provider pay for performance: is it crazy to pay more? when does it make sense?

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March 7, 2005 Arnie Milstein MD, MPH Pacific Business Group on Health Mercer Human Resource Consulting [email protected] Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense? A. Milstein 2005

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Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?. March 7, 2005 Arnie Milstein MD, MPH Pacific Business Group on Health Mercer Human Resource Consulting [email protected]. A. Milstein  2005. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

March 7, 2005

Arnie Milstein MD, MPHPacific Business Group on HealthMercer Human Resource [email protected]

Provider Pay for Performance:Is it Crazy to Pay More?When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein 2005

Page 2: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 2

Time to Reward Clinical IT Adoptionand Other Performance Leaps?

Page 3: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 3

Our Urgent Need to Produce Health “Better, Faster, and Cheaper”

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

2000 2001 2002 2003Year

An

nu

al P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e

Health Care Spending Average Hourly Wage

Annual Percent Changes per Capita in Health Care Expenditures and in Average Hourly Wages for Workers in All Industries, 2000 through 2003

Data are from Strunk and Ginsburg, 2004. Dental work by Dr. Milstein.

Page 4: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 4

Actual Reduction in Spending Trend Without Quality Compromises:Outswimming the Shark in Nevada

Per Capita Health Care Spending (Low Wage Hotel Workers in Nevada)

Initiation of new

navigational tools and incentives

vs. 12% trend

Page 5: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 5

Success Required Two New MD Performance Measurements(a real MD distribution from a comparatively efficient city;also applies to care management & treatment options)

Adapted from Regence Blue Shield

Low Longit. EfficiencyLow Quality(Nightmare Suppliers)

MD

Qu

ali

ty I

nd

ex

(ou

tco

me

s o

r %

ad

he

ren

ce

to

EB

M)

High Longit. EfficiencyHigh Quality(Dream Suppliers)

High Longit. EfficiencyLow Quality

Low Longit. EfficiencyHigh Quality

L

ow

er

Hig

he

r

50th %ile

50th %ile

Lower Longit. Efficiency/ Higher Cost

Higher Longit. Efficiency/ Lower CostMD Longitudinal Cost Efficiency Index AKA “TCO”

(average total cost per acute episode or year of chronic care)

Page 6: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 6

Inducing Rapid and Continuous IT-enabled Re-Engineering of Health “Production” is the only Alternative to Social Divisiveness

MD Longitudinal Cost Efficiency Index(total cost per case mix-adjusted treatment episode)

MD

Qu

ali

ty I

nd

ex

(ou

tco

me

s o

r %

ad

he

ren

ce

to

EB

M)

High Longit. EfficiencyHigh Quality(Best)

High Longit. EfficiencyLow Quality

Low Longit. EfficiencyHigh Quality

L

ow

er

Hig

he

r

50th %ile

50th %ile

Lower Longit. Efficiency/ Higher Cost

Higher Longit. Efficiency/ Lower Cost

Adapted from Regence Blue Shield

Continuous Efficiency Gains

Offset Cost of Medical Miracles

Low Longit. EfficiencyLow Quality(Worst)

Page 7: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 7

A Purchaser and Consumer Near-Term Vision: High “PPSI”(PPSI=Provider Performance Sensitivity Index)

Performance comparisons for hospitals, MDs &

treatments

Market sensitivity to hospital & MD performance

Clinical re-engineering by MDs, hospitals &

hlth risk reductn programs

Q 50 ppts

$ 40 ppts

Va

lue

fro

m H

ea

lth

Be

ne

fits

S

pe

nd

ing

(H

ea

lth

Ga

in /

$)

Evolutionary Path

High

Low

2002 2012

Performance Transparency

(Quality & Cost Efficiency)

Consumerism (Tiered Plans w or w/o Spending Accounts)

& P4P “PRN”

Chasm Crossing

Americans

Q = % adherence to evidence-based rules

$ = Per capita health care spending. Includes new investment in IT / industrial engineering capability. Excludes impact of inflation, aging and biomedical innovation

Page 8: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 8

A Nearly Identical IOM Vision

CARE SYSTEM RE-DESIGN IMPERATIVES

• Redesigned care processes• Effective use of information technologies• Knowledge and skills management• Development of effective teams• Coordination of care across patient conditions, services, and

settings over time• Use of performance and outcome measurement for continuous

quality improvement and accountability

CARE SYSTEM

Supportive market environment

• Safe• Effective• Efficient• Personalized• Timely• Equitable

Adapted from Crossing the Quality Chasm, IOM, 2001.

Organizations that facilitate the work of patient-centered teams

High performing patient-centered teams

EMPLOYERS OUTCOMES

GOVT & PLANS

Page 9: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 9

When is Paying Extra Not Crazy?

To jumpstart provider prioritization of performance management & required infrastructure (industrial engineers & IT)

To motivate provider oligopolists

To overcome the practical, psychological & ethical limits of health care consumerism

To help form a critical mass of regional purchasers

(Per Deming, utilize P4P a last resort)

Page 10: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 10

A Provider IT Reward Contingency Sequence That Makes Sense to Purchasers(In Partnership with CMS)

2003: Meets AHRQ/CMS/Leapfrog PODS/CPOE leaps or NCQA PPC certification

2004: Achieves additional locally-specified e-health capabilities (eg IHA, BTE, insurers)

2006: Uses CCHIT certified product

2006: Uses CCHIT certified product and achieves highest level of CSI specified connectivity

2006: Passes Leapfrog/AHRQ CPOE challenge test

2007: Performs in top quartile on aggregate measures of quality and longitudinal cost efficiency

Page 11: Provider Pay for Performance: Is it Crazy to Pay More? When Does it Make Sense?

A. Milstein © 2005 11

How Soon Can We Reduce P4P? How Soon Will Congress…

Speed universal provider performance transparency via exchange of CMS claims data with private sector plans, subject to strict patient privacy protection?

Encourage all U.S. health benefits plans to tailor consumer cost-sharing to the “TCO” and quality of individual physicians, hospitals, and treatment options (via CMS, tax and/or competition policy)?

Increase the sensitivity of all U.S. plans’ cost-sharing to provider performance (especially individual MDs) until America steadily outswims the shark?