projects estimates
TRANSCRIPT
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LIMITED
COSTS OF PROJECT
Existing New Proposal T
Sr. No. Description Amount (Rs.) ncurred Cost roposed Cost Amou
1 Plant and Machinery 26,584,901 575,000 7,241,219 3
2 Other Fixed Assets & Investment 6,846,846 - -
3 Working Capital Requirement 9,611,624 - -
TOTAL 43,043,370 7,241,219 50
MEANS OF FINANCE
Existing New Proposal T
Sr. No. Description Amount (Rs.) Amount (Rs.) Amount (Rs.) Amou
1 Owner's Capital 29,445,242 575,000 1,769,866 3
2 Finance from unsecured borrowing from relati 5,313,886 - -
3 Finance from Bank 8,284,245 5,471,353 1
TOTAL 43,043,373 575,000 7,241,219 50
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LIMITED
STATEMENT SHOWING COST OF PRODUCTION AND FORECAST THEREOF
Particulars Annual Period Annual Period Annual Period Annual Period Annua
2008 2009 2010 2011 20
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Proj
Total Sales 66,277,646.00 ### 146,553,454.36 161,208,799.80 177,329
Gross Profit 15,187,080.50 14,650,064.33 30,555,608.88 30,629,671.96 32,98
G P as a % of sales 22.91% 18.53% 20.85% 19.00% 18.
Cost of Goods Sold 48,532,863.00 61,336,436.96 111,370,408.96 125,370,008.46 138,58
Other operating expenses (incl. dep) 2,557,702.50 3,054,266.71 4,627,436.52 5,209,119.38 5,7
Total Factory Costs 51,090,565.50 64,390,703.67 115,997,845.48 130,579,127.83 144
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Costs of Goods Sold 48,532,863.00 61,336,436.96 111,370,408.96 125,370,008.46 138,58
Less: Opening stock of finished, wip 2,572,075.00 1,604,562.00 1,574,423.00 1,663,354.87 1,914
Add: Closing stock of finished, wip 1,604,562.00 1,574,423.00 1,663,354.87 1,914,155.49 2,040,
47,565,350.00 61,306,297.96 111,459,340.83 125,620,809.07 138,714
RM Consumption 39,367,119.00 52,311,312.39 95,105,798.11 107,189,466.74 118,36
Direct labour 3,971,870.50 3,588,133.00 6,419,800.14 7,235,467.94 7,989,
Power and Fuel 3,157,661.00 4,753,618.85 5,179,323.87 5,837,382.94 6,445
Other manufacuring cost 1,068,699.50 653,233.72 4,754,418.70 5,358,491.45 5,917
47,565,350.00 ### 111,459,340.83 125,620,809.07 138,714
Costs of goods sold 51,090,566 64,390,704 115,997,845 130,579,128 144,3
Average stock of finished goods; 2,088,318.50 1,589,492.50 1,618,888.93 1,788,755.18 1,977
Finished goods turnover ratio 24.46 40.51 71.65 73.00 73
Finished goods holding period 14.92 9.01 5.09 5.00 5
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RAW MATERIALS'
Opening stock 6,845,539.00 7,916,172.00 7,827,481.00 8,254,940.13 3,491
Closing stock 7,916,172.00 7,827,481.00 8,254,940.13 3,491,850.74 9,479
14,761,711.00 15,743,653.00 16,082,421.13 11,746,790.88 12,971
Average stock of raw materials 7,380,855.50 7,871,826.50 8,041,210.57 5,873,395.44 6,485,
RM Turnover ratio 5.33 6.65 11.83 18.25 18
RM Holding period 68.43 54.93 30.86 20.00 20
Total Inventories 9,520,734.00 9,401,904.00 9,918,295.00 5,406,006.23 11,
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LIMITED
Particulars Year Year Year Year Year
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Total Sales
Debtors Turnover 3.44 4.33 8.65 8.11
Sales 662.78 790.41 1465.53 1370.27 16
Average Debtors 192.94 182.64 169.44 168.94 2
Credit period allowed (DAYS) 106.26 84.34 42.20 45.00
Closing Balance of Debtors 132.41 100.46 137.96 199.91 2
SUNDRY CREDITORS PURCHASES
PURCHASES 40,437,752.00 50,918,252.48 ### ###
AVERAGE CREDITORS 14,898,816.00 12,089,829.50 14,401,090.92 12,627,909.54 10,220,50
CREDITORS TURNOVER RATIO 2.71 4.21 6.96 8.11 1
CREDIT PERIOD AVAILED IN TERMS OF DAYS 134.48 86.66 52.41 45.00 3
AVERAGE CREDITORS FOR PURCHASES 14,898,816.00 12,089,829.50 14,401,090.92 12,627,909.54 10,220,50
OPENING + CLOSING CREDITORS 29,797,632.00 24,179,659.00 28,802,181.83 25,255,819.07 20,441,00
LESS: OPENING CREDITORS 16,754,080.00 13,043,552.00 11,136,107.00 17,666,074.83 7,589,74
CLOSING SUNDRY CREDITORS FOR TRADE 13,043,552.00 11,136,107.00 17,666,074.83 7,589,744.24 12,851,25
Consumption of RM 39,367,119.00 52,311,312.39 95,105,798.11 ###
Add: Closing stock of RM 7,916,172.00 7,827,481.00 8,254,940.13 3,491,850.74 9,479,32
Less: Opening stock of RM 6,845,539.00 7,902,283.00 7,827,481.00 8,254,940.13 3,491,850
Purchases ### ### ### ### ###
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ASSESSMENT OF WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
Sr. Particulers Year Year Year Year Year Year
No. 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
I CURRENT ASSETS
1 Raw materials including stores, packing 79.16 78.27 82.55 34.92 94.79 47.11
2 Finished Goods including WIP ( months) 16.05 15.74 16.63 19.14 20.41 22.83
3 Receivables 132.41 100.46 137.96 199.91 215.48 265.50
4 Advances 17.69 8.93 57.24 57.00 75.00 57.00
5 Other current assets due within 12 Months 32.70 15.82 47.67 30.00 42.55 37.20
6 Cash and Bank Balances 11.99 48.78 3.54 6.37 7.60 7.78
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS (I) 289.99 268.01 345.60 347.34 455.82 437.42
II CURRENT LIABILITIES
1 Creditors for purchases of raw materials
and stores/spare/consumables 130.44 111.36 176.66 75.90 128.51 76.51
2 Advances from customers 3.58 4.21 - 10.00 - 5.00
3 Instalments on term loans due within 12 M 4.24 6.07 7.16 14.61 10.53 11.75
4 Income tax payable 6.97 0.85 33.66 24.89 25.67 32.25
5 Other Statutory Liabilities 7.80 7.48 (0.77) 8.00 6.00 7.00
6 Other Current Liabilities & Provisions 28.39 26.73 56.13 40.00 45.00 50.00
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES (II) 181.41 156.69 272.84 173.40 215.71 182.50
III Working capital gap (I-II) 108.58 111.32 72.77 173.94 240.11 254.92
IV Margin For Working Capital 65.88 46.00 2.25 73.94 140.11 154.92
V Bank Borrowings 42.70 65.31 70.51 100.00 100.00 100.00
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46.74 39.27 89.02 82.89 76.67 94.25
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Financial Analysis & ForecastingPrepared by Sumit Kumar Jain CA,CS,B.co
Purpose of Spreadsheet: Revised: 11/22/2002 active
To illustrate concepts related to financial analysis and forecasting.
The financial analysis uses a combination of ratios and industry averages to
evaluate the financial performance of the company. Trend line graphs are alsogenerated, comparing the company's performance with the industry averages.
Finally, the historical information is used to prepare a set of pro forma
financial statements using both linear and non-linear functions.
Required Inputs:
You will need to collect financial statements for several reporting periods. If you
want to benchmark the performance against the industry, then you will also need
to collect industry averages. The spreadsheet is setup to capture five reporting
periods (annual, quarterly, monthly). All input fields are highlighted in yellow.
For best results, SEC Filings are suggested since these reports provide more
detail than published financial statements.
Note: A small red triangle in the upper right corner of a cell indicates that a comment has
been inserted. Point your mouse over the cell and the comment will appear.
If a cell appears in red, this indicates a warning concerning a calculation.
Worksheets:
This spreadsheet consists of the following worksheets, divided into three sections:
A) Input Worksheets for financial analysis using historical data:
Worksheet Title Purpose
2 Enter general information here - used on sever
3 Enter comparative balances sheets for up to fiv
4 Enter comparative income statements for up to
5 Enter comparative cash flow statements for up
Caution: If you enter less than five years of historical information, certain wor
formulas may have to be revised.
B) Output Worksheets for evaluating financial performance:
6 Calculates key financial information for further
7 Calculates a series of ratios for further analysis8 Compare ratio analysis to industry averages.
9 Horizontal analysis with corresponding trend lin
10 Common size financials in percentages and gr
C) Pro Forma / Forecasted Financials for Budgeting:
11 Set of pro forma financials using simple assum
Wksh3
Wksh5
Wksh7
Wksh9
Wksh11
Wksh13
Wksh15
General Input
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow Statement
Key Financial Data
Ratio AnalysisBenchmark Analysis
Horizontal Analysis
Vertical Analysis
Pro Forma - Simple
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12 Set of pro forma financials using linear trending
13 Set of pro forma financials using exponential s
14 Example of Scenario Analysis and Goal Seek
15 Preliminary budget analysis
16 Set of budgets per various assumptions and fo
Note: Some additional worksheets (Answer Reports 1 & 2) may appear in the spreadsheet due to the running of Solver.
Macros:
No macros have been used in this spreadsheet to give everyone some assurance that no viruses
are contained in the spreadsheet. However, you are free to add your own macros to save time.
Tools > Macro > Record New Macro
Excel Functions:
This spreadsheet uses certain financial functions (such as =TREND) which might not be
found in your version of Microsoft Excel. To take full advantage of financial and statistical
functions, you should install the Add On package titled: Analysis TookPak. Go to the maintool bar, select Tools => Add-Ins => check the Analysis TookPak option, insert your
Excel CD and install the Analysis ToolPak. Also, you might want to install the Solver
Add-in since this is useful for solving special forecasting issues (such as finding the
optimal exponential factor).
Compatibility:
This spreadsheet was created with Microsoft Excel 2000. Older versions of Excel (such as 97)
may not be compatible with this spreadsheet.
Corrections:
With any “attempt” to build an Excel Model, I can easily make some mistakes.So if you have suggestions to make the model better, drop me an email
and I’ll be glad to improve the financial model. My email address is:
Pro Forma - Regression
Pro Forma - Exponential
Scenario Analysis
Budget Analysis
Final Budgets
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(Hons.)
l worksheets.
e periods.
five periods.
to five periods.
sheet
nalysis.
.
es.
phs.
tions
Wksh2
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Wksh6
Wksh8
Wksh10
Wksh12
Wksh14
Wksh16
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oothing
nalysis
ecasts.
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General Input PanelThe following general information should be entered:
Note: Sample data has been entered in the input cells to help you get started.
2-1 Name of Company => Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
2-2 Reporting Periods => Annual (Annual, Semi-annual, Quarterly or Monthly)
2-3 Number of Days in Reporting Period are 365
What reporting periods will be entered?
2-4 Most Current Period 2015 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.)
2-5 Previous Period 2014 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.)
2-6 2nd Previous Period 2013 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.)2-7 3rd Previous Period 2012 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.)
2-8 4th Previous Period 2011
2-9 5th Previous Period 2010
2-10 6th Previous Period 2009
2-11 7th Previous Period 2008 (1999, July 1998, 6/30/97, etc.)
2-9 Number of historical periods to be analyzed 8
How are the amounts expressed in the financial statements?
(such as: in millions of dollars, thousands of Canadian dollars, etc.)
2-10 Lakhs of Rupees
Home
Wksh3
Wksh5
Wksh7
Wksh9
Wksh11
Wksh13
Wksh15
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active
Wksh4
Wksh6
Wksh8
Wksh10
Wksh12
Wksh14
Wksh16
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Balance Sheet for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected)
Cas an Cas Equiva ents 11.99 48.78 3.54 6.37 7.60 7.78 S ort Term Mar eta e Securities - - - - - - Accounts Receiva e 132.41 100.46 137.96 199.91 215.48 265.50 Inventory 95.07 93.88 99.18 54.06 115.20 69.94 Other Current Assets 50.39 24.75 104.91 87.00 117.55 94.20
Total Current Assets 289.85 267.87 345.60 347.34 455.82 437.42
Fixed Assets 328.13 360.76 459.65 537.82 537.82 537.82 Accumulated Depreciation (111.06) (129.85) (128.66) (149.02) (168.30) (187.74) Net Fixed Assets 217.07 230.91 330.99 388.79 369.52 350.08 Longterm Investments 1.58 2.18 3.33 3.33 3.33 3.33 Investments in Other Companies - - - - - - Intangibles and Other Assets 6.27 6.27 - - - - Tota Non Current Assets 224.92 239.35 334.32 392.12 372.84 353.40 Tota Assets 514.77 507.22 679.92 739.46 828.66 790.82
Accounts Paya e 130.44 111.36 176.66 75.90 128.51 76.51 Short Term Borrowings 42.70 65.31 70.51 100.00 100.00 100.00 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 4.24 6.07 7.16 14.61 10.53 11.75 Other Current Liabilities 46.74 39.27 89.02 82.89 76.67 94.25 Total Current Liabilities 224.11 222.00 343.35 273.40 315.71 282.50
Longterm Debt / Borrowings 15.03 12.33 5.17 38.89 28.36 16.61 Other Longterm Liabilities 75.32 81.63 64.86 80.00 80.00 15.00 Total Non Current Liabilities 90.35 93.96 70.03 118.89 108.36 31.61 Total Liabilities 314.46 315.97 413.38 392.28 424.07 314.11
Preferred Equity - - - - - - Common Equity 100.00 100.00 100.00 125.00 125.00 125.00 A itiona Pai in Capita - - - - - - Retained Earnings 100.31 91.26 166.54 222.21 279.62 351.74 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl - - - - - - Treasury Stock - - - - - Total Shareholder Equity 200.31 191.26 266.54 347.21 404.62 476.74
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Balance Sheet for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected)
Tota L a t es & Equ ty 514.77 507.22 679.92 739.49 828.69 790.85
NonDepreciable Fixed Assets - - - - - - Deferred Taxes 10.52 11.72 11.72 11.72 11.72 11.72
Goodwill Write Off - - - - - - No of Common Shares o/s 10.00 10.00 10.00 12.50 12.50 12.50 Par Value of Common Stock 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 No of Preferred Shares o/s - - - - - - Par Value of Preferred Stock - - - - - - Market Price of Common Stock - - - - - - Market Price of Preferred Stock - - - - - - Preferred Dividends in Arrears - - - - - - Liqui ating va ue o Pre erre St - - - - - - Boo Va ue per S are 20.03 19.13 26.65 27.78 32.37 38.14 Divi en s per Common S are - - - - - - Divi en Payout Ratio - - - - - - Cash Dividends to Preferred Stock - - - - - - Cash Dividends to Common Stock - - - - - - Total Dividends Paid - - - - -
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Income Statement for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Net Sales 662.78 790.41 1,465.53 1,612.09 1,773.30 Ot er Operating Revenues 3.77 3.54 1.55 2.00 2.00 Total Revenues 666.55 793.95 1,467.08 1,614.09 1,775.30 Cost of Goods Sold (485.33) (613.36) (1,113.70) (1,253.70) (1,385.88)Other Operating Expenses (25.58) (30.54) (46.27) (52.09) (57.58)Total Direct Expenses (510.91) (643.91) (1,159.98) (1,305.79) (1,443.46)Selling, General & Administrative (92.18) (143.72) (190.61) (209.67) (230.63)
Operat ng Income 63.46 6.32 116.50 98.63 101.20
Interest Expenses (16.87) (13.32) (7.55) (18.07) (18.11)Foreign Exchange (Loss) Gain - - - - - Associated Company (Loss) Gain - - - - - Other NonOperating (Loss) Gain 6.26 - - - - Income Tax Expense (5.79) (2.05) (33.66) (24.89) (25.67)Reserve C arges - - - - - Income Before Extra Ord Items 47.06 (9.05) 75.28 55.67 57.41
Extra Ordinary Items (Loss) Gain - - - - - Tax Effects of Extraordinary Items - - - - Minority Interests - - - - - Net Income 47.06 (9.05) 75.28 55.67 57.41
Primary EPS 4.71 (0.91) 7.53 4.45 4.59
Earnings Before Int & Taxes 69.72 6.32 116.50 98.63 101.20 Depreciation & Amortization (15.46) (18.79) (25.54) (20.36) (19.27)Research & Devel Expenses - - - - - Capitalized Interest Expense - - - - - Interest Income 1.42 0.42 0.88 0.88 0.88 Tota Non Operating Expenses 16.40 15.38 41.22 42.96 43.78 Total Extra Ordinary Items - - - - Tax Rate 0.12 - 0.31 0.31
NET PROFIT AFTER TAX 47.06 (9.05) 75.28 55.67 57.41 DEPRECIATION 15.46 18.79 25.54 20.36 19.27
CASH ACCRUALS 62.52 9.74 100.83 76.03 76.69
INTEREST 16.87 13.32 7.55 18.07 18.11
INSTALLMENTS 4.24 6.07 7.16 14.61 10.53
DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO 3.76 1.19 7.37 2.88 3.31
AVERAGE DSCR 4.60
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Cash Flow Statement for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Income 47.06 9.05 75.28 55.67 57.41 72.12 Depreciation an Amortization 15.46 18.79 25.54 20.36 19.27 19.44 Increase Decrease De er Taxes 0.36 1.20 - - - - Gain Loss on Sa e o Assets 6.26 - - - - -
(Increase) Decrease Current Assets (31.33) 58.77 (122.97) 1.09 (107.25) 18.59 Increase (Decrease) Current Liab (25.46) (2.10) 121.35 (69.95) 42.32 (33.21)
Cash Flow from Operations (0.88) 65.21 99.20 7.16 11.75 76.93
Capital Expenditures (30.78) (32.63) (119.36) (78.16) - - Acquisition in Other Co's -Proceeds from Sales of Assets - -Purchases of Investments - (0.60) (1.15) - - - Sale of Investments -Other Investment Activities -Cash Provided (Used) from Inve (30.78) (33.23) (120.51) (78.16) - -
Procee s rom Borrowings - - - 33.71 - - Payments on Borrowings 4.24 2.70 7.16 - 10.53 11.75 Dividends Paid to Shareholders -Proceeds from Minority Interest -Issue Stock / Exercise Options - 25.00Purchase / Retire Common Stock -
Other Financing Activities 15.31 7.52 (16.77) 15.14 - (65.00) Cash Provided (Used) from Fina 11.08 4.81 (23.93) 73.85 (10.53) (76.75)
Increase (Decrease) to Cash (20.58) 36.79 (45.23) 2.86 1.23 0.18
Beginning Cash Balance 32.57 11.99 48.78 3.54 6.37 7.60 Ending Cash Balance 11.99 48.78 3.55 6.40 7.60 7.78
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Key Financial Data for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Lakhs of Rupees
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual A
Period Period Period Period Period Peri
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201
EBITDA :
Income before ExtraOrd Items 47.06 (9.05) 75.28 55.67 57.41
Interest Expense 16.87 13.32 7.55 18.07 18.11
Capitalized Interest Expense - - - - -
Income Tax Expense 5.79 2.05 33.66 24.89 25.67
Reserve Charges - - - - -
Depreciation and Amortization 15.46 18.79 25.54 20.36 19.27 EBITDA 85.18 25.12 142.04 118.99 120.47 14
EBITDA Margin 0.13 0.03 0.10 0.07 0.07
Free Cash Flow:
Operating Cash Flow (0.88) 65.21 99.20 7.16 11.75
Investment Cash Flows (30.78) (33.23) (120.51) (78.16) -
Preferred Dividends Paid (fixed) - - - - -
Redemption of Fixed Obligations (4.24) (2.70) (7.16) - (10.53) (
Other Critical Outlays
Free Cash Flow (35.89) 29.27 (28.46) (71.00) 1.23 6
Working Capital:
Current Assets 289.85 267.87 345.60 347.34 455.82 4
Current Liabilities 224.11 222.00 343.35 273.40 315.71 2
Working Capital 65.74 45.87 2.25 73.94 140.11 15
Liquid Capital:
Cash and Cash Equivalents 11.99 48.78 3.54 6.37 7.60
Marketable Securities - - - - -
Accounts Receivable 132.41 100.46 137.96 199.91 215.48 2
Notes Receivable - - - - -
Total Current Liabilities (224.11) (222.00) (343.35) (273.40) (315.71) (28
Long Term Debt (15.03) (12.33) (5.17) (38.89) (28.36) (
Preferred Equity - - - - -
Liquid Capital (94.75) (85.09) (207.01) (106.00) (121.00) (2
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Ratio Analysis for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual AnPeriod Period Period Period Period Period
Title of Ratio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Acid Test Ratio 0.64 0.67 0.41 0.75 0.71
Current Ratio 1.29 1.21 1.01 1.27 1.44 1
Operating Cash Flow to Net Inc (0.02) (7.20) 1.32 0.13 0.20 1
Liquidity Index:Cash - Days Removed - - - - - Cash Balance 11.99 48.78 3.54 6.37 7.60 Cash Balance Total - - - - - Marketable Sec - Days Removed - - - - - Marketable Securities Balance - - - - - Marketable Securities Total - - - - - Receivables - Days Removed 71.36 53.77 29.69 45.00 45.00 4Receivable Balance 132.41 100.46 137.96 199.91 215.48 26Receivable Balance Total 9,448.19 5,401.41 4,096.19 8,996.05 9,696.44 11,94Inventory - Days Removed 71.11 56.22 31.64 22.31 22.29 2Inventory Balance 95.07 93.88 99.18 54.06 115.20 6Inventory Balance Total 6,760.32 5,277.90 3,137.83 1,205.94 2,567.65 1,55Other - Days Removed 22.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 2Other Current Assets Balance 50.39 24.75 104.91 87.00 117.55 9
Other Current Assets Total 1,108.58 544.52 2,308.09 1,914.00 2,586.10 2,07Liquidity Index (Days) 59.74 41.90 27.61 34.88 32.58 35
Z Score:1.2 x (working capital / total assets) 0.15 0.11 0.00 0.12 0.20 1.4 x (retained earn / total assets) 0.27 0.25 0.34 0.42 0.47 3.3 x (EBIT / total assets) 0.45 0.04 0.57 0.44 0.40 .6 x (market value equity / b.v. debt 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 .999 x (sales / total assets) 1.29 1.56 2.15 2.18 2.14 Z Score 2.16 1.96 3.07 3.16 3.22 3
Receivable Turnover:Credit Sales 663 790 1,466 1,370 1,685 1Average Receivable Balance 130 116 119 169 208
Receivable Turnover 5.1 6.8 12.3 8.1 8.1
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Ratio Analysis for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annua Annua Annua Annua Annua AnPer o Per o Per o Per o Per o Per o
Title of Ratio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Days Required to Collect A/R 71 54 30 45 45
Inventory Turnover:Average Inventory Ba ance 94.55 94.47 96.53 76.62 84.63 9Inventory Turnover 5.1 6.5 11.5 16.4 16.4 1
Days in Inventory 71 56 32 22 22
Total Asset Turnover 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.1
Operat ng Assets Rat o 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1
Gross Profit Margin 27% 22% 24% 22% 22%
Operating Margin 10% 1% 8% 6% 6%
Net Pro t Marg n 7% -1% 5% 3% 3%
Direct Cost to Operating Reven 77% 81% 79% 81% 81%
Capitalization Rate / Asset Return:Net Operating Income 56 6 80 68 70 Total Investments / Operating Asset 507 499 677 736 825 Cap ta zat on Rate / Return 10.96% 1.27% 11.90% 9.26% 8.47% 10.
Return on Shareholder Equity 23% -5% 38% 28% 29%
Debt to Total Assets 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.53 0.51 0
De t to Common Equ ty 1.57 1.65 1.55 1.13 1.05 0
Times Interest Earned 4 0 15 5 6
Price to Earnings (P/E) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
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Ratio Analysis for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual AnPeriod Period Period Period Period Period
Title of Ratio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Price to Book Value 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
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Benchmark Analysis for Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
act ve You nee to co ect enc mar ata on t e respective in ustry or t e su ject company.Enter the benchmark data in the appropriate input cells. This information is used togenerate trend line graphs in this worksheet. If you do not have any benchmark data,then fill in the highlighted yellow cell with numeric zero "0". The "industry" line will be nullin the graph and show only the company specific ratio trend.
Annua Annua Annua Annua Annua Annua Annua APer o Per o Per o Per o Per o Per o Per o Pe
Ref Description 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20
8-1 Acid Test Ratio - Industry7-1 Acid Test Ratio - Company 0.64 0.64 0.67 0.41 0.75
8-2 Current Ratio - In ustry7-2 Current Ratio - Company 1.12 1.29 1.21 1.01 1.27
8-3 Receivable Turnover - Industry7-21 Receivable Turnover - Company 3.81 5.12 6.79 12.29 8.11
8-4 Days to Collect A/R - Industry7-22 Days to Collect A/R - Company 96 71 54 30 45
8-5 Inventory Turnover - In ustry7-25 Inventory Turnover - Company #REF! 5.13 6.49 11.54 16.36
8-6 Days in Inventory - Industry
7-26 Days in Inventory - Company #REF! 71 56 32 22
8-7 Asset Turnover - In ustry7-27 Asset Turnover - Company 1.00 1.29 1.56 2.16 2.18
8-8 Gross Profit Margin - Industry7-29 Gross Profit Margin - Company 25.00% 26.77% 22.40% 24.01% 22.23%
8-10 Net Profit Margin - Industry7-31 Net Profit Margin - Company 1.33% 7.06% -1.14% 5.13% 3.45%
8-11 Return on Total Assets - Industry8-12 Return on Total Assets - Company 30.00% 9.44% -1.77% 12.68% 7.84%
8-13 Return on Equity - Industry8-14 Return on Equity - Company 4.22% 23.50% -4.52% 37.58% 27.79%
Home Wksh2Wksh3 Wksh4Wksh5 Wksh6W s 7Wksh9 Wksh10
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8-15 Debt to Equity - Industry7-38 Debt to Equity - Company 215% 157% 165% 155% 113%
8-16 Times Interest Earned - Industry7-39 Times Interest Earned - Company N. A. 4 0 15 5
We added the following two ratios to assess if the Company has excessive growth:4-13 Provision for Taxes 1 (6) (2) (34) (25)8-17 Trading Ratio - Company 1.27 1.12 1.22 1.42 1.218-18 Trading Ratio - Industry
8-19 Net Sales to Net Worth - Company 3.14 3.41 4.18 6.29 5.008-20 Net Sales to Net Worth - Industry
Source for Benchmark Data: Almanac of Business and Industrial Financial Ratios by Leo Troy, Prentice Hall
Graphs appear below for each of the above comparisons:
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.10.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
Acid Ratio Comparison
Acid Test Ratio -Industry
Acid Test Ratio -Company
Periods
Ratio
1
1.2
1.4
Current Ratio Comparison
-
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2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8-
Industry
Current Ratio -Company
Periods
Ratio
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Receivable Turnover Comparison
ReceivableTurnover -Industry
ReceivableTurnover -Company
Periods
TurnoverRate
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Receivable Collection Comparison
Days to CollectA/R - Industry
Days to CollectA/R - Company
DaystoCo
llectA/R
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Periods
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Inventory Turnover Comparison
InventoryTurnover -Industry
InventoryTurnover -Company
Periods
TurnoverR
ate
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Inventory Days Comparison
Days in Inventory- Industry
Days in Inventory- Company
Periods
DaysHe
ldinInventory
2.5
Asset Turnover Comparison
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2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.5
1
1.5
2
Asset Turnover -Industry
Asset Turnover -Company
Periods
TurnoverRate
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
Gross Profit Margin
Gross ProfitMargin - Industry
Gross ProfitMargin -Company
Periods
GrossProf it
Margin
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
Net Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin- Industry
Net Profit Margin- Company
tProfitM
argin
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011-0.02
Periods
N
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.150.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
Return on Equity Comparison
Return on Total
Assets - IndustryReturn on TotalAssets -Company
Periods
Returnon
Commo
nEquity
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
-0.05
0
0.050.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
Return on Total Assets
Return on TotalAssets - Industry
Return on Total
Assets -Company
Periods
Returnon
TotalAssets
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2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
e o qu y ompar son
Debt to Equity -Industry
Debt to Equity -Company
Periods
DebttoEquityRatio
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Times Interest Earned
Times InterestEarned - Industry
Times InterestEarned -Company
Periods
TimesInterestEarned
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Trading Ratio Comparison
Trading Ratio -Industry
io
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2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
0.2
0.4
0.6
.
Trading Ratio -Company
Periods
Rati
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sales to Worth Comparison
Net Sales to NetWorth - Industry
Net Sales to NetWorth - Company
Periods
Ratio
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Horizontal Analysis forSwan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Horizontal Analysis expresses change between periods as percentages for each account inthe financial statements. The basic formula for horizontal analysis is:% change = (most recent period - previous period) / previous period
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual AnnuPeriod Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Growth in Net Sales 37.25% 19.26% 85.42% 10.00% 10.00% 10.0
Cost of Goods Sold 34.01% 26.38% 81.57% 12.57% 10.54% 9.3
Growth in Gross Profits 7.09% -16.34% 7.18% -7.40% -1.73% 2.2
Growth in Interest Expense 100.81% -21.02% -43.33% 139.27% 0.24% -7.4Growth in Income Tax Expense -1195.96% -64.49% 1538.51% -26.05% 3.14% 25.6
Growth in Non Operating Expens 108.29% -6.21% 168.01% 4.24% 1.92% 11.9
Growth in Minority Interest #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV
Growth in Net Income 627.49% -119.24% -931.52% -26.05% 3.14% 25.6
Growth in Earnings Per Share 627.49% -119.24% -931.52% -40.84% 3.14% 25.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents -63.19% 306.91% -92.73% 79.70% 19.23% 2.4
Short Term Marketable Securitie #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIVAccounts Receivable 4.47% -24.13% 37.33% 44.90% 7.79% 23.2Inventory 1.10% -1.25% 5.65% -45.49% 113.09% -39.2Other Current Assets 95.64% -50.88% 323.88% -17.07% 35.11% -19.8 Total Current Assets 3.85% -7.58% 29.02% 0.50% 31.23% -4.04
Net Fixed Assets 11.04% 6.37% 43.34% 17.46% -4.96% -5.2Longterm Investments 0.00% 38.10% 52.87% 0.00% 0.00% 0.0Investments in Other Companie #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIVIntangibles and Other Assets 0.00% 0.00% -100.00% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV Total Non Current Assets 2766.68% 6.42% 39.68% 17.29% -4.92% -5.21
Growth in Total Assets 6.70% -1.47% 34.05% 8.76% 12.06% -4.5
Accounts Payable -22.15% -14.62% 58.64% -57.04% 69.32% -40.4Short Term Borrowings 4.82% 52.95% 7.97% 41.81% 0.00% 0.0
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Horizontal Analysis forSwan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Horizonta Ana ysis expresses c ange etween perio s as percentages or eac account inthe financial statements. The basic formula for horizontal analysis is:% change = (most recent period - previous period) / previous period
Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual AnnuPeriod Period Period Period Period Period
Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 S ort Term Portion o LT De t 8.56% 43.19% 17.99% 104.08% -27.92% 11.5Other Current Liabilities 25.01% -15.98% 126.70% -6.88% -7.50% 22.9 Total Current Liabilities -10.20% -0.94% 54.66% -20.37% 15.48% -10.5
Longterm Debt / Borrowings -21.99% -17.99% -58.06% 652.04% -27.07% -41.4Other Longterm Liabilities 24.78% 8.39% -20.55% 23.34% 0.00% -81.2 Total Non Current Liabilities 13.46% 4.00% -25.47% 69.76% -8.86% -70.83
Growt in Tota Lia i ities -4.48% 0.48% 30.83% -5.10% 8.10% -25.9
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Vertical Analysis forSwan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Vertical analysis expresses financial statements as percentages. On the Balance Sheet,active Total Assets is assigned 100% and on the Income Statement, Total Revenues is assigned 100%.
expressed in percentages Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual Period Period Period Period Period
Ref Account Title 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
B a l a n c e S h e e t
10-1 Cash and Cash Equivalents 2.33% 9.62% 0.69% 1.24% 1.48%10-2 Short Term Marketable Securities 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
10-3 Accounts Receivable 25.72% 19.81% 20.29% 27.03%10-4 Inventory 18.47% 18.51% 14.59% 7.31%10-5 Other Current Assets 9.79% 4.88% 15.43% 11.77%10-6 Current Assets 56.31% 52.81% 50.83% 46.97%
10-6 Net Fixed Assets 42.17% 45.52% 48.68% 52.58%10-7 Longterm Investments 0.31% 0.43% 0.49% 0.45%10-8 Investments in Other Companies 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%10-9 Intangibles and Other Assets 1.22% 1.24% 0.00% 0.00%10-10 Non Current Assets 43.69% 47.19% 49.17% 53.03%
10-11 Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
10-12 Accounts Payable 25.34% 21.95% 25.98% 10.26%10-13 Short Term Borrowings 8.30% 12.88% 10.37% 13.52%10-14 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 0.82% 1.20% 1.05% 1.98%
10-15 Other Current Liabilities 9.08% 7.74% 13.09% 11.21%10-16 Total Current Liabilities 43.54% 43.77% 50.50% 36.97%
10-17 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 2.92% 2.43% 0.76% 5.26%10-18 Other Longterm Liabilities 14.63% 16.09% 9.54% 10.82%10-19 Total NonCurrent Liabilities 17.55% 18.52% 10.30% 16.08%
10-20 Total Liabilities 61.09% 62.29% 60.80% 53.05%
10-21 Preferred Equity 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%10-22 Common Equity 19.43% 19.72% 14.71% 16.90%10-23 Additional Paid in Capital 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%10-24 Retained Earnings 19.49% 17.99% 24.49% 30.05%10-25 Adj for Foreign Currency Transl 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%10-26 Treasury Stock 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%10-27 Total Equity 38.91% 37.71% 39.20% 46.95%
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10-28 Total Liabilities & Equity 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
I n c o m e S t a t e m e n t
10-29 Total Revenues 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
10-30 Cost of Goods Sold 72.81% 77.25% 75.91% 77.67%
10-31 Gross Profit 26.77% 22.40% 24.01% 22.23%
10-32 Operating Expenses 17.67% 21.95% 16.15% 16.22%
10-33 Non Operating Expenses 0.87% 1.94% 0.51% 1.54%
10-34 Income Before Extra Ord Items 7.06% -1.14% 5.13% 3.45%
10-35 Net Income 7.06% -1.14% 5.13% 3.45%
u r r e n t t o R e v e n u e 10-36 Accounts Receivable to Revenues 19.86% 12.65% 9.40% 12.39%
10-37 Inventory to Revenues 14.26% 11.82% 6.76% 3.35%10-38 Other Current Assets to Revenues 7.56% 3.12% 7.15% 5.39%10-39 Current Assets to Revenues 43.49% 33.74% 23.56% 21.52%
10-40 Accounts Payable to Revenues 19.57% 14.03% 12.04% 4.70%10-41 Short Term Borrowings to Revenue 6.41% 8.23% 4.81% 6.20%10-42 Other Current Liabilities to Revenue 7.01% 4.95% 6.07% 5.14%10-43 Current Liabilities to Revenues 33.62% 27.96% 23.40% 16.94%
Graphs for the Vertical Analysis appear below:
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
Breakdown of Current Assets
Other Current Assets
Inventory
AccountsReceivable
Short TermMarketableSecurities
Cash and CashofTota
lAssets
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2008 2009 2010 20110.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
Current / NonCurrent Assets
Non CurrentAssets
CurrentAssets
Periods
%
ofTotal
2008 2009 2010 20110.00%
.
Equivalents
Periods
%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
Breakdown of Current Liabilities
Other CurrentLiabilities
Short TermPortion of LTDebt
Short TermBorrowings
%
ofTotal
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2008 2009 2010 20110.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
Liab & Equity to Total Assets
Total Equity
TotalLiabilities
Periods
%of
Total
2008 2009 2010 20110.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
Major Cost Breakdown
NonOperatingExpenses
OperatingExpenses
Cost of Goods Sold
Periods
%
toTotal
Revenues
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
Payable
Periods
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The following graph is created directly from the Cash Flow Statement:
2 0 0 8
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 2
($40)($20)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
Operating Cash Flow Trend
Increase(Decrease)Current Liab
(Increase)DecreaseCurrent Assets
(Gain) Loss onSale of Assets
(Increase)DecreaseDefer Taxes
DepreciationandAmortization
Net Income
Periods
OperatingCash
Flow
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Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period Period Period
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (projected) (projected)
Enter Your Forecast Periods => 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60 80 90 100
Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 0Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 1,060 1,030 840 750
Cash Flow Applied for Financing:
Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,000) (600) (500) (500)
Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000) (4,000) (5,500) (7,000)
Purchase / Retire Stock (2,000) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) (500)
Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0 0
Total Financing Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,000) (6,100) (7,000) (8,000)
Total Change to Cash (8,756) (9,486) (11,410) (13,035) (14,809)
Beginning Cash Balance 6 (8,749) (18,235) (29,645) (42,681)Forecasted Ending Balance (8,749) (18,235) (29,645) (42,681) (57,490)
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Cash and Cash Equivalents (8,749) (18,235) (29,645) (42,681) (57,490)
Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0 0
Accounts Receivable 48 66 79 147 161
Inventory 39 53 63 117 129
Other Current Assets 31 43 51 95 105
Total Current Assets (8,631) (18,073) (29,452) (42,322) (57,095)
Fixed Assets 4,038 7,038 10,138 12,838 15,438
Accumulated Depreciation (619) (1,109) (1,609) (2,129) (2,679)
Net Fixed Assets 3,419 5,929 8,529 10,709 12,759
Longterm Investments 803 2,203 4,803 9,003 14,303
Investments in Other Companies 500 1,250 2,450 3,100 3,450
Intangibles and Other Assets 200 240 320 400 650
Total Non Current Assets 4,922 9,622 16,102 23,212 31,162
Total Assets (3,709) (8,451) (13,350) (19,110) (25,933)
Accounts Payable 82 113 134 249 274
Short Term Borrowings 58 80 95 176 193Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30 25 20 15
Other Current Liabilities 29 40 47 88 97
Total Current Liabilities 199 262 302 533 579
Longterm Debt / Borrowings (161) (161) 189 439 589
Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750 800 800 800
Total Non Current Liabilities 539 589 989 1,239 1,389
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Annual Annual Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period Period Period
(Actual) (Actual) (Actual) (projected) (projected)
Enter Your Forecast Periods => 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Liabilities 738 851 1,291 1,772 1,968
Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0
Common Equity 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200
Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700
Retained Earnings (2,251) (5,220) (9,193) (14,620) (21,532)
Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (4,000) (2,500) (1,500) (500)
Treasury Stock (2,000) (4,000) (5,500) (6,500) (7,000)
Total Equity (1,351) (5,320) (9,293) (14,720) (21,132)
External Financing Required (EFR) (3,096) (3,981) (5,347) (6,161) (6,769)
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ProForma Financials (Linear Trend Model)
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
A set of pro forma (forecasted) financial statements are generated using the results of
the historical analysis in the previous worksheets. A statistical method known as
active linear regression is used to predict future values. If you have important assumptions
that are important to the forecast, then these assumptions should over-ride the
linear calculations since we want our forecast to be as accurate as possible.
Key Point => If your historical information has gradual trends, then linear regression
is an appropriate model for forecasting. However, if your historical information has
distinct steps up or down, then you should consider using a smoothing model .
Before we adopt a regression model, it's a good idea to generate a scatter graph of the actual
and observe if there is a clear trend for fitting a straight regression line into the data:
The calculation of linear values is determined by defining the slope of the line and the y interc
Order Total Rev Linear
Formula for Linear Trendline: Year variable x actual y Value y
2007 1 486 394
y = ( m * x ) + b 2008 2 667 700
2009 3 794 1,006
m: slope of line 2010 4 1,467 1,311
x: independent variable 2011 5 1,614 1,617
b: y intercept 2001 6 1,923
2002 7 2,228
2003 8 2,534
2004 9 2,840
2005 10 3,145
The degree of linear fit with the actual data can be expressed as R Square 0.9224
Annual Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period Period
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2006 2008 2010 2012-
500.00
1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
Total Revenues
Row 11
Periods
TotalReve
nues
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2007 2008 2009 2010
Pro Forma Income Statement
12-1 Gross Revenues 394 700 1,006 1,311
12-2 Cost of Goods Sold (283) (525) (766) (1,007)
12-3 Operating Expenses (43) (89) (134) (179)
12-4 Operating Income 67 87 106 125
12-5 Non Operating Expenses (6) (15) (25) (34)
4-25 Extra Ordinary Items 0 0 0 0
Net Income 62 72 81 91
Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement
Sources of Operating Cash Flow:
Net Income 62 72 81 91
Depreciation and Amortization 470 490 500 520
(Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0 0 0 0
(Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15 9 2 3
(Increase) Decrease Current Assets 241 (83) (83) (83)
Increase (Decrease) Current Liab (135) 107 107 107
Operating Cash Flow 652 595 608 639
Investment Sources of Cash Flow:
Planned Sale of Assets 100 60 20 25
Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 2,100 1,900 1,800
Other Investment Sources to be used 0 0 0 0
Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 2,160 1,920 1,825
Planned Investments:
Capital Expenditures (3,500) (3,000) (3,100) (2,700)
Acquisitions (500) (750) (1,200) (650)
Purchases of Investments (3,000) (3,500) (4,500) (6,000)
Total Investment Applications of Cash (7,000) (7,250) (8,800) (9,350)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities:
Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,300 1,000 950 750
Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60 80 90
Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0
Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 1,060 1,030 840
Cash Flow Applied for Financing:
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Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,000) (600) (500)
Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000) (4,000) (5,500)
Purchase / Retire Stock (2,000) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000)
Other Financing Activities 0 0 0 0Total Financing Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,000) (6,100) (7,000)
Total Change to Cash (8,728) (9,435) (11,342) (13,046)
Beginning Cash Balance 6 (8,721) (18,156) (29,499)
Forecasted Ending Balance (8,721) (18,156) (29,499) (42,545)
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Cash and Cash Equivalents (8,721) (18,156) (29,499) (42,545)
Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0 0 0
Accounts Receivable 39 70 101 131
Inventory 32 56 80 105
Other Current Assets 26 45 65 85Total Current Assets (8,625) (17,985) (29,252) (42,224)
Fixed Assets 4,038 7,038 10,138 12,838
Accumulated Depreciation (619) (1,109) (1,609) (2,129)
Net Fixed Assets 3,419 5,929 8,529 10,709
Longterm Investments 803 2,203 4,803 9,003
Investments in Other Companies 500 1,250 2,450 3,100
Intangibles and Other Assets 200 240 320 400
Total Non Current Assets 4,922 9,622 16,102 23,212
Total Assets (3,703) (8,363) (13,150) (19,012)
Accounts Payable 67 119 171 223
Short Term Borrowings 47 84 121 157
Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30 25 20
Other Current Liabilities 24 42 60 79
Total Current Liabilities 168 275 377 479
Longterm Debt / Borrowings (161) (161) 189 439
Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750 800 800
Total Non Current Liabilities 539 589 989 1,239
Total Liabilities 707 864 1,366 1,718
Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0
Common Equity 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200
Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700 5,700 5,700
Retained Earnings (2,216) (5,145) (9,063) (14,472)
Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (4,000) (2,500) (1,500)
Treasury Stock (2,000) (4,000) (5,500) (6,500)
Total Equity (1,316) (5,245) (9,163) (14,572)
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External Financing Required (EFR) (3,094) (3,982) (5,353) (6,157)
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data
ept:
Slope Intercept
m factor b factor
305.68 88.47
Annual
Period
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2011
1,617
(1,248)
(224)
145
(44)
0
101
101
550
0
6
(83)
107
681
35
1,700
0
1,735
(2,600)
(350)
(7,000)
(9,950)
650
100
0
750
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(500)
(7,000)
(500)
0
(8,000)
(14,784)
(42,545)
(57,329)
(57,329)
0
162
129
105(56,933)
15,438
(2,679)
12,759
14,303
3,450
650
31,162
(25,770)
275
194
15
97
581
589
800
1,389
1,970
0
2,200
5,700
(21,371)
(500)
(7,000)
(20,971)
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ProForma Financials (Exponential Smoothing / Weighted Mo
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
A set of pro forma (forecasted) financial statements are generated using the r
the historical analysis in the previous worksheets. A statistical method known
exponential smoothing is used to plot a trend over historical data. Additionally
active can use a weighted moving average to forecast future periods.
Key Point => If you have a general upward historical trend, weighted average
to underestimate forecasted values and vice versa (downward trend = overes
Exponential Smoothing and Weighted Moving Averages for Total Reven
Years => 1996 1997
Total Revenues - Historical 486 667
Total Revenues - Exponential 486 486
Total Revenues - Wt Moving Avg 11,105 15,230
Smoothing Factor must be between 0 and 1 0 1
Set Smoothing Factor 1.00
Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00% 1.50%
Find the Optimal Smoothing Factor:
Total Exponent
Revenues Amounts
486 486
667 486
794 667
1,467 794
1,614 1,467
Mean Squared Error
Find the Optimal Moving Weights:
Total Weighted
Revenues Amounts
486 11,105
667 15,230
794 18,890
1,467 21,605
1,614 1,184
Mean Squared Error
Home Wksh2
Wksh3 Wksh4
Wksh5 Wksh6
Wksh7 Wksh8
Wksh9 Wksh10
Wksh11 Wksh12
Wksh14
Wksh15 Wksh16
1,400
1,600
1,800
Exponential Comparison
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Annual Annual
Period Period
2007 2008
Pro Forma Income Statement
Gross Revenues 1,512 1,535
Cost of Goods Sold (1,144) (1,165)
Operating Expenses (286) (276)
Operating Income 83 93
NonOperating Expenses (3,200) (3,200)
ExtraOrdinary Items 650 650
Net Income (2,467) (2,457)
Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement
Sources of Operating Cash Flow:
Net Income (2,467) (2,457)
Depreciation and Amortization 470 490
(Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0 0
(Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15 9
(Increase) Decrease Current Assets (61) (6)Increase (Decrease) Current Liab 256 8
Operating Cash Flow (1,787) (1,956)
Investment Sources of Cash Flow:
Planned Sale of Assets 100 60
Planned Sale of Investments 2,200 2,100
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
200400
600
800
1,000
1,200 Histori
Total RExpon
Total RWt Mo
Periods
TotalReve
nue
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Other Investment Sources to be used 0 0
Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300 2,160
Planned Investments:
Capital Expenditures (3,500) (3,000)
Acquisitions (500) (750)
Purchases of Investments (2,000) (3,000)Total Investment Applications of Cash (6,000) (6,750)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities:
Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,300 2,000
Proceeds from Minority Interest 20 60
Other Financing Activities 0 0
Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,320 2,060
Cash Flow Applied for Financing:
Payments on Loans & Debt (1,500) (1,800)
Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500) (3,000)
Purchase / Retire Stock 0 0Other Financing Activities 0 0
Total Financing Applications of Cash (4,000) (4,800)
Total Change to Cash (8,167) (9,286)
Beginning Cash Balance 6 (8,161)
Forecasted Ending Balance (8,161) (17,447)
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
Cash and Cash Equivalents (8,161) (17,447)Short Term Marketable Securities 0 0
Accounts Receivable 151 153
Inventory 121 123
Other Current Assets 98 100
Total Current Assets (7,791) (17,071)
Fixed Assets 4,038 7,038
Accumulated Depreciation (619) (1,109)
Net Fixed Assets 3,419 5,929
Longterm Investments (197) 703
Investments in Other Companies 500 1,250
Intangibles and Other Assets 75 100Total Non Current Assets 3,797 7,982
Total Assets (3,993) (9,089)
Accounts Payable 257 261
Short Term Borrowings 181 184
Short Term Portion of LT Debt 30 30
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Other Current Liabilities 91 92
Total Current Liabilities 559 567
Longterm Debt / Borrowings (161) 39
Other Longterm Liabilities 700 750
Total Non Current Liabilities 539 789
Total Liabilities 1,098 1,356
Preferred Equity 0 0
Common Equity 2,200 2,200
Additional Paid in Capital 5,700 5,700
Retained Earnings (2,278) (5,278)
Adj for Foreign Currency Transl (5,000) (3,500)
Treasury Stock 0 0
Total Equity 622 (878)
External Financing Required (EFR) (5,714) (9,567)
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ving Average)
esults of
as
, we
will tend
timate).
ues:
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
794 1,467 1,614
667 794 1,467
18,890 21,605 1,184 1,512 1,535 1,529 1,532 1,531
Total weights should add up to => 100.00%
4.50% 34.50% 59.50% 100.00%
Difference Square
0 0
181 32,620
127 16,232
673 453,103
147 21,611
104,713
Difference Square
(10,619) 112,764,514
(14,563) 212,094,142
(18,096) 327,466,954
(20,138) 405,535,764
430 184,881
211,609,251
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Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period
2009 2010 2011
1,529 1,532 1,531
(1,177) (1,176) (1,189)
(277) (248) (248)
76 108 94
(3,600) (3,600) (4,000)
650 700 700
(2,874) (2,792) (3,206)
(2,874) (2,792) (3,206)
500 520 550
0 0 0
2 3 6
1 (1) 0(2) 1 (0)
(2,373) (2,269) (2,651)
20 25 35
1,900 1,800 1,700
-al
evenues -ntial
evenues -ing Avg
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0 0 0
1,920 1,825 1,735
(3,100) (3,900) (4,600)
(500) 0 0
(3,000) (1,000) (1,000)(6,600) (4,900) (5,600)
3,000 4,500 7,000
80 90 100
0 0 0
3,080 4,590 7,100
(2,500) (4,000) (6,000)
(4,000) (4,000) (3,000)
0 0 00 0 0
(6,500) (8,000) (9,000)
(10,473) (8,754) (8,416)
(17,447) (27,920) (36,674)
(27,920) (36,674) (45,089)
(27,920) (36,674) (45,089)0 0 0
153 153 153
122 123 122
99 100 99
(27,545) (36,298) (44,714)
10,138 14,038 18,638
(1,609) (2,129) (2,679)
8,529 11,909 15,959
1,803 1,003 303
1,750 1,750 1,750
150 150 10012,232 14,812 18,112
(15,313) (21,486) (26,602)
260 260 260
184 184 184
25 20 15
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92 92 92
560 556 551
539 1,039 2,039
800 800 800
1,339 1,839 2,839
1,899 2,395 3,390
0 0 0
2,200 2,200 2,200
5,700 5,700 5,700
(9,278) (13,278) (16,278)
(1,000) 0 0
0 0 0
(2,378) (5,378) (8,378)
(14,834) (18,504) (21,614)
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Scenario Analysis for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
We can copy our forecast into a new worksheet and do scenario analysis and goa
Although Microsoft Excel includes Scenario Manager, it can be easier and quicker
scenario analysis manually. We can use Goal Seek to find a value for a cell given
active formula in another cell.
Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period
2007 2008 2009
Pro Forma Income Statement (Simple Projection Method)
Scenario => Non Operating Expenses will decline by $ 100,000 in year 2003 and
Gross Revenues 483 663 790
Cost of Goods Sold (365) (501) (598)
Operating Expenses (91) (125) (149)
NonOperating Expenses 1 (6) (3,100)
ExtraOrdinary Items 0 0 0
Net Income 27 30 -3,057
Instead of copying our forecast into this worksheet, we can simply do scenario an
the forecast itself.
Pro Forma Income Statement (Linear Trend Method)
Goal Seek => What total revenues are required if Net Income must be $ 13.5 milli
Gross Revenues 32,064 35,940 39,816
Cost of Goods Sold (11,607) (12,847) (14,087)
Operating Expenses (7,750) (8,693) (9,636)
Non Operating Expenses (3,549) (4,088) (4,627)
Extra Ordinary Items 271 271 271
Net Income (formula cells) 9,430 10,584 11,738
Do not chang
when using
This is the ta
to change pe
Home Wksh2
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Wksh5 Wksh6
Wksh7 Wksh8
Wksh9 Wksh10
Wksh11 Wksh12
Wksh13
Wksh15 Wksh16
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l-seek analysis.
to simply do our
a corresponding
Annual Annual
Period Period
2010 2011
gain in year 2005:
1,466 1,612
(1,108) (1,219)
(277) (305)
(3,100) (3,000)
0 0
-3,020 -2,912
lysis directly in
n in Year 2004?
44,301 47,569
(15,327) (16,567)
(10,579) (11,522)
(5,166) (5,705)
271 271
13,500 14,046
e formula cells (goals) to values
oal Seek (Tools > Goal Seek)
get cell that Goal Seek is seeking
r the value 13,500 in cell G34
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Budget Analysis for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Once we complete our forecast, we can summarize and review it before finalizi
into the form of budgets. We also need to summarize our assumptions that sh
go into our final budget. We can start our budget process by reviewing the diff
revenue forecast:
active
Annual Annual Annual
Period Period Period
2007 2008 2009
Summarize Revenue Forecast:
Simple Projection Model 483 663 790
Linear Trend Model 394 700 1,006
Wt Moving Avg Model 1,512 1,535 1,529
Declining Growth Model 1,743 1,848 1,922
Historical Data 486 667 794
Projection using declining growth rates:
Gross Revenues 1,743 1,848 1,922
In addition to using linear models for forecasting, we can apply several non-lin
Logarithmic - Used when rate of change in data suddenly shifts upward or dow
Power - Used when rate of change in data occurs at a specific rate.
Home Wksh2
Wksh3 Wksh4
Wksh5 Wksh6
Wksh7 Wksh8
Wksh9 Wksh10
Wksh11 Wksh12
Wksh13 Wksh14
Wksh16
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Forecast Comparisons
Simple ProjecModel
Linear TrendModel
Wt Moving AvModel
Declining GroModel
Historical Dat
Periods
TotalReve
nues
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Exponential - Used when rate of change is increasing or decreasing at ever hi
Polynomial - Used when rate of change fluctuates with no pattern.
Logarithmic Trend
Actual Predicted
Formula for Logarithmic Trendline x factor Values Value y1 486 (323)
y = ( c * LN (x)) - b 2 667 171
3 794 461
LN: Natural Logarithm 4 1,467 666
5 1,614 825
6 955
7 1,065
8 1,160
9 1,244
10 1,319
Power TrendlineActual Predicted
y = b * x^c x factor Values Value y
1 486 434
2 667 739
3 794 1,009
4 1,467 1,259
5 1,614 1,495
6 1,720
7 1,936
8 2,146
9 2,349
10 2,547
Exponential Trendline
Actual Predicted
x factor Values Value y
y = b * EXP ( c * x ) 1 486 478
2 667 658
3 794 906
4 1,467 1,246
5 1,614 1,714
6 2,358
7 3,244
8 4,4629 6,139
10 8,446
Polynomial Trendline
Actual Predicted
y = (c2 * x^2) + (c1 * x^1) + b x factor Values Value y
1 486 #VALUE!
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2 667 #VALUE!
3 794 #VALUE!
4 1,467 #VALUE!
5 1,614 #VALUE!
6 #VALUE!
7 #VALUE!
8 #VALUE!9 #VALUE!
10 #VALUE!
Summarize Non Linear Curves on Graph:
1996 1997 1998
Logarithmic Trendline (323) 171 461
Power Trendline 434 739 1,009
Exponential Trendline 478 658 906
Polynomial Trendline #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
Actual Revenues 486 667 794
1 9 9 6 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0
(1,000)0
1,0002,0003,0004,0005,000
6,0007,0008,0009,000
Non Linear Trend
Periods
TotalR
evenues
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Variance Analysis of Past Budgets:
Accuracy in the budget process should be examined to determine the degree
variance in the budget process. If the variance is high, this indicates a need to
planning techniques within the company. TBD: To be Determined
2007 2008 2009Income Statement Items
Total Revenues - Budgeted 10,500 14,500 22,500
Total Revenues - Actual 486 667 794
% difference from actual 2061% 2075% 2734%
Cost of Goods Sold - Budgeted (4,500) (6,500) (8,648)
Cost of Goods Sold - Actual (362) (485) (613)
% difference from actual 1143% 1239% 1310%
Operating Income - Budgeted 3,100 4,900 9,000
Operating Income - Actual 14 63 6
% difference from actual 21515% 7621% 142202%
Net Income - Budgeted 2,100 4,100 6,500
Net Income - Actual 6 47 (9)
% difference from actual 32360% 8612% -71895%
Balance Sheet Items
Current Assets - Budgeted 3,450 4,400 6,250
Current Assets - Actual 279 290 268
% difference from actual 1136% 1418% 2233%
NonCurrent Assets - Budgeted 10,900 14,000 22,000
NonCurrent Assets - Actual 8 225 239% difference from actual 138827% 6125% 9091%
Current Liabilities - Budgeted 3,750 5,600 8,200
Current Liabilities - Actual 250 224 222
% difference from actual 1403% 2399% 3594%
NonCurrent Liabilities - Budgeted 1,750 2,450 3,750
NonCurrent Liabilities - Actual 80 90 94
% difference from actual 2098% 2612% 3891%
Ratio Items
Current Ratio - Budgeted 0.92 0.79 0.76Current Ratio - Actual 1.12 1.29 1.21
% difference from actual -18% -39% -37%
Total Asset Turnover - Budgeted 0.68 0.72 0.80
Total Asset Turnover - Actual 1.00 1.29 1.56
% difference from actual -32% -44% -49%
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ng it
uld
rent
Annual Annual
Period Period
2010 2011
1,466 1,612
1,311 1,617
1,532 1,531
1,951 31,000
1,467 1,614
1,951 31,000
ar (curve) models:
nward.
ion
th
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her rates.
Slope Intercept
c factor b factor 713.05 322.78
Slope Intercept
c factor b factor
0.77 6.07
433.69
< - calculate using c and b factor - >
Slope Intercept Predicted
c factor b factor ( c * x) EXP Value y
0.32 5.85 0.31898 1.38 478
347.79 0.63796 1.89 658
0.95694 2.6 906
1.27593 3.58 1,246
1.59491 4.93 1,714
1.91389 6.78 2,358
2.23287 9.33 3,244
2.55185 12.83 4,4622.87083 17.65 6,139
3.18981 24.28 8,446
c2 c1 b
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
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1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
666 825 955 1,065 1,160 1,244 1,319
1,259 1,495 1,720 1,936 2,146 2,349 2,547
1,246 1,714 2,358 3,244 4,462 6,139 8,446
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
1,467 1,614
LogarithmicTrendline
Power Trendline
ExponentialTrendline
PolynomialTrendline
ActualRevenues
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f error or
improve
(Wksht 16)
2010 2000 2001
28,500 30,000 30,500
1,467 1,614 TBD
1843% 1759% #VALUE!
(9,650) (11,000) (23,069)
(1,114) (1,254) TBD
766% 777% #VALUE!
11,000 10,500 1,667
116 99 TBD
9342% 10546% #VALUE!
9,000 9,300 (1,493)
75 56 TBD
11855% 16606% #VALUE!
7,500 7,900 159
346 347 TBD
2070% 2174% #VALUE!
27,500 29,500 5,952
334 392 TBD8126% 7423% #VALUE!
9,050 9,400 10,715
343 273 TBD
2536% 3338% #VALUE!
4,900 5,100 1,339
70 119 TBD
6897% 4190% #VALUE!
0.83 0.80 0.011.01 1.27 TBD
-18% -37% #VALUE!
0.80 0.79 4.99
2.16 2.18 TBD
-63% -64% #VALUE!
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60% 60% 0.24
24% 22% TBD
150% 170% #VALUE!
30% 28% -5%
5% 3% TBD
485% 712% #VALUE!
0.65 0.55 2.92
1.55 1.13 TBD
-58% -51% #VALUE!
35% 30% -36%
38% 28% TBD
-7% 8% #VALUE!
ght on the
) / n.
hasis on
the
able to the Mean
then use this
rs. Is Error
Error Outside
Error Absolute Squared Limit?(10,014) 10,014 100,281,472 No
(13,833) 13,833 191,364,402 No
(21,706) 21,706 471,152,521 No
(27,033) 27,033 730,778,687 No
(28,386) 28,386 805,760,000 No
(100,972) 100,972 ### Yes
te Error 20,194
Error ###
qr Error 45,156
r Limits 45,156
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Final Budgets for
Swan Sweets Pvt. Ltd.
Now that we have analyzed our historical data and placed
forecast, we can pull it all together with our assumptions f
Many of these assumptions should be included in our fore
accuracy. However, we need to fine tune and finalize all a
active so that we can produce a final finished budget for plannin
Budget
Period
Ref 2001
Operating Plan
16-1 Total Revenues 30,500
16-2 Cost of Goods Sold (23,069)
16-3 Operating Expenses (5,764)
16-4 Operating Income 1,667
16-5 Interest Expenses (310)
16-6 Income Taxes (3,300)
16-7 Other Non Operating Expenses (200)
16-8 Earnings Before Extra Ord Items (2,143)
16-9 Extra Ordinary Items 650
16-10 Net Income (1,493)
Financial Plan
Budgeted Cash Flows
16-11 Net Income (1,493)
16-12 Depreciation and Amortization 470
16-13 (Increase) Decrease Defer Taxes 0
16-14 (Gain) Loss on Sale of Assets 15
16-15 (Increase) Decrease Current Assets (7,888)
16-16 (Increase) Decrease Current Liab 10,402
16-17 Operating Cash Flow 1,505
Investment Sources of Cash:
16-18 Planned Sale of Assets 100
16-19 Planned Sale of Investments 2,200
16-20 Other Investment Sources to be used 0
16-21 Total Investment Sources of Cash 2,300
Planned Investments:
16-22 Capital Expenditures (4,500)
Home Wksh2
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16-23 Acquisitions in Other Co's (350)
16-24 Purchases of Investments (2,500)
16-25 Total Investment Applications of Cash (7,350)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
16-26 Proceeds from Loans & Debt 1,450
16-27 Proceeds from Minority Interest 1516-28 Other Financing Activities 0
16-29 Total Financing Sources of Cash 1,465
Cash Flow Applied for Financing:
16-30 Payments on Loans and Debt (1,250)
16-31 Dividends Paid to Shareholders (2,500)
16-32 Purchase / Retire Stock (1,500)
16-33 Other Financing Activities 0
16-34 Total Financing Applications of Cash (5,250)
16-35 Total Change to Cash (7,330)
16-36 Beginning Cash Balance 6
16-37 Forecasted Ending Balance (7,323)
Budgeted Balance Sheet
16-38 Cash and Cash Equivalents (7,323)
16-39 Short Term Marketable Securities 10
16-40 Accounts Receivable 3,050
16-41 Inventory 2,440
16-42 Other Current Assets 1,983
16-43 Total Current Assets 159
16-44 Fixed Assets 5,038
16-45 Accumulated Depreciation (619)
16-46 Net Fixed Assets 4,419
16-47 Longterm Investments 303
16-48 Investments in Other Companies 1,000
16-49 Intangibles and Other Assets 230
16-50 Total Non Current Assets 5,952
16-51 Total Assets 6,111
16-52 Accounts Payable 5,185
16-53 Short Term Borrowings 3,66016-54 Short Term Portion of LT Debt 40
16-55 Other Current Liabilities 1,830
16-56 Total Current Liabilities 10,715
16-57 Longterm Debt / Borrowings 239
16-58 Other Longterm Liabilities 1,100
16-59 Total Non Current Liabilities 1,339
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16-60 Total Liabilities 12,054
16-61 Preferred Stock 0
16-62 Common Equity 2,200
16-63 Additional Paid in Capital 5,700
16-64 Retained Earnings (3,771)16-65 Adj for Foreign Currency Translation (5,000)
16-66 Treasury Stock (1,500)
16-67 Total Equity (2,371)
16-68 Total Liabilities and Equity 9,683
16-69 External Financing Required (3,571)
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it into a set of
or a final budget.
cast for improved
ssumptions
g purposes.
Assumptions & Comments
Based on review of Pro Forma Financials, Marketing, etc.
Volume projections, production budgets, and vertical analysis
Average % of Sales per Vertical Analysis
Based on anticipated levels of debt and past history
Based on anticipated taxable income and effective rate
Provision for contingency was added on this line item
Per our Simple Model Forecast
Review of Simple Model Forecast and Capital Expenditure Budget
Per Simple Forecast Model
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Per Simple Model Forecast
Per Simple Model Forecast
Budgeted $ 4.5 million in Capital Expenditure Budget
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Per forecast, strategic plan, and other budgets
Per forecast, strategic plan, and other budgets
Per Financing Requirements and other budgets
Per historical financials and investment budget
Per forecast and other budgets
Per Simple Model Forecast
Per strategic plan and other budgets
Per above
Per historical financials
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Per review of forecast and strategic plans
Per review of forecast and historical balances
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast modelsPer review of forecast and historical information
Same formula as used in forecast models
Same formula as used in forecast models
Per review of historical information and expected growth rates.
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Per Simple Model Forecast
Per Simple Model Forecast
Same formula as used in forecast modelsPer Simple Model Forecast
Same formula as used in forecast models
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Calcuation of principal balance outstanding and yearly interest:
FOR THE NEW TERM LOAN
2010-2011
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
July 5,475,000.00 119,040.00 50,187.50 68,852.50 5,406,147.
Aug. 5,406,147.50 119,040.00 49,556.35 69,483.65 5,336,663.
Sep. 5,336,663.85 119,040.00 48,919.42 70,120.58 5,266,543.Oct. 5,266,543.27 119,040.00 48,276.65 70,763.35 5,195,779.
Nov. 5,195,779.92 119,040.00 47,627.98 71,412.02
Dec 5,124,367.90 119,040.00 46,973.37 72,066.63 5,052,301.
Jan. 5,052,301.27 119,040.00 46,312.76 72,727.24 4,979,574.
Feb 4,979,574.03 119,040.00 45,646.10 73,393.90 4,906,180.
March 4,906,180.13 119,040.00 44,973.32 74,066.68 4,832,113.
1,071,360.00 428,473.45 642,886.55
2011-2012
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
April 4,832,113.45 119,040.00 44,294.37 74,745.63 4,757,367.May 4,757,367.82 119,040.00 43,609.21 75,430.79 4,681,937.
June 4,681,937.03 119,040.00 42,917.76 76,122.24 4,605,814.
July 4,605,814.78 119,040.00 42,219.97 76,820.03 4,528,994.
Aug. 4,528,994.75 119,040.00 41,515.79 77,524.21 4,451,470.
Sep. 4,451,470.54 119,040.00 40,805.15 78,234.85 4,373,235.
Oct. 4,373,235.68 119,040.00 40,087.99 78,952.01 4,294,283.
Nov. 4,294,283.68 119,040.00 39,364.27 79,675.73
Dec 4,214,607.94 119,040.00 38,633.91 80,406.09 4,134,201.
Jan. 4,134,201.85 119,040.00 37,896.85 81,143.15 4,053,058.
Feb 4,053,058.70 119,040.00 37,153.04 81,886.96 3,971,171.
March 3,971,171.74 119,040.00 36,402.41 82,637.59 3,888,534.
1,428,480.00 484,900.70 943,579.30
2012-2013
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
April 3,888,534.15 119,040.00 35,644.90 83,395.10 3,805,139.
May 3,805,139.04 119,040.00 34,880.44 84,159.56 3,720,979.
June 3,720,979.48 119,040.00 34,108.98 84,931.02 3,636,048.
July 3,636,048.46 119,040.00 33,330.44 85,709.56 3,550,338.
Aug. 3,550,338.91 119,040.00 32,544.77 86,495.23 3,463,843.Sep. 3,463,843.68 119,040.00 31,751.90 87,288.10 3,376,555.
Oct. 3,376,555.58 119,040.00 30,951.76 88,088.24 3,288,467.
Nov. 3,288,467.34 119,040.00 30,144.28 88,895.72
Dec 3,199,571.62 119,040.00 29,329.41 89,710.59 3,109,861.
Jan. 3,109,861.03 119,040.00 28,507.06 90,532.94 3,019,328.
Feb 3,019,328.09 119,040.00 27,677.17 91,362.83 2,927,965.
March 2,927,965.26 119,040.00 26,839.68 92,200.32 2,835,764.
1,428,480.00 375,710.80 1,052,769.20
2013-2014
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
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1,428,480.00 253,885.57 1,174,594.43
2014-2015
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
April 1,661,170.52 119,040.00 15,227.40 103,812.60 1,557,357.
May 1,557,357.91 119,040.00 14,275.78 104,764.22 1,452,593.
June 1,452,593.69 119,040.00 13,315.44 105,724.56 1,346,869.
July 1,346,869.14 119,040.00 12,346.30 106,693.70 1,240,175.
Aug. 1,240,175.44 119,040.00 11,368.27 107,671.73 1,132,503.
Sep. 1,132,503.71 119,040.00 10,381.28 108,658.72 1,023,845.
Oct. 1,023,845.00 119,040.00 9,385.25 109,654.75 914,190.
Nov. 914,190.24 119,040.00 8,380.08 110,659.92
Dec 803,530.32 119,040.00 7,365.69 111,674.31 691,856.
Jan. 691,856.01 119,040.00 6,342.01 112,697.99 579,158.
Feb 579,158.03 119,040.00 5,308.95 113,731.05 465,426.
Mar 465,426.97 119,040.00 4,266.41 114,773.59 350,653.
1,428,480.00 117,962.87 1,310,517.13
2015-2016
Opening EMI Interest Principal Closing Bal.
April 350,653.39 119,040.00 3,188.33 115,851.67 234,801.
May 234,801.72 119,040.00 2,126.36 116,913.64 117,888.
June 117,888.08 119,040.00 1,054.65 117,985.35 (97.
357,120.00 6,369.34 350,750.66
7,142,400.00 1,667,302.73
FOR THE EXISTING TERM LOAN
2010-2011
Opening EMI Interest Closing Bal.
April 1,034,125.00 43,088.54 9,479.48 991,036.
May 991,036.46 43,088.54 9,084.50 947,947.
June 947,947.92 43,088.54 8,689.52 904,859.
July 904,859.38 43,088.54 8,294.54 861,770.
Aug. 861,770.84 43,088.54 7,899.57 818,682.Sep. 818,682.30 43,088.54 7,504.59 775,593.
Oct. 775,593.76 43,088.54 7,109.61 732,505.
Nov. 732,505.22 43,088.54 6,714.63
Dec 689,416.68 43,088.54 6,319.65 646,328.
Jan. 646,328.14 43,088.54 5,924.67 603,239.
Feb 603,239.60 43,088.54 5,529.70 560,151.
March 560,151.06 43,088.54 5,134.72 517,062.
517,062.48 78,205.70
2011-2012
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March 43,088.58 43,088.54 428.93 0.
517,062.48 26,102.52
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LTD
SCHEDULE FOR FIXED ASSETS
Sr. escription of Asset Balance Addition during Total balance Depreciation Balance Depreciation Balance(W
No. as on the year for 10-11 as on as on
31/03/2010 31/3/2011 31/3/201
1 Plant & Machinery ### 7,816,219.00 ### 1,634,053.20 ### 1,556,435.67 #
2 Furniture & Fixture 942,167.00 - 942,167.00 59,639.17 882,527.83 55,864.01 826,663
3 Weighing Scale 109,836.00 - 109,836.00 5,217.21 104,618.79 4,969.39 2,599,649
4 Air Conditioner 3,168,139.00 - 3,168,139.00 150,486.60 3,017,652.40 143,338.49 2,874,3135 Zerox Machine 60,234.00 - 60,234.00 2,861.12 57,372.89 2,725.21 54,647
6 Electric Fittings 642,426.00 - 642,426.00 30,515.24 611,910.77 29,065.76 582,845
7 Vehicles 745,023.00 - 745,023.00 70,777.19 674,245.82 64,053.35 610,192
8 Computer 419,763.00 - 419,763.00 68,043.58 351,719.42 57,013.72 294,705
9 Fax Machine 5,610.00 - 5,610.00 266.48 5,343.53 253.82 5,089
10 Camara 43,316.00 - 43,316.00 2,057.51 41,258.49 1,959.78 39,298
11 Cylinder 97,081.00 - 97,081.00 4,611.35 92,469.65 4,392.31 88,077
12 Generator 46,720.00 - 46,720.00 2,219.20 44,500.80 2,113.79 42,387
13 Lab Equipment 107,283.00 - 107,283.00 5,095.94 102,187.06 4,853.89 97,333
14 Plastic Bag Ceiling 7,783.00 - 7,783.00 369.69 7,413.31 352.13 7,061
### 2,036,213.47 ### 1,927,391.32 #
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LTD
ASSESMENT OF WORKING CAPITAL REQUIR
FORM I
Perticulars of the existing/proposed limits from th
(Limits from all Banks and Financial Institution as on
Sr. Name of Bank Nature of Existing
No. Financial Institution fecility limits were utilised during
the last 12 monts
Max.
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]
A. WORKING CAPITAL LIMITS
1 The Nava Nagar Co-operative Bank
Against stock and Book Debt CC 10,000,000.00
B. Term Loan
Loan for Machinery TL 1,034,000.00
Car loan TL 198,000.00
Total -
Sr. Name of Bank Sanctioned Outstanding as on
No. Financial Institution Limits
C TERM LONS/DPGs
(excldg. working capital term lons)
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ENTS
(Amount-Rs. in Lacs)
e Banking System
date of application)
Balance Limits now
outstanding as on required
Min. (28-02-2010)
[6] [7] [8]
-
1,491,457.00 5,500,000.00
5,500,000.00
Overdues if any Remarks
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COMPARA
Year Year
NORMS 2008 2009
A. CURRENT ASSETS
1 Raw materials (including stores) 82.27 358.17
a) Imported Days 21 53
(months' consumption)
b) Indigenous
(months' consumption)
2 Other consumable spares, excluding
those included in (1) above
a) Imported
(months' consumption)
b) Indigenous
(months' consumption)
3 Stock-in-process 436.14 487.31
(Months' cost of sales) Days 89.04 53.81
4 Finished goods 18.51 12.49(Months' cost of sales) Days 3.69 1.38
5 Receivables other than export &
deffered receivables (including BP/BD) 372.38 458.14
(Months' domestic sales excluding
deffered payment sales) In Days 73 83
6 Export receivables (including bills
Purchased & Discounted) 260.40 957.68
(Months' export sales) In Days 201 1507 Advances to suppliers of raw materials - -
& stores/spares consumable
8 Other current assets including cash &
bank balances & deffered receivables 108.99 530.35
due within one year
9 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 1,278.69 2,804.14
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(To agree with item 34 in Form III)
B. CURRENT LIABILITIES
(Other than bank borrowings for working
capital)
10 Creditors for purchase of raw materials, 401.95 728.56
stores & consumable spares
(Months' purchases) In Days 99 98
11 Advances from costomers
12 Statutory liabilities 35.97 96.47
13 Instalments due with in one year - -
14 Other current liabilities 25.09 14.94
(specify major items) - -
15 TOTAL 463.01 839.97
(to agree with sub.total B of Form No.III)
815.68
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LTD
FORM - IV
TIVE STATEMENT OF CURRENT ASSETS & CURRENT LIABILITIES
As per balance sheet as at 31st March
Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
370.13 1,303.72 1,372.36 1,819.27 1,837.46 2,356.19 2,403.31
60 60 60 75 75 90 90
332.82 473.79 1,598.18 1,802.28 1,904.44 1,922.12 2,017.91
53.81 53.81 53.81 53.81 53.81 53.81 53.81
13.67 16.46 26.94 39.15 52.10 65.33 79.452.21 1.87 0.91 1.17 1.47 1.83 2.12
1,129.96 562.10 1,762.40 2,095.24 2,560.89 2,517.08 3,001.69
150 60 60 60 60 75 75
163.16 415.89 1,381.50 1,481.12 1,728.37 2,317.09 2,630.18
180 120 120 120 120 120 120- - - - - - -
359.50 294.19 298.66 251.17 342.47 470.58 521.22
2,369.24 3,066.15 6,440.05 7,488.23 8,425.72 9,648.39 10,653.77
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152.55 555.28 1,456.99 1,224.21 813.88 747.25 527.46
30 45 45 30 15 15 15
19.84 76.44 82.50 88.47 70.25 72.21 55.62
211.45 196.06 1,025.91 1,025.91 994.91 957.30 825.65
8.00 25.00 12.00 15.00 12.00 15.00 15.00
- - - - - - -
391.84 852.79 2,577.40 2,353.59 1,891.04 1,791.76 1,423.73
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Year Year Year Year
2017 2018 2019 2020
2,451.38 2,647.49 2,250.37 2,305.00
90 90 75 75
2,048.62 2,083.08 2,214.95 2,259.12
53.81 53.81 53.81 53.81
94.19 109.86 126.01 143.142.48 2.84 3.06 3.41
3,408.05 3,153.07 3,183.92 2,860.36
75 75 75 75 -
2,642.02 2,836.23 2,985.36 3,241.84
120 120 120 120- - - -
605.16 589.31 541.92 442.15
11,249.43 11,419.05 11,302.52 11,251.62
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647.75 692.20 505.18 526.29
15 15 15 15
51.91 57.02 52.58 74.72
791.96 791.96 - -
10.00 16.00 15.00 35.00
- - - -
1,501.62 1,557.18 572.76 636.02
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S
F
A
Year Year Year
2007 2008 2009
1 SOURCES
a) Profit before tax 282.18 60.97 570.48
b) Depreciation 205.75 199.96 200.92
c) Gross Funds Generated 487.93 260.93 771.40
d) Less: Taxes paid/payable 103.59 18.84 176.28
e) Less: Dividend paid/payable
f) Less: Payment of Preference dividned
g) Decrease in Other non-current assets - - -
A Sub-Total- Net Funds Generated 384.34 242.09 595.12
LONG TERM SOURCES:
a) Increase in capital 109.56 124.20 1,885.00
aa) Increase in Reserve 52.85 43.55 -
b) Increase in term loans/debentures 668.85 - 5,045.28
c) Increase in payment liabilities - - -
d) Increase in public deposits - - -
e) Decrease in fixed assets/ Work in Progress - - -
B Sub Total 831.26 167.75 6,930.28
SHORT TERM SOURCES
a) Increase in Short Tern Bank Borrowings 688.52 17.19 -
b) Increase in Other Current Liabilities - 204.51 1.61
c) Decrease in current assets including cash & bank - - 54.03
C Sub Total 688.52 221.70 55.63
TOTAL FUNDS AVAILABLE (A+B+C) 1,904.12 631.55 7,581.03
2 USES:
LONG TERM USES:
a) Increase in fixed assets 734.24 157.60 7,344.43 b) Increase in WIP 140.93 - -
c) Repurchase of Capital - - -
d) Decrease in Reserves - - -
e) Decrease in Term Loans - 237.48 -
D Sub Total 875.17 395.08 7,344.43
SHORT TERM USES:
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a) Decrease in other current liabilities - - -
b) Increase in inventory 321.04 - 1,077.34
c) Increase in receivables 783.05 - -
d) Increase in other current assets including cash & bank 421.36 19.58 (11.28)
E Sub Total 1,525.45 19.58 1,066.06
TOTAL FUNDS USED (D+E+F) 2,400.62 414.66 8,410.49
SUMMARY
LONG TERM SOURCES 1,215.60 409.84 7,525.40
LESS: LONG TERM USES 875.17 395.08 7,344.43
SURPLUS(+)/SHORT FALL(-) 340.43 14.77 180.97
SHORT TERMS SOURCES 688.52 221.70 55.63
LESS: SHORT TERM USES 1,525.45 19.58 1,066.06
SURPLUS(+)/SHORT FALL (-) (836.93) 202.12 (1,010.43)
(496.50) 216.89 (829.46)
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WAN SWEETS PRIVATE LTD
RM VI: FUNDS FLOW STATEMENT
s per balance sheet as at 31st March
Year Year Year Year Year Year
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1,796.86 2,166.61 2,281.56 2,279.27 2,305.65 2,226.87
1,131.17 977.63 845.26 731.14 632.72 547.84
2,928.03 3,144.24 3,126.82 3,010.41 2,938.38 2,774.71
545.56 659.48 700.00 704.30 712.45 688.10
26.87 26.87 26.87 26.87 26.87
- - - - - -
2,382.47 2,457.89 2,399.95 2,279.24 2,199.06 2,059.74
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
816.84 3.00 (3.00) 3.00 (219.79) (5.00)
- 41.31 (712.89) - - -
816.84 44.31 (715.89) 3.00 (219.79) (5.00)
3,199.31 2,502.19 1,684.06 2,282.24 1,979.27 2,054.74
- - - - - -- - - - - -
- - - - - 375.00
- - - - - 375.00
723.51 1,025.91 202.94 165.34 33.69 -
723.51 1,025.91 202.94 165.34 33.69 750.00
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- - 410.32 66.64 - (120.30)
1,203.52 663.20 133.31 549.64 157.03 93.52
2,165.91 432.46 544.92 797.70 418.21
4.47 (6.18) 91.30 128.10 50.65 83.93
3,373.90 1,089.49 634.93 1,289.30 1,005.38 475.36
4,097.41 2,115.39 837.87 1,454.64 1,039.07 1,225.36
2,382.47 2,457.89 2,399.95 2,279.24 2,199.06 2,059.74
723.51 1,025.91 202.94 165.34 33.69 750.00
1,658.96 1,431.98 2,197.01 2,113.90 2,165.37 1,309.74
816.84 44.31 (715.89) 3.00 (219.79) (5.00)
3,373.90 1,089.49 634.93 1,289.30 1,005.38 475.36
(2,557.06) (1,045.18) (1,350.82) (1,286.30) (1,225.17) (480.36)
(898.10) 386.80 846.19 827.60 940.20 829.37
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- - 800.00- - -
375.00 375.00 375.00
375.00 375.00 375.00
- - -
750.00 750.00 1,550.00
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(50.45) 188.02 -
246.24 (249.11) 115.94
- 179.98 (67.08)
(47.40)
195.80 71.49 48.86
945.80 821.49 1,598.86
- - -
750.00 750.00 1,550.00
(750.00) (750.00) (1,550.00)
- - -
195.80 71.49 48.86
(195.80) (71.49) (48.86)
(945.80) (821.49) (1,598.86)
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COMPUTATION OF M
Year Year Year
2,008 2,009 2,010
1 Total Current Assets (Item 9 of form IV) 1,278.69 2,804.14 2,369.24
2 Other Current Liabilities other than bank borrowing 463.01 839.97 391.84
(Item 14 of form IV)
3 Working Capital Gap (WCG) (Item 1minus item 2) 815.68 1,964.18 1,977.40
4 Min.Stipulated net working capital (i.e.25%of WCG/
25%of TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS as the case may 319.67 701.04 592.31
be depending upon the method of leanding bening
applied) (Export receivables to be excluded under
both methods)
5 Actual / projected N W C (item 46 of Form III) 221.39 681.37 677.40
6 Item (3) minus item (4) 496.01 1,263.14 1,385.09
7 Item (3) minus item (5) 594.29 1,282.81 1,300.00
8 Meximum permissible bank finance
(Item (6) or (7) whichever is lower) 496.01 1,263.14 1,300.00
9 Excess borrowings representing short fall in NWC
(Item 4 minus 5) 98.29 19.67 (85.09)
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SWAN SWEETS PRIVATE LTD
FORM-V
XIMUM PERMISSIBLE BANK FINANCE FOR WORKING CAPITAL
As per balance sheet as at 31st March
Year Year Year Year Year Year
2,011 2,012 2,013 2,014 2,015 2,016
3,066.15 6,440.05 7,488.23 8,425.72 9,648.39 10,653.77
852.79 2,577.40 2,353.59 1,891.04 1,791.76 1,423.73
2,213.36 3,862.65 5,134.64 6,534.68 7,856.63 9,230.03
766.54 1,610.01 1,872.06 2,106.43 2,412.10 2,663.44
913.36 2,562.66 3,834.64 5,234.68 6,556.62 7,930.03
1,446.82 2,252.64 3,262.59 4,428.25 5,444.53 6,566.59
1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00
1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00
(146.83) (952.64) (1,962.58) (3,128.25) (4,144.53) (5,266.59)
8/8/2019 Projects Estimates
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/projects-estimates 96/99
( in Lacs)
Year Year Year Year
2,017 2,018 2,019 2,020
11,249.43 11,419.05 11,302.52 11,251.62
1,501.62 1,557.18 572.76 636.02
9,747.81 9,861.87 10,729.76 10,615.60
2,812.36 2,854.76 2,825.63 2,812.90
8,447.80 8,561.87 9,429.76 9,315.60
6,935.45 7,007.11 7,904.13 7,802.69
1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00
1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00 1,300.00
(5,635.44) (5,707.11) (6,604.13) (6,502.70)
8/8/2019 Projects Estimates
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/projects-estimates 97/99
Microsoft Excel 9.0 Answer Report
Worksheet: [Detail_Analysis.xls]13 - Pro Forma (Exp)
Report Created: 3/16/2002 3:42:28 PM
Target Cell (Min)
Cell Name Original Value Final Value
$G$60 Mean Squared Error Square 20,525,549 12,297,836
Adjustable Cells
Cell Name Original Value Final Value
$D$24 Set Smoothing Factor 0.70 1.00
Constraints
Cell Name Cell Value Formula Status Slack
$D$23 Smoothing Factor must be between 0 and 1 0 $D$23>=$D$23 Binding 0
$D$24 Set Smoothing Factor 1.00 $D$24<=$E$23 Binding 0
8/8/2019 Projects Estimates
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/projects-estimates 98/99
Microsoft Excel 9.0 Answer Report
Worksheet: [Detail_Analysis.xls]13 - Pro Forma (Exp)
Report Created: 3/16/2002 5:19:05 PM
Target Cell (Min)
Cell Name Original Value
$G$46 Mean Squared Error Square 65,536,151
Adjustable Cells
Cell Name Original Value
$D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00%
$E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 2.00%
$F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 5.00%
$G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 35.00%
$H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 60.00%
Constraints
Cell Name Cell Value
$I$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 100.00%
$D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00%
$E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 1.50%
$F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 4.50%
$G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 34.50%
$H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 59.50%
$D$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 0.00%
$E$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 1.50%
$F$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods Total weights should add up to => 4.50%
$G$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 34.50%
$H$25 Assign weights to appropriate periods 59.50%
8/8/2019 Projects Estimates
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/projects-estimates 99/99
Final Value
59,853,342
Final Value
0.00%
1.50%
4.50%
34.50%
59.50%
Formula Status Slack
$I$25=$E$23 Binding 0
$D$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 1
$E$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.99
$F$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.96
$G$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.66
$H$25<=$E$23 Not Binding 0.41
$D$25>=$D$23 Binding 0.00%
$E$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 1.50%
$F$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 4.50%
$G$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 34.50%
$H$25>=$D$23 Not Binding 59.50%