principles of microeconomics - lecture - understanding how economists think
TRANSCRIPT
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8/9/2019 Principles of Microeconomics - Lecture - Understanding How Economists Think
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Understanding How Economists Think
Chapter 2
Dr. Katherine Sauer
Principles of Microeconomics
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I. An Economist as a Scientist
Economists approach the study of the economy with
scientific objectivity.
- observe the world
- devise theories and formulate hypotheses
- collect data- test hypotheses
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Like all scientists, economists make appropriate
assumptions and build simplified modelsin order tounderstand the world around them.
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The economists lab is the world.
- cant design experiments for the whole economy
- can study the results of random events and policy
changes
The economy is a moving target.
- constantly changing
- true in the past may not be true in the future
There is an approach that can help you to understand the
economy, even if you cant predict its future.
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II. An Economist as a Policy Adviser
When economists are trying to explain the world, they are
scientists.
When they are trying to help improve it, they are policy
advisers.
Why is unemployment higher for teenagers than for older
workers?
What should the government do to improve the economic
well-being of teenagers?
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To help clarify the two roles that economists play, let's
examine the use of language.
Because scientists and policy advisers have different
goals, they use language in different ways.- objective vs subjective
Ex: The cost of Metros tuition is too high.
Ex: Metros tuition has increased since last year.
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1. Ask yourself Is the claim positive or normative?
A positive statement is a claim about what is, was, or will
be.
- objective (no value judgment/approval/disapproval)
- can be verified with data- can be false
- can be a prediction
A normative statement is a claim expressing a valuejudgment.
- subjective (value judgment)
- can not be verified
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Examples:
The cost of Metros tuition is too high.
Metros tuition has increased since last year.
Many economists believe that international trade is an
opportunity for an economy.
The US trade deficit is a problem.
The US exports more than it imports.
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2. Once you have determined if a claim is positive or
normative:
If it is positive:
- What evidence is there to support the claim?
- How reliable is the evidence?- Are there other ways of interpreting the evidence?
If it is normative:
- Is the normative claim based on positive claims?
- Are those claims supported by reliable evidence?
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How do economists affect policy?
~ Federal, State, and Local governments directly employ
economists.
~ Their research and writings often affect policy indirectly.
~ Sometimes their advice is not taken.
Making economic policy in a representative
democracy is a messy process.
- economic advice is only one part of the
information considered by policymakers
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Sometimes Economists Disagree
~ disagree about the validity of alternative positive
theories
Ex: a change in the tax code that would eliminatea tax on income and create a tax on consumption
- some think this would increase household
savings
- others think it would have little effect on
saving behavior
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~ have different values and therefore different normative
prescriptions
Ex: Suppose that Peter and Paula both take the same
amount of water from the town well.
To pay for maintaining the well, the town taxes itsresidents.
Peter has income of $50,000 and is taxed $5,000,
which is 10% of his income.
Paula has income of $10,000 and is taxed $2,000,
which is 20% of her income.
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Is this policy fair?
If not, who pays too much and who pays too little?
Does it matter whether Paula's low income is due to a
medical disability or to her decision to pursue a career
in acting?
Does it matter whether Peter's high income is due to a
large inheritance or to his willingness to work long
hours at a dreary job?
These are difficult questions on which people are likely
to disagree.
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III. The Circular Flow Diagram
{All economic models have assumptions. Models donotinclude every feature of the real world.}
Assumptions:
-2 types of economic actors- firms do all production
- households own all factors
- 2 types of markets
firms
households
goods &
services
factors of
production
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market for goods
& services
market for factors
of production
goods & services
land, labor, capitalfactors of production
products
revenue spending
wages, rent, profits income
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What could be added to this model to make it more likethe real world (and more complex)?
Even though the model is simple and missing many
features of the real world, how well does it capture the
essence of the flow of money and goods and services in
the economy?
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IV. The Production Possibilities Frontier (PPF) represents
the maximum output that an economy can produce with a
given level of resources and a given level of technology
Assumptions:
- 2 goods
- fixed level of factors
- fixed level of technology
{later we will change the level of factors and levelof technology and see how the PPF is changed}
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quantity of
consumer goods
quantity of
military
goods
PPF
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CG
MG
Points on the PPF are efficient.
Being efficient means
- all resources are employed
- resources arent being used
wastefully
A
B
C
D
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CG
MGPoints inside the PPF are
inefficient.- unemployed,
underemployed,
or wasted resources
A
B
C
D
E
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CG
MG
Points outside the PPF are
currently unobtainable.
A
B
C
D
E
F
{Societys preferences will determine the level of economic output.}
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1. Efficiency implies that an economy cant produce
more of one good without producing less of another.
CG
MG
A
B
C
D
Ex: If the economy is currently
producing at B and wants to
move to C, then it must forgothe production of some military
goods in order to produce more
consumer goods.
loss of MG
gain of CG
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2. Inefficiency implies that an economy can produce
more of one good without producing less of another.
CG
MG
A
B
C
D
Ex: If the economy is currently
producing at E, if it fully andefficiently uses all available
resources, it can produce B or C
without giving up any consumer
goods or military goods.
E
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CG
MG If the economy is
producing at point C and
moves to point B:
25 units of consumer
goods must be sacrificed
to gain 70 units of
military goods.
A
B
C
D
E
F175
150
80
75 100 110
3. Opportunity cost and the PPF
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CG
MGOpportunity cost is
whatever must be givenup to get something.
The total opportunity cost
of the additional 70
military goods is 25
consumer goods.
A
B
C
D
E
F175
150
80
75 100 110
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CG
MGThe opportunity cost of one
additional unit of military
goods isAB
C
D
E
F175
150
80
75 100 110
loss of 25 consumer goods
gain of 70 military goods
= 0.357 consumer goods
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General formula:
Opportunity Cost = loss of Z = ? units of Z
of 1 unit of A gain of A
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Calculate the total and per unit opportunity cost of
moving from point B to point D.
Calculate the total and per unit opportunity cost of
moving from point E to point B.
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4.Changes in the PPF
What happens if the level of resources or technology
changes?
The PPF will shift.
quantity of
good X
quantity of
good Y
PPF1
PPF2
Ex: - increase in resources
- increase in general
technology
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quantity of
good X
quantity of
good Y
PPF1
PPF2
Ex: - increase in resources used in the
production of good Y only
- increase in technology for producinggood Y only
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PPFs can have two shapes: bowed out or straight line
Straight line PPFs happen when the inputs go equallywell into the outputs
Y
X10 20 30 40
- constant opportunity
costs as you move fromleft to right
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Bowed outPPFs reflect that not all inputs go equally well
into all outputs.
Y
X10 20 30 40
- increasing opportunity
costs as you move from
left to right
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Summary
Economists try to address their subject with a scientists
objectivity.
Sometimes economists are called upon to be policy
advisers.
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A positive statement is an assertion about how the
world is.
A normative statement is an assertion about how theworld ought to be.
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One simple model of the economy as a whole is the
circular-flow diagram.
The Production Possibilities Frontier can be used to
illustrate efficiency, inefficiency, and unobtainable
outcomes for a nations output.
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On a half sheet of paper,
1. Note the concept from todays lecture that you find the
most fuzzy.
2. In your own words, describe how economists think.