principles of corporate finance session 17 & 18 unit iii: capital budgeting and its practices
TRANSCRIPT
Introduction• Capital Budgeting is the process of identifying,
evaluating, and implementing a firm’s investment
opportunities.
• It seeks to identify investments that will enhance a
firm’s competitive advantage and increase
shareholder wealth.
• The typical capital budgeting decision involves a large
up-front investment followed by a series of smaller
cash inflows.
• Poor capital budgeting decisions can ultimately result
in company bankruptcy.
Examples• Replacing worn out or obsolete assets
• improving business efficiency
• acquiring assets for expansion into new
products or markets
• acquiring another business
• complying with legal requirements
• satisfying work-force demands
• environmental requirements
The Capital Budgeting ProcessStep 1: Identify Investment Opportunities
- How are projects initiated?
- How much is available to spend?
Step 2: Project Development - Preliminary project review
- Technically feasible? - Compatible with corporate strategy?
Step 3: Evaluation and Selection - What are the costs and benefits?
- What is the project’s return? - What are the risks involved?
Step 4: Post Acquisition Control - Is the project within budget?
- What lessons can be drawn?
Our Focus
Independent versus Mutually Exclusive Investments
• Mutually Exclusive Projects are investments that
compete in some way for a company’s resources. A
firm can select one or another but not both.
• Independent Projects, on the other hand, do not
compete with the firm’s resources. A company can
select one, or the other, or both -- so long as they
meet minimum profitability thresholds.
Relevant Cash Flows
• Incremental cash flows
– only cash flows associated with the investment
– effects on the firms other investments (both positive
and negative) must also be considered
For example, if a day-care center decides to open another facility, the impact of customers who decide to move from one facility to the new facility must be considered.
Relevant Cash Flows
• Incremental cash flows
– only cash flows associated with the investment
– effects on the firms other investments (both positive
and negative) must also be considered
• Note that cash outlays already made (sunk costs) are
irrelevant to the decision process.
• However, opportunity costs, which are cash flows that
could be realized from the best alternative use of the
asset, are relevant.
• Examples of relevant cash flows:– cash inflows, outflows, and opportunity
costs
– changes in working capital
– installation, removal and training costs
– terminal values
– depreciation
– sunk costs
– existing asset affects
Relevant Cash Flows
• Categories of Cash Flows:
– Initial Cash Flows are cash flows resulting initially
from the project. These are typically net negative
outflows.
– Operating Cash Flows are the cash flows generated
by the project during its operation. These cash
flows typically net positive cash flows.
– Terminal Cash Flows result from the disposition of
the project. These are typically positive net cash
flows.
Relevant Cash Flows
ExampleOperating Cash Flow Calculation
Profits before Profits before Profits After After Tax
Year Dep & Taxes Deprec. Taxes Taxes Taxes Inflows
1 14,000$ 5,440$ 8,560$ 3,424$ 5,136$ 10,576$
2 14,000 1,600 12,400 4,960 7,440 9,040$
3 14,000 - 14,000 5,600 8,400 8,400$
4 14,000 - 14,000 5,600 8,400 8,400$
5 14,000 - 14,000 5,600 8,400 8,400$
6 - - - - - -$
After-Tax Operating Cash Flows: Existing Hoist
Existing Hoist
ExampleOperating Cash Flow Calculation
Incremental Cash Flow
Year Hoist A Hoist B Existing Hoist A Hoist B
1 16,440$ 18,000$ 10,576$ 5,864$ 7,424$
2 18,744 22,080 9,040 9,704 13,040
3 16,248 20,160 8,400 7,848 11,760
4 14,904 18,480 8,400 6,504 10,080
5 14,904 18,480 8,400 6,504 10,080
6 960 1,200 - 960 1,200
Calculation of Incremental Operating Cash Flows
ExampleTerminal Cash Flow Calculation
Hoist A Hoist B
Proceeds from sale of New 12,000$ 20,000$
Book Value of New 2,400 3,000
Capital Gain (New ) 9,600 17,000
Tax on sale of New (3,840) (6,800)
Net Proceeds (New ) 8,160$ 13,200$
Proceeds from sale of Old 1,000$ 1,000$
Tax on sale of Old (400) (400)
Net proceeds (Old) 600$ 600$
Change in NWC 4,000$ 6,000$
Terminal Cash Flow 12,760$ 19,800$
Terminal Cash Flow (Year 5)
ExampleTerminal Cash Flow Calculation
Hoist A Hoist B
Operating Cash Flow 6,504$ 10,080$
Terminal Cash Flow 12,760 19,800
Net Cash Flow 19,264$ 29,880$
Year 5 Relevant Cash Flow
ExampleIncremental Cash Flow Summary
Year Existing Hoist A Hoist B
0 -$ (37,488)$ (51,488)$
1 9,936 6,504 8,064
2 9,936 8,808 12,144
3 9,040 7,208 11,120
4 8,400 6,504 10,080
5 8,400 19,264 29,880
East Coast DrydockNet Incremental After Tax Cash Flows
Project Evaluation: Alternative MethodsProject Evaluation: Alternative Methods
• Payback Period (PBP)• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)• Net Present Value (NPV)• Profitability Index (PI)
• Payback Period (PBP)• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)• Net Present Value (NPV)• Profitability Index (PI)
Proposed Project DataProposed Project Data
Julie Miller is evaluating a new project for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW). She has determined that the after-tax cash flows for the project will be $10,000;
$12,000; $15,000; $10,000; and $7,000, respectively, for each of the Years 1 through 5. The initial cash
outlay will be $40,000.
Julie Miller is evaluating a new project for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW). She has determined that the after-tax cash flows for the project will be $10,000;
$12,000; $15,000; $10,000; and $7,000, respectively, for each of the Years 1 through 5. The initial cash
outlay will be $40,000.
Independent Project
• IndependentIndependent – A project whose acceptance (or rejection) does not prevent the acceptance of other projects under consideration.
• For this project, assume that it is independent of any other potential projects that Basket Wonders may undertake.
Payback Period (PBP)Payback Period (PBP)
PBPPBP is the period of time required for the cumulative expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the initial cash outflow.
PBPPBP is the period of time required for the cumulative expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the initial cash outflow.
0 1 2 3 4 5
–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
(c)10 K 22 K 37 K 47 K 54 K
Payback Solution (#1)Payback Solution (#1)
PBPPBP = a + ( b – c ) / d= 3 + (40 – 37) /
10 = 3 + (3) / 10= 3.3 Years3.3 Years
PBPPBP = a + ( b – c ) / d= 3 + (40 – 37) /
10 = 3 + (3) / 10= 3.3 Years3.3 Years
0 1 2 3 4 5
–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
CumulativeInflows
(a)
(-b) (d)
Payback Solution (#2)Payback Solution (#2)
PBPPBP = 3 + ( 3K ) / 10K= 3.3 Years3.3 Years
Note: Take absolute value of last negative cumulative cash flow value.
PBPPBP = 3 + ( 3K ) / 10K= 3.3 Years3.3 Years
Note: Take absolute value of last negative cumulative cash flow value.
CumulativeCash Flows
–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K
0 1 2 3 4 5
–40 K –30 K –18 K –3 K 7 K 14 K
PBP Acceptance CriterionPBP Acceptance Criterion
Yes! The firm will receive back the initial cash outlay in less than 3.5 years. [3.3
Years < 3.5 Year Max.]
Yes! The firm will receive back the initial cash outlay in less than 3.5 years. [3.3
Years < 3.5 Year Max.]
The management of Basket Wonders has set a maximum PBP of 3.5 years
for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
PBP Strengths and Weaknesses
PBP Strengths and Weaknesses
StrengthsStrengths::• Easy to use and
understand
• Can be used as a measure of liquidity
• Easier to forecast ST than LT flows
StrengthsStrengths::• Easy to use and
understand
• Can be used as a measure of liquidity
• Easier to forecast ST than LT flows
WeaknessesWeaknesses::• Does not account
for TVM
• Does not consider cash flows beyond the PBP
• Cutoff period is subjective
Net Present Value (NPV)Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV is the present value of an investment project’s net cash flows
minus the project’s initial cash outflow.
CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n
+ . . . ++ - ICOICONPV =
Basket Wonders has determined that the appropriate discount rate (k) for this project
is 13%.
$10,000 $7,000
NPV Solution NPV Solution
$10,000 $12,000 $15,000 (1.13)1 (1.13)2 (1.13)3
+ +
+ - $40,000$40,000(1.13)4 (1.13)5
NPVNPV = +
NPV SolutionNPV SolutionNPVNPV = $10,000(PVIF13%,1) + $12,000(PVIF13%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF13%,3) + $10,000(PVIF13%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF13%,5) – $40,000$40,000
NPVNPV = $10,000(0.885) + $12,000(0.783) + $15,000(0.693) + $10,000(0.613) + $ 7,000(0.543) – $40,000$40,000
NPVNPV = $8,850 + $9,396 + $10,395 + $6,130 + $3,801 – $40,000$40,000
= - $1,428$1,428
NPV Acceptance CriterionNPV Acceptance Criterion
No! The NPV is negative. This means that the project is reducing shareholder wealth.
[Reject Reject as NPVNPV < 00 ]
No! The NPV is negative. This means that the project is reducing shareholder wealth.
[Reject Reject as NPVNPV < 00 ]
The management of Basket Wonders has determined that the required rate
is 13% for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
NPV Strengths and Weaknesses
NPV Strengths and Weaknesses
StrengthsStrengths::• Cash flows
assumed to be reinvested at
the hurdle rate.
• Accounts for TVM.
• Considers all cash flows.
StrengthsStrengths::• Cash flows
assumed to be reinvested at
the hurdle rate.
• Accounts for TVM.
• Considers all cash flows.
WeaknessesWeaknesses::• May not include
managerial options
embedded in the project. See Chapter 14.
Net Present Value ProfileNet Present Value Profile
Discount Rate (%)0 3 6 9 12 15
IRRNPV@13%
Sum of CF’s Plot NPV for eachdiscount rate.Three of these points are easy now!
Net
Pre
sent
Val
ue
$000s15
10
5
0
-4
Profitability Index (PI)Profitability Index (PI)
PI is the ratio of the present value of a project’s future net cash flows to the
project’s initial cash outflow.
CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n
+ . . . ++ ICOICOPI =
PI = 1 + [ NPVNPV / ICOICO ]
<< OR >>
Method #2:
Method #1:
PI Acceptance Criterion PI Acceptance Criterion
No! The PIPI is less than 1.00. This means that the project is not profitable. [Reject Reject as
PIPI < 1.001.00 ]
No! The PIPI is less than 1.00. This means that the project is not profitable. [Reject Reject as
PIPI < 1.001.00 ]
PIPI = $38,572 / $40,000= .9643 (Method #1, previous
slide)
Should this project be accepted?
PI Strengths and Weaknesses
PI Strengths and Weaknesses
StrengthsStrengths::• Same as NPV
• Allows comparison of different scale projects
StrengthsStrengths::• Same as NPV
• Allows comparison of different scale projects
WeaknessesWeaknesses::• Same as NPV
• Provides only relative profitability
• Potential Ranking Problems
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is the discount rate that equates the present value of the future net cash flows
from an investment project with the project’s initial cash outflow.
CF1 CF2 CFn (1 + IRR)1 (1 + IRR)2 (1 + IRR)n
+ . . . ++ICO =
$15,000 $10,000 $7,000
IRR Solution IRR Solution
$10,000 $12,000
(1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2
Find the interest rate (IRR) that causes the discounted cash flows to equal $40,000.
+ +
++$40,000 =
(1+IRR)3 (1+IRR)4 (1+IRR)5
IRR Solution (Try 10%)IRR Solution (Try 10%)
$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF10%,1) + $12,000(PVIF10%,2) + $15,000(PVIF10%,3) + $10,000(PVIF10%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF10%,5)
$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(0.909) + $12,000(0.826) + $15,000(0.751) + $10,000(0.683)
+ $ 7,000(0.621)
$40,000$40,000 = $9,090 + $9,912 + $11,265 + $6,830 + $4,347
= $41,444$41,444 [[Rate is too Rate is too low!!low!!]]
IRR Solution (Try 15%)IRR Solution (Try 15%)
$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF15%,1) + $12,000(PVIF15%,2) + $15,000(PVIF15%,3) + $10,000(PVIF15%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF15%,5)
$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(0.870) + $12,000(0.756) + $15,000(0.658) + $10,000(0.572) + $ 7,000(0.497)
$40,000$40,000 = $8,700 + $9,072 + $9,870 + $5,720 + $3,479
= $36,841$36,841 [[Rate is too high!!Rate is too high!!]]
0.10 $41,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
0.15 $36,841
X $1,4440.05 $4,603
IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)
$1,444X
=
0.10 $41,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
0.15 $36,841
X $1,4440.05 $4,603
IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)
$1,444X
=
0.10 $41,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
0.15 $36,841
($1,444)(0.05) $4,603
IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)
$1,444X
X = X = 0.0157
IRR = 0.10 + 0.0157 = 0.1157 or 11.57%
IRR Acceptance CriterionIRR Acceptance Criterion
No! The firm will receive 11.57% for each dollar invested in this project at a
cost of 13%. [ IRR < Hurdle Rate ]
No! The firm will receive 11.57% for each dollar invested in this project at a
cost of 13%. [ IRR < Hurdle Rate ]
The management of Basket Wonders has determined that the hurdle rate is
13% for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
IRR Strengths and Weaknesses
IRR Strengths and Weaknesses
StrengthsStrengths::• Accounts for
TVM
• Considers all cash
flows
• Less subjectivity
StrengthsStrengths::• Accounts for
TVM
• Considers all cash
flows
• Less subjectivity
WeaknessesWeaknesses: : • Assumes all cash
flows reinvested at the IRR
• Difficulties with project rankings
and Multiple IRRs