probability student outcome: i will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and...
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Probability Student Outcome: I will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and percents.
• Probability: is the likelihood or chance of an event occurring.• Outcome: any possible result of a probability event.• Favourable Outcome: a successful result in a probability event.
(ex: rolling the #1 on a die)• Possible Outcome: all the results that could occur during a probability
event (ex: rolling a die - - #1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6)
• P = Favourable Outcomes Possible OutcomesWhat is the probability of rolling the number 2 on a dice?• What is the favourable outcome?• How many possible outcomes?
How to express probability
Student Outcome: I will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and percents.
• Probability can be written in 3 ways...
• As a fraction = 1/6• As a decimal = 0.16
• As a percent
0.16 x 100% = 16%
How often will thenumber 2 show upwhen rolled?
Determine the probabilityStudent Outcome: I will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and percents.
First you must find the possible outcomes (all possibilities)and then the favourable outcomes (what you’re looking for). Then place them into the probability equation.
1. Rolling an even number on a die?2. Pulling a red card out from a deck of cards?3. Using a four colored spinner to find green?4. Selecting a girl from your class?
P = Favourable Outcomes Possible Outcomes
Determine the probabilityStudent Outcome: I will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and percents.
A cookie jar contains 3 chocolate chip, 5 raisin, 11 Oreos,and 6 almond cookies. Find the probability if you were toreach inside the cookie jar for each of the cookies above.
Type of Cookie
Chocolate Chip
Raisin Oreo Almond
Fraction
Decimal
Percent
Ratio
Determine the probabilityStudent Outcome: I will be able to write probabilities as ratios, fractions and percents.
A cookie jar contains 3 chocolate chip, 5 raisin, 11 Oreos,and 6 almond cookies. Find the probability if you were toreach inside the cookie jar for each of the cookies above.
Type of Cookie
Chocolate Chip
Raisin Oreo Almond
Fraction 3/25 5/25 11/25 6/25
Decimal 0.12 0.25 0.44 0.24
Percent 12% 25% 44% 24%
Ratio 3:25 5:25 11:25 6:25
Practical Quiz #1Letter tiles for the word CINCINNATI are placed in a
bag.
a) What is the probability of drawing the letter C?b) What is the probability of drawing the letter N?c) What is the probability of drawing the letter O?
Organized OutcomesStudent Outcome: I will be able to create a sample space involving 2 independent
events.
Independent Events:• The outcome of one event has no effect on the
outcome of another event
• Example: ROCK
PAPER
SCISSORTails Head
ChartStudent Outcome: I will be able to create a sample space involving 2 independent
events.
Sample Space:• All possible outcomes of an event/experiment
(all the combinations) coin
hand
• What is the probability of Paper/Head?• What is the probability of tails showing up?
Sample Space
Head Tail
RockPaperScissor
“Tree Diagram” to represent Outcomes
Student Outcome: I will be able to create a sample space involving 2 independent events.
H T
R P S R P S
Coin Flip
Rock, Paper, Scissor
H, Rock T, Rock H, Paper T, Paper
H, Scissor T, Scissor
Outcomes
“Spider Diagram” to represent Outcomes
Student Outcome: I will be able to create a sample space involving 2 independent events.
RockRock
Paper Paper
Scissor Scissor
Organized OutcomesStudent Outcome: I will be able to create a sample space involving 2 independent
events.
You can find the sample space of two independentevents in many ways.1. Chart2. Tree Diagram3. Spider Diagram
Your choice, but showing one of the aboveillustrates that you can find the favourable andpossible outcomes for probability.
Probabilities of Simple Independent Events
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
Random: an event in which every outcome has an equal chance ofoccurring.
A school gym has three doors on the stage and two backdoors. During a school play, each character enters throughone of the five doors. The next character to enter can beeither a boy or a girl. Use a “Tree Diagram” to determineto show the sample space. Then answer the questions onthe next slide!
Problem:
Probabilities of Simple Independent Events
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
Random: an event in which every outcome has an equal chance ofoccurring.
See Page 172 for your “Tree Diagram” of the school gymdoors!
Using a Table to DETERMINE Probabilities
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
How to determine probabilities:
Probability (P) = favourable outcomes possible outcomes
= decimal x 100%
Use your results from the “tree diagram” of the gym doorsand place them into a chart. Then determine theprobabilities for the chart.
Using a Table to DETERMINE Probabilities
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
Back Left (BL)
Back Right(BR)
Left Stage(LS)
Centre Stage (CS)
Right Stage(RS)
Boy B-BL B-BR B-LS B-CS B-RS
Girl G-BL G-BR G-LS G-CS G-RS
Determine the probability for the scenarios below...1. Of a boy using any right door?
2. Of anyone (boy or girl) using a stage door?
3. Of a girls using any of the doors?
Practical Quiz #2On the front of the paper:Draw a sample space using a chart for the following events.On the back of the paper:Draw a sample space using a tree diagram for the following events.
Rolling a 4 sided die and flipping a quarter.
Applications of Independent Events
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
Let’s play “Sit & Save?”(page 177)
RULES:1. Stand up at the beginning of the round.2. Two dice are rolled each round. You may collect the sum of
your dice as long as a “6” does NOT appear. A “6” means all numbers before are cancelled and you get zero for that round.
3. After each roll you have two choices• Continue standing and roll again…hoping for no “6”
OR• Sit and collect your total points!
Applications of Independent Events
Student Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
How can you win at the game of “Sit & Save?”
1. Who had the highest score?2. What is the possibility of a 6 appearing with 2 dice? (sample data)
3. Use the numbers above for each player to find who had the best probability (percent) of not rolling a 6.
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Total
Interpret OutcomesStudent Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
Use Tree Diagrams, Charts or other graphic organizers to solveprobability problems.
1. What are the 2 independent events?
2. What is the probability of
the sum of these 2 events adding up to total “4”…
3. What is the probability of outcome having one 3 appear?
Interpret OutcomesStudent Outcome: I will learn about theoretical probability.
1. What is the probability of red appearing?
2. What is the possibility of a black and green appearing?
3. What is the possibility of brown mirror appearing?
Theoretical vs. Experimental Probabilities
Student Outcome: I will be able to compare experimental and theoretical probability.
What are the chances of a boy and girl picking the same numberfrom 1-5. Try this 10 times and tally your results (experimental).Then compare to your “theoretical” answer.
BoyGirl
BoyGirlBoyGirlBoyGirlBoyGirl
1 2 3 4 5
Boy B1 B2 B3 B4 B5
Girl G1 G2 G3 G4 G5
experimental
Theoretical
The probability of an event occurring based on experimental results. A tally chart will be required.
The expected probability of an event occurring.
Theoretical vs. Experimental Probabilities
Student Outcome: I will be able to compare experimental and theoretical probability.
You must complete 2 of the 3 activities listed. For each activity you must compare the theoretical and experimentalprobabilities. Each experimental probability must be done 50 times.Then compare to your “theoretical” answer.
Activities 1. Flipping a coin and using a spinner.2. Rolling one 6-sided die and dropping a cup.3. Rolling two 6-sided dice.
Practical Quiz #3When these two independent event are done at the same
time, What is the probability of getting:a)anything with red?
b) orange-tails?
Are your ready to be TESTED on “Probability?”
We have covered a lot of material in this unit. Do you have anyconcerns or questions about any of the topics below? 1. Representing probability in different ways… (Pg. 158)2. Types of sample spaces to find the probability (Pg. 166-167)3. Explain how to identify an independent event.4. Determine the outcomes of two independent events. (Pg. 172)5. Find the sum of different events…which sample space would be best to use?6. Solve multiple probabilities… P(1,B) or P(Girls, Boys, 6)7. Use diagrams to interpret data and probabilities. (Pg. 178-179)8. Compare experimental to theoretical probabilities. (Pg. 184)9. Outcome – any possible result of a probability experiment.10. Favourable Outcome – a successful result in a probability experiment.11. Probability – the likelihood of an event happening.12. Random – when every result has an equal chance of occurring.13. Sample Space – all possible outcomes of a probability experiment.14. Tally Chart – an area to record information during experimental probability.
Are your ready to be TESTED on “Probability?”
We have covered a lot of material in this unit. Do you have anyconcerns or questions about any of the topics below?
1. Representing probability in different ways… (Pg. 158)
2. Types of sample spaces to find the probability (Pg. 166-167)
3. Explain how to identify an independent event.4. Determine the outcomes of two independent events. (Pg. 172)
5. Find the sum of different events…which sample space would be best to use?6. Solve multiple probabilities… P(1,B) or P(Girls, Boys, 6)7. Use diagrams to interpret data and probabilities. (Pg. 178-179)
8. Compare experimental to theoretical probabilities. (Pg. 184)