Food & Agribusiness Research and Advisory August 2018

New Zealand

Agribusiness Monthly August 2018

Dairy Short-term sentiment to remain clouded by trade wars and the upcoming spring peak in New Zealand.

BeefRabobank expects the ongoing competition for a tightening supply, combined with the weaker NZD, to continue to put upward pressure on prices throughout August.

SheepmeatRabobank expects procurement competition to continue to put some upward pressure on prices throughout August; however, ever-tightening processor margins may limit just how much higher prices can reach.

Wool Outlook for coarse crossbred wool still subdued, with demand still slow to increase.

Wine Significant value and volume growth into key export markets US and Canada.

Horticulture Export volumes and values lift for NZ fresh blueberry exports to Australia.

Fertiliser A rise in crop prices continues to support demand growth for DAP and, in turn, prices.

FXAs monetary policy in the US tightens and NZ settings remain unchanged, we continue to expect to see the NZD soften to USc 65 by July 2019.

OilBrent Crude falls month-on-month for the first time in six months, although Rabobank expects a move back over USc 80/bbl in Q3

Commodity Outlook

NIWA is forecasting average temperatures for the North Island through to October 2018, while South Island temperatures are anticipated to be either above-average (40% chance) or near-average (35% chance) over the same period.

Rainfall totals from August to October 2018 are likely to be near normal (40% chance) or below-normal (35% to 40% chance) for the east of the North Island and the top of both islands. The remainder of the country is likely to receive normal rainfall across this period.

There is an equal chance of normal or below-normal soil moisture levels for the north and east of the North Island. Below-normal soil moisture levels are forecast for the east of the South Island. The remainder of the country is forecast to have soil moisture levels either in the near-normal or above-normal range through to October 2018.

Climate

What to watch

El Nio conditions. International guidance suggests a 55% chance of El Nio conditions developing for the tropical Pacific over the coming months to October 2018. The likelihood of El Nio conditions increases over the summer months, with a 78% chance for El Nio conditions between February and April 2019.

Soil moisture anomaly (mm), 2 August 2018Wetter than normal (mm)

60

40

20

10

0

-10

-20

-30

-50

Drier than normal

Source: NIWA, Rabobank 2018

Dairy

Dry Conditions Impacting MarginsMild winter conditions have continued across most regions, helping ramp up low-volume winter milk collections by 11% YOY for June 2018. NIWA forecasts mostly favourable weather in key dairy regions to carry on over the coming three months, as calves continue to drop on the ground around the country: a crucial period for setting the production tone for the remainder of the season.

Elsewhere, weather risks are escalating, and starting to impact milk production and feed costs in key exporting regions. Hot and dry conditions are impacting feed availability in the European Union. Continuing severe drought in the south-west of the US has slowed production in some areas, while Argentine dairy producers are feeling the bite of increased input costs on margins.

Global commodity prices were generally weaker in July. Trade tensions continue to weigh on market sentiment, while a number of key import markets have sufficient short-term inventory cover. Combined, this has had the effect of muting demand for dairy and softening commodity prices.

What to watch Changes to Westland Milk Products capital structure. Westlands board has appointed

Macquarie Capital and DG Advisory to consider potential capital and ownership options, with the aim of creating a more sustainable capital structure and supporting a higher potential payout. The strategic review options will include introducing a cornerstone investor, a merger, or divestment of the cooperative. Shareholders will vote on any proposals, with the first update on the process expected before Christmas.

Increasing Weather Risks to Global Supply

Source: USDA, Rabobank 2018 Source: Rabobank 2018

Latest month Last three months

EU 1.5% (May) 1.0%

US 1.2% (Jun) 0.8%

Australia -1.4% (Jun) 2.0%

NZ 0.1% (2017/18 season final)

Production growth key exporting regionsGlobal dairy prices, Jul 2014-Jul 2018

1,000

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3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

USD

/ton

ne F

OB

Butter SMP WMP Cheese

Beef

Procurement Pressure Upping PricesPrices across all classes of cattle made further gains during July, as the seasonal decline in domestic production continued to create increasing procurement competition among processors. As at the start of August, the North Island bull price is 1% higher MOM, averaging NZD 5.35/kg cwt, with the South Island bull price up 5% MOM, averaging NZD 5.30/kg cwt. The lower NZD against the USD has also helped to support these price increases.

The latest available slaughter data (up to 7 July) shows New Zealands season-to-date beef kill remains well ahead of last season, with 9.6% more beef having been slaughtered so far this season, compared to the same stage in the 2016/17 season. It has been the jump in the number of cows (+12.2%) and bulls (18.4%) killed that has driven this increase, with steer and heifer kill numbers increasing only marginally: 1.4% and 3.4%, respectively. An increase in the number of calves being raised for beef and the culling of cattle impacted by the M.Bovis disease outbreak are two of the main factors behind this increased cow and bull kill.

While New Zealands largest export market, the US, remains under pressure from increasing volumes of domestic supply, to date, exporters have been able to hold the average value received for New Zealand beef exports at essentially the same level since 2015/16. At NZD 6,565/tonne, this seasons average export value is 1% higher than last seasons average value, and effectively the same average value that was received in 2015/16.

Rabobank expects the ongoing competition for a tightening supply, combined with the weaker NZD, to continue to put upward pressure on prices throughout August.

What to watch

Exchange rate gains. Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service data shows that exchange rate movements in New Zealand farmers favour over the course of the 2017/18 season have added an average of NZD 59 to the farmgate price of cattle. It is estimated that the average farmgate price per head of cattle (all grades) for 2017/18 will be NZD 1,327. This is a NZD 75/head increase on the average per head price received in 2016/17 (NZD 1,252). Market price gain accounted for the remaining NZD 16 price increase.

North Island Bull Price

Source: NZX AgriHQ, Rabobank 2018

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Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep

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2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sheepmeat

Lamb Hits Record PricesThe continual upward price movements over the last few months have pushed schedule prices in both islands through the NZD 8/kg threshold, the highest price ever recorded for August. As of the start of August, the slaughter price in the North Island averaged NZD 8.10/kg cwt (3% higher MOM), while South Island lamb averaged NZD 8.00/kg cwt (4% higher MOM).

As is normal at this stage of the season, ongoing price lifts are predominantly driven by procurement competition for an increasingly shrinking supply of lambs available for slaughter. The latest available slaughter data (up to start of July) shows New Zealands total lamb kill for the season-to-date remains only marginally ahead (+2%) of the low numbers seen last season. However, there is a clear split between the islands, with the North Island kill currently +5.7%, while the South Island kill is -1.1%. This would indicate that a greater proportion than normal of the remaining supply will be sourced from the South Island.

Export data for Oct-Jun reveals just how strong New Zealands lamb exports are currently performing, with total lamb export receipts for the first three quarters of this season (NZD 2.590bn) up 23% on the same period last season, thereby already surpassing the total value of lamb export receipts for the entire 2016/17 season (NZD 2.537bn). The increased value has predominantly been driven through improving average export values, which, at NZD 10,375/tonne, are currently 16% higher than last seasons average export value. However, season-to-date export volumes are also 4% higher, helping to support the overall increase in export returns.

Rabobank expects procurement competition to continue to put some upward pressure on prices throughout August; however, ever-tightening processor margins may limit just how much higher prices can reach.

What to watch Increasing on-farm inflation. B+LNZs Sheep and Beef On-farm Inflation report shows prices for

sheep and beef farm inputs increased +2% in 2018. This is the first increase since 2015, following decreases of -2% in 2016 and -0.2% in 2017. Prices increased for all of the 16 input categories measured, except fertiliser, lime, and seeds. Fuel recorded the greatest increase in price, followed by prices for insurance and electricity. While improved scheduled prices should ensure most farmers are able to absorb these extra costs, farmers will still be keeping a keen eye on their own cost structure to protect against any unnecessary increases in on-farm expenditure.

South Island Lamb Price and NZ Lamb Slaughter

South Island lamb price, Oct 2015-Aug 2018

Source: NZX AgriHQ, Rabobank 2018 Source: NZ Meat Board, Rabobank 2018

New Zealand Lamb Slaughter (YTD, 7 July), 2016/17 vs. 2017/18

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8,000,000

12,000,000

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20,000,000

2016/17 2017/18

head

South Island North Island

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Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep

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/kg

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2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Wool

Disappointing Start to 2018/19Having had a positive run through the last quarter of the 2017/18 season, the first sales of the new season have seen a disappointing fall in prices and clearance rates at auction. The finer end of the New Zealand market held somewhat better in the South Island sale in mid-July, but coarse crossbred saw lacklustre demand.

This is an unfortunate note on which to commence the season, with the last few months pointing to some, albeit moderate, improved demand levels for broader wool. While the market in Australia also saw some softening through the first two sales of the new season, the 30micron indicator has actually lifted 5% through the month.

While the final export report for the 2017/18 season does reflect the better conditions in the market, with an 18% lift in the volume of exports for the season, Junes shipments saw a month-on-month decline of 19%.

China is New Zealands largest wool market, although its share of coarse wool exports is generally lower than overall shipments, at 27% in 2017/18. While overall volumes shipped to China lifted 37%, compared with 2016/17, this was predominantly driven by an increase in fine crossbred wool volumes, with a more minor lift in coarse wool. Sustained lifts in coarse crossbred wool prices will be difficult until there are some clearer signals for demand from the worlds largest wool processor. Positively, exports of coarse crossbred wool to India lifted to their highest level since 2009/10.

What to watch The fine wool market has softened marginally in Australia in the lead-up to the recess. The

next update for production is expected from the Australian Wool Production Forecast Committee in August and will be an important update as to the impact of the current dry conditions on the Australian clip, and subsequent global supply of merino and medium-micron wool in the 2018/19 season.

Source: Beef & Lamb NZ 2018

June exports fall to lowest level in five months, Jul 2013-Jun 2018

0

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6,000

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12,000

15,000

Jul-1

3

Sep

-13

Nov

-13

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14

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-14

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-14

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4

Sep

-14

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-14

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15

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-15

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5

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-15

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16

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-16

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-16

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6

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-16

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-16

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17

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-17

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-17

Jul-1

7

Sep

-17

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-17

Jan-

18

Mar

-18

May

-18

EU China Other Southern Asia

Wool Exports Waver in June

Wine

North American Markets Favourable for NZ WineBoth the US and Canada are key export markets for NZ wine, along with Australia and the UK.

The US is now considered the worlds most significant market by volume and value (see the Rabobank Wine Quarterly Q3 2018). Absolute growth for NZ exports to the US over the period 2012 to 2017 has been NZD 246m, which is a CAGR of nearly 14%.

Imports into the US continue to reflect a premiumisation trend there. Bottled wine imports into the US from higher-value suppliers such as NZ and France continue to grow. Declines are occurring in bottled wine volumes for lower-priced suppliers such as Australia and Chile.

Canada is also a growing market for NZ exports, but at a slower pace than the US. Canada contributed absolute growth over the period 2012 to 2017 of NZD 42m, a CAGR of 9%.

While Chile and Australia also export greater volumes of wine into Canada than NZ, again NZ sits at a higher pricing point per litre in Canada.

What to watch Post-Brexit market access. With the Brexit date set for 29 March 2019, exporters should be

mindful of any potential disruption to entry into the UK afterwards. Intentions to keep trade freely flowing will remain front-of-mind for the UK. Even so, exporters should consider strategies to ensure sufficient volumes of product are in-market pre-Brexit to ensure availability post-Brexit, should any disruptions occur.

Key NZ Export Markets Continue to Grow

Source: Statistics NZ Infoshare, Rabobank 2018

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

0

150,000,000

300,000,000

450,000,000

600,000,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

shar

e of

NZ

abso

lute

gro

wth

NZD

(FO

B) v

alue

exp

orts

US Total Sales Canada Total Sales

US Share of NZ Absolute Growth 2012-17 (RHS) Canada Share of NZ Absolute Growth 2012-17 (RHS)

Both the US and Canada are key NZ markets that had a combined contribution of over 60% of NZ absolute value growth between the period 2012 to 2017.

US and Canada exports: value growth continues, 2012-2017

Horticulture

Blueberry Exports to Australia LiftTotal volumes of NZ fresh blueberry exports were up slightly year-on-year to key export market Australia for the year ending July 2018. This was following a challenging period of weather across NZ in late 2017 and early 2018, impacting fruit quality.

Australian domestic production volumes have continued to grow by almost a third since 2013, sitting at around 9,353 tonnes in 2017. Australian consumption has grown, but is still modest, at less than 400 grams per capita (300 grams in 2013).

However, Australian domestic production has not kept pace with domestic consumption, allowing NZ to continue to increase its export volumes there.

NZ export volumes of fresh blueberries lifted by around 7.6% YOY to July 2018, with a slight increase of around NZD 0.75/kg (FOB), or 3%. This export volume was around 11% lower than the record export volume in the year to July 2016. However, with an elevated price, total returns were similar, at FOB NZD 33.4m.

NZ is a key supply market for Australia for fresh blueberries, with NZ increasing its exports to Australia by over 1,000 tonnes since 2006. This is a compound average growth rate of around 19% for the period.

NZ itself exports to very few other countries in any significant volume, with more than 93% of its export volume going to Australia.

What to watch Pipfruit opportunities. Following a significant frost event in some of Chinas key apple-growing

regions earlier in the year, a watch on the impact to the countrys crop. With China the worlds largest apple producer, any material impact to its crop will have flow-on effects for all exporters.

While not a significant market, at around 2% of NZ apple export value in 2017, Indias continued refusal to grant Chinese apples entry on phytosanitary grounds may also present NZ exporters with an opportunity.

0

10

20

30

40

0

400

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1,200

1,600

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

valu

e N

ZD m

illio

n (F

OB)

tonn

es

Export Volume Export Receipts

Blueberry Exports to Australia Continue to Grow

Source: Statistics NZ, Infoshare, Rabobank 2018

Export volume improved on 2017, but difficult weather conditions impacting fruit quality restricted a potentially higher export volume.

Annual exports to Australia to July, 2006-2018

Fertiliser

DAP Price Streak ContinuesPrices of DAP ex-US Gulf have been on an upward trend since November 2017. The AUD-adjusted price rose 2% during July, to AUD 584/tonne. Firming demand, following improved crop prices, is pushing prices higher from the low price environment experienced in 2016 and 2017. Market commentators have noted that the USD 12bn government support package has driven some demand, while over the next month, tighter US supply and prolonged demand will continue the growth in prices.

Urea prices were moderately stable through July, up 1% MOM, with urea ex-Middle East closing July at AUD 385/tonne. India announced a new tender of an unspecified amount of urea for loading in September. Price movement over the next two months will largely depend on Iran's involvement in supplying the tender, after quoting a significantly lower price than other suppliers. The reduction of lower-priced Iranian supply in other global markets will act to firm prices.

MOP ex-Vancouver slightly lost ground in July, down 1% MOM, closing at AUD 292/tonne. There has been no news regarding the Chinese potash negation, which sets benchmark prices for the proceeding 12 months.

In industry news, Balance announced a 25% lift in its gross trading result. Also announced was that the NZD 45/tonne rebate will continue.

What to watch Spring is the key time for urea applications in NZ. With the milk price profitable and positive

seasonal conditions for urea, demand is expected to remain strong.

NZ reported retail prices, Aug 2012-Aug 2018

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1,000

Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

NZD

/ton

ne

Super Phosphate (SSP) Urea Cropmaster DAP

Local Prices Remain Stable

Source: Bloomberg , Rabobank 2018

FX

NZ Dollar Fall Slows in JulyAfter losing USc 2.5 against the USD in June, the NZD fell another cent in July to sit at USc 67.49 on 8 August.

As widely expected, the Fed kept the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 1.75% to 2.00% in July. But the FOMC upgraded its assessment of economic growth to strong from solid, reflecting the strong Q2 GDP report (4.1% growth) published in late July.

The committee stated that it expects that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labour market conditions, and inflation near the committees symmetric 2% objective over the medium term.

We continue to expect at least one more interest rate hike in the US the next 12 months. But if the trade conflicts do not escalate and the yield curve does not invert before the end of the year, a further additional hike becomes a distinct possibility. The Fed itself has three more hikes planned for 2019, according to its current published dot plot.

While the US continues on a phase of monetary policy tightening, the situation in NZ is far more benign. We expect the RBNZ to keep the overnight cash rate unchanged at 1.75% when it meets on 9 August, given domestic inflation remains below the 2% mid-point of its target, and trade tensions are causing considerable uncertainty about the regional and global economic outlook.

As monetary policy in the US tightens and NZ settings remain unchanged, we continue to expect to see the NZD soften to USc 65 by July 2019,

What to watch The potential for further depreciation in the Chinese CNY. Somewhat unusually, the PBOC

allowed the CNY to drop another 2.5% against the USD in the month to 3 August, with the CNY now down 8.7% in value against the USD since February more than the NZD has fallen. Thus, while NZ exporters have become more competitive against those in the US, they have seen no improvement against Chinese ag producers with potential to even lose ground in coming months as the PBOC switches to easing monetary policy to support domestic demand.

What to watch

0.66

0.68

0.70

0.72

0.74

0.76

NZD

/USD

Source: RBA, Rabobank 2018

NZ/US dollar cross rate, Nov 2016-Aug 2018

NZ Dollar Fall Slows in July

Oil & Freight

Tides Turn on Brent CrudeBrent Crude failed to reach a sixth consecutive month of gains, falling 3.9% MOM, closing July at USc 74.25/bbl. Supply factors continue to dominate headlines following OPECs decision on 22 June to increase production. Supply grew faster than expected from the worlds top-three oil producers: the US, Russia, and Saudi Arabia. US production topped 11mb/d, up from 10.5mb/d in April. During the OPEC agreement, Saudi Arabia produced ~10mb/d, but following the 22 June decision, it is now producing closer to 11mb/d. Production growth in Russia was largely stagnant from May 2017 to May 2018, but the country has now increased production to 11.2mb/d, up 0.3mb/d since May.

Despite extra production, tensions in the Middle East continue to impact prices. Saudi Arabia suspended exports on one of its key trade routes after being attacked by Iranian-backed Yemini rebels. In addition, President Trumps constructive meeting with the president of the European Commission has put the trade war on hold, adding support to prices. Rabobank forecasts prices to move back above USc 80/bbl during Q3, before moving toward USc 75/bbl in the first half of 2019.

The first sixth months of 2018 were mixed for the Baltic Dry Index. Freight rates contracted during Q1, before moving on an upward trend during Q2. The Baltic Dry Index increased 22% MOM during July, up 325 index points, to 1,747. Traditionally, freight demand is lower during the northern hemisphere summer, lowering prices. Freight rates have been supported by strong demand on key iron ore routes. Rabobank maintains its view that freight rates will continue to increase, with dry bunker fuel trading in a higher range and a limited number of new capacity coming online.

What to watch

Iran sanctions. New US sanctions against Iran come into affect in early August. The market is concerned the effect a fall in supply will have on upward Brent Crude price movement.

Source: Bloomberg, Rabobank 2018

Brent Crude Oil, Aug 2015-Aug 2018 Baltic Dry Index, Aug 2015-Aug 2018

Source: AIP, Bloomberg, Rabobank 2018

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Agri Price Dashboard As of 6/08 /2018 Unit MOM Current Last month Last year

Grains & oilseeds

CB OT wheat USc/bushel 575 513 455CB OT soybeans USc/bushel 8 77 8 74 949CB OT corn USc/bushel 371 352 367Australian ASX EC Wheat AUD/tonne 395 322 271Australian Canola AUD/tonne 58 3 530 514

B eef markets

Eastern Young Cattle Indicator AUc/kg cwt 477 512 574Feeder Steer AUc/kg lwt 28 5 28 8 317North Island B ull 300kg NZc/kg cwt 535 530 555South Island B ull 300kg NZc/kg cwt 530 505 500

Sheepmeat markets

Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator AUc/kg cwt 778 714 599North Island Lamb 17.5kg YX NZc/kg cwt 8 10 78 5 675South Island Lamb 17.5kg YX NZc/kg cwt 8 00 770 665

Venison markets

North Island Stag NZc/kg cwt 1,100 1,08 0 8 90South Island Stag NZc/kg cwt 1,135 1,110 910

Dairy Markets

B utter USD/tonne FOB 5,025 5,68 8 5,975Skim Milk Powder USD/tonne FOB 2,038 2,063 2,013Whole Milk Powder USD/tonne FOB 3,000 3,200 3,225Cheddar USD/tonne FOB 3,700 3,925 4,000

Dashboard

As of 6/08/2018Unit MOMCurrentLast month Last year CheckDaily Values

Grains & oilseedsCurrent8/6/18

CBOT wheat USc/bushel 1575513455GreenLast Month7/6/18

CBOT soybeans USc/bushel 1877874949GreenLast Year 8/4/17

CBOT corn USc/bushel 1371352367Green

Australian ASX EC Wheat AUD/tonne 1395322271GreenBloomberg Add-In Help:

Australian Canola AUD/tonne1583530514Greenhttps://www.unisg.ch/~/media/internet/content/dateien/unisg/schools/sof/excel-addin-troubleshooting.pdf

Beef markets

Eastern Young Cattle Indicator AUc/kg cwt -1477512574RedHow to Update the Dashboard

Feeder SteerAUc/kg lwt -1285288317Red1. Update the raw data for each commodity through Bloomberg, MLA, USDA, etc.

North Island Bull 300kgNZc/kg cwt 1535530555Green2. Fill down daily values column for each commodity

South Island Bull 300kgNZc/kg cwt 1530505500Green3. Update the daily values key dates in the table above

Sheepmeat markets4. Change the 'As of' dates in the top left corner of the dashboard

Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator AUc/kg cwt 1778714599Green

North Island Lamb 17.5kg YX NZc/kg cwt1810785675Green

South Island Lamb 17.5kg YX NZc/kg cwt1800770665Green

Venison markets

North Island StagNZc/kg cwt11,1001,080890Green

South Island StagNZc/kg cwt11,1351,110910Green

Dairy MarketsNote for Nov: WMP arrow is overridden

Butter USD/tonne FOB -15,0255,6885,975Red

Skim Milk Powder USD/tonne FOB-12,0382,0632,013Red

Whole Milk Powder USD/tonne FOB-13,0003,2003,225Red

Cheddar USD/tonne FOB -13,7003,9254,000Red

As of 6/08/2018Unit MOMCurrentLast month Last year

Cotton markets

Cotlook A IndexUSc/lb1999280Green

ICE No.2 NY Futures (nearby contract)USc/lb188.786.471.0Green

Sugar markets

ICE Sugar No.11USc/lb-110.9811.5114.14Red

ICE Sugar No.11 (AUD)AUD/tonne-1328342394Red

Wool markets

Australian Eastern Market IndicatorAUc/kg -11,9811,9941,522Red

NZ Coarse Crossbred IndicatorNZc/kg -1312341280Red

Fertiliser

Urea USD/tonne FOB 1285280203Green

DAP USD/tonne FOB1434420344Green

Other

Baltic Dry Index 1000=198511,7731,6221,032Green

Brent Crude Oil USD/bbl-1747752Red

Economics/currency

AUD vs. USD-10.7390.7430.792Red

NZD vs. USD-10.6730.6830.741Red

RBA Official Cash Rate %01.501.501.50Black

NZRB Official Cash Rate %01.751.751.75Black

https://www.unisg.ch/~/media/internet/content/dateien/unisg/schools/sof/excel-addin-troubleshooting.pdf

Urea Data

Urea

BloombergDaily Values

Urea - Middle east

GCFPURMG Equity

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10/14/133201/13/17270

10/21/133201/14/17270

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11/17/143753/10/17275

11/24/143753/11/17275

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1/22/161955/12/17210

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11/3/17288

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12/1/17225

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12/8/17235

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Urea Chart

41218412254123241239412464125341260412814128841295413024130941316413234133041337413444135141358413654137241379413864139341400414074141441421414284143541442414494145641463414704147741484414914149841505415124151941526415334154041547415544156141568415754158241589415964160341610416174162441631416454165241659416664167341680416874169441701417084171541722417294173641743417504175741764417714177841785417924179941806418134182041827418344184141848418554186241869418764188341890418974190441911419184192541932419394194641953419604196741974419814198841995420094201642023420304203742044420514205842065420724207942086420934210042107421144212142128421354214242149421564216342170421774218442191421984220542212422194222642233422404224742254422614226842275422824228942296423034231042317423244233142338423454235242359423704237342377423804238442387423914239842405424124241942426424334244042447424544246142468424754248242489424964250342510425174252442531425384254542552425594256642573425804258742594426014260842615426224262942636426434265042657426644267142678426854269242699427064271342720427274274142748427554276242769427764278342790427974280442811428184282542832428394284642853428604286742874428814288842895429024290942916429234293042937429444295142958429654297242979429864299343000430074301443021430284303543042430410410410410410410410410420420445445445440430460420410410410410400365360360360360350330330330325320325335340340340340340340300300300320320320320320315315335335340370375375375375375410410410410410410410360325325325325325325325315315315315315320320320320320320330325340340340375375370375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375300300300285275275275275275285300300300310310310315315305305285285285285285285285285280275275255250250263270270270265265247247240240240229229210210195195195200210220220220215205205208208215220220220218218218208210210200195185181185185195196196196196196195195200200212212225225250250240225225245260270275282282275275270270275275222212212221221221205210210210199205206206192190190200200203210225226226240250290275275275281281288

USD/tonne

DAP Data

DAP

BloombergDaily Values

DAP - US Gulf

GCFPDAGE Index

DatePX_LASTDatePX_LAST

ERROR:#NAME?55711/1/16330

5/14/1255711/2/16330

5/21/1255711/3/16330

5/28/1255711/4/16325

6/4/1256511/5/16325

6/11/1256511/6/16325

6/18/1257011/7/16325

6/25/1257011/8/16325

7/2/1257011/9/16325

7/9/1257011/10/16325

7/16/1257011/11/16325

7/23/1257011/12/16325

7/30/1256511/13/16325

8/6/1256811/14/16325

8/13/1256811/15/16325

8/20/1257011/16/16325

8/27/1257011/17/16325

9/3/1257011/18/16325

9/10/1257011/19/16325

9/17/1257011/20/16325

9/24/1257011/21/16325

10/1/1257011/22/16325

10/8/1257011/23/16325

10/15/1255511/24/16325

10/22/1253511/25/16325

10/29/1253511/26/16325

11/5/1253511/27/16325

11/12/1253011/28/16325

11/19/1252811/29/16325

11/26/1252811/30/16325

12/3/1250012/1/16325

12/10/1250212/2/16325

12/17/1250212/3/16325

1/7/1350212/4/16325

1/14/1350212/5/16325

1/21/1348512/6/16325

1/28/1348512/7/16325

2/4/1348512/8/16325

2/11/1347512/9/16320

2/18/1348612/10/16320

2/25/1348612/11/16320

3/4/1348612/12/16320

3/11/1348612/13/16320

3/18/1351012/14/16320

3/25/1351012/15/16320

4/1/1351812/16/16320

4/8/1351812/17/16320

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6/24/1348112/28/16320

7/1/1348012/29/16320

7/8/1347012/30/16320

7/15/1346012/31/16320

7/22/134601/1/17320

7/29/134601/2/17320

8/5/134601/3/17320

8/12/134601/4/17320

8/19/134601/5/17320

8/26/134351/6/17320

9/2/134201/7/17320

9/9/134201/8/17320

9/16/134201/9/17320

9/23/133801/10/17320

9/30/133801/11/17320

10/7/133801/12/17320

10/14/133701/13/17322

10/21/133701/14/17322

10/28/133571/15/17322

11/4/133571/16/17322

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11/18/133551/18/17322

11/25/133601/19/17322

12/2/133601/20/17330

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12/16/133601/22/17330

12/23/133701/23/17330

1/6/144101/24/17330

1/13/144151/25/17330

1/20/144451/26/17330

1/27/144651/27/17345

2/3/144651/28/17345

2/10/144751/29/17345

2/17/144901/30/17345

2/24/144951/31/17345

3/3/145002/1/17345

3/10/145002/2/17345

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DAP Chart

4194641953419604196741974419814198841995420094201642023420304203742044420514205842065420724207942086420934210042107421144212142128421354214242149421564216342170421774218442191421984220542212422194222642233422404224742254422614226842275422824228942296423034231042317423244233142338423454235242359423704237342377423804238442387423914239842405424124241942426424334244042447424544246142468424754248242489424964250342510425174252442531425384254542552425594256642573425804258742594426014260842615426224262942636426434265042657426644267142678426854269242699427064271342720427274274142748427554276242769427764278342790427974280442811428184282542832428394284642853428604286742874428814288842895429024290942916429234293042937429444295142958429654297242979429864299343000430074301443021430284303543042470460460450450455465470475485485487485485485485485485485475475475475463460464465472474474475475474475475470470465465465465465463463463463457456450450445440425425425415410410405405405405405405405400385385385360360360360360360360360360360360354354354350350347347347345345340340340340340340340340340340340339340340330330325325325325325320320320320322330345350360367370375375375375375370370370360360355355355355355352348345344344344344344337337337337337337337345345346345345345

USD/tonne

Combined Fert Chart

Urea41953419604196741974419814198841995420094201642023420304203742044420514205842065420724207942086420934210042107421144212142128421354214242149421564216342170421774218442191421984220542212422194222642233422404224742254422614226842275422824228942296423034231042317423244233142338423454235242359423704237342377423804238442387423914239842405424124241942426424334244042447424544246142468424754248242489424964250342510425174252442531425384254542552425594256642573425804258742594426014260842615426224262942636426434265042657426644267142678426854269242699427064271342720427274274142748427554276242769427764278342790427974280442811428184282542832428394284642853428604286742874428814288842895429024290942916429234293042937429444295142958429654297242979429864299343000430074301443021430284303543042375375375375375375375375375375375375375375375300300300285275275275275275285300300300310310310315315305305285285285285285285285285280275275255250250263270270270265265247247240240240229229210210195195195200210220220220215205205208208215220220220218218218208210210200195185181185185195196196196196196195195200200212212225225250250240225225245260270275282282275275270270275275222212212221221221205210210210199205206206192190190200200203210225226226240250290275275275281281288DAP41953419604196741974419814198841995420094201642023420304203742044420514205842065420724207942086420934210042107421144212142128421354214242149421564216342170421774218442191421984220542212422194222642233422404224742254422614226842275422824228942296423034231042317423244233142338423454235242359423704237342377423804238442387423914239842405424124241942426424334244042447424544246142468424754248242489424964250342510425174252442531425384254542552425594256642573425804258742594426014260842615426224262942636426434265042657426644267142678426854269242699427064271342720427274274142748427554276242769427764278342790427974280442811428184282542832428394284642853428604286742874428814288842895429024290942916429234293042937429444295142958429654297242979429864299343000430074301443021430284303543042460460450450455465470475485485487485485485485485485485475475475475463460464465472474474475475474475475470470465465465465465463463463463457456450450445440425425425415410410405405405405405405405400385385385360360360360360360360360360360360354354354350350347347347345345340340340340340340340340340340340339340340330330325325325325325320320320320322330345350360367370375375375375375370370370360360355355355355355352348345344344344344344337337337337337337337345345346345345345

USD/tonne

Brent Crude Data

Brent Crude Oil

BloombergDaily Values

CO1 ComdtyPX_LASTCOY ComdtyUSD/bblCO1 ComdtyUSD/bbl

ERROR:#NAME?51.78ERROR:#NAME?52.6311/1/16ERROR:#N/A

8/2/1752.369/1/1752.3211/2/16ERROR:#N/A

8/3/1752.0110/2/1757.4611/3/16ERROR:#N/A

8/4/1752.4211/1/1761.2911/4/16ERROR:#N/A

8/7/1752.3712/1/1763.4911/5/16ERROR:#N/A

8/8/1752.1412/29/1766.6011/6/16ERROR:#N/A

8/9/1752.72/1/1869.0811/7/16ERROR:#N/A

8/10/1751.93/1/1865.7111/8/16ERROR:#N/A

8/11/1752.14/2/1870.1411/9/16ERROR:#N/A

8/14/1750.735/1/1875.1711/10/16ERROR:#N/A

8/15/1750.86/1/1877.5911/11/16ERROR:#N/A

8/16/1750.277/2/1879.4111/12/16ERROR:#N/A

8/17/1751.038/1/1874.2511/13/16ERROR:#N/A

8/18/1752.7211/14/16ERROR:#N/A

8/21/1751.6611/15/16ERROR:#N/A

8/22/1751.8711/16/16ERROR:#N/A

8/23/1752.5711/17/16ERROR:#N/A

8/24/1752.0411/18/16ERROR:#N/A

8/25/1752.4111/19/16ERROR:#N/A

8/28/1751.8911/20/16ERROR:#N/A

8/29/175211/21/16ERROR:#N/A

8/30/1750.8611/22/16ERROR:#N/A

8/31/1752.3811/23/16ERROR:#N/A

9/1/1752.7511/24/16ERROR:#N/A

9/4/1752.3411/25/16ERROR:#N/A

9/5/1753.3811/26/16ERROR:#N/A

9/6/1754.211/27/16ERROR:#N/A

9/7/1754.4911/28/16ERROR:#N/A

9/8/1753.7811/29/16ERROR:#N/A

9/11/1753.8411/30/16ERROR:#N/A

9/12/1754.2712/1/16ERROR:#N/A

9/13/1755.1612/2/16ERROR:#N/A

9/14/1755.4712/3/16ERROR:#N/A

9/15/1755.6212/4/16ERROR:#N/A

9/18/1755.4812/5/16ERROR:#N/A

9/19/1755.1412/6/16ERROR:#N/A

9/20/1756.2912/7/16ERROR:#N/A

9/21/1756.4312/8/16ERROR:#N/A

9/22/1756.8612/9/16ERROR:#N/A

9/25/1759.0212/10/16ERROR:#N/A

9/26/1758.4412/11/16ERROR:#N/A

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8/6/1873.75

Crude Chart

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USD/BBL

BDI Data

Baltic Dry Index

BloombergDaily Values

BDIY IndexPX_LASTBDIY IndexPX_LAST

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20-Apr-181