ ▲ 0

▲

27 - - ▲ - - -17 -17 -9

▲ 0 -14 19 ► ▼

▲

0 16 67 ► ▲ ▲ 0 0 19

▲ 0 0 10 ► ►

0 0 ► ► ►

-29 -24 67 ▼ ▼

► ▼ ▲

- -33 43 - ▼

► ► ▲

-14 36 - ▼ ▲ - 0

► ▲ ▲

- 5 70 - ▲ ▲ -42

▼

- -8 49 - ▼ ▲ 0 106 71

▲ 0 -19 -10 ► ▼

▲

- -37 28 - ▼ ▲ 0 52 49

▲ 0 0 14 ► ►

-57 -43 ▼ ▼ ▼

0 6 88 ► ▲

▲ ▼ ►

- 12 - - ▲

► ▲ ▲

- 13 87 - ▲ ▲ 6

▲- 0 64 76 ► ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

27

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Maxixe Rice Choma Mz Meal

Mozambique MZN 26 Zambia ZMW 2.22

$0.83 $0.35

Beans Kabwe Wh Maize*

MZN 50 Zambia ZMW 1.33

$1.60 $0.21

Nampula Maize* Mz Meal

Mozambique MZN 8 ZMW 2.07

$0.24 $0.33

Rice Kasama Wh Maize*

MZN 25 Zambia ZMW 1.44

$0.80 $0.23

Beans Mz Meal

MZN 50 ZMW 2.39

$1.60 $0.38

Diesel Kitwe Wh Maize*

MZN 38 Zambia ZMW 1.67

$1.23 $0.26

Gasoline Mz Meal

MZN 49 ZMW 2.25

$1.57 $0.36

Veg Oil Mansa Wh Maize*

MZN 44 Zambia ZMW 1.50

$1.39 $0.24

Tete Maize* Mz Meal

Mozambique MZN 8 ZMW 2.30

$0.26 $0.36

Rice Mongu Wh Maize*

MZN 30 Zambia ZMW 1.67

$0.96 $0.26

Beans Mz Meal

MZN 33 ZMW 2.40

$1.04 $0.38

Lusaka Wh Maize* Solwezi Wh Maize*

Zambia ZMW 1.71 Zambia ZMW 1.58

$0.27 $0.25

Mz Meal Mz Meal

ZMW 2.08 ZMW 2.45

$0.33 $0.39

Diesel Harare Wh Maize*

ZMW 10.01 Zimbabwe USD 0.34

$1.58 $0.34

Chipata Wh Maize* Maize Flr

Zambia ZMW 1.24 USD 0.65

$0.20 $0.65

Mz Meal Sugar

ZMW 2.20 USD 0.92

$0.35 $0.92

Choma Wh Maize* Cabbage

Zambia ZMW 1.00 USD 0.97

$0.16 $0.97

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

0 0 5 ► ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ ▲

-8 -11 9 ▼ ▼

▲ ▲

5 23 29 ▲ ▲ ▲ -15 -5

▲

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-9 25 46 ▼

44 ▼

48 ►

0 34 50 ► ▲ ▲

24 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 25 56 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

0 0 7 ► ► ▲ -8 30

▲ -3 18

-1 40 57 ► ▲ ▲0 0 18 ► ► ▲

-5 34 36 ▼ ▲ ▲0 0 10 ► ► ▲

-2 29 47 ► ▲ ▲-22 -11 1 ▼ ▼ ►

-21 23 37 ▼ ▲ ▲4 6 6 ► ▲ ▲

-2 28 41 ► ▲ ▲8 4 9 ▲ ► ▲

-19 11 32 ▼ ▲ ▲0 7 10 ► ▲ ▲

0 30 53 ► ▲ ▲-4 22 44 ► ▲ ▲

-5 -5 43 ▼ ▼ ▲-16 6 34 ▼ ▲ ▲

-1 29 - ► ▲ --2 24 21 ► ▲ ▲

-1 16 -5 ► ▲ ▼0 9 35 ► ▲ ▲

-1 95 58 ► ▲ ▲-33 -10 22 ▼ ▼ ▲

-1 -22 -8 ► ▼ ▼- 16 32 - ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

28

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Harare Veg Oil Mahajanga Rice (local, Gasy)

Zimbabwe USD 1.99 Madagascar MGA 1,200

$1.99 $0.50

Bread Toliara (Tulear) Rice (local, Gasy)

USD 1.42 Madagascar MGA 1,202

$1.42 $0.50

Diesel Dried Cassava

(Manioc Sec) USD 1.39 MGA 500

$1.39 $0.21

Gasoline Toamasina (Tamatave)Rice (local, Gasy)

USD 1.49 Madagascar MGA 1,260

$1.49 $0.53

Gwanda Maize Flr Dried Cassava

(Manioc Sec)Zimbabwe USD 0.65 MGA 1,200

$0.65 $0.50

Masvingo Wh Maize*

Zimbabwe USD 0.29

$0.29

Maize Flr

USD 0.50

$0.50

Bulawayo Wh Maize*

Zimbabwe USD 0.29

$0.29

Maize Flr

USD 0.66

$0.66

Amboasary Rice (local, Gasy)

Madagascar MGA 1,186

$0.50

Dried Cassava

(Manioc Sec) MGA 840

$0.35

Ambovomba Rice (local, Gasy)

Madagascar MGA 1,220

$0.51

Antananarivo Rice (local, Gasy)

Madagascar MGA 1,238

$0.52

Rice (imported)

MGA 1,177

$0.49

Antsirabe Rice (local, Gasy)

Madagascar MGA 1,200

$0.50

Dried Cassava

(Manioc Sec) MGA 480

$0.20

Fianarantsoa Rice (local, Gasy)

Madagascar MGA 994

$0.42

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-1 3 15 ► ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ -

1 7 - ► ▲ - -22 25

▼ -

-1 99 122 ► ▲ ▲ -5 -9

▲

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

-2 -14 - ►

- ▼

- ▼

0 0 - ► ► -

- ▼ ▼ -

-1 17 - ► ▲ -

▲ -

1 6 - ► ▲ - -6 -10

-10 -10 - ▼ ▼ -

-1 -16 - ► ▼ -

-6 19 - ▼ ▲ -

-28 1 - ▼ ► -

-7 68 - ▼ ▲ -

-5 3 - ▼ ► -

-5 6 - ▼ ▲ -

-1 0 - ► ► -

13 7 - ▲ ▲ -

-4 -4 - ► ► -

1 -21 - ► ▼ -

-8 32 - ▼ ▲ -

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

29

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Port-au-Prince Imp Rice* Jérémie Imp Rice*

Haiti HTG 46 Haiti HTG 51

(Croix-de- $5.72 $6.41

Bossales) Maize Flr Loc Mz Flr

HTG 22 HTG 17

$2.75 $2.12

Blk Beans Blk Beans

HTG 62 HTG 55

$7.67 $6.87

Wheat Flr Wheat Flr

HTG 37 HTG 29

$4.58 $3.66

Veg Oil Veg Oil

HTG 86 HTG 99

$10.70 $12.34

Sugar Sugar

HTG 55 HTG 62

$6.87 $7.78

Hinche Imp Rice* Jacmel Imp Rice*

Haiti HTG 51 Haiti HTG 55

$6.41 $6.87

Maize Flr Loc Mz Flr

HTG 26 HTG 31

$3.21 $3.89

Blk Beans Blk Beans

HTG 64 HTG 63

$8.01 $7.90

Wheat Flr Wheat Flr

HTG 29 HTG 44

$3.66 $5.49

Veg Oil Veg Oil

HTG 86 HTG 91

$10.70 $11.40

Sugar Sugar

HTG 73 HTG 55

$9.16 $6.87

Cap Haïtien Imp Rice* San Jose Wh Maize (W)

Haiti HTG 49 Costa Rica CRC 337

$6.04 (Central de $0.62

Maize Flr Abasto) Rd Beans*

HTG 35 CRC 1,255

$4.35 $2.31

Blk Beans Blk Beans*

HTG 90 CRC 973

$11.22 $1.79

Veg Oil Sugar*

HTG 92 CRC 609

$11.52 $1.12

Sugar San Salvador Wh Maize*

HTG 55 El Salvador USD 0.44

$6.87 $0.44

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

0 -11 5 ► ▼

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ ▼

-7 -33 -11 ▼ ▼ ▼ -2 -38

▼ ►

0 -40 -18 ► ▼ ▼ -23 -51

▲

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

0 -17 -2 ►

-19 ▼

-11 ►

0 0 21 ►

0 0 13 ►

-5 -32 -7 ▼

1 -1 16 ►

► ▲

-13 ► ▼ ▼

0 0 14 ► ► ▲

▼ ▼

5 0 22 ▲ ► ▲ 0 -20

► ▲0 -13 -1 ► ▼ ►

0 -15 -9 ► ▼ ▼3 0 7 ► ► ▲

▼ ▼0 -25 -2 ► ▼ ►

-1 -29 1 ► ▼ ►0 0 -2 ► ► ►

► ▲0 4 4 ► ► ►

0 -20 0 ► ▼ ►0 -30 -8 ► ▼ ▼

-3 -14 - ► ▼ -0 -3 5 ► ► ▲

0 -17 -17 ► ▼ ▼0 0 4 ► ► ►

7 8 - ▲ ▲ --2 -12 23 ► ▼ ▲

14 - - ▲ - -0 -21 -12 ► ▼ ▼

5 0 -19 ▲ ► ▼0 0 -7 ► ► ▼

2 3 - ► ► -0 10 11 ► ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

30

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

San Salvador Rd Beans Guatemala Blk Beans

El Salvador USD 1.65 City GTQ 10.47

$1.65 Guatemala $1.37

Seda Rd Bns Rice

USD 1.87 GTQ 9.92

$1.87 $1.29

Rice (90/10) Yw Maize

USD 1.15 GTQ 4.32

$1.15 $0.56

Sugar Diesel

USD 0.88 GTQ 7.98

$0.88 $1.04

Ahuachapan Wh Maize* (W) Gasoline

El Salvador USD 0.36 GTQ 8.71

$0.36 $1.14

Seda Rd Bns (W) Chiquimula Wh Maize*

USD 1.56 Guatemala GTQ 3.22

$1.56 $0.42

La Union Wh Maize* (W) Blk Beans

El Salvador USD 0.37 GTQ 10.05

$0.37 $1.31

Seda Rd Bns (W) Rice

USD 1.85 GTQ 11.16

$1.85 $1.45

San Miguel Wh Maize* (W) Peten La Wh Maize*

El Salvador USD 0.35 Terminal GTQ 2.87

$0.35 Guatemala $0.37

Seda Rd Bns (W) Blk Beans

USD 1.67 GTQ 11.02

$1.67 $1.44

Santa Anna Wh Maize* (W) Tegucigalpa Wh Maize*

El Salvador USD 0.36 Honduras HNL 8.38

$0.36 (Zona Belén) $0.41

Seda Rd Bns (W) Rd Beans

USD 1.57 HNL 38.08

$1.57 $1.86

San Vincente Wh Maize* (W) Rice

El Salvador USD 0.36 HNL 19.84

$0.36 $0.97

Seda Rd Bns (W) Choluteca Wh Maize* (W)

USD 1.66 Honduras HNL 8.05

$1.66 $0.39

Usultan Wh Maize* (W) Rd Beans (W)

El Salvador USD 0.37 HNL 41.42

$0.37 $2.02

Seda Rd Bns (W) Comayagua Wh Maize* (W)

USD 1.66 Honduras HNL 7.00

$1.66 $0.34

Guatemala Wh Maize* Rd Beans (W)

City GTQ 3.48 HNL 34.17

Guatemala $0.45 $1.67

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

7 79 8 ▲ ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▲ ▲

4 11 0 ► ▲ ► -2 -2

▼ ▼

5 77 14 ▲ ▲ ▲ 16 13

▲

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

-1 -5 -5 ►

15 ▲

-2 ►

-10 3 12 ▼

14 - - ▲

0 - - ►

30 -11 -1 ▲

► ▲

18 ▼ ▲ ▲

12 7 -13 ▲ ▲ ▼

► ►

0 0 2 ► ► ► -7 8

- -3 9 -20 ► ▲ ▼

-3 - - ► - -7 89 16 ▲ ▲ ▲

- -7 7 - ▲ ▲ -

27 - - ▲ - -10 124 37 ▲ ▲ ▲

▼ ►10 6 - ▲ ▲ -

0 - - ► - -10 108 - ▲ ▲ -

13 0 -12 ▲ ► ▼11 10 -9 ▲ ▲ ▼

73 106 53 ▲ ▲ ▲7 92 - ▲ ▲ -

119 213 97 ▲ ▲ ▲8 9 -13 ▲ ▲ ▼

20 -3 8 ▲ ► ▲- 111 16 - ▲ ▲

98 148 70 ▲ ▲ ▲-10 -1 -8 ▼ ► ▼

14 -11 -2 ▲ ▼ ►7 108 22 ▲ ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

31

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Julticalpa Wh Maize* (W) Esteli Rd Beans

Honduras HNL 4.59 Nicaragua NIO 50.99

$0.22 $2.00

Siguatepeque Wh Maize* (W) Wh Maize*

Honduras HNL 6.68 NIO 11.02

$0.33 $0.43

Rd Beans (W) Rice (90/10)

HNL 38.39 NIO 30.60

$1.88 $1.20

Mexico City Wh Maize* (W) León Rd Beans

Mexico MXN 5.00 Nicaragua NIO 54.01

$0.39 $2.12

Rice (W) Wh Maize*

MXN 13.50 NIO 11.31

$1.04 $0.44

Blk Beans (W) Rice (80/20)

MXN 12.58 NIO 25.35

$0.97 $0.99

Rd Beans (W) Sugar

MXN 14.00 NIO 24.25

$1.08 $0.95

Sugar (W)

MXN 8.67

$0.67

Veg Oil (W)

MXN 19.27

$1.49

Managua Rd Beans

Nicaragua NIO 52.12

$2.04

Wh Maize*

NIO 12.41

$0.49

Rice (80/20)

NIO 25.97

$1.02

Sugar

NIO 21.74

$0.85

Chontales Rd Beans

Nicaragua NIO 52.18

$2.04

Wh Maize*

NIO 10.85

$0.42

Rice (90/10)

NIO 28.66

$1.12

Sugar

NIO 20.94

$0.82

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

-12 - - ▼ -

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ -

160 203 98 ▲ ▲ ▲ 1 7

▲ -

11 -12 -4 ▲ ▼ ► 4 -17

-

Cen

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

16 131 - ▲

- ►

- ►

14 3 - ▲

0 0 - ►

► -

- ▲ ▲ -

0 -3 5 ► ► ▲

▲ -

0 -4 2 ► ► ► 13 232

► -4 -18 - ► ▼ -

0 6 - ► ▲ -4 -10 -17 ► ▼ ▼

0 -10 -1 ► ▼ ►

17 25 -4 ▲ ▲ ►

3 8 17 ► ▲ ▲

8 162 117 ▲ ▲ ▲

1 9 35 ► ▲ ▲

2 15 25 ► ▲ ▲

1 -18 -6 ► ▼ ▼

13 216 123 ▲ ▲ ▲

- 12 - - ▲ -

0 18 - ► ▲ -

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

32

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Kabul Wheat Flr* Mazar Diesel

Afghanistan AFN 28 Afghanistan AFN 59

$0.48 $1.02

Wheat* Faizabad Wheat Flr*

AFN 27 Afghanistan AFN 28

$0.47 $0.49

Rice Wheat*

AFN 50 AFN 25

$0.87 $0.43

Veg Oil Rice

AFN 81 AFN 51

$1.40 $0.88

Diesel Maimana Wheat Flr*

AFN 62 Afghanistan AFN 28

$1.07 $0.48

Jalalabad Wheat Flr* Wheat*

Afghanistan AFN 23 AFN 23

$0.40 $0.39

Wheat* Rice

AFN 20 AFN 40

$0.35 $0.69

Rice Kandahar Wheat Flr*

AFN 45 Afghanistan AFN 26

$0.78 $0.45

Hirat Wheat Flr* Wheat*

Afghanistan AFN 26 AFN 29

$0.46 $0.51

Wheat* Rice

AFN 20 AFN 26

$0.34 $0.46

Rice Nili Wheat Flr*

AFN 29 Afghanistan AFN 34

$0.50 $0.59

Veg Oil Wheat*

AFN 74 AFN 32

$1.29 $0.55

Diesel Rice

AFN 57 AFN 68

$0.99 $1.18

Mazar Wheat Flr* Karachi Wheat

Afghanistan AFN 25 Pakistan PKR 34

$0.43 $0.35

Wheat* Wheat Flr*

AFN 22 PKR 43

$0.37 $0.44

Rice Rice

AFN 42 PKR 62

$0.73 $0.63

Veg Oil Lahore Wheat

AFN 78 Pakistan PKR 33

$1.35 $0.34

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral A

sia

4 15 29 ► ▲

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▲ -

0 6 57 ► ▲ ▲ -2 25

► ▲

-4 17 40 ► ▲ ▲ 2 9

▲

Cen

tral A

sia

-2 2 18 ►

- ►

35 ►

6 7 26 ▲

0 -20 8 ►

0 29 55 ►

-4 10 19 ►

▲ ▲

4 ► ► ►

1 7 22 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲

0 -6 9 ► ▼ ▲ 2 -2

▼ ▲-1 10 20 ► ▲ ▲

-2 13 25 ► ▲ ▲0 15 17 ► ▲ ▲

▲ ▲-5 14 30 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 19 28 ► ▲ ▲-5 -21 34 ▼ ▼ ▲

▲ ▲2 8 9 ► ▲ ▲

2 -3 -15 ► ► ▼-12 5 40 ▼ ▲ ▲

0 -4 60 ► ► ▲-2 -2 17 ► ► ▲

-4 19 35 ► ▲ ▲-1 -7 7 ► ▼ ▲

-3 2 -79 ► ► ▼0 26 45 ► ▲ ▲

-5 -3 -74 ▼ ► ▼8 -5 - ▲ ▼ -

1 3 -85 ► ► ▼1 7 13 ► ▲ ▲

0 19 -66 ► ▲ ▼0 5 24 ► ▲ ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

33

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Lahore Wheat Flr*

Pakistan PKR 38

$0.38

Rice Gulf of Mexico Yw Maize

PKR 63 United States USD 0.20

$0.64 (No. 2) $0.20

Multan Wheat Yw Maize

Pakistan PKR 31 ZAR 1.95

$0.32 $0.18

Wheat Flr* Randfontein Wh Maize

PKR 36 South Africa ZAR 1.83

$0.36 (SAFEX) $0.17

Rice Up River Maize

PKR 41 Argentina ARS 1.66

$0.42 $0.20

Peshawar Wheat

Pakistan PKR 35

$0.35

Wheat Flr* Bangkok Rice (100% B)

PKR 38 Thailand THB 13.59

$0.39 $0.42

Rice Rice (A1 Super)

PKR 49 THB 10.17

$0.50 $0.31

Quetta Wheat Flr* Hanoi Rice (5% broken)

Pakistan PKR 41 Vietnam VND 8,090

$0.42 $0.40

Rice

PKR 45

$0.46

Gulf of Mexico Yw Sorghum

United States USD 0.22

(No. 2) $0.22

Caribbean Raw Sugar

(Average) USD 0.40

$0.40

Aktau Wheat

Kazakhstan KZT 49.00

(milling) $0.27

Black Sea Wheat

(Average) RUB 0.26

(milling) $0.01

Eastern States Sft Wheat

Australia AUD 0.29

(standard) $0.28

MAIZE

RICE

SORGHUM

SUGAR

WHEAT

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Cen

tral A

sia

0 3 -80 ► ►

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

▼ ▼

1 -2 -96 ► ► ▼ -5 -14

0 4 -68 ► ► ▼ -7 -33

▼

Inte

rnati

on

al

-16 ▼

13 ▼

-9 -23 -12 ▼

3 -24 -24 ►

4 5 - ►

-2 -11 1 ►

▼ ▼

6 ▼ ▼ ▲

0 -2 -99 ► ► ▼

▼ ▲

-1 1 -95 ► ► ▼ -8 -20

▼ ▼-2 2 27 ► ► ▲

-4 6 27 ► ▲ ▲

▲ --8 9 29 ▼ ▲ ▲

5 -39 -27 ▲ ▼ ▼0 0 8 ► ► ▲

▼ ►

0 2 17 ► ► ▲

-26 6 -4 ▼ ▲ ►

3 9 46 ► ▲ ▲

-5 -9 6 ▼ ▼ ▲

-11 -4 5 ▼ ► ▲

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

34

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 31, 2014

Current Current

price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year

Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.

Gulf of Mexico Hrd Rd Wheat

United States USD 0.31

(No. 2) $0.31

Sft Rd Wheat

USD 0.24

$0.24

Randfontein Wheat

South Africa ZAR 3.79

(SAFEX) $0.36

Rouën Wheat (Grade 1)

France EUR 0.19

$0.26

St. Lawrence Hrd Rd Wheat

Canada CAD 0.34

$0.32

Up River Wheat

(Trigo Pan) ARS 2.96

$0.37

WHEAT

one year, and one year, and

5-year avg. 5-year avg.

Inte

rnati

on

al

Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends

% Change Over

Change over

% Change Over

Change over

one month, one month,

-13 -13 -1 ▼ ▼

-9 -2 13 ▼ ► ▲

-9 -10 0 ▼ ▼ ►

-4 6 31 ► ▲ ▲

-2 18 35 ► ▲ ▲

- -11 - - ▼ -

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

35

FEWS NET

fewsnetmt@fews.net

www.fews.net

Figure 8. Millet prices in West Africa (2009 - 2014)

Figure 10. Maize prices in West Africa (2009 - 2014)

PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 June 2014 Prices

Was

t A

fric

a

July 31, 2014

Figure 9. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2009 - 2014)

Figure 11. Rice prices in West Africa (2009 - 2014)

East

Afr

ica

Figure 12. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2009 - 2014)

Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System

market (SIM) in Senegal and FEWS NET.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides

prices trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all

reported prices are retail.

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Kaolak, Senegal Solenzo, Burkina Faso

Moundou, Chad Segou, MaliMaradi, Niger

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Segou, Mali

Maradi, Niger Moundou, Chad

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Tamale, Ghana

Kano, Nigeria(W) Bol, Chad

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Saint-Louis, Senegal Banjul, Gambia

Accra, Ghana Gbarnga, Liberia

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect

the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States

Government.

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Baidoa, SomaliaGadaref, Sudan Juba, South SudanKampala, Uganda (W)

PRICE WATCH ANNEX

Figure 17. Wheat prices in Central Asia (2009 - 2014)

Figure 15. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2009 - 2014)

Cen

tral A

sia

July 2014

Figure 18. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2009 - 2014)

So

uth

ern

Afr

ica

East

Afr

ica

Figure 13. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2009 - 2014)

Figure 16. Dry bean prices in Southern Africa (2009 - 2014)

Figure 14. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2009 - 2014)

Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of

Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM and

Save the Children.

Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Ministry of

Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.

Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jijiga, Ethiopia

Jamame, Somalia Mandera, Kenya

Moyale, Kenya Juba, South Sudan

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00Ja

n-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

USD/kg

0.00

0.30

0.60

0.90

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Mbeya, Tanzania (W) Salima, MalawiNampula, Mozambique Choma, ZambiaHarare, Zimbabwe Randfontein, South Africa (W)

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Dodoma, Tanzania (W) Nampula, MozambiqueMaputo, Mozambique Arusha, Tanzania (W)

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Peshawar, Pakistan Kabul, Afghanistan

Mazar, Afghanistan Faizabad, Afghanistan

Dushanbe, Tajikistan

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W) Qorioley, Somalia

Eldoret, Kenya (W) Kampala, Uganda (W)

Arusha, Tanzania (W) Songea, Tanzania*

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Lahore, Pakistan Aktau Port, Kazakhstan (W)

Kabul, Afghanistan Mazar, Afghanistan

Dushanbe, Tajikistan

__________________________________________________________________

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

__________________________________________________________________

36

PRICE WATCH ANNEX July 2014

Figure 21. Rice prices in Haiti (2009 - 2014)

Figure 19. White maize prices in Central America (2009 - 2014) Figure 20. Red and black bean prices in Central America (2009 - 2014)

C

en

tral A

meri

ca a

nd

Cari

bb

ean

Figure 21. Black bean prices in Haiti (2009 - 2014)

Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),

Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala

(MAGA).

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Port-au-Prince Hinche JacmelJérémie Cap-Haïtien

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Jan-0

8A

pr-

08

Jul-08

Oct

-08

Jan-0

9A

pr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0A

pr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1A

pr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2A

pr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3A

pr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4A

pr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Guatemala City, Guatemala San Salvador, El Salvador

Tegucigalpa, Honduras Managua, Nicaragua

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) * San Salvador, El Salvador **

Tegucigalpa, Honduras ** Managua, Nicaragua **

San Jose, Costa Rica (W) **

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Jan-0

9

Apr-

09

Jul-09

Oct

-09

Jan-1

0

Apr-

10

Jul-10

Oct

-10

Jan-1

1

Apr-

11

Jul-11

Oct

-11

Jan-1

2

Apr-

12

Jul-12

Oct

-12

Jan-1

3

Apr-

13

Jul-13

Oct

-13

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-14

USD/kg

Port-au-Prince Hinche JacmelJeremie Cap Haitien

____________________* black beans** red beans

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The Famine Early Warning Systems Network

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