[email protected] renewable energy and rural development: main findings and lessons learned
TRANSCRIPT
Outline of the presentation
1. Historical background of the Renewable Energy (RE) Policy
2. Main findings from the network of the OECD regions
3. Lessons learned from Nordic case studies
4. Friends and enemies of rural development through RE
5. Our message to the world! (or, at least, the EU…)
Evolution of renewable energy policy (in 2 minutes)
Energy Security
Climate Change
1973 ca
Economic Development (employment)
DRIVERS
Energy Strategy
POLICIES
Innovation Policy
High incentives to RE production
2012
1. Main findings from the network
AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANY USA-0.0999999999999994
5.82867087928207E-16
0.100000000000001
0.200000000000001
0.300000000000001
0.400000000000001
0.500000000000001
0.600000000000001In the USA, Almost 60% of total investment in new assets goes to rural (2009)
RE is not a panacea. per se, it has a low impact on employment. It can negatively affect energy costs .
RE has to have a job in rural areas: it has to provide cheaper energy (heating, electricity, cooling) or be functionally connected with a core activity
1. Main findings from the network
AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANY USA-0.0999999999999994
5.82867087928207E-16
0.100000000000001
0.200000000000001
0.300000000000001
0.400000000000001
0.500000000000001
0.600000000000001In the USA, Almost 60% of total investment in new assets goes to rural (2009)
RE is not a panacea. per se, it has a low impact on employment. It can negatively affect energy costs .
RE has to have a job in rural areas: it has to provide cheaper energy (heating, electricity, cooling) or be functionally connected with a core activity
Se-ries1
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00
Patents: total vs. those produced by our partner regions (2007-09)
2% of the total patents produced in the world
Innovation capacity exists in all case studies. In some cases RE in embedded in regional innovation systems. Industries have new business opportunities SMART Specialisation. Key in rural areas, which tend to have a narrow industrial mix. And a sticky endowment of skills.
1. Main findings from the network
AUSTRALIA CANADA GERMANY USA-0.0999999999999994
5.82867087928207E-16
0.100000000000001
0.200000000000001
0.300000000000001
0.400000000000001
0.500000000000001
0.600000000000001In the USA, Almost 60% of total investment in new assets goes to rural (2009)
RE is not a panacea. per se, it has a low impact on employment. It can negatively affect energy costs .
RE has to have a job in rural areas: it has to provide cheaper energy (heating, electricity, cooling) or be functionally connected with a core activity
Se-ries1
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00
Patents: total vs. those produced by our partner regions (2007-09)
2% of the total patents produced in the world
Innovation capacity exists in all case studies. In some cases RE in embedded in regional innovation systems. Industries have new business opportunities SMART Specialisation. Key in rural areas, which tend to have a narrow industrial mix. And a sticky endowment of skills. RE policy has been looking for short-cuts to avoid dealing with transaction costs: wrong
Innovative role of the central level and intermediate institutions at the regional level
Rural policy
Renewable energy policy
Coordination failure between RE and rural policy (all levels)
2. Lessons from Nordic case studies
• Mid Sweden– Produce cheaper energy (heating).
• North Karelia– Connect with local businesses
• Region Sjaelland – Multidimensional and multilevel policy
• Tromsø – Always worth explaining the policy rationale to
rural communities…
3. Friends and enemies of rural development through RE
• Friends – Democracy and transparency (no NIMBYsm
narrative)– Holistic approach to RE technologies– Reducing the cost of energy for a community
or for a constituency in rural areas
• Enemies– High sectoral incentives – Old energy paradigm (power plants and long-
distance transmission) – A vision of space à la Democritus.
4. Future scenarios (our message to the world)
• Less new installed capacity due to negative trend of incentives. : – Lack of incentives (“doping”) – Transmission and distribution capacity (grid
management).
• In particular in rural areas.
“[…] maintaining system reliability in the presence of high wind energy penetration is a bit like trying to keep a car at a constant speed of 50mph while driving under poor visibility up and down a mountainous road with sharp turns, some very large potholes, and not much of a guardrail.” (November 2012, Electricity Journal K.F. Forbes; M. Stampini; E. M. Zampelli)
Grazie per l’attenzione
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35PV Manufactures Stock Market Performance
Trina Canadian Solar SunPower Yingli SolarWorld SunTech REC Group
Sto
ck M
arke
t P
rice
($)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1753 2220 2798 3911 5341 6915 9443
15883
23210
40020
696846.6
6.4
5.65.1
5.6 5.55 5.5 5.45
3.8
3
2.1
Solar Photovoltaic Industry - Supply, Demand and Price
Cumulative PV Installed (MW) PV System Price €/Wp
Inst
alle
d C
apac
oty
(M
W)
PV
Pri
ce €
/Wp