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CB Richard Ellis | Page 2
DOWNTOWN CALGARY OFFICE MARKET..THE FACTS
Strong stable institutional ownership: primarily pension funds
Overall Vacancy – 7.0% (was 11.5% Jan 2011)
YTD absorption - 2.2 million SF!!!!!...that’s a record!!!
Class AA Vacancy – 2.9%
5,845,000 SF built 2009-2012 : ONLY 80,000 SF vacant
Who’s next?....Eighth Avenue Place?....Cadillac Fairview’s City Centre? …Palliser West?... Oxford Eau Claire?
CB Richard Ellis | Page 3
TENANT BUILDING SF
New Deals
Suncor Suncor East 120,000
SNC Lavalin 640 5th 100,000
Meyers Norris Penny LLP 640 5th 68,000
Canadian Forest Oil Ltd. 640 5th 34,000
Crew Energy Centennial 66,000
Talisman/ Sasol PennWest 63,000
Talisman First Canadian Centre 118,000
Imperial Oil BP Centre 75,000
Dover Energy Bow Valley Square 24,000
Husky Energy Western Canadian Place 37,000
IMV Projects 555 4 Avenue SW 34,000
Significant Renewals
SNC Lavalin 5th & 5th 115,000
Paramount, Stikeman, Blakes, Talisman Bankers Hall 800,000
AltaGas Calgary Place II 100,000
Encana Backfill
Apache TD Canada Trust 206,000
TD Bank TD Canada Trust 74,000
Schlumberger One Palliser 140,000
CNRL Bankers Hall East 180,000
Gowlings TD Canada Trust 72,000
Major Lease Transactions 2011
CB Richard Ellis | Page 4
ENCANA OFFICE FALLOUT - Then
One Palliser Square
Floors:
3 – 11
24 – 27Area:
193,000 SF
Encana Place
Floors:
2 – 28Area:
420,000 SF
Bankers Hall East
Floors:
10 – 19Area:
198,000SF
Bankers Hall West
Floors:
7 – 9Area:
61,000 SF
TD Canada Trust
Tower
Floors:
8 – 40Area:
533,000SF
First Canadian
Floors:
19, 20, 23Area:
38,000 SF
Dome Tower
Floor:
17Area:
14,000 SF
Scotia Centre
Floors:
35‐36Area:
28,000 SF
CB Richard Ellis | Page 5
ENCANA OFFICE FALLOUT – Now!!
One Palliser Square
Floors:
3 – 11
24 – 27Area:
193,000 SF
Encana Place
Floors:
2 – 28Area:
420,000 SF
Bankers Hall East
Floors:
10 – 19Area:
198,000 SF
Bankers Hall West
Floors:
7 – 9Area:
61,000 SF
TD Canada Trust
Tower
Floors:
8 – 40Area:
533,000 SF
First Canadian
Floors:
19, 20, 23Area:
38,000 SF
Dome Tower
Floor:
17Area:
14,000 SF
Scotia Centre
Floors:
35‐36Area:
28,000 SF
LEASED
LEASED
90% LEASED
LEASED
Talisman??
???
LEASED
CB Richard Ellis | Page 6
Inventory vs. Vacancy Rates
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
28,000
29,000
30,000
31,000
32,000
33,000
34,000
35,000
36,000
37,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 3Q 2011
Vaca
ncy R
ates
(%)
Inve
ntor
y (00
0's)
SF
Years
Historical Calgary Downtown O ffice Inventory vs. Vacancy Rates 2000 - 3Q 2011
Inventory Vacancy
2000 – 3Q 2011
CB Richard Ellis | Page 7
Absorption
-1,500-1,000
-5000
5001,0001,5002,0002,500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD 2011
Abso
rptio
n 00
0's S
F
Years
Calgary Downtown Office Absorption 2000 - YTD 2011
2000 – YTD 2011
CB Richard Ellis | Page 8
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Class AA Class A Class B Class C Class D
Abso
rptio
n (S
F)
Classes
YTD 2011 Downtown O ffice Absorption
Downtown YTD 2011 Absorption
CB Richard Ellis | Page 9
2012 – WHAT TO EXPECT
• Continued Confidence, Continued
Investment
• Demand to Remain Stable…velocity to slow
down
• Product Offerings Deteriorate
• Increased Focus on Renewal Leasing
• New Developments (8th Ave West, City
Centre, Eau Claire Tower, Bow South,
Centre 10)
CB Richard Ellis | Page 11
•60,000 sq.ft. Oil and Gas company
•Renewal offer for 10 years.•$25 psf – years 1‐5•$32 psf – years 6‐10•$90 psf tenant improvement allowance
•Brokerage fee•Approx. NER of $13.71 psf
Fifth Avenue Place - Brookfield
CB Richard Ellis | Page 12
•20,000 sq.ft. Law firm•Renewal offer for 10 years.•$28 psf – years 1‐5•$32 psf – years 6‐10•$60 psf tenant improvement allowance
•Brokerage fee•Approx. NER of $19.84 psf
Barclay Centre
CB Richard Ellis | Page 13
•150,000 sq.ft. Oil and Gas company
•Offer for 10 years on upper floors.•$38 psf – years 1‐5•$45 psf – years 6‐10•$100 psf tenant improvement allowance
•Brokerage fee•Approx. NER of $22.56 psf
Eighth Avenue Place - West
CB Richard Ellis | Page 14
Brad, would you have done any of these deals as a tenant? If not,
please comment.
Encana