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Public Financial Management ReformThe International Experiences and Lesson for CambodiaPresentation to OIRC, Policy Research InstituteMinistry of Finance, Japanby Hap ChantheaVisiting Scholar from Cambodia July 19, 2007
2
Outline ♦ Chapter I : Introduction
– Macro Economic Situation– Fiscal Performance– Fiscal Sustainability
♦ Chapter II Public Financial Management Reform– Current Budget System Reform– Budget Revenue mobilization
♦ Chapter III: Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF)– International Experience MTEF– Priority Ministries MTEF
♦ Chapter IV: International Experiences and Lesson for Cambodia– Japanese Experience– International Experience
♦ Chapter V: Conclusion – Challenges – Recommendations
3
Economic Growth
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006e
2007p
2008p
2009p
20010p
Source: IMF : 2005-2006 and Ministry of Economy and Finance
4
Growth Rate
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Cambodia Georgia Lithuania Turkey
Source: IMF and Friends
5
Consumer Price Index
0.4 0.6 0.4
3.7
7.6
3.70.5
3.85.9 4.75.6 4.8 5.7
8.210.2
2.9 3 3.9
29.7
18.4
9.37.7
5.0
-1 -1.3
-4
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
(%)
Bosnia Herzigova Cambodia Georgia Lithuania Turkey
Source: IMF and Friends
6
CCurrenturrent Account Deficit (%GDPAccount Deficit (%GDP))
0
5
10
15
20
25
2002 2003 2004 2005
Bosnia Herzigova Cambodia Georgia Lithuania Turkey
(%)
Source: IMF and Friends
7
Foreign Direct Investment
1.62.3
2.83.2
0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.40.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6
2.9
4.34.9
5.6
8.5
1.11.8
2.9
9.89.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Bill
ion
$
Bosnia Herzigova Cambodia Georgia Lithuania Turkey
Source: IMF and Friends
8
SensitivitiesSensitivitiesForeign Exchange Rates
1.201.702.202.703.203.704.20
Jan-
03M
ar-0
3M
ay-0
3Ju
l-03
Sep-
03N
ov-0
3Ja
n-04
Mar
-04
May
-04
Jul-0
4Se
p-04
Nov
-04
Jan-
05M
ar-0
5M
ay-0
5Ju
l-05
Sep-
05N
ov-0
5Ja
n-06
Mar
-06
May
-06
Jul-0
6Se
p-06
Bosnia Herzigova Cambodia GeorgiaLithuana Turkey
Central Bank Reserves
0
1
2
3
4
5
3 6 16 1M M J S N3 6 5 2 6M M J S N3 6 8 9 2M M J S NO 0 2M M T E KO 0 3M M T E K0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Bosnia Herzigova CambodiaGeorgia LithuanaTurkey
Source: IMF and Friends
9
More Revenue Effort, Domestic Revenue Percent of GDP
10.29.9
10.6 9.6 10 10.3 11
11.9
16.8
17.8
02468
1012141618
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Lao PDRVietnamThailand
Source: IMF (John Nelmes ) and Ministry of Economy and Finance
10
Public Sector Primary Balance (% GDP)
0.71.7
2.2 2.2
-6.1 -5.8
-3.2 -3.1
-1.9 -1.6
0.4 0.4
6.47.1
6.2
-0.1
-4.5
-2.4-2.4
-0.2 -0.3-0.1
-0.1
6,5
0.4
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
(%)
Bosnia Herzigova Cambodia Georgia Lithuania Turkey
Source: IMF and Friends
11
EEexternal external DDebtebt IndicatorsIndicators for for CambodiaCambodia
50515253545556575859606162636465
2002 2003 2004 20051.5
2
2.5
3
Total Ext. Debt / GDP Total Ext. Debt / Exports FOB (RHS)
(% of exports)(% of GDP)
Source: IMF and Friends
12
RemarksFinancial Management
Information System (FMIS)Financial Management
Information System (FMIS)Link to Government PolicyLink to Government Policy
Revenue MobilizationRevenue Mobilization Expenditure MobilizationExpenditure Mobilization
BeginningCornerstone PFM Reform
BeginningCornerstone PFM Reform
Growth and FISCAL SUSTAINABILITYGrowth and FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
13
Chapter II. Public Financial Management Reform (PFM)
♦Achieving Aggregate Financing
♦Smooth Budget System in Implementation
14
MINISTRY OF ECONOMY & FINANCE
Public Financial Management
Reform
PFM MTEF
CoA
Guidelines
FMIS
MoH
MOEYS
MoW
MAFF
MTEF Budget
MTEF Outputs
Budget Classifications
LEDGEND:PFM Public Financial Management ReformCoA Chart of AccountsFMIS Financial Management Informatiion SystemMTEF Medium Term Expenditure FrameworkMoH Ministry of HealthMOEYS Ministry of Education Youth & SportsMoW Ministry of WomenMAFF Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry & Fisheries
Source: Terry O’Donnell and Hap Chanthea ADB-TA 44 28 CAM
15
New Chart of Account
♦CLASS 1-CAPITAL♦CLASS 2 -FIXED ASSET ACCOUNTS♦CLASS 4- THIRT PARTY ACCOUNTS♦CLASS 5 - FINANCIAL ACCOUNTS♦CLASS 6 - CURRENT EXPENDITURE
ACCOUNTS♦CLASS 7 – CURRENT REVENUE
ACCOUNT
16
Progress in core PFM activities
Program Budgeting
Budgeting Classification
New Chart of Account
Financial Management Information
System
InformationData Analyses
17
Financial Management Information System
Priorities Ministries
Resources Collection
National Treasury
Ministry of Economy and Finance
18
Shortcoming Budget Commitment Core Activities
Budget Controller MEF
Line Ministries
Commitment and payment order
processing
Budget Department
MEF
High Ranking Official
MEF
19
Cash Flow Management
National TreasuryTransaction
Recording help improvement
Cash Flow
Payments toStaff and
suppliers by check and transfer
Public ServicesImprovement,
Revenue Collection by check and transfer
20
Revenue Mobilization
Potential tax collection under
the existing tax system
Potential collectionASYCUDA Project
and Risk
Potential Non-Tax Revenue
Tourism fee, Casino and others
21
Internal Audit and Line Ministries Audit
22
Chapter III Medium Term Expenditure Framework♦Program Budgeting ♦ International Experience from MTEF♦System input for Program Budgeting
23
Medium Term Expenditure Framework
BUDGET CYCLE
24
Structure of Program Budgeting for Implementing
25
International Experiences for MTEF ♦SRI LANKA
Started budget reform in 1969By 1974 entire government was budgeting & reporting in program formatProcess was driven by a unit in the Ministry of FinanceChange in Government 1977 and the Program Budget Unit was disbandedBy mid-1980’s it was back to cash budgeting
Sources: Terry O’Donnell and World bank handbook
26
INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCES UNSUCCESSFUL
♦ JAMAICA♦PHILIPPINES♦Guinea♦MALAWI♦ZAMBIA♦CAMBODIA ( MOH AND MEYOS)
Sources: Terry O’Donnell and Public Expenditure Management World bank handbook
27
INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE ♦ NEW ZEALAND – BEST PRACTICE
The Fiscal Responsibility Act, enacted into law in 1994,
“Principles of Responsible Fiscal Management”mandating preparation of an annual Budget Policy Statement by government
The Budget Policy Statement requirement, obligates government to make an annual statement of fiscal intentions for the next three years and their long-term fiscal objectives, as well as the consistency of fiscal intentions and objectives with the "Principles of Responsible Fiscal Management."
Source: Public Expenditure Management Handbook World Bank
28
Considering MTEF Ministries (% of Total Current Budget)
2006e 2007b 2008p 2009p
Health 11.45 11.88 11.88
19.24
Agriculture 2.41 2.10 2.20 2.30
29.6
11.9
Education 19.66 19.24 19.25
Agriculture% Share of
GDP
32.2 30.4 28.8
Source: Ministry of Economy and Finance, Cambodia
29
System Inputs for Program Budgeting
♦Accounting System in Program Budgeting♦Monitoring and Evaluation System in
Program Budgeting to meet the “Goal Target”
♦Straightening Human resources in Program Budgeting
♦Auditing Resources
30
Chapter IV International Experiences♦ Japanese Experience ♦ International Experiences
31
Policies Experience
32
Inputs Qualify for Cambodia
♦ Japanese – Local Debt
– High Local Taxes Collection
– Higher Land Taxes Collection
– Higher Officers Income– Lower Interest Rate– Higher quality and number
of private investment
♦ Cambodian– No Local Debt but high
International Debt– Low Local Taxes
Collection– No Land Taxes Collection– Lower official Income – Higher Interest Rate– Low quality and number of
private local Investment
33
Tax System Experiences ♦ Providing Education on Tax System
– Providing Education about Basis Tax System to all level of Students
– Qualify Teachers about the Basis Tax System– Documents and Advertisements to all level of People
♦ Payment System♦ Self Assessment System♦ Land Tax System
– Improving Agriculture system – Law on land tax and Land unused
34
International Experiences
♦Political Stability ♦Link Programs to the Policies.♦Revenue estimating ♦Current System of M and E for Program
Budgeting♦ Internal Auditing♦Legal Framework for Program Budgeting
35
Chapter V: Conclusion
♦Challenges ♦Recommendations
36
Challenging Budget Comprehensiveness
♦Wages Bill♦Domestic Public Capital Investment♦Road Fund♦Budget Revenues and Spending♦MTEF Budget
37
Challenging in Budget Transparency
♦Organic Budget Law : Short line Approval at Assembly (Ex, Law related Tax Collection, Non-Tax Revenues and so on)
♦ Imbalance Share of Budget (Priority Ministries)
♦Discipline and Intention in the Current Budget System
38
Challenging Continued
♦Challenging Shortcoming Commitment ♦Challenging in Program Budgeting♦Challenging in Cash flow Management
39
Conclusion, Recommendations
♦ Improving Budget Law on Resources for Budget Revenue Mobilization
♦ Avoid Political Upheaval ♦ Improving policies to meet the Target of
Goal ♦Strengthening Current System from Top
level to Button level
40
Current System in Resources Management
National TreasuryResource Collection
Departments
MEF
42
Welcome to Cambodia