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Page 1: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Q1 2015INVESTOR PRESENTATION

Page 2: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Investments03

Company

Overview02

Refining

Industry01

Key

Financials04

Page 3: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Refining Industry

Page 4: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Brent Crude Oil Prices

108,0 115,3106,1

101,2

94,6

84,3

71,7

65,7

60,4

55,0

55,0

45,2

62,0 61,2

54,7

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

2.1

.14

23

.1.1

4

13

.2.1

4

6.3

.14

27

.3.1

4

17

.4.1

4

8.5

.14

29

.5.1

4

19

.6.1

4

10

.7.1

4

31

.7.1

4

21

.8.1

4

11

.9.1

4

2.1

0.1

4

23

.10

.…

13

.11

.…

4.1

2.1

4

25

.12

.…

15

.1.1

5

5.2

.15

26

.2.1

5

19

.3.1

5

9.4

.15

30

.4.1

5

21

.5.1

5

11

.6.1

5

2.7

.15

4

$/Barrel

Reasons

• Falling Demand Growth

• Chinese slowdown

• Japanese Recession

• US weakness

• Lower Risk Perception

• ISIS

• Ukraine

• Iran

• No Problems

Materialised

• Excess Supply

• US Unconventional

• Libya

• OPEC Attitude

• OPEC & Saudi

statements

Page 5: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Net Refinery Capacity Change

810 640160 195 52

-255 -103-576

334

150

340 13540

-100-195

-280

160

250

18184

180

-120

45

-161

530

526

0

0 302

-5-775

-546

520

400

120

390

-140

305

-352

270

300

510

60

368

63

-463

-54

-3.000

-2.000

-1.000

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

China India Middle East Other Asia Other Japan NorthAmerica

Europe

Tho

usa

nd

Bar

rels

/Day

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Source : Tüpraş

5

Page 6: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Refinery Value

Value Added•Ability to upgrade

•Correlated to complexity

Cost Base•Energy Efficiency•Raw Material costs•Scale•Automation

Local Market Dynamics•Growth trends•Supply / Demand balance

Market Position•Proportion of products sold domestically•Local Competition•Infrastructure

6

Page 7: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Product Ratios (Barrel/Barrel)

1,00

1,05

1,10

1,15

1,20

1,25

1,30

1,35

1,40

Jan

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Diesel2010 - 2014 Min Max 2012

2013 2014

2015

2015

Diesel & Gasoline ratios are still high

0,95

1,05

1,15

1,25

1,35Ja

n

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Gasoline

2010 - 2014 Min Max 2012

2013 2014

2015

0,70

0,80

0,90

1,00

Jan

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Fuel Oil

2010 - 2014 Min Max 20122013 20142015

7

Page 8: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Crude Differentials $/Barrel

-4,0

-3,0

-2,0

-1,0

0,0

1,0

2,0

-4,0-3,5-3,0-2,5-2,0-1,5-1,0-0,50,00,51,01,5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2009-2012 Min/Max 20122014 20112013

Ural Crude Differentials $/Barrel

8

-12,0

-10,0

-8,0

-6,0

-4,0

-2,0

0,0

2,0Differentials Trends

Ural Iran Light (KI) Iran Heavy (KI) Kirkuk Arab. Heavy Siberian Light CPC

Page 9: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Med Complex Refining Margins

9

-2,00

-1,00

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

8,00

9,00

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Gro

ss M

argi

n $

/bb

l

Max-Min 2004-2009 Average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 10: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Turkish Sector Outlook

Primary driver of demand is

growing vehicle parc

Auto sales continue to massively

outstrip removals

Very high gasoline tax has led to LPG

& Diesel substitution

Gasoline car sales improving35,8 41,2 50,6 58,3 64,5 76,1 85,643,6 44,3

52,259,4

65,473,4

80,4

79,4 85,5102,8

117,6130,0

149,5166,0

020406080

100120140160180

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Air Passengers - Mill ion

Domestic International

4,6 5,4 6,1 6,8 7,1 7,5 8,1 8,6 9,3 9,84,1

4,86,1

7,0 7,2 7,6 8,0 8,4 8,79,8

8,710,2

12,213,8 14,3 15,1

16,117,0 17,9 18,7

0

5

10

15

20

25

2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*

Mill

ion

Ve

hic

les

Vehicle Parc

Passenger Car Other

Jet Fuel demand growing strongly Highly competitive liberalised market

Big infrastructure investments

Istanbul has become a hub for Turkish Airlines

Fuel Oil demand is declining Natural gas substitution

Switching is dependent on price

Long Term Asphalt Demand Growth Infrastructure investments

10

Page 11: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

15,6

16,7

17,4

14,5

15,0

15,5

16,0

16,5

17,0

17,5

18,0

2012 2013 2014

Diesel

Turkish Consumption (Million ton)

1,851,86

1,92

1,80

1,82

1,84

1,86

1,88

1,90

1,92

1,94

2012 2013 2014

Gasoline

3,2%7,0%

4,2%

0,5%

3,5 3,74,1

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

2012 2013 2014

Jet Fuel

5,5%11,2%

0,69

0,53 0,53

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

2012 2013 2014

Fuel Oil

-1,1%-23,0%

11

Page 12: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Turkey’s Import / Export Balance (Net)

-3,1

1,6

-9,0

1,8

-3,0

2,1

-10,0

1,5

-3,0

2,5

-10,8

1,6

-3,1

2,4

-12,0

1,0

-3,1

2,5

-12,7

1,8

-14,0-13,0-12,0-11,0-10,0

-9,0-8,0-7,0-6,0-5,0-4,0-3,0-2,0-1,00,01,02,03,04,0

LPG Gasoline Diesel Fuel oil

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Million Ton

Export

Import

12

Page 13: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Company Overview

Page 14: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

TÜPRAŞ Refining Assets

İzmir

İzmit

Ankara

İstanbul

Kırıkkale

Batman

Kirkuk

Baku

MARMARA

Kırıkkale

5.0 MT Capacity

NC: 6.32

Storage Capacity :

1.2 Mn m3

Batman

1.1 MT Capacity

NC: 1.83

Storage Capacity :

0.2 Mn m3

İzmit

11.0 MT Capacity

NC: 7.78

Storage Capacity :

2.2 Mn M3

İzmir

11.0 MT Capacity

NC: 7.66

Storage Capacity :

1.9 Mn M3

Baz yağ üreticisi 400 bin ton

Black Sea

Total Refining Capacity: 28.1 Million Tons – 100% of Turkey’s refining Capacity

Current Nelson Complexity(NC): 7.25

14

Page 15: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Opet - Tüpraş Share 40.0 %

1.424 İstasyon

994 Opet Marka

430 Sunpet Marka

1.1 Million M3 Storage

•Major Terminals in Marmara, Agean, Black Sea & Mediteranean

International Trading

•London & Singapore

Jet Fuel Sales

•Turkish Airlines JV

Lubricants

•Fuchs JV

A Sector Leader

•2nd Biggest Player

•# 1 Brand

15

Page 16: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

16

DİTAŞ – Deniz Taşımacılığı – Tüpraş Hisse Payı %79.98

18,7 19,314,8

6,4 4,8

2,02,6

3,1

3,13,5

20,721,9

18,0

9,68,4

0

5

10

15

20

25

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mill

ion

To

ns

Crude Products

Million $ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Net Sales 139,4 146,4 159,0 103,7 101,7

Op. Profit 19,1 17,9 22,8 25,2 27,3

• Crude• 2001

• 164,86 K DWT

Cumhuriyet

• Products • 2008

• 10,98 K DWT

Sevgi

• Products • 2009

• 10,98 K DWT

Gönül

Products

2011

6 K DWT

Leyla

Products201255 K DWT

Suna

• Bitumen

• 2x20 K DWT

• Esra 2014

• Aylin 2015

Esra & Aylin

16

Financials

19 Tugboats

Page 17: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Crude Suppliers of TÜPRAŞ (Million Tons)

7,4

2,9

1,8

2,5 2

,1

2,2

0,1

0,0

0,4

9,7

2,1

2,0

2,4

3,1

1,1

0,1

0,0

0,3

7,2

2,0

2,8 2

,3

3,8

1,5

0,3

1,0 0

,6

5,1

1,5

2,9 2

,4

6,1

1,5

0,3

0,7

0,6

5,2

8

0,6

1 1,8

7

2,3

7

5,6

7

1,6

3

0,1

8

0,0

8

2,5

7

I RA N RUSS İA S .A RA BİA TURKEY IRA Q KA Z A KSTA N ITA LY L İBYA OTHER

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

In 2014, Tüpraş purchased 18 different types of crude oil from 11

countries, with gravities ranging between 19-46 API

17

Page 18: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Med & Tüpraş Net Margins, $/bbl

3,4

5

3,0

5

5,8

2 4,4

2

1,7

2

2,0

3

4,5

6

5,4

6

1,3

4

2,7

6 1,4

1

2,9

2

0,3

0

3,8

4

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

4th Quarter

Tupras Net Med Complex

1,5

7

1,7

2

1,3

7

3,8

7

1,9

6 0,9

0

2,4

1

4,6

93,7

0

3,4

4

3,5

0

0,4

2

2,9

7

2,8

3

0,4

4

5,9

8

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

1st Quarter

Tupras Net Med Complex

4,5

7

2,2

9

4,5

1

5,2

9

3,3

1 2,4

5

3,2

1

5,5

4

1,9

5

2,8

9

1,1

7

4,2

1

1,6

7

1,9

5

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

12 Month

Tupras Net Med Complex

18

Page 19: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Capacity Utilisation,%

87

,2 90

,7 93

,2

91

,1

86

,1

60

,4

69

,6 74

,4 78

,7

76

,8

71

,3

65

,1

80

,7

8,7

7,55,5

2,92,4

3,6

2,9

5,2

69,2

77,179,9 81,6

79,174,9

68,0

85,9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 / 1q 2015 / 1q

Crude Oil Other

19

+17,9%

Page 20: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Quarterly Production Volumes (Million Tons)

20

3,31

4,194,32

4,06

5,51

6,256,47

6,07

4,554,63 5,41

5,51

5,71

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

Min / Max 2007/2014 2014 2015

Page 21: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

1st Quarter Product Yields

White Product 71.27%

Production 4.5 mn ton

API:32.54

White Product 72.84%

Production 5.7 mn ton

API:33.14

Gasoline20,6%

Naphtha1,2%

Jet16,7%

Diesel26,8%

Other3,1%

LPG3,6%

Fuel Oil18,9%

Asphalt9,3%

Gasoline21,5%

Naphtha0,8%

Jet17,5%

Diesel27,5%

Other2,9%

LPG3,2%

Fuel Oil19,2%

Asphalt7,3%

Light Distil.21,7%

Mid. Distil.43,4%

Other 6,7%

Black Prod.28,2%

Light Distil.22,4%

Mid. Distil.44,9%

Other6,1%

Black Prod.26,5%

2014 2015

21

Page 22: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Domestic Sales, million tons

1,81 1,78 1,82 1,83

0,39 0,43

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st Q2014

1st Q2015

Gasoline

2,763,29 3,55

3,83

0,76 0,86

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st Q2014

1st Q2015

Jet Fuel

7,878,57 8,11

6,70

1,48 1,73

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st Q2014

1st Q2015

Diesel

2,95 2,81 2,93

1,95

0,23 0,27

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st Q2014

1st Q2015

Bitumen

22

Page 23: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

1Q Trading Activities

218

275

96

221

273

25

126

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Product Imports, Ton*000

1Q 2014

1Q 2015

45

176

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

HVGO ASR F.Oil

Intermediate Imports, Ton*000

1Q 2014

1Q 2015

Finished Products

High Sulfur Diesel imports were

stable but buy more ULSD

High / Low sulphur diesel

differentials were too low for

desulphurisation arbitrage profits.

Intermediates

Additional HVGO imported to

increase Capacity Utilisation in

conversion units

23

Page 24: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Sales By Customer 2014

24

Distributors37%

THY Opet12%

Jet Fuel4%

LPG Dist.4%

Petkim1%

Other7%

Export24%

Asphalt9%

Military2%

OMV POAŞ23%

OPET19%

Shell14%

BP5%

TP4%

TOTAL3%

Other32%

Customer Groups Sales to Distributors

Total: 24.1 million ton Distributors : 10,3 million ton

Page 25: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Corporate Governance

93,46

86,82

93,96

95,51

93,10

BOA RD

STA KEHOLD ERS

TRA NSPA RENCY

SHA REHOLD ERS

OV ERA LL

Corporate Governance Rating

One of the top rated companies in

Turkey

Committed to continuous

improvement in this area

Member of the Corporate

Governance Association

25

Page 26: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Sustainability

2,5

1,7

2,2

1,51,1

1,6

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Accident Frequency Rate

37,0%32,2%

36,3%40,4%

2011 2012 2013 2014

Recycled Water %

317348

186

126

2011 2012 2013 2014

GHG Emissions Reduction

120,9

107,4105,4 105,3

102,1 101,6

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Energy Intensity Index

26

Page 27: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Corporate Social Responsibility

Education•23rd April Events

•Umbrella Action Programme

•Fire Fly Programme Sponsorship

•Vocational School Infra-structure Investment

•Our Power is Our Energy

•Pilot Refinery

Culture• Purchase of Relief for Geyre Foundation

Health• Support for Turkish Family Planning Foundation

Environment•Aliağa - MenemenHighway Tree Planting

•Natural İzmit Project

•Safety Week

•Happy Waste

27

Page 28: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Investments

Page 29: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Investments (Million USD)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

395

188 177

628

974

1201

959

28

Page 30: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Investing in Efficiency

Operational Excellence

Programme

Hydrocarbon Margin

Integrity and Reliability

Health, Safety and

Environment

Energy Efficiency Projects Boiler and Furnace Modernization at

the İzmit Refinery

FCC Flue Gas Purification and Energy Recycling at İzmit

Installation of 25 MW Gas Turbine and Waste Heat Furnace in İzmir

Investment for the improvement of the crude oil energy efficiency atKırıkkale

29

18

146

79 81

42

32

62

105 106

3122

18

188

111

143

105 106

31

22

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Miy

on

USD

OMP EVP

Page 31: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

RUP Flow Chart

31

Atm

os

ph

eri

c D

ip

75

00

m3

/g

GasTo Gas Treatment

LVGO

HVGO

Vacuum Dip

Vacumm Dip

From Existing

Refineries

8200 m3 /g

Gas

LPG LPG Treating

Naphtha

LCGO

HCGO

Coke

1200 m3/ g

4000 m3/ g

8000 m3/ g

LPG

Light Naphtha

Heavy Naphtha

Kerosene

Diesel

HC Bottoms

Delayed Coker Unit

New Vacuum

DistillationUnit

To Gas

Treatment

To Gas

Treatment

New Hydro-cracker /

HydrotreaterUnitThe Project also includes an

integrated cogeneration

Plant of capacity 120 MWHydrogen Unit

160.000 Nm3/h

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Resid Upgrading Project Production – (Thousand Tons)

Raw Materials

Natural Gas 246

Vacuum Resid

1,214

Atm. Dip

3,036

Total Feed 4,496 Total Production 4,250

32

(kton)

Products(kton)

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Residuum Upgrade Financing

Structure / Conditions

Spanish ECACESCE

• $1.08 Billion

• Tenor 4+8; LIBOR+%3.05

Italian ECASACE

• $597 Million

• Tenor 4+8; LIBOR+%3.10

10 International BanksCommercial

• $359 Million

• Tenor 4+3; LIBOR+%2.85

Total

• $2,035.1 Million

Bank Consortium

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

The Bank Of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ufj, Ltd.

BNP Paribas

Crédit Agricole Corporate And Investment Bank

Deutsche Bank AG- London Branch

HSBC Bank Plc

Banco Santander, S.A.

Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation Europe Limited

Societe Generale

WestLB AG- London Branch

33

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Financial Summary

Assumptions

Crude Oil

Investment

Interest Rates

Returns

NPV

Equity &Project IRR

EBITDA

34

85

$/varil

2.70

Milyar $

~Libor

+

3%

1,5

Milyar $

% 29.7

% 17,9

550

Million $

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RUP- Mile Stones

35

Tüpraş Technical Department Feasibility Report

• May 2006

Snam Progetti Investment Alternatives Evaluation

• May 2007

Coker Chosen

• Dec 2007

Tecnicas Reunidas Contract Signed

• Dec 2009

Support from Spanish & Italian ECAs

• Aug 2011

Turn Key Agreement

• Aug 2011

Finance Agreement

• Oct 2011

Flare Lighting Ceremony

• Sept 2014

Opening Ceremony

• Dec 2014

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RUP Opening Ceremony – 15th December 2014

36

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Key Financials

Page 38: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Tax Incentive

• Previously – Large Scale

– Valued at 30% of project cost

– Realised after completion

– Tax rate of 10% on project earnings until total incentive is reached

• Currently – Strategic

– Valued at 50% of project cost

– Partly realised during construction

– Tax rate of 2% on project earnings until total incentive is reached

• Main Differences

– Total amount increased

– Some benefits are immediate

– Benefits will accrue much quicker

37

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Profitability Indicators , 12 M 2013-2014 & 1Q-2014-15

* In our EBITDA calculation FX related items are not included, whereas CMB rules is that these should be including in

operationg profit

39

2014 1Q 2015 1Q (%) 2013 2014 (%)

108,22 53,97 -50 Dtd.Brent Price, ($/bbl) 108,7 98,99 -8,932,54 33,14 1,8 Processed Crude API 32,54 32,29 -0,871,27 72,84 1,6 White Product Yield, (%) 72,4 72,2 -0,2

0,44 5,98 1259 Med. Complex Margin,($/bbl) 1,67 1,95 16,22,41 4,69 94,6 Tüpraş Net Margin,($/bbl) 2,45 3,21 30,7

122,7 42,3 -65,6 Operating Profit, (mn. $) 21,7 199,3 820,2117,2 124,3 6,1 Operating Profit for EBITDA, (mn. $) 434 220 -49,3150,2 149,7 -0,4 EBITDA *(mn. $) 560 338 -39,7100,3 219,9 119,1 EBITDA* (mn. $) CCS 467 575 23,2

155,8 67,6 -56,6 EBITDA (mn.$)-CMB 148,0 317,3 114,4

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Income Statement

40

1Q 1 Q% Diff. Million USD

12 M

201312 M 2014 % Diff.

2014 2015

4.186,2 2.829,3 -32,4 Net Sales21.594,

718.164,9 -16

184,5 203,1 10,1 Gross Profit 774,5 577,5 -25

-71,3 -70,0 -1,8 Operating Expenses -367,8 -334,6 -9

9,6 -90,8-

1.048,7Income/Loss from other operations -385,0 -43,6 -89

122,7 42,3 -65,6 Operating Profit 21,7 199,3 820,2

10,5 -9,2 -187,4 Income/Loss from equity investment 43,0 -7,6 -118

133,2 33,1 -75,2 Operating Profit Before Fin. Income/Loss 64,7 191,6 196

22,0 180,7 720,3 Financial Income 528,7 228,2 -57

-50,5 -225,7 346,8 Finance Expenses -586,5 -335,8 -43

104,7 -11,9 -111,4 Profit Before Tax & Minorities 6,9 84,0 1.124

230,7 112,0 -51,4 Net Profit 629,4 667,2 6

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Tüpraş Balance Sheet-Assets

41

Million USD 31.03.2015 31.12.2014 Difference%

Difference

Current Assets 2.778 3.015 -237 -8

Cash & C. Equivalents 1.206 1.681 -475 -28

Receivables 201 87 115 132

Derivatives 105 28 77 277

Inventories 1.081 1.022 59 6

Pre-paid expenses 44 53 -9 -18

Other Current Assets 142 144 -2 -1

Long Term Assets 6.037 6.443 -407 -6

Financial Assets & Subsidiaries 245 315 -70 -22

Fixed Assets 4.296 4.600 -305 -7

Pre-paid expenses 68 112 -44 -39

Deferred Tax 1.136 1.131 5 0

Other Long Term Assets 272 284 -12 -4

Total Assets 8.815 9.458 -643 -7

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Tüpraş Balance Sheet-Liabilities

42

Million USD 31.03.2015 31.12.2014 Difference%

Difference

Short Term Liabilities 3.044 3.692 -648 -18

Financial Loans 377 335 42 13

Payables 1.740 2.464 -724 -29

Derivatives 3,22 0,03 3,19 10.873

Deferred Incomes 20 7

Provisions 33 47 -14 -29

Other ST Liabilities 871 838 32 4

Long Term Liabilities 3.358 3.087 271 9

Financial Loans 3.280 3.009 271 9

Payables & Provisions 68 76 -8 -11

Other LT Liabilities 10 2 8 356

Equity 2.392 2.655 -263 -10

Minority Interests 20 24 -4 -16

Total Liabilities 8.815 9.458 -643 -7

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Financial Highlights (mn $)

1.099

779

134262

113 95 79 150 150

256

328

153 153 78-27

271

468

373 361315 226

169

272

115 10689

-11

830

1.329,4

753,5 715560

338

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012-R 2013 2014 2015

331522

67194 161 72

231112

145

16575

75

171230

206309 435

17547

174 27147 91

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

-653

-1.955

578 551

1.340

1.9941.696 1.869

1.598 1.663

2.452

-2.500-2.000-1.500-1.000

-5000

5001.0001.5002.0002.5003.000

0,220,19

0,30 0,32

0,24

0,10

0,40

0,330,30

0,26

0,18

0,000,050,100,150,200,250,300,350,400,45

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20131Q

20141Q

20141H

20149M

2014 20151Q

EBITDA Net Income

Net Debt/(Cash) Return on Average Equity

43

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Balance Sheet Analysis

1,83 1,81

1,41

2,16

1,72 1,69

1,30

1,64 1,68

1,21

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

Dec.12 Mar.13 Jun 13 Sep13 Dec 13 Mar.14 Jun.14 Sep.14 Dec.14 Mar.15

Cash & Equivalents (Billion $)

1,191,34 1,45

1,33

0,930,71

0,52 0,51

0,090,20

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

Receivables (Billion $)

2,0 2,1 2,3 2,4 2,6 2,8 2,9 2,9 3,0 3,30,4

0,8 0,81,0 0,5

0,90,3 0,3 0,3

0,4

2,42,9 3,1

3,43,1

3,73,2 3,2 3,3

3,7

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

Dec.12Mar.13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Mar.14 20141h

20149M

Dec 14 Mar.15

Financial Loans (Billion $)

LT Loans ST Loans

2,88 2,97 2,943,46

3,22 3,10 3,283,04

2,46 2,46

1,74

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

Payables (Billion $)

44

Page 45: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

FX Risk Exposure (31 March 2015 )

ConsolidatedAssets

ConsolidatedLiabilities

LT Financials: 2,655

RUP Loans: 1,839

Eurobond: 700

Other credits: 116

ST Financials 235RUP 141

Payables

1,157

Forward

1,010

Stock

1,076

Receivables*

21

Cash

82

Million $

+127 million $

FX Risk with RUP : -1,858 million $

45

Page 46: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company

management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is

believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable,

they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying

assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.

Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other

person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this

presentation.

46

Page 47: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Future Expectations

Med Complex Margin

• We expect Med Complex margins to be 3.0-3.2 dollar per barrel band in 2015.

Tupras Net Margin

• For Tupras net refinery margins, we expect this to be in the region of 3.7-4.5 dollars per barrel

Capacity Utilisation

• Following the RUP fully commissioned in March, expected Capacity Utilisation in 2015 will reach around 95 %

• Production will therefore be approximately 27.5 million tons

• Imports of finished products will be minimal, as we focus on selling increased volumes of production

Investment

• Including a total of 60 million US dollars final portion for the RUP, total investments for 2015 will be about 220 Million USD

47

Page 48: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Competition Board Evaluation

The Period 11th October 2008 – 1st January 2009 (2 months 20 Days)

850 Million TL loss in the October-December period

Prices reduced more rapidly than Europe

• Gasoline 10 times

• Diesel 9 times

30% Currency Depreciation

• 26 Sept – 1.2316 TL/$, 20th Nov – 1.7038 TL/$

• 31st December – 1.5218 TL/$

Crude Oil prices fell from 144 dollars per barrel to 36

EMRA decided that no action was necessary

45

Page 49: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Dividends (TL)

1,73

3,242,94

4,96

5,83

4,78

2,312,50

2,98

3,93 3,85

1,58

579626

746

985 964

396

0 0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Tota

l Pay

ou

t (M

illio

n T

L)

Earnings per Share Gross Dividend Total Payout

2012/2013 EPS includes the tax incentive

49

Page 50: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company

management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed

that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected

by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual

results to differ materially.

Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other person

shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this presentation.

48

Page 51: Q1 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft · 1Q 2015 45 176 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HVGO ASR F.Oil Intermediate Imports 1Q 2014 1Q 2015 Finished Products High Sulfur

The Investor Relations section of our company website has a wealth of constantly updated

information of interest to investors

www.tupras.com.tr

Investor Relations and Reporting Director

Investor Relations Manager

Turgut Tuncay Önbilgin Jonathan Lamb

Investor Relations and Reporting DirectorsTel. : 262 316 3269Fax : 262 316 30 10-11Güney Mah. Petrol Cad. No .25 PK.41790 Körfez-Kocaeliwww.tupras.com.trE-mail: [email protected]