quality growth; growing returns
TRANSCRIPT
Alison CooperChief Executive
Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference June 2016
Quality Growth; Growing Returns
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Disclaimer
Certain statements in this presentationconstitute or may constitute forward-lookingstatements. Any statement in thispresentation that is not a statement ofhistorical fact including, without limitation,those regarding the Company’s futureexpectations, operations, financialperformance, financial condition andbusiness is or may be a forward-lookingstatement. Such forward-looking statementsare subject to risks and uncertainties thatmay cause actual results to differ materiallyfrom those projected or implied in anyforward-looking statement. These risks anduncertainties include, among other factors,changing economic, financial, business orother market conditions. These and otherfactors could adversely affect the outcome
and financial effects of the plans and eventsdescribed in this presentation. As a result,you are cautioned not to place any relianceon such forward-looking statements. Theforward-looking statements reflect knowledgeand information available at the date of thispresentation and the Company undertakes noobligation to update its view of such risks anduncertainties or to update the forward-lookingstatements contained herein. Nothing in thispresentation should be construed as a profitforecast or profit estimate and no statementin this presentation should be interpreted tomean that the future earnings per share ofthe Company for current or future financialyears will necessarily match or exceed thehistorical or published earnings per share ofthe Company. This presentation has been
prepared for, and only for the members of theCompany, as a body, and no other persons.The Company, its directors, employees,agents or advisers do not accept or assumeresponsibility to any other person to whomthis presentation is shown or into whosehands it may come and any suchresponsibility or liability is expresslydisclaimed. The material in this presentationis not provided for tobacco productadvertising or promotional purposes. Thismaterial does not constitute and should notbe construed as constituting an offer to sell,or a solicitation of an offer to buy, anytobacco products. The Company’s productsare sold only in compliance with the laws ofthe particular jurisdictions in which they aresold.
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Introducing Imperial Brands
160 markets
36,400 employees
Top 5 marketsUS
GermanyUK
AustraliaSpain
5 year TSR+125%Dividend
+10% pa
Adjusted operating
profit
£3.1bn
3 | Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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AGILITY
Maximise sustainable shareholder returns
Develop Footprint
• Opportunities in Growth Markets
• Balanced approach in Returns Markets
Drive CostOptimisation
• Operating model
• Lean manufacturing
• Overhead control
Embed CapitalDiscipline
• Cash conversion
• Capital allocation: investment, dividend and debt repayment
Strengthen Portfolio
• Further simplification
• Investment in Growth & Specialist Brands
• E-vapour development
A Clear Strategy
QUALITY DISCIPLINE
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Quality GrowthBrand and market choices
Fewer, bigger, stronger
Returns&
Growth
Markets that matter
Rigorous evaluation
Balanced approach
Focus on profitable growth
Optimise portfolio
Strengthen brands
Build equity
Growth Brands
Portfolio Brands
Brands Footprint
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Sep 13 Sep 15 TargetBrands
249
200
12520%
50%
Targeting 50% reduction
Strengthening the portfolio
Start
*Brand count excludes Premium cigar and Fontem Ventures brands
Sep 13 Sep 15 TargetBrand Market Units
1076
911
53515%
50%
Focus on Fewer, Bigger, Stronger
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Growth & Specialist BrandsFocus for Quality Growth
Growth Brands Specialist Brands
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Simplifying the PortfolioPrioritising to removing complexity
Simplification Options
Delist
Brands and SKUs with low commercial and
strategic value
c.20% tail SKUs delisted (limited commercial impact)
Migrate
Brands overlapping with Growth Brands (where transition commercially
viable)
38 migration cases completed(+25% Growth Brand volume by
end of FY16)
Divest
Segments which are small, declining and
non-strategic
Pipe, chewing tobacco, snuff sold in FY15
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Removing Portfolio Complexity
Best of both equities
Consumer retention >95%
Strong in the
south
Strong in the north
New range: strong nationally
International consumer brand switch
Market focus strategy
Combine for scale Local to international Portfolio clean up
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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81% 91%today after
Reality: Insufficient shelf space for full portfolio
Need: Drive distribution behind top SKUs
Knock On: Increased rate of sales (‘halo effect’)
Average weighted distribution of strongest SKUs
Average shelfspace
SKUs today
Rat
e of
sal
es
Weighted distribution and on-shelf availability, advocacy
46
84Market example
Taking Portfolio Transformation FurtherGrowth & cost saving opportunities
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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• Easier to navigate• Better availability
• Easier to manage • Better economics
• Focused investment• Targeted activation• Lower costs
Grow the Head and Cut the TailBenefits consumer, retailer and manufacturer
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
Consumer
Retailer
Imperial
Grow the Head Cut the Tail
• Increased SKU scale• Consolidate formats• Standardise inputs
• Simplify footprint• Enhance productivity• Fund reinvestment
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Further Simplification: RussiaBrand reduction from fourteen to five
Primary Secondary
Top Cities
Maintain(4 Brands) / Launch (P&S)
Maintain(4 brands) /
Launch (P&S)
Delist (5 Brands)Delist(5 brands)
Migrate (4 Brands)Migrate(4 brands)
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16
Russia: Focused Choices Paying Off
Source: Nielsen
Improved market share of Growth and Specialist Brands
Balkan Star migration & portfolio simplification
• “Grow the head” pilot market
• Better portfolio quality
• Reduced complexity
• Positive feedback from tradeM
arke
tsha
re (%
)
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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51 54 57 5975
49 46 43 4125
FY13 FY14 FY15 HY16 Target
More revenue from strongest brands
Growth & Specialist BrandsPortfolio Brands
20
40
110
80
FY13 FY14 FY15 HY16
Growing share of Growth Brands
Providing Platform for Sustainable Quality GrowthImproving quality of growth
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Investing in Markets that MatterClear priorities
Based on industry profit pool potential and our ability to win
Leverage sales growth drivers across our footprint
New operating model improving efficiencies and effectiveness
Agile
Effective
Disciplined
Portfolio optimisation strategy driving simplicity
Growth Brands
Portfolio Brands
Disciplined and agile approach to market investment choices
Returns&
Growth
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Chosing Markets that MatterHow we evaluate our markets
Market attractiveness
Our ability to win
• Macro-economic environment
• Market size and profit pool
• Affordability and pricing dynamic
• Regulatory landscape
• Strength of portfolio in market
• Relative profitability
• Distribution and customer relationships
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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0
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
Venezuela
India
Morocco
Bulgaria
Rom
ania
Indonesia
Thailand
Egypt
Ukraine
Vietnam
Ireland
Malaysia
Poland
UK
Turkey
Portugal
Czech R
ep.
Brazil
Norw
ay
Slovakia
Greece
Netherlands
France
Australia
Spain
Italy
Belgium
Sweden
Saudi Arabia
Russia
Germ
any
Argentina
Austria
Japan
Taiwan
US
A
South Korea
No presence or revenue < 0.5%
Affordability
Data Source: Euromonitor
Majority of revenue from most affordable markets
Growth Markets
330
c.75% revenue in markets with better than average affordability
average
Min
uets
of l
abou
r at a
vg. w
age
per 2
0 ci
gare
ttes
Returns MarketsMarkets representing > 0.5% of IMB net revenue:
≈
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Market Investment Criteria in Action
Macro Market size Growth of profit pool Affordability Regulation Ability
to winInvest today
Germany
Ukraine
Saudi
India
=
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Investment in New Consumer Experiences
Global• blu• Product range
Invest • Brand• Innovation • Digital
Global • blu• product range
Build• Lean scalable
operating model
Profitability• 4 markets• IP licensing
blu the consumer preferred e-vapour brand
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• Stable economy
• Growing consumer confidence
• World’s largest profit pool1
• High affordability – long term growth potential
• Stable regulatory environment
A great start for ITG Brands
Market Attractiveness Ability to Win
• Highly experienced team
• New distributor contracts
• Strong cigarette, cigar and E-vapour portfolio
Investing in the US
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
Premium Discount Cigar E-vapour
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• No.6 brand in US• National focus - all states• > 90% through stores under contract• New packaging• New advertising• New relationship marketing
Growing awareness, availability and visibility
Winston - premium
Investing in Brand Equity
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
Kool – premium menthol
• No.10 brand in US• Focus in key menthol states • Growing segment – 32% of market• New advertising• New relationship marketing
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1.60
1.70
1.80
1.90
2.00
2.10
2.20
2.30
2.40
2.502.37
2.002.00
Merger
*Share based on 4 week rolling average volume
Strengthening Share of Focus Brands
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Building momentum M
arke
t sha
re*
1.73 1.71
1.88
Start of increased
promo 2.17
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Agility – Transforming our Operating ModelSimplification supports new ways of working
160 markets
5 divisions
250 brands
2 supply functions
No shared services
High fixed costs
5 manufacturing regions
Inconsistent processes
Fewer bigger clusters
Focused market investment
Lean principles
Even more variable costs
Stronger portfolio
Optimised footprint
Global business services
Industry leading process execution
Our Past Our Present Our Future
8 integrated end-to-end processes
20 clusters
3 divisions
1 function
More variable costs
5 brand chassis
4 manufacturing regions
3 business services
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
42% 43%
46%
Discipline – Focus Supports Financial Delivery
Growing our margins
Growing margin and cash generation
43% 44%
Average2011-13
2013 2014 2015 HY16 Target
82%
95%
105%
97%
91%
86%
Growing cash conversion
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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6373
8495
105116
128
141
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Dividend pence per share
Quality, Agility, Discipline; Supports Returns
• 8th year of > 10% growth
• 12% CAGR since 2008
• £8bn in declared dividends
Consistent growth in dividend
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016
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Delivering More ReturnsInvestment case
Investing for quality growth; brands, products and markets with long-term profit potential
Value creation supported by agility and discipline; continuous
improvement
Strong cash generation 10% dividend growth pa over medium term
Deutsche Bank Consumer Conference | June 2016