public attitudes in georgia georgia...public attitudes in georgia results of april 2019 survey...
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Public Attitudes in Georgia
Results of April 2019 survey
Carried out for NDI by CRRC Georgia
This research project is funded with UK aid from the
British people
Laura Thornton, NDI Georgia
Koba Turmanidze, CRRC Georgia
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WHY WE
CONDUCT
POLLS?
To foster the development of more
responsive policies and governance;
To help stakeholders diagnose and
address issues of public concern.
❖ Leaders from across the political
spectrum have reported that polls
are important to their work and
encourage continued polling;
❖ Inclusive process: the polling
instrument was developed in
consultation with parties,
government, and civil society
leaders.
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ABOUT
THE POLL
SAMPLE
❖ A nationally representative sample (excluding
occupied territories) including oversampled
areas of the Capital, large Urban, small Urban,
Rural, Armenian settlements, and Azeri
settlements
❖ Large Urban stratum consists of the cities with
a population of 40,000 or more: Batumi,
Zugdidi, Rustavi, Poti, Gori, and Kutaisi.
❖ Small Urban stratum consists of the rest of the
cities/dabas holding urban status.
❖ Armenian stratum consists of population of
those settlements, where Armenian minorities
make at least 40% of voters. Azeri stratum
consists of population of those settlements,
where Azeri minorities make at least 40% of
voters. Settlements within this stratum are
dispersed through Kvemo Kartli, Samtskhe-
Javakheti & Kakheti regions.
❖ Fieldwork dates:
March 28-April 15
❖ 2,927 completed
interviews (48.1%
response rate)
❖ The average
margin of error is
2.3
❖ Note: the margin
of error is
different for every
response3
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ABOUT
THE POLL
METHODOLOGY
We use random sampling at all stages. We use a
complex survey design:
❖ Stratification – dividing population in
relatively homogenous sub-groups;
❖ Clustering – randomly selecting small
geographic areas for each sub-group
(stratum).
❖ Households are selected via random route
sampling;
❖ Respondents are selected using a Kish table;
❖ Randomly selected households and
individuals are not substituted;
❖ All interviews were conducted face-to-face
with 18+ population, using tablets, in
Georgian, Armenian, and Azeri.
Quality control
❖ All interviewers
receive special
training
❖ CRRC central
office coordinators
conduct quality
control intervews
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European Union
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56% of
population
shows full
support for EU
membership
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Results of in-depth
analyses on EU support
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Main findings
Speaking about EU’s
economic benefits has a
small positive effect only
when you mention potential
Russian military threat;
Speaking about potential
economic burden from EU
lowers EU support,
regardless you mention
Russia or not;
Socio-economic status and
ethnicity are the best
predictors of EU support;
Emotional level is the driving
factor for EU support;
Fear of losing cultural
identity still biggest
concern;
Exposure to EU countries
(travelled to EU or not) has no
significant influence on EU
support;
People with no party
affiliation are less likely to
support EU membership than
supporters of GD and UNM.
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NATO
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55% of
population
shows strong
support for
NATO
Membership
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When do you think Georgia will be
granted full NATO membership? (q38)
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National Security
&
Russia
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National security threats and guarantees
Top security
threats
Top security
guarantees
Which of the
following would help
the most to ensure
Georgia’s national
security? (q10)
What is the top threat
to Georgia’s national
security? (q9)
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Disinformation Messages
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Information Space
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Current Events
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The Karasin-Abashidze informal bilateral dialogue was launched between Russia and
Georgia in 2012. The Karasin-Abashidze talks focus on mainly issues related to trade,
economy, humanitarian, and cultural aspects of the bilateral relationship. 67
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Respondents were
informed that the
question was about
paid voluntary
reserve
April 2019 survey ndi.org/georgia-polls 68
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NDI-CRRC POLLS
AVAILABLE AT:
➔www.ndi.org/georgia-polls
➔ww.caucasusbarometer.org