q2 2010 presentation without speaks and backup
TRANSCRIPT
NORDENNORDEN
1st HALFRESULTS 2010
THE PREFERRED PARTNER IN GLOBAL TRAMP
1Dampskibsselskabet NORDEN A/S | 52 Strandvejen | DK-2900 Hellerup | www.ds-norden.com
SHIPPING. UNIQUE PEOPLE. OPEN MINDED TEAM SPIRIT. NUMBER ONE.Copenhagen, 17 August 2010
TODAY’S AGENDA
H1 2010
Group highlightsGroup highlights
Financial highlights
Major transactionsj
Business review and market outlook
Dry Cargo
Tanker
Full year expectations Full-year expectations
Q & A Session
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H1 2010 HIGHLIGHTS
Group financials Key messages
• Group EBITDA increased by more than USD EBITDA
p y25% compared to last quarter
• NORDEN was well protected against spot rate decline during Q2 in Dry Cargo
USDm EBITDA
• Product tanker spot rates remained steady, but on a low level
• Theoretical NAV improved to DKK 346 Theoretical NAV improved to DKK 346 per share
• Continue to be on the lookout for additional tanker assets53
79
100
• Full year EBITDA guidance increased to USD 240 270m
29 28
53
2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 Q2 USD 240-270m
• Full year EBIT guidance increased to USD 225-255m
2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2010 Q1 2010 Q2
3
H1 2010 KEY FINANCIALS
Gearing reduced furtherContinued EBITDA improvement
Strong cash position – USDm 623 Dry Cargo EBITDA increased for in net interest bearing assets
Almost 60% of T/C obligations now covered
y gthe sixth quarter in a row
Earnings positively affected by booking T/C cancellation
Outstanding newbuildinginstallments significantly reduced
Gearing reduced to 25%
g
Positive EBITDA in Tanker
USDm Q2 2010
Q1 2010
Q2 2009
EBITDA 100 79 27% 29
Dry Cargo 101 81 25% 32
USDm Q2 2010
Q2 2009
Adj Net Interest Bearing 620 676y Ca go 0 8 5% 3
Tanker 1 1 0% -1
Net profit 83 63 32% 60
Assets* 620 676
T/C obligations** -2,015 -2,570
New building installments less proceeds from vessel -260 -603p o d osales**
60 603
Revenue from coverage** 1,187 1,318
Net commitments -468 -1,179Theoretical NAV: DKK 346 per share
No impairment of fleet values
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* Adjusted for prepayments on vessel sales and currency swaps. ** Present values
No impairment of fleet values
MAJOR TRANSACTIONS
Concluded several COAs with
TankerDry Cargo
2 Handysize tanker vessels industrial clients ~ 2,500 vessel days in total + 3,000 after the quarter
ybought in April delivered to NORDEN during July
5 x 2-year T/C to ShellCancellation of T/C on 1 Capesizevessel
Sold 4 Handysize vessels
y
Took delivery of 3 vessels to active core fleet
y
Restructuring of Handysizenewbuilding orders: 8 vessels have been converted to 9 and reduction of total purchase price by 8 million USD
Net delivery of 4 vessels to active core fleet
Declared POP on 2 vessels after the end of the quarter
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DRY CARGO – SPOT MARKET DEVELOPMENT
Strong coal and grain season lead to solid rates in Panamax and Handymax Downturn hit Capesizes hardThe smaller segments continue to perform wellThe smaller segments continue to perform well
70.000
T/C Earnings (USD per day)
50.000
60.000
30.000
40.000
10.000
20.000
-
jan feb mar apr maj jun jul aug
6Sources: RS Platou, Baltic Exchange
Capesize T/C Panamax T/C Handymax T/C
DRY CARGO MARKET
Chinese commodity import momentum seems to be slowingQ2 iron ore import down 7% Y/Y - coal imports down 18% from previous quarterIncreasing congestion especially in Australian coal ports
Chinese Iron Ore Chinese Coal Imports
60
70
Chinese Iron Ore Imports (m tons)
14
16
18
Chinese Coal Imports (m tons)
50
60
10
12
14
30
40
6
8
20
g-0
7
b-0
8
g-0
8
b-0
9
g-0
9
b-1
0
2
4
g-0
7
b-0
8
g-0
8
b-0
9
g-0
9
b-1
0
7Sources: China Customs, IISI, Bloomberg
Aug
Fe Aug
Fe Aug
Fe Au Fe Au Fe Au Fe
DRY CARGO MARKET
Despite significant shortfalls, actual deliveries continue at high pace36 mill. dwt delivered in H1 – same expected in H2Net fleet growth in small segments much smaller, supporting rates
PctMill dwt D B lk D li i
40%
45%
50%
25
30
35
PctMill dwt Dry Bulk Deliveries
20%
25%
30%
35%
15
20
25
0%
5%
10%
15%
0
5
10
0%0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2008 2009 2010
8Source: RS Platou August 2010
Planned Actual Non delivery (RHA)
TANKER MARKET
Oil demand forecast are driven by Non OECD, mainly ChinaRefinery economics is getting better and output is boosted
90 W ld Oil D d
86 6 86 8
87,6 87,7 88,1 88,0
87
88
89
90 World Oil Demand(mb/d)
84,3 83,9
85,1 85,6
86,0 86,6 86,5
86,8
85
86
87
83,9
82
83
84
80
81
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2009 2010 2011
9Sources: IEA Oil Market Report July 2010, EIA
2009 2010 2011
TANKER MARKET
The peak of fleet growth is behind us in NORDEN’s main segmentsApproximately 10% of the Handysize and MR fleets are single hull
Fleet growth (Pct)
789
Fleet growth (Pct)
3456
0123
-2-10
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
10Source: MSI Q3 2010, Clarksons
10-70k dwt fleet Total 10+k dwt fleet
REVISED 2010 FULL YEAR GUIDANCE
Key assumptionsRevised guidance
Guidance based on current capacityUSDm Dry Cargo Tanker Total Guidance based on current capacityand coverage
No significant new counterparty issues
USDm
EBITDA
Dry Cargo
255-275
Tanker
-5-5
Total
240-270
Only known vessel sales and purchases are included in guidance
Profit from vessel sales
29 + 5 in JV
EBIT 225-255
CAPEX 270-300
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FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements reflectingthe management’s present judgment of future events and financial
results.
Statements relating to the remainder of 2010 and subsequent years aresubject to uncertainty, and NORDEN’s actual results may therefore differfrom the projections. Factors that may cause such variance include, but p j y ,are not limited to, changes in macro-economic and political conditions,
particularly in the Company’s principal markets; changes to the Company’s rate assumptions and operating costs; volatility in rates and
tonnage prices; regulatory changes; any disruptions to traffic and tonnage prices; regulatory changes; any disruptions to traffic and operations as a result of external events, etc.
The presentation should not be interpreted as a recommendation to tradeshares in Dampskibsselskabet NORDEN A/S.
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Q & A
Carsten Mortensen, CEO
Dampskibsselskabet NORDEN A/S
Michael Tønnes Jørgensen, CFO
NORDEN A/S
52 Strandvejen52 StrandvejenDK-2900 HellerupDenmark
T: +45 3315 0451
Martin Badsted, SVP
T: +45 3315 0451F: +45 3315 6199www.ds-norden.com
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