principles of microeconomics - lecture - understanding how economists think

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  • 8/9/2019 Principles of Microeconomics - Lecture - Understanding How Economists Think

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    Understanding How Economists Think

    Chapter 2

    Dr. Katherine Sauer

    Principles of Microeconomics

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    I. An Economist as a Scientist

    Economists approach the study of the economy with

    scientific objectivity.

    - observe the world

    - devise theories and formulate hypotheses

    - collect data- test hypotheses

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    Like all scientists, economists make appropriate

    assumptions and build simplified modelsin order tounderstand the world around them.

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    The economists lab is the world.

    - cant design experiments for the whole economy

    - can study the results of random events and policy

    changes

    The economy is a moving target.

    - constantly changing

    - true in the past may not be true in the future

    There is an approach that can help you to understand the

    economy, even if you cant predict its future.

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    II. An Economist as a Policy Adviser

    When economists are trying to explain the world, they are

    scientists.

    When they are trying to help improve it, they are policy

    advisers.

    Why is unemployment higher for teenagers than for older

    workers?

    What should the government do to improve the economic

    well-being of teenagers?

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    To help clarify the two roles that economists play, let's

    examine the use of language.

    Because scientists and policy advisers have different

    goals, they use language in different ways.- objective vs subjective

    Ex: The cost of Metros tuition is too high.

    Ex: Metros tuition has increased since last year.

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    1. Ask yourself Is the claim positive or normative?

    A positive statement is a claim about what is, was, or will

    be.

    - objective (no value judgment/approval/disapproval)

    - can be verified with data- can be false

    - can be a prediction

    A normative statement is a claim expressing a valuejudgment.

    - subjective (value judgment)

    - can not be verified

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    Examples:

    The cost of Metros tuition is too high.

    Metros tuition has increased since last year.

    Many economists believe that international trade is an

    opportunity for an economy.

    The US trade deficit is a problem.

    The US exports more than it imports.

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    2. Once you have determined if a claim is positive or

    normative:

    If it is positive:

    - What evidence is there to support the claim?

    - How reliable is the evidence?- Are there other ways of interpreting the evidence?

    If it is normative:

    - Is the normative claim based on positive claims?

    - Are those claims supported by reliable evidence?

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    How do economists affect policy?

    ~ Federal, State, and Local governments directly employ

    economists.

    ~ Their research and writings often affect policy indirectly.

    ~ Sometimes their advice is not taken.

    Making economic policy in a representative

    democracy is a messy process.

    - economic advice is only one part of the

    information considered by policymakers

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    Sometimes Economists Disagree

    ~ disagree about the validity of alternative positive

    theories

    Ex: a change in the tax code that would eliminatea tax on income and create a tax on consumption

    - some think this would increase household

    savings

    - others think it would have little effect on

    saving behavior

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    ~ have different values and therefore different normative

    prescriptions

    Ex: Suppose that Peter and Paula both take the same

    amount of water from the town well.

    To pay for maintaining the well, the town taxes itsresidents.

    Peter has income of $50,000 and is taxed $5,000,

    which is 10% of his income.

    Paula has income of $10,000 and is taxed $2,000,

    which is 20% of her income.

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    Is this policy fair?

    If not, who pays too much and who pays too little?

    Does it matter whether Paula's low income is due to a

    medical disability or to her decision to pursue a career

    in acting?

    Does it matter whether Peter's high income is due to a

    large inheritance or to his willingness to work long

    hours at a dreary job?

    These are difficult questions on which people are likely

    to disagree.

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    III. The Circular Flow Diagram

    {All economic models have assumptions. Models donotinclude every feature of the real world.}

    Assumptions:

    -2 types of economic actors- firms do all production

    - households own all factors

    - 2 types of markets

    firms

    households

    goods &

    services

    factors of

    production

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    market for goods

    & services

    market for factors

    of production

    goods & services

    land, labor, capitalfactors of production

    products

    revenue spending

    wages, rent, profits income

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    What could be added to this model to make it more likethe real world (and more complex)?

    Even though the model is simple and missing many

    features of the real world, how well does it capture the

    essence of the flow of money and goods and services in

    the economy?

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    IV. The Production Possibilities Frontier (PPF) represents

    the maximum output that an economy can produce with a

    given level of resources and a given level of technology

    Assumptions:

    - 2 goods

    - fixed level of factors

    - fixed level of technology

    {later we will change the level of factors and levelof technology and see how the PPF is changed}

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    quantity of

    consumer goods

    quantity of

    military

    goods

    PPF

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    CG

    MG

    Points on the PPF are efficient.

    Being efficient means

    - all resources are employed

    - resources arent being used

    wastefully

    A

    B

    C

    D

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    CG

    MGPoints inside the PPF are

    inefficient.- unemployed,

    underemployed,

    or wasted resources

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

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    CG

    MG

    Points outside the PPF are

    currently unobtainable.

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    F

    {Societys preferences will determine the level of economic output.}

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    1. Efficiency implies that an economy cant produce

    more of one good without producing less of another.

    CG

    MG

    A

    B

    C

    D

    Ex: If the economy is currently

    producing at B and wants to

    move to C, then it must forgothe production of some military

    goods in order to produce more

    consumer goods.

    loss of MG

    gain of CG

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    2. Inefficiency implies that an economy can produce

    more of one good without producing less of another.

    CG

    MG

    A

    B

    C

    D

    Ex: If the economy is currently

    producing at E, if it fully andefficiently uses all available

    resources, it can produce B or C

    without giving up any consumer

    goods or military goods.

    E

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    CG

    MG If the economy is

    producing at point C and

    moves to point B:

    25 units of consumer

    goods must be sacrificed

    to gain 70 units of

    military goods.

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    F175

    150

    80

    75 100 110

    3. Opportunity cost and the PPF

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    CG

    MGOpportunity cost is

    whatever must be givenup to get something.

    The total opportunity cost

    of the additional 70

    military goods is 25

    consumer goods.

    A

    B

    C

    D

    E

    F175

    150

    80

    75 100 110

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    CG

    MGThe opportunity cost of one

    additional unit of military

    goods isAB

    C

    D

    E

    F175

    150

    80

    75 100 110

    loss of 25 consumer goods

    gain of 70 military goods

    = 0.357 consumer goods

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    General formula:

    Opportunity Cost = loss of Z = ? units of Z

    of 1 unit of A gain of A

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    Calculate the total and per unit opportunity cost of

    moving from point B to point D.

    Calculate the total and per unit opportunity cost of

    moving from point E to point B.

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    4.Changes in the PPF

    What happens if the level of resources or technology

    changes?

    The PPF will shift.

    quantity of

    good X

    quantity of

    good Y

    PPF1

    PPF2

    Ex: - increase in resources

    - increase in general

    technology

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    quantity of

    good X

    quantity of

    good Y

    PPF1

    PPF2

    Ex: - increase in resources used in the

    production of good Y only

    - increase in technology for producinggood Y only

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    PPFs can have two shapes: bowed out or straight line

    Straight line PPFs happen when the inputs go equallywell into the outputs

    Y

    X10 20 30 40

    - constant opportunity

    costs as you move fromleft to right

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    Bowed outPPFs reflect that not all inputs go equally well

    into all outputs.

    Y

    X10 20 30 40

    - increasing opportunity

    costs as you move from

    left to right

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    Summary

    Economists try to address their subject with a scientists

    objectivity.

    Sometimes economists are called upon to be policy

    advisers.

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    A positive statement is an assertion about how the

    world is.

    A normative statement is an assertion about how theworld ought to be.

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    One simple model of the economy as a whole is the

    circular-flow diagram.

    The Production Possibilities Frontier can be used to

    illustrate efficiency, inefficiency, and unobtainable

    outcomes for a nations output.

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    On a half sheet of paper,

    1. Note the concept from todays lecture that you find the

    most fuzzy.

    2. In your own words, describe how economists think.