proprietary information – see title page for use and disclosure © copyright 2014 aireon llc. all...

Proprietary Information – See Title Page for Use and Disclosure © COPYRIGHT 2014 AIREON LLC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

BOB ASIO DELHI 1 September 2015

Space Based ADS-B Introducing 100% surveillance

across the Mumbai FIR“Benefits Analysis”

Proprietary Information – See Title Page for Use and Disclosure

Agenda

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• Background and context - increasing air traffic

• ICAO response

• AIREON System

• Concept of operation and performance update

• Stakeholder benefits and pricing

• Safety – ANSP accountability for collision risk modeling

• Data Service Agreement and implementation process

• Mumbai FIR – airspace management today

• Mumbai FIR – benefit of surveillance

• Summary and next steps


Transforming The Way You See The Sky

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Transponder 1090es (mhz)All Versions

Secure IP

GBAS

GeoSBAS

GPS

ABAS


Global Traffic Flows

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Global Traffic Trends

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More Aircraft

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+ 200 %

+ 170 %

+ 150 %

+ 90 %

• Basic computation using Boeing forecast for global fleet size.• Base line 2012 data. • ICAO historic data – traffic double s every 15 years


Global ICAO Planning

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Proprietary Information – See Title Page for Use and Disclosure8


Surveillance a primary enabler to improved operational efficiency and as mitigation for ANSP airspace risk

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But - over 70% of the world is WITHOUT surveillance

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Aireon SystemInvestors, Innovators and Customers

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DGCA 50 Bangkok – AAI summary

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Investors, Customers and Innovators


Transforming The Way You See The Sky

04/19/23

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Iridium NEXT Satellite Configuration

04/19/23

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2 Solar Array Wings

Aireon Hosted Payload

Main Mission Antenna L-band

Deployed “Wingspan” 9.4m


Significant Progress in Production

17 04/19/23


System Performance

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Space Transport: 200ms

Satellite Processing: 68ms

Downlink: 11ms

Ground Service: 150msAPD: 205ms Telco: 600ms

Designed Latency from Receiver to ATM Automation

Platform ≤ 1.5 seconds


It’s Just ADS-B!

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* ASIM Simulation & Component Testing

04/19/23


ATM PerformanceSpace Based ADS-B CONOPS

21 04/19/23


Space-Based ADS-B Integration Into ATM Systems

• Sole Source Surveillance

• Provide a signal, suitable for surveillance, to an ATM system where it currently does not exist to enhance safety, efficiency and operational performance

• Augmented surveillance

• Augment existing ADS-B or radar surveillance to fill gaps, improve performance, lower infrastructure costs, improve safety, share surveillance data and provide seamless contingency

• Contingency surveillance

• Bypass the ATM automation and directly to display for continuity of service in the event of automation failure, communications failure, power failures – for example.

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Operational Use Scenarios

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Scenarios Capability Communication Navigation Surveillance Separation

Procedural Airspace

Base Case SATCOM or HF only RNP-10 ProceduralLong 10 min (80 nm)

Lat: 60nm

With Aireon SATCOM or HF only RNP-10 SB-ADSB SurveillanceBetter than

Long 10 min (80 nm)Lat: 60nm

Example Airspace Polar Region / Some remote areas in Africa / ASPAC

ADS-CAirspace

Base Case CPDLC with HF backup RNP-4 ADS-C 30 nm

With Aireon CPDLC with HF backup RNP-4 SB-ADSB Surveillance <15 nm

Example Airspace North Atlantic / Pacific oceanic or Some remote areas in Africa / ASPAC

Procedural Airspace with VHF

Base Case DCPC Voice RNP-10 Procedural 10 min (80 nm)

With Aireon DCPC VoiceRNAV 5 (Europe)

RNAV 2 (U.S.)SB-ADSB Surveillance 5 nm

Example AirspaceVHF without surveillance. Common around small island States (Asia, Caribbean, Latin America) and

large remote landmass (ASECNA)

Currently Surveilled Airspace

Base Case DCPC VoiceRNAV 5 (Europe)

RNAV 2 (U.S.)Radar, WAM, or Ground

Based ADS-B5 nm

With Aireon DCPC VoiceRNAV 5 (Europe)

RNAV 2 (U.S.)SB-ADSB Surveillance 5 nm

Example Airspace Terrestrial Europe, North America, Brazil, Australia etc.

04/19/23


Single Source Oceanic / Remote

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Aireon ADS-B SignalCAT 21

Single Link

Automation Platform

Controller Display

ADS-CPosition Report

Voice


Increasing cross boundary safety

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Allowing for infrastructure rationalization

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Single Link

Ground ADS-B SignalCAT 21

Multiple Links

RadarMultiple Links

Tracker / Fusing / Automation Platform

Controller Display


Rationalization multiple layers of existing surveillance

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12 5


Rationalization multiple layers of existing surveillance

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6 3


Allowing for infrastructure rationalization

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Single LinkMLAT


Controller Display



31 04/19/23


A Controller’s Perspective: Contingency

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Independent Contingency Surveillance

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Single Link

Ground ADS-B SignalCAT 21

Multiple Links

RadarMultiple Links


Controller Display


Broad support among major ANSPs

• Launch Customers:

• Nav Canada, ENAV, NAVIAIR, Irish Aviation Authority

• UK-NATS

• MOA in place with:

• FAA, Nav Portugal

• Singapore, India

• ASECNA, South Africa

• Blue Med Fab

• New Zealand, Curacao

• Australia, Iceland

• Advance Data Service discussion

• A number of ANSP

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Significant support among major ANSPs

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DSAMOA to DSAMOA Development(Pre)-engaged

04/19/23


Stakeholder benefits and pricing

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An Innovative Business Model

•By ANSP’s for ANSPs

•Hosted payload reduces costs

•No ground based infrastructure for the ANSP

•No significant project / lead time to establish full airspace coverage

• It’s just ADS-B, use existing systems

• Global coverage in 2018

•No service costs to the ANSP until operational use

•No major upfront investment requirements for ANSP’s

• Pay per ADS-B equipped use

•Airline benefits from surveillance will significantly outweigh costs

04/19/23

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Phased data services agreement for early customers

04/19/23

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Phase 1

MOA

Free of costs

Phase 2System Delivery

& Test

Costs for SDP Time & Material

Phase 3Integrated Service

Acceptance

Customer Requested Time &

Material Only

Phase 4Operational

Paid Service Fee

Value & Requirements

Install Service Delivery Point

Test & Validation

Operational Use

Support & Engineering Services (At the request of customer, T&M)Support & Engineering Services (At the request of customer, T&M)

Service Delivery Point (T&M)

Service Delivery Point (T&M)

Services Acceptance (T&M)

Services Acceptance (T&M) Operational Data ServicesOperational Data Services

DD DD DD


The Key Aireon Benefits

04/19/2339

AirlinesANSP Society


- Airline

- Society

Impacts and Benefits - ANSP

Beneficiary

Impacts


Separation standardsSAFETY - Collision Risk Model

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• To use Space Based ADS-B for 5 NM tactical separation:• Aireon designed the system to meet RTCA and EUROCAE standards for surveillance

• The ANSP and Regulator will need to do a comparative analysis to ensure a safety case is approved

• To use Space Based ADS-B for Reduced Oceanic Separation• The oceanic system will meet RTCA and EUROCAE standards for surveillance

• Due to constraints with oceanic COM performance a new collision risk model has been developed for the NAT supporting 15 NM or 10 NM separation using existing COM (HF/CPDLC)

• NAT Regulators and ANSP’s have developed a process for the safe case analysis

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Two Separate Approaches to Regulatory Approval


•Reducing the time it detects an aircraft (PRI) increases the available time for conflict resolution within the same target level of safety

The Principle of Reducing Oceanic Separation

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Surveillance Communications

Position Reporting Interval (PRI) Conflict Resolution Delay (CRD)

(PRI) Conflict Resolution Delay (CRD)

Available At Risk Period


•Work is currently under way by the ICAO Separation and Airspace Safety Panel (SASP)

•Collision Risk Modelling will be globally applicable (i.e. include intersecting routes)

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Ongoing work to obtain regulatory approvals


MUMBAI FIR - ASIO

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CAPA report

• India is the ninth largest aviation market in the world by annual seat capacity and CAPA projects it will be the third largest aviation market in the world by 2025. Today, approximately 80 Indian airports handle scheduled services, operated by nine domestic airlines, with a combined fleet of some 400 aircraft.

• Advances in ATM procedures and technology are enabling greater growth. Much of this is down to the AAI, which has a dual role, as both the air navigation services provider and as the operator of 125 airports across India

• Over the last decade scheduled aircraft movements have more than doubled from 718,000 to more than 1.6 million in FY2015, supplemented by a further 281,000 general aviation movements. In addition to arriving and departing movements, Indian airspace handles approximately 400,000 annual over-flight movements.

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Route structure

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Great effort has been made to drive improvements

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Example - Southern Arabian Sea – Indian Ocean UPR ZONE

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MUMBAI FIR ANALYSIS

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- Airline

- Society

Impacts and Benefits - ANSP

Beneficiary

Impacts


General Methodology

• RAMS+ Model used to simulate operations in Mumbai FIR (VABF) Oceanic Airspace

• VABF Oceanic and Domestic Airspace were split using a line approximately 200NM from shore

• Airway and Navaid Data collected from Airports Authority of India (AAI) webpage

• City pair routes that pass through VABF’s oceanic airspace identified• Schedule data for selected city pairs collected for May 2015-April 2016

• One month of data selected as preliminary input to the model

• February 2016

• Fuel Burn Modeling• BADA 3.8 Performance Tables

• Traffic Growth Modeling• 2020 and 2025 based on 5% per year expected growth rate

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90

VABF Oceanic

VABF Domestic


Key Assumptions

• Routes flown • First notion was to use Origin->Destination Great Circle Paths

• Airway across VABF Ocean airspace assigned to minimize total distance flown

• Simulated Route: Origin->Airway Start->Airway->Airway End->Destination

• Altitude assigned• Westbound flights randomly assigned FL300 and FL390

• Eastbound flights randomly assigned FL340 and FL380

• Controller Separation (See Test Scenarios Next Slide)• Current potential least restrictive separation: 30/30 for RNP4 aircraft

• With Space-based ADS-B: Reduced separation to 15 nmi and assumed all flights properly equipped

• Metering applied to aircraft joining airways

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Test Scenarios

• Base Case• 30NM longitudinal and lateral separation

• RVSM 1,000 feet vertical separation

• Time-based metering applied to all aircraft joining airway• 225 seconds or ~30NM• Metering applied regardless of aircraft altitude

• Test Case 1 (Space-based ADS-B reduced separation)• 15NM longitudinal and lateral separation


• Time-based metering applied to all aircraft joining airway• 112.5 seconds or ~15NM• Metering applied regardless of aircraft altitude

• Test Case 2 (Space-based ADS-B reduced separation and new routes)• New routes created between existing Northwest-Southeast routes

• 15NM longitudinal and lateral separation


• Time-based metering applied to all aircraft joining airway• 112.5 seconds or ~15NM• Metering applied regardless of aircraft altitude

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Route Structure

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VABF Ocean Original Routes

VABF Ocean Original and New

Routes

Route Width ~ 55 nmi

Route Width ~ 27.5 nmi


Simulation Screenshot

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Preliminary Results (2015 Annual Totals)

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*Using 2015 FAA values for fuel ($3.02 a gallon), average non-fuel Aircraft Direct Operating Costs (ADOC), and Passenger Value of Time (PVT)

*Extrapolated from 1 month of data (16,594 ops)


Preliminary Results (2015 Per Flight Average)

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*Using 2015 FAA values for fuel ($3.02 a gallon), average non-fuel Aircraft Direct Operating Costs (ADOC), and Passenger Value of Time (PVT)

*1 Month (16,594 ops), 1.19 hours in sector


Annual Benefit (2015, 2020, 2025)

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*Based on 5% annual growth rate


Annual Benefit Per Flight-Hour (2015, 2020, 2025)

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*Based on 5% annual growth rate, 1 month simulated data


Next Steps

• Feedback on assumptions and benefit analysis?• Validation of benefits• Engage with neighboring ANSP to maximize benefit• Move to Data Service Agreements to enable data flow for validation of

benefit • AIREON building ANPS “pipeline” for Data Service Agreement and supply of

data early on in the validation process• No payment until benefit period – 2017/2018 following full test and

acceptance by the ANSP including Regulatory approvals

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proprietary information – see title page for use and disclosure © copyright 2014 aireon llc. all...

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