princeton area real estate update5 1 14
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Data and Information on the Greater Princeton NJ Real Estate Market, Spring 2014TRANSCRIPT
Market Confidence MeterMarket Confidence Meter
Access to mortgage credit is at its highest level in at
least three years, according to a newly released index by the Mortgage Bankers
Association.
Market Confidence MeterMarket Confidence Meter
More than half of U.S. states saw their housing
markets improve in February, according to Freddie Mac’s Multi-
Indicator Market Index.
Market Confidence MeterMarket Confidence Meter
Americans believe real estate is the “best” long-
term investment, over gold, stocks, savings accounts and bonds, according to a
new Gallup poll.
Market Confidence MeterMarket Confidence Meter
Fannie Mae’s March 2014 National Housing Survey
showed that 38% of people surveyed said it is a good
time to sell a home!
This is up from 26% just one year ago.
Market Confidence MeterMarket Confidence Meter
In New Jersey, the average price of a home is predicted
to rise 6% by the end of 2014 above the average for
2013, according to the Otteau Valuation Group’s
March forecast.
Historic Home PricesRemember,
when adjusted for inflation, American home prices increased by
an average of about half a percentage point per year
from 1890 through 2008, according to data compiled by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller.
(www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
If you are a Buyer,
• with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.75% for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH !
• consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to assess your buying power and position yourself in the market.
If you are a Seller,
• Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market.
• Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a good, negotiable offer.
• Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a contract for sale!
• Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
With an eye to Moving This Year!
Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real
Estate Market:1. Real Estate is Local2. Real Estate is Local3. Real Estate is Local
4. Real Estate is Local.5. Real Estate is Local
Real Estate is LOCAL!
Understand the Princeton Area Market That you are Buying into
or Selling out of!
How do we assess strength and vitality in our real estate markets?
By checking the “Absorption Rate.” This is the number of homes available
divided by the number of homes that have gone under contract
in the past 30 days.
It is our most accurate measure of current market strength.
Sample Market Absorption RateSample Market Absorption Rate
100 current active listings
4 reported sales in last 30 days=
25Months’
absorptionrate
Anytown., NJ
5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
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Market Absorption ScaleMarket Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)(Absorption Rate in Months)
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Market Scale for Supply & DemandMarket Scale for Supply & DemandWeichert, Realtors has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market absorption rates and property values.
As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property values depreciate annually. As they decrease below 5 months, they increase—inverse proportion. Although different markets may not see the amount of decrease shown here, the pressure on prices will be similar.
4/15/14
TownsActive Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
West Windsor: All Styles 94 24 3.9 45 21 17 18.1% 2 2 16West Windsor Condo/ T.Houses
18 5 3.6 7 2 2 11.1% 0 0 4
West Windsor55+ 5 0 999 2 2 -- -- 0 0 0
West Windsor Single Family 71 19 3.7 36 17 15 21.1% 2 2 12
Lawrence: All Styles 158 20 7.9 53 33 38 24% 6 3 15Lawrence:Condo/THouses
37 8 4.6 10 2 9 24.3% 0 1 5
Lawrence: 55+ 9 1 9 3 2 -- -- 0 1 1
Lawrence: Single Family 112 11 10.2 40 29 29 25.9% 6 1 9
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
PlainsboroAll Styles
62 14 4.4 14 0 11 18% 4 0 9
PlainsboroCondo/ THouses
29 9 3.2 4 (5) 2 7% 2 0 6
Plainsboro55+
11 1 11 3 2 3 27% 1 0 1
PlainsboroSingle Family
22 4 5.5 7 3 6 27% 1 0 2
Cranbury:All Styles
21 7 3 6 (1) 7 33% 2 0 1
4/29/14Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Ewing: All Styles
206 24 9 46 22 38 18% 6 5 20
Ewing : Condo/ T.Houses
34 3 11 8 5 7 21% 2 1 7
Ewing 55+:
0 1 0 0 -1 --- --- 1 0 0
Ewing:Single Family
172 20 9 38 18 31 18% 3 4 13
East Windsor:All Styles
140 18 8 56 38 23 16% 4 3 17
East Windsor:Condo/ Thouses
77 9 9 29 20 11 14% 2 0 9
East Windsor:55+
11 1 11 6 5 --- --- 1 0 3
East Windsor: Single Family
52 8 7 21 13 12 23% 1 3 5
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Hopewell Twp.All Styles
191 14 13.6 52 38 50 26.2% 3 1 12
Hopewell Twp. Condo/ T.Houses
14 2 7 8 6 5 35.7% 0 0 4
Hopewell Twp.:55+
2 1 2 1 0 - - 0 0 0
Hopewell Twp Single Family 175 11 15.9 43 32 45 25.7% 3 1 8
Hamilton: All Styles 487 60 8.1 116 56 137 28.2% 16 15 38Hamilton:Condo/ THouses 92 11 8.4 20 9 26 28.3% 4 2 8Hamilton:55+ 7 0 99 2 2 - - 0 0 0
Hamilton: Single Family 388 49 7.9 94 45 111 28.6% 12 13 30
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
RobbinsvilleAll Styles 80 18 4 26 8 18 23% 5 4 17
RobbinsvilleCondo/ T.Houses
45 11 4 16 5 9 20% 4 3 7
Single Family 35 7 5 10 3 9 26% 1 1 10
Hightstown Boro: All Styles
39 5 8 11 6 6 15% 2 2 2
Pennington 30 2 15 14 12 10 33% 1 3 2
Hopewell Boro 9 3 3 4 1 2 22% 2 1 3
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Princeton: All Styles 139 18 7.7 46 28 18 12.9% 3 3 15
Princeton:Condo/ Thouses
35 7 5 7 0 1 2.9% 2 1 1
Princeton:Single Family
104 11 9.5 39 28 17 16.3% 1 2 14
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
South
Brunswick
All Styles
166 18 9 63 45 18 11 16 1 21
South BrunswickCondo/ T.Houses
37 6 6 15 9 2 5 2 0 8
South Brunswick
55+
29 3 10 6 3 2 7 3 1 2
South Brunswick
Single Family
100 9 11 42 33 14 14 11 0 11
Monroe:
All Styles 364 35 10 121 84 49 13 27 6 68
Monroe:
55+ 181 23 7 72 49 26 14 12 3 55
Monroe:
Single Family 163 12 14 49 37 25 15 15 3 13
4/29/14
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Montgomery
All Styles 120 43 2.8 55 +12 23 19% 8 4 12
Montgomery
Condo/Twnhms 13 7 1.8 10 +3 0 0 0 1 4
Single Family 107 36 3.0 45 +9 23 21% 8 3 8
Hillsborough
All Styles 168 55 3.0 63 +8 29 17% 9 8 17
Hillsborough
Condo/Twnhms 65 23 2.8 26 +3 11 17% 7 5 4Hillsborough
Single Family 103 32 3.1 37 +5 18 17% 2 3 13