Pupil Place PlanningPresentation to Chairs’ and Governors’ Forum

7 February 2012

Alan Wharton

Demand for Primary Pupil Places

Primary School Capacity and Placements

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

Yr

20

06

Yr

20

07

Yr

20

08

Yr

20

09

Yr

20

10

Yr

20

11

Yr

20

12

Yr

20

13

Yr

20

14

Yr

20

15

Yr

20

16

outside borough community

outside borough going to faithschools

Number going to schoolsoutside of borough

Number of Westminsterresidents going to WestminsterschoolsCapacity official

Population Aged 4 - 10

Capacity tribal

Meeting demand (primary) 1• Most primary pupils attend schools close to home.• Overall need for equivalent of 2 forms of entry in the

north and 1 form of entry in the south.• ARK Atwood has delivered a 2 FE school in the NW

area, currently able to provide R, Y1 and Y2, pending completion of the new purpose-built school.

• A free school proposal from Constable Education Trust has been made for the college site in Cosway Street, an area of rising demand.

• The DfE is the decision maker for free schools, but the Council is not opposed in principle to free schools.

Meeting demand (primary) 2• A free school has also be proposed for the South,

which would deliver the required number of spaces, and options are being considered.

• The School Organisation and Investment Strategy approved by Cllr Aiken in February states that the Council will support free schools with Council land and property provided there is demonstrated demand.

• Government Planning policy requires local planning authorities to give support to free schools.

Demand for Secondary Pupil Places

Secondary schools

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

Yr

2006

Yr

2007

Yr

2008

Yr

2009

Yr

2010

Yr

2011

Yr

2012

Yr

2013

Yr

2014

Yr

2015

Yr

2016

Number of outsideresidents coming toWestminster schools

Number going to schoolsoutside of borough

Number of Westminsterresidents going toWestminster schools

Population Aged 11-15

Capacity

Meeting demand (secondary)• In overall terms the Council has sufficient

places available.• Many pupils come from other boroughs.• A new successful school will draw extra pupils.• Neighbouring boroughs are also developing

new secondary schools/academies.• Further statistical evidence on demand will be

available shortly.

Housing Benefit Caps

There are over 4,000 children and young people living in the impacted households for both the primary and secondary sector. It is estimated that Westminster could potentially lose 17% of primary school age children and 11% of their 11 to 13 year old pupils.

Housing Benefit Caps –potential impact on existing school

populationPaddington Green (34% loss)St Augustine’s (25% loss)Hallfield Infants* (24% loss)St James and St Michaels (23% loss)Edward Wilson Primary (21% loss)Hallfield Juniors* (21% loss)

* Statistics compiled early 2011

Approved Policies, February 2012• The Council will seek to enlarge the capacity of schools where provision is less than a

full year group where the opportunity exists, i.e. from 45 to 60 places,• where opportunity exists, and subject to viability in terms of education provision,

standards and performance, building feasibility and value for money, to reduce the number of 1 form entry schools in favour of two form entry schools,

• the Council will promote the contribution of established providers, i.e. community schools and VA schools across the City,

• where new school provision is required to meet evidence of demand, the Council will seek to enlarge or amalgamate existing schools, and where a new school is required will open this to competition,

• will encourage the new free schools to compete with existing providers where a new school is required to meet demand, and only where that criteria is met will consider the contribution of Council owned land, whether that land is held for education purposes or not,

• will deal with proposals by free schools and academies to take over existing schools on their merits,

• all other proposals by independent providers, free schools and academies, will be dealt with on a commercial basis.

Governors Presentation 7 February2012

key principles for school organisation1. Demographics

Demand for places in the area/cluster for any services provided from

school sites, including Early Years, Nursery, Primary, Secondary, Secondary, Post 16, SEN or other special provision, and extended services.

How might demand on one site be matched against opportunities at another site within the area/cluster.

2. Educational Attainment

Performance issues and challenges. Popularity of schools including parental preference. Extent to which property issues are relevant to raising attainment and

preference.

3. Value for Money

Relationship between meeting demand and raising attainment, and potential property solutions (improvement, replacement or other solution)

4. Early Years, Special Needs, and Extended Services

Current known demand and provision and future trends Preferred property solutions by type and location compared to existing

facilities.

5. School organisation options

Expansion of existing sites Establishment of all-through schools Enlargement to 4 or 5 FE Amalgamation Bulge classes Community or Faith Schools Conversion to Academy status Role of free schools in the area

6. Property issues

Condition of buildings including recent capital works, programmed

capital works both funded centrally or from Devolved Formula Capital or LCVAP

Sufficiency and suitability of existing buildings Planning issues including s106 obligations Land transactions including sale of surplus land and building, and

renting buildings not required for services.

Governors Presentation 7 February2012

Information available - overall Demand Westminster overallEarly Years and Children’s Centres New childcare provision required for children aged 2 and abovePrimary Schools Requirement for two additional forms in the north, one in the south (free school already in

place in the north) but additional provision required in the NE area. Detailed statistics available

Secondary Schools Deferred demand related to primary provision, but note cross borough movement. New provision coming up in Camden and RBKC

Alternative Provision and PRU New PRU at Marlborough Hill in 2012Special Educational Needs New provision needed for S&L and high level autism, to reduce reliance on out of borough

placementsPost 16 New duty towards for LDD aged 19-25

Performance and StandardsFloor Standard L4+ in English and Maths TBA

Core Property DataDrawings Originally produced for PCP in 2009, required by PfS for Data Survey 2012

Condition Survey Rolling programme by Enterprise for WCC, Diocese for VA schools, required by PfS for Data Survey 2012

Sufficiency Derived from computerized floor plans and room titles on a formula basis

Suitability 2005 data on spreadsheets, Mouchel Survey 2009 on spreadsheets and summary,

Running Costs Held by schools, as paid locally

Governors Presentation 7 February2012

Information available -applied to an areaDemand Planning Area 1 Maida Vale – example. Adjoins Area 3 (Church Street)

Essendine, Paddington Green, Wilberforce, St Augustine’s, St Joseph’s RC, St Luke’s CE, St Peter’s CE, St Saviours, Queen’s Park Primaries

Early Years and Children’s Centres Essendine Sch ECM building and private nursery issues to resolve.Improvements and additional provision possible at Paddington Green School.

Primary Schools Predicted 8.5% rise in pupil numbers to 2025 (285 pupils). Potential drop of 29.5% due to Housing Benefit caps.ARK Atwood free school opened Sept 2011, moving to Amberley Rd in 2014.Paddington Green expanded to 2FE in 2004. Potential scope for additional expansion for Church Street if adjoining land in Crompton St is redeveloped (including YOT and WALC).Essendine took additional bulge reception year in 2010Paddington Green and St Luke’s raised as priorities in Strategy for Change

Secondary Schools Paddington Academy and St George’s RC School expanded from 4 to 5 FE (BSF)Alternative Provision and PRU Beachcroft moving to Marlborough Hill in 2012. Potential to relocate YOT (TBA) and

WALC (Tresham Crescent)Special Educational Needs Additional site for S&L and high level autism required. Post 16 Potential redevelopment of North Paddington Boys Club Lanark Road

Performance and StandardsFloor Standard L4+ in English and Maths

Core Property DataDrawings Available on CAD for primaries, other Children’s Services to be commissioned.

Secondary schools on BSF filesCondition Survey Schools to review from summary data produced for Strategy for Change.

Capital programme 2012-13 for Paddington Green SchoolSufficiency Calculation from CAD plansSuitability See summary from Strategy for ChangeRunning Costs Schools have data from payments locally.Compliance To be assessed (asbestos, Access and Equality, electrical, etc)

Governors Presentation 7 February2012

Next steps• Schools considered in locality clusters

• Agree key principles to use

• Data to be circulated in advance – previous condition surveys from Schofield Lothian, and other data as available

• Get feedback from schools on condition surveys, scoring priorities, and compliance

• Groups to consider demand and need, and the options that might be available.