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The human & social dimension of AI Impact of AI on online platforms and marketplaces Prof. Dr. Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy 19/02/2020 Presentation for the IMCO Committee 1

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Page 1: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

The human & social dimension of AIImpact of AI on online platforms and marketplaces

Prof. Dr. Dino PedreschiUniversity of Pisa, Italy

19/02/2020 Presentation for the IMCO Committee 1

Page 2: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Structure of the Presentation

1. AI, big data, machine learning2. AI risks and the need of explainable, trustworthy AI3. The social dimension of AI4. The polarization effect: undermining diversity5. Human-centric AI: striving for social, economic and cultural diversity

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 2

Page 3: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

1. AI, Big Data, Machine LearningModern AI is mostly learning from data• Pro:

• ability to deal with unsolved problems requiring “intelligence”, such as understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images

• Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging behind, such as reasoning,

adaptation to human environments and human-machine interaction • quality of AI systems totally dependent on quality of data

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 3

Page 4: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Beltram, Giannotti, Pedreschi, G7 2017 Position paper on Data Science

Page 5: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Machine Learning + Big Data

Page 6: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Machine Learning + Big Data

Page 7: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

2. AI risksMachine learning models are often black-boxes:• The logic of a decision making AI model may be hidden even to developers and expertsRisks:• Learning from biased data (either by accident or by necessity)• Trained models for, e.g., on-board vision and obstacle recognition, may inherit bugs harmful for

safety• Profiling models for, e.g., predictive justice, may inherit discrimination of known (or new)

vulnerable groupsDirection to pursue: explainable, trustworthy AI:• Key for effective human-machine collaboration in high-stakes decision making

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 9

Page 8: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

3. The social dimension of AI

Machine learning from Big Data:• .. is a form of collective intelligence• general patterns are discovered from human experience represented by data

Learn patterns of collective behaviour, then apply to individual users/customers:• Online platforms apply general patterns/profiles to individuals• based on an advertising logic• targeted at maximizing capture of users’ attention, clicks, likes, purchases, …

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 16

Page 9: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Machine Learning + Big Data = Collective Intelligence

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Page 10: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Collective intelligence is used to makeindividuals more “intelligent”

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Page 11: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

4. Wisdom of crowds?AI-powered recommendation mechanisms strive to make individual users/customers more “intelligent”:• Hidden assumption: a crowd of intelligent individuals, powered by

machines and algorithms, is an intelligent crowd

Unfortunately, this is not necessarily true:• A crowd of intelligent individuals may be very stupid• Due to the aggregated effect of interactions occurring in the complex

networks surrounding us• Examples: online marketplaces, online public conversation, traffic

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 19

Page 12: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

5. Social networks, search engines, online marketplacesRecommendation mechanisms:• Suggest most popular choices (peers, contents, products) for people like you

(based on matching profiles)

Network aggregated effects:• Emergence of hubs and extreme inequality• Popular peers, contents, products get more and more popular• Rich get richer, to the detriment of the vast majority• Diversity is artificially impoverished• Profiles learned by correlation: selection effect stronger than influence

effect, i.e., tendency to reinforce and radicalize preferences and opinions

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 20

Page 13: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

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Page 14: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

19 febbraio 2020 Analisi di Reti Sociali. Aprile-Maggio 2011 22HUB

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Page 16: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

6. Opinion diffusion onlineRecommendations for like-minded peers and contents:• Effective for platforms to increase clicks• Effective for advertisers? Many doubts, due to selection effect

stronger than real influence• Dangerous for users: artificial reinforcement of own opinions and

preferences, increased polarization, radicalization, bubbles

Network effects:• Reduction of diversity of opinions• Threat to pluralistic debate• Threat to the wisdom of the crowd (ultimately, to democracy)

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 24

Page 17: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

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Polarization of the public debate

alternative realities

echo chambres fake news

filter bubbles

Adamic, Lada A., and Natalie Glance. "The political blogosphere and the 2004 US election: divided they blog." ACM, 2005.

Page 18: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

26NO BIAS BIAS

The power of algorithmic bias

Page 19: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

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POLARIZATION

Page 20: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

7. Traffic and navigation systemsRecommendations and directions to reach a destination:• Make perfect sense to an individual driver• May be meaningless and misleading collectively

Network effects:• Extraordinary situations, such as accidents or big events• Polarization effect: recommending most popular routes, thus

artificially increasing traffic and risk in certain tracks while systematically avoiding alternative tracks and areas

• Again, diversity is compromised, with negative network effects and externalities (largely underestimated today)

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 28

Page 21: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

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TRAFFIC

Page 22: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

8. Preserving diversity in online platforms and marketplaces is key for Europe

Current wave of online recommendation mechanisms supported by AI is functional to a specific business model based on advertising and profiling• It is dangerous not only for potential discrimination and manipulation of the individual user/customer• … but also for far reaching consequences at societal scale in terms of increased polarization and reduced diversity • Diversity is the key strength of Europe at social, cultural and economic level

Europe should therefore develop AI-powered tools and platforms that embrace and promote diversity and European values at all scales:• Online media and information ecosystems that intelligently promote and connect different viewpoints on complex controversial issues• Online marketplaces that intelligently promote the diversity and quality of European products and companies at all scales• Online platforms that intelligently use AI advances in multi-lingual translation to break the barriers among EU communities, both within

EU and the rest of the world, making the diversity of EU culture and production easily accessible• Explainable AI should empower people not only for individual decision making, but also for collective decisions

19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 31

Page 23: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Preserving the treasure of socio-diversity

19/02/2020 32

Page 24: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

EBU EuroVOX – an exemplar project

• The European Broadcasting Union is the largest community of public service media organizations in the world

• 70 public service media services (tv, radio, …) from 56 countries

• Towards a diversity-oriented, multi-lingual digital platform for sharinghigh-quality news and media contents towards a potential populationof 1 Billion people speaking 96 languages

• Powered by AI for diversity recommendation and languagetranslation, under an advertising-free model

• In collaboration with the University of Pisa

19/02/2020 33

Page 25: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

ERC Advanced Grant 2018 - 834756

Shaping the AI revolution in a direction that is beneficial to humans on both individual and societal levels

https://www.humane-ai.eu/

Page 26: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Towards human, social, ethical AI

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• environmental sustainability

• diversity & pluralism

• justice & equality

• common goods

• individual & collective wellbeing

Page 27: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

A gentle technology, helping us to find

• a richer, socially-aware human dimension

• a better balance between individual and collective needs

• a better balance between “my freedom” and “the freedom of my

fellow citizens”

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Page 28: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

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Exoscheleton for our minds

Page 29: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

Turing’s testis not adequate for human-centric AI

A system is intelligent if it allows humans,

both as individuals and as a collective,

to become more intelligent in achieving complex goals38

Page 30: Prof. Dr.Dino Pedreschi University of Pisa, Italy€¦ · understanding natural language and recognizing contents of images • Cons: • other aspects of intelligence still lagging

The human & social dimension of AIImpact of AI on online platforms and marketplaces

Prof. Dr. Dino PedreschiUniversity of Pisa, Italy

Thanks for your attention!19/02/2020 Presentation for the ECON/EMPL/ENVI/ITRE/IMCO Committee 39