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TRANSCRIPT
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RBC Capital Markets Private Company
Energy Conference
January 18, 2017
“Full cycle, fully engaged”
Ken Woolner, P.Eng. President & CEO
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ADVISORY REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
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Certain information with respect to Velvet Energy Ltd. (“Velvet” or the “Company”) contained herein, including expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about future events, conditions, results of operations, performance, Velvet’s planned capital expenditure program and the nature of the expenditures, drilling plans, expected drilling and completion costs, expected average production, the expected splits among crude oil, NGLs and natural gas and forecasted commodity prices and factors affecting natural gas prices, forecasted general and administrative expenses, interest expenses, revenue, operating income, operating netbacks, funds from operations and year-end bank debt, management’s assessment of future potential, including numerous years of drilling inventory and expectations with respect to natural gas demand and supply in North America, contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, certain of which are beyond the Company’s control, including the impact of general economic conditions, industry conditions, volatility of commodity prices, currency exchange rate fluctuations, imprecision of reserve estimates, environmental risks, competition from other explorers, stock market volatility, and ability to access sufficient capital. We caution that the foregoing list of risks and uncertainties is not exhaustive. Statements relating to “reserves” or “resources” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on current estimates and assumptions that the reserves and resources can be profitably produced in the future. Readers are cautioned that disclosure of any well test results are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance. Velvet’s actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur. As a result, undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. In addition, the reader is cautioned that historical results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. The forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date hereof and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless expressly required by applicable securities laws. Certain information set out herein may be considered as “financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers with disclosure regarding Velvet’s reasonable expectations as to the anticipated results of its proposed business activities for the periods indicated. Readers are cautioned that the financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes.
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VELVET ENERGY LTD. – A GEOSCIENCE DRIVEN, ORGANIC GROWTH COMPANY
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Superior liquidity via term debt issue to
accelerate growth of our top tier Edson Ellerslie flagship asset Targeting 19,000 boe/d exit 2017
Continuous improvements yield low cost
producer status in the Deep Basin Liquids yields drive our IRRs and capital
allocation
Gold Creek Montney and exploration portfolio define upside Over 1,000 sections in Deep Basin and
Exploration areas
Differentiated by geoscience and systematic approach to risk management
Velvet Edson Fairway
Gold Creek Montney
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MANAGEMENT & DIRECTORS
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Ken Woolner, P.Eng, President & CEO Geoff MacDonald, P. Geol, Vice President, Exploration Jeremy Kwasnecha, P.Eng, Vice President, Production & Operations
George Gervais, P. Eng., MBA, Executive Vice President
Chris Theal, CFA, CIM, Chief Financial Officer
Peter Henry, CA, Vice President, Finance
Ken Woolner, P.Eng, President & CEO John Brussa, Partner, Burnet, Duckworth & Palmer LLP Vincent Chahley, Independent Businessman Robert E. Hougie, 1901 Partners LP Jacob Strauss, Warburg Pincus
Harvey Doerr, Independent Businessman
Roger Smith, Independent Businessman
Christopher R. Manning, Trilantic Capital Partners
David B. Krieger, Warburg Pincus
MANAGEMENT
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
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TRACK RECORD OF ORGANIC GROWTH
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Over 85% of current production has been added via the drill bit
Disciplined acquisition strategy that targets hurdle rate of return on Multiple on Invested Capital (MOIC)
Vero 2011 Lightstream 2014
Continue to improve Edson full cycle
E&D capex efficiency with objective to reduce to below $14k/boe/d
Daily Production
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
Capex ($mm) $39.5 $242.8 $110.7 $245.4 $108.3 $138.0
Cash Flow ($mm) $24.4 $37.3 $87.3 $85.4 $63.8
Edson Wells drilled (G / N) 5 / 4.7 11 / 7.1 26 / 20.1 33 / 26.3 19 / 12.5 25/17.9
Success rate* (%) 79 80 92 82 92
2P F&D cost ($/boe)** $33.51 $15.73 $13.22 $14.32 $14.33
Note on acquisitions: 2012 capex included $195mm net acquisitions; $85mm in 2014 * Success rate is post completion ** F&D includes change in FDC
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
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May
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May
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May
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Corp
orat
e Pr
oduc
tion
(boe
/d)
Vero Acquisition 2012 2013 LTS Acquisition 2014 2015 2016
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2017 BUDGET – FULLY FUNDED TO RAMP ACTIVITY
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Edson Ellerslie
41 G / 27.1 net wells at $3.3mm DCET 85% Ellerslie wells and rest are stack
locations (Wilrich / Notikewin) Continued investment of $21mm in
optimization of infrastructure
Gold Creek Montney
Ongoing delineation program 1 G / 1 N well in 4Q16 followed by 2 G/ 2 N
wells in 1Q17 $5mm DCET per well Construct pipeline this winter
Land and seismic support Edson consolidation
and advancing exploration concepts
54%
12%
15%
11%
7% 1%
$147.7MM 2017 Capital Program
Edson Ellerslie wells
Edson stack wells
Edson Facilities
Gold Creek Montney
Land & Siesmic
Other
32% YoY growth to an average 16,800 boe/d, with exit 2017 at 19,000 boe/d Run rate 4Q17 EBITDA exceeds $100mm
Balance Sheet - Total Debt to Run rate 4Q17 annualized EBITDA is 2.5x
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Edson Ellerslie Hybrid Resource Play – High Return Base Business
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VELVET’S DEEP BASIN FAIRWAY
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1. Abundant Data Thousands of feet thick Thousands of penetrations since 1950’s
2. No Water
Basin-centered Petroleum System Relative over-pressure
3. Condensate/Volatile Oil Prone
Local oil-mature sources Gas via migration
4. High IP and EUR
Porosity and Permeability preserved Water Saturations misleading
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9
Velvet Deep Basin Inventory Area Formation Gross Net
Edson (288,024 Net Acres)
Notikewin/Falher 103 67
Wilrich 203 137
Bluesky 67 44
Ellerslie 509 343
Rock Creek 53 31
TOTAL 935 622
Velvet maximizes value on every one of it’s 288,000 net acres
Depth of inventory from a depth of understanding multi-zone potential synergies drive attractive half-cycle
economics
EDSON AREA STACKING VALUE
Notikewin
Wilrich
Bluesky
Ellerslie
Velvet acreage
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ELLERSLIE: THE DISCOVERY
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100 mcf/d
14 years
1000 Boe/d
500 Bbl/d
CONVENTIONAL APPROACH: 11-14-50-13W5 (vt): 14 years, 377 Mmcf
UNCONVENTIONAL APPROACH: 16-14-50-13W5 (hz): 40 months:
3.3 Bcf, 141 mstb NGL, 212 mstb Oil
899 MBOE
38 months
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A’
4-33-55-17W5
2-3-53-14W5
11-14-50-13W5
A
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Core from hundreds of wells were analyzed Consistent preservation of porosity and
permeability along the fairway = repeatable results
Production on hundreds of vertical wells was analyzed Horizontal wells demonstrate a significant multiple
of vertical well performance
500 um
4-33-55-17W5 Porosity: 9%; Perm: 2.5 mD Offset Vt in 7 yrs: 0.137 bcf, 11 mstb Offset Hz in 22months: 328 MBOE (1.4 BCF, 54 MStb)
500 um
2-3-53-14W5 Porosity: 7.8%; Perm: 0.4 mD Offset Vt in 7 yrs: 0.90 bcf, 29 mstb oil Offset Hz in 39 months: 609 MBOE (2.6Bcf, 108MStb)
500 um
11-14-50-13W5 Porosity: 14.2%; Perm: 1.0 mD Offset Vt in 10 yrs: 0.37 bcf Offset Hz in 40 months: 899 MBOE (3.3 Bcf, 212 MStb)
VEL Lower Mannville
VEL 3D Seismic
Images on right Shallow marine sand fairway
AN EXTENSIVE FAIRWAY
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ELLERSLIE: AN OVERLOOKED UNCONVENTIONAL OPPORTUNITY
2. The Ellerslie appears wet on logs…but isn’t
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Conventional Petrophysics
Velvet Petrophysics
1. Unlike the Notikewin, (fluvial deposition) …
= Mobile water
1 sq.mi.
…the Ellerslie is extensive (shallow marine deposition)
1 sq.mi.
3. Completion design matters
The exact pore after exposure to 2 completion fluids…
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VELVET DOMINATES THE ELLERSLIE HYBRID RESOURCE PLAY
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288,000 Net Deep-Basin Acres
343 Net Ellerslie Drilling Locations
140 Million BOE
of potential EUR*
* Ellerslie Potential EUR assumes Type Curve Reserves per Well of 412mboe
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Drilled 74 gross, 53.8 net to-date
$3.56MM average capex for operated wells in 2015
Target $3.34MM for operated wells in 2016
2016 program:
25 gross (17.9 net) total wells
90% Ellerslie / 10% stack
Velvet controls gathering and processing infrastructure
Optimize facility throughput to minimize unit operating costs
New 11-10 facility onstream Sep/15
Filled plant at start-up and drill to fill our marketing commitment
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ELLERSLIE PIPELINE, GATHERING & FACILITIES CONTROL
Ellerslie Locations Only
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Firm-service & long-term planning
Innovative risk-sharing midstream partnerships
Focus on controllables through the entire value chain
Scale affords cost savings and leverages technology gains
Grassroots play generation Data intensive analysis Constant refining & integration of
G&G model
Target hurdle rate IRRs Margin maximization vs. price
taker
EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT IN VALUE CREATION
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“PROFITABLY converting undeveloped land to PDP provides greatest opportunity for value creation”
TECHNICAL DIFFERENTIATION
MARKET ACCESS COST CONTROL
HEDGING STRATEGY RATE OF RETURN
INVESTING
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VELVET ELLERSLIE – CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT
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0
5
10
15
20
25
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2013 2014 2015 2016 - H12016 - H2
Stag
es
Tota
l TN
E
Ellerslie Stage & Tonnage Trends
Total TNE Total Stages
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2014 2015 2016 - H1 2016 - H2
Tota
l LB
(000
s)
LB/f
t
Ellerslie Proppant Intensity Trends
LB/ft Total Lb/well
$2.80 $2.35 $1.96 $1.62 $1.62 $1.60
$1.23 $1.28
$0.98 $1.10 $0.80 $1.05
$0.99 $0.65
$0.62 $0.62 $0.62 $0.65
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Gro
ss W
ell C
ost (
DCET
$M
M)
Ellerslie Well Cost
DRILL COMPLETE EQUIP/TIE
$5.03
$4.28 $3.56 $3.34 $3.30 $3.04
* 2016 normalized for tonnage
22.0
18.6
13.3
10.1 7.6
9.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 BEST 2017TARGET
Spud
to R
ig R
elea
se
Ellerslie Drilling Days
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VELVET ELLERSLIE – CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT
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Velvet top quartile opex + tport in Canadian universe
We have reduced opex +tport by 15% in 2016
Several initiatives including compressor removals and recontracting
Top quartile peers average gas weight is 84% vs. Velvet 69%
Velvet is amongst the lowest cost structure for companies with high liquids yield
Velvet long term goal is
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VELVET ELLERSLIE IS THE LOWEST DEEP BASIN SUPPLY COST
18 Source: RS Energy Group, November 2016
Third party research: “Velvet’s Ellerslie, a liquids-rich zone, has the lowest operator zone breakeven at $1.97/mcfe HH”
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26%
59%
94%
122%
147%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
2013 2014 2015 1H 2016 2 H 2016BT
AX R
OR(
%)
CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENTS DRIVE HIGHER RETURNS
19 Price held flat at $55WTI and $3.00/mmbtu NYMEX; US$0.80/mmbtu NYMEX-AECO basis Supply cost assumes a WTI oil to NYMEX gas equivalency of 18:1, which is consistent with the 5-year strip
Rate of Return
Enhanced G&G Model
D&C Cost Reduction
Initial Completion Optimization
Further D&C Cost Reduction
Improved Rate of Return from 26% to 147% in 3 years
G&G Model Development
Increased understanding of the petroleum system via source rock maturity and pressure mapping
Drilling duration and cost reduction
54% reduction in drilling days leading to a 34% reduction in DCET costs
Implementing new completion technology
Evolved completion systems, frac fluid systems and proppant loading
Lower capital and operating costs, higher EURs, translate into an Ellerslie supply cost of $1.77/mcfe
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Raw
Oil
Equi
vale
nt P
rodu
ctio
n (b
oe/d
)
Months
Average (47 Wells) ELRL Type Curve
0
50
100
150
200
35 40 45 50 55 60 65
BTAX
RO
R (%
)
WTI ($US/bbl)
ELRL Type Curve - 100 % COS - $3.3mm Capex
$2.50 $3.00 $3.50
ELLERSLIE TYPE CURVES & ECONOMICS
20 Assumes WTI US$55/bbl, NYMEX US$3.00/mmbtu (US$0.85/mmbtu basis), FX $1.35 Sales volumes with shrinkage of 10%. Assumes current Alberta Royalty Framework
IRR vs. Price Sensitivities EUR, IRR and Payout
NYMEX (US$/mmbtu)
IP30 EURGas (mmcf/d): bcf 2.4 1.7
Oil (b/d); mb 197 71C3+ b/mmcf;mb 33 56.4
boe/d; mboe 689.6 4120
DCT Cost mm 3.3Chance of Success % 100
Payout years 0.9RoR % 147
NPV10 mm 3.8PV10 mm 7.1F&D per boe 8.01
TC Parameters
Average Oil Shrinkage9.50%
C2 (bbl/mmscf)0.00
C3 (bbl/mmscf)11.13
C4 (bbl/mmscf)12.49
C5+ (bbl/mmscf)6.15
TOTAL
Tony Mach: Tony Mach:RAW NGL29.77
Gas Shrinkage9.75%
Heating Content (BTU/scf)1130.00
FINAL 2016 TC - ALL AREAFINAL 2015 TC - ALL AREA
SALES OILRAW OILRAW GASRAW NGLRAW BOESALES OILRAW OILRAW GASRAW NGLRAW BOE
MonthOil (SALES)Oil (SALES)Oil (SALES)Oil (RAW)Oil (RAW)Oil (RAW)GasGasGasNGLNGLNGLBOEBOEBOEMonthOil (SALES)Oil (SALES)Oil (RAW)Oil (RAW)GasGasNGLNGLBOEBOE
PD RateCD RateCumulativePD RateCD RateCumulativePD RateCD RateCumulativePD RateCD RateCumulativePD RateCD RateCumulativeCD RateCumulativeCD RateCumulativeCD RateCumulativeCD RateCumulativeCD RateCumulative
bbl/dbbl/dMbblbbl/dbbl/dMbblMcf/dMcf/dMMcfbbl/dbbl/dMbblboepdboepdboebbl/dMbblbbl/dMbblMcf/dMMcfbbl/dMbblboepdboe
1197.38197.386.12218.10218.106.762682.502682.5083.1679.8679.862.48665.18665.1820.621163.034890.98180.155404.402570.2177106.1676.5276.52608.5118255.43
2163.04163.0411.01180.15180.1512.172476.022476.02157.4473.7173.714.69592.82592.8238.412135.139080.05149.3210033.212337.85149579.5769.6069.60538.9634963.14
3138.93138.9315.32153.52153.5216.922300.472300.47228.7568.4868.486.81536.93536.9355.053115.4312658.32127.5413987.092141.04215951.8563.7463.74484.3849979.06
4121.02121.0218.95133.73133.7320.942149.062149.06293.2263.9863.988.73491.90491.9069.814101.3415597.20111.9817234.471979.64273361.5158.9358.93441.9262794.72
5107.22107.2222.27118.48118.4824.612017.272017.27355.7660.0560.0510.59454.69454.6983.90590.4818402.0899.9820333.791841.10330435.5654.8154.81406.8375406.38
696.0896.0825.25106.17106.1727.901899.551899.55414.6556.5556.5512.34422.76422.7697.01681.6720852.2390.2423041.131718.67381995.7651.1651.16376.6986707.09
787.0887.0827.8696.2396.2330.791796.241796.24468.5353.4753.4713.95395.60395.60108.88774.5023161.8782.3325593.221611.59431955.1547.9847.98350.9297585.75
879.3079.3030.3287.6387.6333.501701.181701.18521.2750.6450.6415.52371.16371.16120.38868.5425218.1475.7427865.341517.02477465.6245.1645.16328.57107442.95
972.4772.4732.5080.0880.0835.911612.991612.99569.6648.0248.0216.96348.91348.91130.85963.5127186.9370.1830040.801432.98521887.9342.6642.66309.01117022.13
1066.4566.4534.5573.4273.4238.181531.101531.10617.1245.5845.5818.37328.61328.61141.041059.1329019.9765.3432066.271356.17563929.1440.3740.37291.37126054.46
1161.0361.0336.4567.4467.4440.271453.691453.69662.1943.2843.2819.71309.72309.72150.641155.3730681.0961.1833901.761286.40602521.1338.3038.30275.58134321.95
1256.4356.4338.0362.3662.3642.021384.991384.99700.9741.2341.2320.87293.19293.19158.851251.9632291.7657.4135681.501221.50640387.5636.3636.36260.99142412.76
1352.3252.3239.6557.8157.8143.811320.821320.82741.9139.3239.3222.09277.95277.95167.461348.8233756.3853.9537299.861160.99675217.3134.5634.56247.44149836.08
1448.5048.5041.1053.5953.5945.421258.721258.72779.6737.4737.4723.21263.37263.37175.361445.9435180.4250.7638873.391104.55709458.4432.8832.88234.85157116.46
1545.0645.0642.5049.7949.7946.961200.651200.65816.8935.7435.7424.32249.90249.90183.111543.2436520.7547.7840354.421050.97742038.6031.2931.29222.94164027.52
1641.9641.9643.7646.3646.3648.351146.251146.25851.2834.1234.1225.34237.40237.40190.231640.8637664.8745.1541618.641003.22770128.8929.8729.87212.35169973.46
1739.1539.1544.9743.2643.2649.691095.251095.25885.2332.6132.6126.35225.80225.80197.231738.6638863.4142.7242943.00958.46799841.0228.5328.53202.46176249.84
1836.5636.5646.1140.4040.4050.951046.611046.61917.6831.1631.1627.32214.84214.84203.891836.5539959.9940.3944154.69914.98827290.3527.2427.24192.89182036.41
1934.2534.2547.1337.8437.8452.081001.641001.64947.7329.8229.8228.21204.78204.78210.041934.6041032.4938.2345339.76874.18854389.9226.0226.02183.92187738.08
2032.1432.1448.1335.5135.5153.18959.35959.35977.4728.5628.5629.10195.40195.40216.092032.7842015.8536.2246426.36835.83879464.8024.8824.88175.52193003.82
2130.2130.2149.0433.3833.3854.18919.50919.501005.0527.3727.3729.92186.63186.63221.692131.0942979.6134.3547491.28799.77904257.5523.8123.81167.65198200.88
2228.4328.4349.9231.4231.4255.16881.95881.951032.3926.2626.2630.73178.41178.41227.222229.4943893.7932.5948501.43765.26927980.7122.7822.78160.13203164.88
2326.7826.7850.7529.5929.5956.08845.93845.931058.6225.1825.1831.52170.58170.58232.512328.0244734.4830.9649430.37733.28949979.0621.8321.83153.18207760.21
2425.3325.3351.4627.9927.9956.86813.53813.531081.4024.2224.2232.19163.58163.58237.092426.6545560.7529.4550343.37703.11971775.5320.9320.93146.64212305.96
2523.9923.9952.2026.5126.5157.68782.87782.871105.6723.3123.3132.92156.99156.99241.962525.3746321.9428.0451184.47674.62992014.0620.0820.08140.47216520.15
2622.7122.7152.8825.0925.0958.43752.82752.821128.2522.4122.4133.59150.57150.57246.482624.1847071.3726.7152012.57647.701012092.6319.2819.28134.66220694.67
2721.5221.5253.5523.7823.7859.17724.37724.371150.7121.5621.5634.26144.51144.51250.962723.0347785.4325.4552801.59621.821031369.0218.5118.51129.09224696.42
2820.4220.4254.1622.5722.5759.85697.40697.401171.6320.7620.7634.88138.80138.80255.122822.0148401.8524.3353482.71598.491048126.6417.8217.82124.07228170.48
2919.4019.4054.7621.4421.4460.51671.82671.821192.4520.0020.0035.50133.41133.41259.252921.0649054.6123.2754203.99576.361065993.8017.1617.16119.33231869.62
3018.4318.4355.3420.3720.3761.14647.15647.151212.5219.2719.2736.10128.23128.23263.233020.1249658.3222.2454871.08554.641082632.9116.5116.51114.68235309.90
3117.5517.5555.8619.3919.3961.73624.09624.091231.2418.5818.5836.65123.41123.41266.933119.2550254.9621.2755530.34534.031099187.8315.9015.90110.27238728.32
3216.7216.7256.3818.4818.4862.30602.16602.161249.9117.9317.9337.21118.84118.84270.623218.4250807.5520.3556140.94514.461114621.4915.3215.32106.10241911.19
3315.9515.9556.8617.6317.6362.83581.30581.301267.3417.3117.3137.73114.51114.51274.053317.6451354.4119.4956745.21495.861129993.1114.7614.76102.14245077.39
3415.2315.2357.3316.8316.8363.35561.44561.441284.7516.7116.7138.25110.40110.40277.473416.8951878.1218.6757323.89477.891144807.6914.2314.2398.32248125.17
3514.5414.5457.7816.0716.0763.85542.21542.211301.5616.1416.1438.75106.44106.44280.773516.2052364.1217.9057860.91461.071158639.8013.7313.7394.75250967.54
3613.9213.9258.1915.3815.3864.29524.47524.471316.7715.6115.6139.20102.79102.79283.753615.5452846.0117.1858393.38445.061172436.6113.2513.2591.35253799.48
3713.3313.3358.6014.7314.7364.75507.53507.531332.5015.1115.1139.6799.3299.32286.833714.9253293.7416.4958888.11429.801185330.5312.8012.8088.12256443.20
3812.7712.7758.9814.1114.1165.17491.08491.081347.2314.6214.6240.1195.9695.96289.713814.3453738.2015.8459379.22415.251198203.2912.3612.3685.05259079.77
3912.2412.2459.3613.5313.5365.59475.38475.381361.9714.1514.1540.5592.7692.76292.593913.7754165.1415.2259850.98401.151210638.8811.9411.9482.08261624.13
4011.7411.7459.7112.9812.9865.98460.36460.361375.7813.7013.7040.9689.7089.70295.284013.2654536.4714.6560261.30388.331221512.0611.5611.5679.38263846.64
4111.2711.2760.0612.4612.4666.37446.00446.001389.6113.2813.2841.3786.7986.79297.974112.7854932.5714.1260698.98376.071233170.3211.2011.2076.80266227.36
4210.8210.8260.4011.9611.9666.74432.04432.041403.0012.8612.8641.7783.9783.97300.574212.3055301.6013.5961106.74363.951244088.8010.8310.8374.25268454.88
4310.4010.4060.7111.5011.5067.08418.89418.891415.5712.4712.4742.1481.3181.31303.014311.8555668.9013.0961512.60352.361255011.9410.4910.4971.82270681.26
4410.0110.0161.0211.0611.0667.43406.30406.301428.1612.1012.1042.5278.7878.78305.454411.4256011.4512.6261891.10341.271265249.9910.1610.1669.49272766.10
459.639.6361.3110.6510.6567.75394.23394.231439.9911.7411.7442.8776.3576.35307.744511.0156352.7212.1662268.19330.651275500.279.849.8467.27274851.57
469.289.2861.6010.2510.2568.06382.66382.661451.8511.3911.3943.2274.0374.03310.044610.6156681.7111.7362631.72320.321285430.329.549.5465.11276870.11
478.948.9461.879.879.8768.37371.38371.381463.3611.0611.0643.5671.7771.77312.264710.2456988.9611.3262971.22310.591294747.969.259.2563.08278762.55
488.638.6362.129.539.5368.64361.07361.071473.4710.7510.7543.8769.7169.71314.22489.8957295.4910.9363309.93301.261304086.928.978.9761.14280657.75
498.338.3362.379.219.2168.92351.16351.161484.3610.4510.4544.1967.7367.73316.32499.5557582.0110.5563626.53292.301312856.048.708.7059.27282435.87
508.048.0462.628.898.8969.19341.31341.311494.6010.1610.1644.4965.7765.77318.29509.2357868.1010.2063942.65283.721321651.218.458.4557.48284217.85
517.777.7762.868.588.5869.45331.84331.841504.899.889.8844.8063.8963.89320.27518.9258144.519.8564248.08275.341330186.638.208.2055.74285945.85
527.517.5163.088.298.2969.70322.74322.741514.579.619.6145.0962.0862.08322.13528.6358394.729.5364524.55267.551337945.487.967.9654.12287515.46
537.267.2663.318.028.0269.95313.98313.981524.309.359.3545.3860.3560.35324.00538.3558653.619.2364810.62260.061346007.347.747.7452.57289145.18
547.017.0163.527.757.7570.19305.41305.411533.779.099.0945.6658.6558.65325.82548.0858896.108.9365078.56252.741353589.497.527.5251.05290676.81
556.796.7963.737.507.5070.42297.30297.301542.698.858.8545.9357.0557.05327.53557.8359138.708.6565346.63245.701361206.157.317.3149.60292214.32
566.576.5763.937.267.2670.64289.49289.491551.668.628.6246.1955.5155.51329.25567.5859366.098.3865597.88238.921368373.887.117.1148.20293660.20
576.366.3664.127.037.0370.85281.96281.961560.128.398.3946.4454.0254.02330.87577.3459593.748.1165849.44232.411375578.456.926.9246.85295112.52
586.166.1664.316.816.8171.06274.70274.701568.648.188.1846.7052.6052.60332.50587.1159814.297.8666093.14226.031382585.306.736.7345.53296524.02
595.975.9764.506.606.6071.27267.59267.591576.937.977.9746.9551.2051.20334.09596.9060021.227.6266321.79219.981389184.816.556.5544.29297852.59
605.805.8064.666.416.4171.45261.06261.061584.247.777.7747.1649.9249.92335.49606.6960228.627.3966550.96214.161395823.836.386.3843.09299188.26
615.635.6364.846.226.2271.64254.76254.761592.147.587.5847.4048.6848.68337.00616.4960423.347.1766766.13208.551402080.276.216.2141.93300446.17
625.465.4665.006.046.0471.82248.45248.451599.597.407.4047.6247.4547.45338.42626.3060618.636.9666981.91203.141408377.486.056.0540.82301711.49
635.305.3065.165.865.8672.00242.37242.371607.117.227.2247.8446.2546.25339.86636.1160808.136.7567191.30197.831414510.225.895.8939.73302943.01
645.155.1565.325.695.6972.17236.49236.491614.207.047.0448.0545.1145.11341.21645.9460974.516.5767375.15192.961419912.975.745.7438.73304027.31
655.005.0065.475.535.5372.35230.81230.811621.366.876.8748.2744.0044.00342.57655.7861153.626.3867573.06188.251425748.635.605.6037.76305197.83
664.864.8665.625.375.3772.51225.23225.231628.346.716.7148.4842.9142.91343.90665.6161322.056.2067759.17183.541431254.885.465.4636.79306301.65
674.724.7265.775.225.2272.67219.92219.921634.946.556.5548.6741.8741.87345.16675.4661491.216.0367946.09179.001436803.815.335.3335.86307413.39
684.594.5965.915.085.0872.83214.79214.791641.606.396.3948.8740.8840.88346.43685.3161650.385.8668121.96174.611442041.975.205.2034.96308462.29
694.474.4766.044.944.9472.97209.82209.821647.896.256.2549.0639.9139.91347.62695.1661810.335.7068298.71170.361447323.185.075.0734.09309519.23
704.354.3566.184.814.8173.12205.02205.021654.256.106.1049.2538.9838.98348.83705.0261965.865.5468470.56166.191452475.104.954.9533.24310549.75
714.234.2366.314.684.6873.27200.29200.291660.465.965.9649.4338.0638.06350.01714.8862112.315.3968632.39162.221457341.824.834.8332.43311522.69
724.124.1266.424.564.5673.40195.92195.921665.945.835.8349.6037.2137.21351.05724.7562259.615.2568795.15158.391462251.784.724.7231.65312503.78
734.024.0266.554.444.4473.53191.70191.701671.885.715.7149.7736.3936.39352.18734.6362398.395.1168948.50154.671466891.924.604.6030.89313430.49
743.923.9266.674.334.3373.66187.46187.461677.515.585.5849.9435.5735.57353.25744.5062538.044.9869102.81151.081471575.284.504.5030.16314365.36
753.823.8266.784.224.2273.79183.35183.351683.195.465.4650.1134.7834.78354.33754.3962674.014.8569253.05147.541476148.964.394.3929.44315277.88
763.723.7266.904.114.1173.92179.36179.361688.575.345.3450.2734.0134.01355.35764.2862793.764.7369385.37144.281480188.684.304.3028.77316083.49
773.633.6367.014.014.0174.04175.50175.501694.015.225.2250.4333.2633.26356.38774.1762923.074.6169528.26141.111484563.194.204.2028.13316955.46
783.543.5467.123.913.9174.16171.69171.691699.345.115.1150.5932.5232.52357.39784.0763045.054.4969663.04137.941488701.444.114.1127.48317779.95
793.453.4567.223.813.8174.28168.05168.051704.385.005.0050.7431.8231.82358.34793.9663167.944.3869798.83134.871492882.354.024.0226.86318612.56
803.373.3767.333.723.7274.39164.53164.531709.484.904.9050.8931.1431.14359.31803.8763283.924.2769926.98131.891496838.963.933.9326.25319400.14
813.293.2967.423.633.6374.50161.10161.101714.314.804.8051.0430.4830.48360.22813.7763400.814.1770056.14129.001500837.853.843.8425.67320195.79
823.213.2167.523.553.5574.61157.77157.771719.204.704.7051.1829.8429.84361.15823.6863514.804.0670182.10126.151504748.413.763.7625.09320973.50
833.133.1367.623.463.4674.72154.49154.491723.994.604.6051.3229.2129.21362.05833.5963622.453.9670301.05123.431508451.213.673.6724.54321709.59
843.063.0667.713.383.3874.82151.40151.401728.384.514.5151.4528.6228.62362.88843.5063731.033.8770421.02120.791512195.613.603.6024.00322453.62
852.992.9967.803.313.3174.92148.40148.401732.984.424.4251.5928.0428.04363.75853.4263833.603.7870534.36118.221515742.333.523.5223.48323158.08
862.922.9267.893.233.2375.02145.43145.431737.344.334.3351.7227.4727.47364.57863.3463937.093.6970648.72115.741519330.133.453.4522.98323870.41
872.862.8667.983.163.1675.11142.55142.551741.764.244.2451.8526.9226.92365.41873.2664038.123.6070760.36113.281522841.793.373.3722.48324567.32
882.792.7968.063.093.0975.21139.75139.751745.964.164.1651.9826.3826.38366.20883.1964127.333.5270858.93111.011525950.003.303.3022.02325183.93
892.732.7368.153.023.0275.30137.02137.021750.204.084.0852.1025.8525.85367.00893.1264223.903.4470965.64108.801529322.763.243.2421.58325852.77
902.672.6768.232.952.9575.39134.32134.321754.374.004.0052.2325.3425.34367.79903.0464315.233.3671066.55106.581532520.093.173.1721.13326486.56
912.612.6168.312.892.8975.48131.74131.741758.323.923.9252.3524.8424.84368.53912.9864407.463.2971168.46104.421535757.063.113.1120.69327127.97
922.562.5668.392.822.8275.57129.23129.231762.333.853.8552.4624.3624.36369.29922.9164494.713.2171264.87102.321538826.633.053.0520.27327735.98
932.502.5068.462.762.7675.65126.78126.781766.133.773.7752.5823.8923.89370.00932.8464582.863.1471362.28100.281541935.232.992.9919.85328351.48
942.452.4568.542.712.7175.73124.40124.401769.993.703.7052.6923.4423.44370.73942.7864669.033.0771457.5098.261544981.252.932.9319.45328954.37
952.402.4068.612.652.6575.82122.04122.041773.773.633.6352.8122.9922.99371.44952.7264750.603.0071547.6296.331547871.072.872.8719.06329526.13
962.352.3568.682.592.5975.89119.85119.851777.123.573.5752.9022.5722.57372.08962.6664833.052.9471638.7394.451550798.932.812.8118.68330105.22
972.302.3068.752.542.5475.97117.72117.721780.773.503.5053.0122.1622.16372.76972.6064911.112.8871724.9992.621553577.462.762.7618.31330654.56
982.252.2568.822.492.4976.04115.58115.581784.243.443.4453.1221.7521.75373.41982.5564990.062.8171812.2290.841556393.382.702.7017.95331211.11
992.212.2168.892.442.4476.12113.48113.481787.763.383.3853.2221.3521.35374.08992.4965067.292.7571897.5689.071559154.672.652.6517.60331756.67
1002.162.1668.952.392.3976.19111.44111.441791.103.323.3253.3220.9620.96374.711002.4465138.042.7071975.7487.411561689.622.602.6017.26332257.34
1012.122.1269.022.342.3476.26109.45109.451794.503.263.2653.4220.5920.59375.341012.3965212.122.6472057.5985.791564349.212.552.5516.94332782.45
1022.082.0869.082.302.3076.33107.48107.481797.833.203.2053.5220.2120.21375.971022.3465282.312.5972135.1584.191566874.882.512.5116.62333280.96
1032.042.0469.142.252.2576.40105.59105.591800.993.143.1453.6219.8519.85376.571032.2965353.342.5372213.6482.631569436.292.462.4616.30333786.36
1042.002.0069.202.212.2176.47103.74103.741804.213.093.0953.7119.5019.50377.171042.2465420.682.4872288.0481.101571869.372.412.4116.00334266.27
1051.961.9669.262.172.1776.53101.94101.941807.273.033.0353.8019.1619.16377.741052.2065488.842.4372363.3679.621574337.512.372.3715.70334752.95
1061.921.9269.322.122.1276.60100.18100.181810.372.982.9853.8918.8218.82378.331062.1565555.612.3872437.1478.151576760.052.332.3315.40335230.48
1071.881.8869.382.082.0876.6698.4498.441813.432.932.9353.9918.4918.49378.901072.1165618.922.3372507.1076.731579062.092.282.2815.12335684.11
1081.851.8569.432.042.0476.7296.8296.821816.142.882.8854.0718.1818.18379.411082.0765683.052.2972577.9575.361581398.192.242.2414.85336144.32
1091.821.8269.492.012.0176.7895.2495.241819.092.842.8454.1517.8817.88379.961092.0365743.882.2472645.1774.021583618.652.202.2014.58336581.61
1101.781.7869.541.971.9776.8493.6493.641821.902.792.7954.2417.5817.58380.491101.9965805.502.2072713.2672.711585872.502.162.1614.31337025.34
1111.751.7569.601.931.9376.9092.0892.081824.752.742.7454.3217.2817.28381.031111.9565865.902.1572780.0071.411588086.092.132.1314.05337461.01
1121.721.7269.651.901.9076.9690.5690.561827.472.702.7054.4016.9916.99381.541121.9165919.432.1172839.1570.201590051.652.092.0913.81337847.76
1131.691.6969.701.861.8677.0289.0789.071830.232.652.6554.4916.7116.71382.061131.8865977.602.0772903.4269.021592191.272.052.0513.58338268.64
1141.661.6669.751.831.8377.0787.5987.591832.952.612.6154.5716.4316.43382.571141.8466032.812.0372964.4367.831594226.162.022.0213.34338668.79
1151.631.6369.801.801.8077.1386.1786.171835.532.572.5754.6416.1616.16383.051151.8166088.792.0073026.2866.671596292.831.981.9813.11339075.09
1161.601.6069.851.771.7777.1884.7884.781838.162.522.5254.7215.9015.90383.541161.7766141.931.9673085.0165.531598258.781.951.9512.88339461.47
1171.571.5769.901.731.7377.2383.4283.421840.662.482.4854.8015.6415.64384.011171.7466195.821.9273144.5564.421600255.891.921.9212.66339853.87
1181.541.5469.951.701.7077.2982.0982.091843.212.442.4454.8715.3915.39384.491181.7166248.691.8873202.9763.321602218.881.891.8912.44340239.45
1191.521.5269.991.671.6777.3480.7780.771845.712.402.4054.9515.1415.14384.961191.6766298.911.8573258.4662.261604086.801.851.8512.23340606.26
1201.491.4970.031.651.6577.3979.5479.541847.942.372.3755.0114.9014.90385.381201.6466349.851.8273314.7561.231605984.941.821.8212.02340978.91
1211.471.4770.081.621.6277.4478.3478.341850.372.332.3355.0914.6814.68385.831211.6166398.251.7873368.2360.221607791.541.791.7911.82341333.49
1221.441.4470.121.591.5977.4877.1277.121852.682.302.3055.1514.4514.45386.261221.5866447.351.7573422.4959.231609627.751.761.7611.62341693.78
1231.421.4270.171.571.5777.5375.9375.931855.032.262.2655.2214.2214.22386.701231.5666495.561.7273475.7558.251611433.551.731.7311.43342048.01
1241.391.3970.211.541.5477.5874.7774.771857.282.232.2355.2914.0014.00387.121241.5366538.351.6973523.0357.341613039.021.711.7111.24342362.87
1251.371.3770.251.511.5177.6373.6373.631859.562.192.1955.3613.7813.78387.551251.5066584.901.6673574.4856.451614788.821.681.6811.07342705.95
1261.351.3570.291.491.4977.6772.4972.491861.812.162.1655.4313.5713.57387.971261.4866629.161.6373623.3855.541616455.061.651.6510.89343032.56
1271.321.3270.331.461.4677.7271.4071.401863.952.132.1355.4913.3613.36388.371271.4566674.091.6073673.0354.661618149.441.631.6310.71343364.60
1281.301.3070.371.441.4477.7670.3370.331866.132.092.0955.5513.1613.16388.781281.4266716.821.5773720.2453.791619763.231.601.6010.54343680.78
1291.281.2870.411.421.4277.8069.2869.281868.212.062.0655.6212.9612.96389.171291.4066760.201.5573768.1752.951621404.581.581.5810.37344002.27
1301.261.2670.451.391.3977.8568.2668.261870.322.032.0355.6812.7712.77389.571301.3766802.821.5273815.2752.111623019.861.551.5510.20344318.58
1311.241.2470.491.371.3777.8967.2467.241872.412.002.0055.7412.5812.58389.961311.3566843.361.4973860.0651.301624558.731.531.5310.04344619.85
1321.221.2270.521.351.3577.9366.2766.271874.331.971.9755.8012.4012.40390.321321.3366884.531.4773905.5650.501626124.331.501.509.88344926.28
1331.201.2070.561.331.3377.9765.3265.321876.351.941.9455.8612.2212.22390.691331.3166923.711.4473948.8549.731627616.151.481.489.73345218.21
1341.181.1870.601.311.3178.0164.3864.381878.291.921.9255.9212.0412.04391.061341.2866963.511.4273992.8348.971629134.151.461.469.58345515.18
1351.171.1770.631.291.2978.0563.4563.451880.251.891.8955.9811.8611.86391.421351.2667002.631.3974036.0648.211630628.721.441.449.43345807.51
1361.151.1570.671.271.2778.0962.5562.551882.131.861.8656.0311.6911.69391.771361.2467037.401.3774074.4747.511631958.931.411.419.29346067.63
1371.131.1370.701.251.2578.1261.6661.661884.041.841.8456.0911.5311.53392.131371.2267075.281.3574116.3346.821633410.271.391.399.15346351.37
1381.111.1170.741.231.2378.1660.7760.771885.921.811.8156.1411.3611.36392.481381.2067111.331.3374156.1746.121634793.811.371.379.01346621.80
1391.101.1070.771.211.2178.2059.9259.921887.721.781.7856.2011.2011.20392.821391.1867147.981.3174196.6645.431636202.231.351.358.88346897.03
1401.081.0870.801.191.1978.2459.0859.081889.551.761.7656.2511.0411.04393.161401.1667182.861.2874235.2144.761637545.091.331.338.75347159.39
1411.061.0670.841.171.1778.2758.2658.261891.301.731.7356.3010.8910.89393.491411.1467218.331.2674274.4044.101638912.321.311.318.61347426.45
1421.051.0570.871.161.1678.3157.4657.461893.081.711.7156.3610.7310.73393.821421.1367253.221.2474312.9543.451640259.261.291.298.49347689.49
1431.031.0370.901.141.1478.3456.6556.651894.841.691.6956.4110.5810.58394.151431.1167286.451.2274349.6642.821641543.811.271.278.36347940.30
1441.021.0270.931.121.1278.3755.9155.911896.401.661.6656.4610.4410.44394.441441.0967320.231.2074387.0042.201642851.991.261.268.24348195.66
1451.001.0070.961.111.1178.4155.1755.171898.111.641.6456.5110.3010.30394.761451.0767352.411.1974422.5641.591644099.781.241.248.12348439.19
1460.990.9970.991.091.0978.4454.4254.421899.751.621.6256.5610.1610.16395.071461.0667385.141.1774458.7241.001645370.741.221.228.00348687.18
1470.970.9771.021.081.0878.4753.6953.691901.411.601.6056.6110.0310.03395.381471.0467417.361.1574494.3240.411646623.331.201.207.88348931.54
1480.960.9671.051.061.0678.5152.9752.971903.001.581.5856.659.899.89395.671481.0267447.031.1374527.1039.841647778.801.191.197.77349156.90
1490.950.9571.081.051.0578.5452.2752.271904.621.561.5656.709.769.76395.981491.0167478.271.1174561.6239.291648996.871.171.177.66349394.43
1500.930.9371.111.031.0378.5751.5751.571906.221.541.5456.759.639.63396.271500.9967508.031.1074594.5138.741650159.151.151.157.55349621.03
1510.920.9271.131.021.0278.6050.8950.891907.751.511.5156.799.509.50396.561510.9867538.321.0874627.9838.201651343.441.141.147.45349851.89
1520.910.9171.161.001.0078.6350.2250.221909.301.501.5056.849.379.37396.851520.9667567.181.0674659.8737.671652473.661.121.127.34350072.15
1530.890.8971.190.990.9978.6649.5749.571910.791.481.4856.889.259.25397.131530.9567596.561.0574692.3337.151653625.471.111.117.24350296.58
1540.880.8871.220.970.9778.6948.9348.931912.311.461.4656.939.139.13397.411540.9367625.491.0374724.3036.641654761.221.091.097.14350517.84
1550.870.8771.240.960.9678.7248.2848.281913.801.441.4456.979.019.01397.691550.9267653.071.0274754.7736.141655845.351.081.087.04350728.99
1560.860.8671.270.950.9578.7547.6947.691915.141.421.4257.018.908.90397.941560.9167681.141.0074785.7935.651656950.421.061.066.94350944.19
1570.850.8571.290.940.9478.7847.1047.101916.601.401.4057.068.798.79398.211570.8967707.900.9974815.3635.171658005.411.051.056.85351149.59
1580.840.8471.320.920.9278.8046.5046.501917.991.381.3857.108.678.67398.471580.8867735.150.9774845.4734.691659080.921.031.036.75351358.96
1590.820.8271.340.910.9178.8345.9145.911919.421.371.3757.148.568.56398.741590.8767761.990.9674875.1334.221660141.821.021.026.66351565.43
1600.810.8171.370.900.9078.8645.3345.331920.781.351.3557.188.458.45398.991600.8567785.900.9474901.5433.781661087.731.011.016.57351749.50
1610.800.8071.390.890.8978.8944.7744.771922.171.331.3357.228.358.35399.251610.8467811.990.9374930.3833.351662121.580.990.996.49351950.64
1620.790.7971.420.870.8778.9144.2044.201923.541.321.3257.268.248.24399.501620.8367836.880.9274957.8832.911663108.910.980.986.40352142.70
1630.780.7871.440.860.8678.9443.6543.651924.851.301.3057.308.148.14399.751630.8267862.230.9074985.8932.481664115.770.970.976.32352338.52
1640.770.7771.460.850.8578.9743.1243.121926.181.281.2857.348.048.04400.001640.8167886.410.8975012.6132.061665077.450.950.956.23352525.52
1650.760.7671.490.840.8478.9942.5942.591927.461.271.2757.387.947.94400.241650.7967911.040.8875039.8231.641666058.290.940.946.15352716.21
1660.750.7571.510.830.8379.0242.0742.071928.761.251.2557.427.847.84400.481660.7867935.320.8775066.6531.221667026.260.930.936.07352904.36
1670.740.7471.530.820.8279.0441.5541.551930.051.241.2457.467.747.74400.721670.7767958.480.8575092.2530.821667950.970.920.925.99353084.08
1680.730.7371.550.810.8179.0741.0641.061931.201.221.2257.497.657.65400.931680.7667982.090.8475118.3330.431668894.280.910.915.91353267.37
1690.720.7271.580.800.8079.0940.5940.591932.461.211.2157.537.567.56401.171690.7568004.610.8375143.2130.041669795.540.890.895.84353442.47
1700.710.7171.600.790.7979.1140.1040.101933.661.191.1957.577.477.47401.391700.7468027.560.8275168.5729.661670715.050.880.885.76353621.08
1710.710.7171.620.780.7879.1439.6239.621934.891.181.1857.607.387.38401.621710.7368050.190.8175193.5829.281671622.770.870.875.69353797.37
1720.700.7071.640.770.7779.1639.1539.151936.071.171.1757.647.297.29401.841720.7268070.360.8075215.8628.931672432.700.860.865.62353954.65
1730.690.6971.660.760.7679.1938.6938.691937.271.151.1557.677.217.21402.061730.7168092.390.7975240.2128.581673318.570.850.855.55354126.64
1740.680.6871.680.750.7579.2138.2338.231938.451.141.1457.717.127.12402.281740.7068113.430.7775263.4528.221674165.200.840.845.48354290.99
1750.670.6771.700.740.7479.2337.7837.781939.581.121.1257.747.047.04402.491750.6968134.870.7675287.1427.871675029.230.830.835.41354458.68
1760.660.6671.720.730.7379.2537.3437.341940.741.111.1157.786.966.96402.711760.6868155.340.7575309.7627.531675855.090.820.825.34354618.94
1770.650.6571.740.720.7279.2736.9136.911941.851.101.1057.816.876.87402.921770.6768176.210.7475332.8227.191676698.000.810.815.28354782.49
1780.650.6571.760.710.7179.3036.4836.481942.981.091.0957.846.796.79403.131780.6668196.790.7375355.5726.851677530.470.800.805.21354943.98
1790.640.6471.780.710.7179.3236.0636.061944.101.071.0757.886.726.72403.341790.6668216.450.7275377.2926.531678326.290.790.795.15355098.34
1800.630.6371.800.700.7079.3435.6535.651945.131.061.0657.916.646.64403.531800.6568236.490.7175399.4426.211679138.690.780.785.08355255.89
1810.620.6271.820.690.6979.3635.2535.251946.221.051.0557.946.566.56403.731810.6468255.640.7175420.5925.891679915.420.770.775.02355406.50
1820.620.6271.840.680.6879.3834.8634.861947.271.041.0457.976.496.49403.931820.6368275.160.7075442.1725.581680708.420.760.764.96355560.24
1830.610.6171.860.670.6779.4034.4634.461948.341.031.0358.006.426.42404.121830.6268294.420.6975463.4525.271681491.810.750.754.90355712.09
1840.600.6071.880.660.6679.4234.0834.081949.361.011.0158.036.346.34404.321840.6168311.610.6875482.4424.981682191.250.740.744.84355847.65
1850.590.5971.900.660.6679.4433.7033.701950.401.001.0058.066.276.27404.511850.6168330.390.6775503.1924.691682956.770.740.744.79355995.99
1860.590.5971.910.650.6579.4633.3133.311951.440.990.9958.096.206.20404.701860.6068348.340.6675523.0224.401683688.870.730.734.73356137.84
1870.580.5871.930.640.6479.4832.9532.951952.430.980.9858.126.136.13404.891870.5968366.640.6575543.2524.121684436.500.720.724.67356282.67
1880.570.5771.950.630.6379.5032.5832.581953.440.970.9758.156.066.06405.071880.5868384.130.6475562.5823.841685151.580.710.714.62356421.18
1890.570.5771.970.630.6379.5232.2332.231954.400.960.9658.186.006.00405.251890.5868401.980.6475582.3023.561685881.900.700.704.56356562.61
1900.560.5671.980.620.6279.5431.8731.871955.390.950.9558.215.935.93405.441900.5768419.590.6375601.7623.281686603.630.690.694.51356702.37
1910.550.5572.000.610.6179.5631.5231.521956.370.940.9458.245.875.87405.621910.5668436.430.6275620.3623.011687294.030.690.694.46356836.03
1920.550.5572.020.610.6179.5831.1931.191957.240.930.9358.275.805.80405.781920.5568453.600.6175639.3422.751687999.260.680.684.40356972.55
1930.540.5472.030.600.6079.5930.8730.871958.200.920.9258.305.745.74405.961930.5568470.020.6075657.4822.491688673.940.670.674.35357103.14
1940.540.5472.050.590.5979.6130.5330.531959.110.910.9158.325.685.68406.131940.5468486.770.6075675.9922.231689363.190.660.664.30357236.52
1950.530.5372.060.590.5979.6330.2130.211960.050.900.9058.355.625.62406.301950.5368503.320.5975694.2721.981690044.500.650.654.25357368.36
1960.520.5272.080.580.5879.6529.8929.891960.950.890.8958.385.565.56406.471960.5368518.610.5875711.1721.731690674.780.650.654.20357490.30
1970.520.5272.100.570.5779.6629.5729.571961.860.880.8858.405.505.50406.641970.5268534.750.5875729.0121.491691341.090.640.644.16357619.19
1980.510.5172.110.570.5779.6829.2529.251962.770.870.8758.435.445.44406.811980.5168550.190.5775746.0621.251691978.700.630.634.11357742.51
1990.510.5172.130.560.5679.7028.9428.941963.640.860.8658.465.385.38406.971990.5168565.940.5675763.4721.021692630.220.630.634.06357868.51
2000.500.5072.140.550.5579.7228.6428.641964.530.850.8558.485.335.33407.142000.5068581.010.5575780.1220.781693253.730.620.624.02357989.07
2010.500.5072.160.550.5579.7328.3428.341965.380.840.8458.515.275.27407.302010.5068596.390.5575797.1120.551693890.900.610.613.97358112.26
2020.490.4972.170.540.5479.7528.0528.051966.250.840.8458.545.225.22407.462020.4968611.580.5475813.9020.321694520.960.610.613.93358234.06
2030.490.4972.190.540.5479.7727.7527.751967.110.830.8358.565.165.16407.622030.4868626.100.5475829.9520.101695124.010.600.603.89358350.62
2040.480.4872.200.530.5379.7827.4827.481967.880.820.8258.585.115.11407.762040.4868640.940.5375846.3419.881695740.360.590.593.84358469.73
2050.480.4872.220.530.5379.8027.2127.211968.720.810.8158.615.065.06407.922050.4768655.120.5275862.0119.671696330.360.590.593.80358583.74
2060.470.4772.230.520.5279.8126.9326.931969.530.800.8058.635.015.01408.072060.4768669.600.5275878.0219.451696933.420.580.583.76358700.25
2070.470.4772.250.510.5179.8326.6526.651970.350.790.7958.664.964.96408.222070.4668683.920.5175893.8319.241697529.880.570.573.72358815.48
2080.460.4672.260.510.5179.8426.3826.381971.150.790.7958.684.914.91408.372080.4668696.700.5075907.9519.041698063.020.570.573.68358918.45
2090.460.4672.270.500.5079.8626.1226.121971.960.780.7858.714.864.86408.522090.4568710.690.5075923.4118.841698647.180.560.563.64359031.27
2100.450.4572.290.500.5079.8825.8525.851972.760.770.7758.734.814.81408.672100.4568724.070.4975938.2018.641699206.470.560.563.60359139.28
2110.450.4572.300.490.4979.8925.5925.591973.520.760.7658.754.764.76408.812110.4468737.740.4975953.3018.451699778.280.550.553.56359249.68
2120.440.4472.310.490.4979.9125.3425.341974.310.750.7558.784.714.71408.962120.4468750.820.4875967.7518.251700325.790.540.543.52359355.38
2130.440.4472.330.480.4879.9225.0925.091975.060.750.7558.804.664.66409.102130.4368764.170.4875982.5118.061700885.610.540.543.49359463.45
2140.430.4372.340.480.4879.9324.8424.841975.830.740.7458.824.624.62409.242140.4368777.380.4775997.1017.871701439.450.530.533.45359570.34
2150.430.4372.350.470.4779.9524.5924.591976.590.730.7358.844.574.57409.382150.4268790.010.4776011.0617.681701969.840.530.533.41359672.70
2160.420.4272.370.470.4779.9624.3624.361977.280.730.7358.864.534.53409.512160.4268802.920.4676025.3217.501702512.210.520.523.38359777.36
2170.420.4272.380.460.4679.9824.1224.121978.020.720.7258.894.484.48409.652170.4168815.260.4576038.9717.311703031.640.520.523.34359877.57
2180.420.4272.390.460.4679.9923.8923.891978.740.710.7158.914.444.44409.782180.4168827.880.4576052.9117.141703562.850.510.513.31359980.05
2190.410.4172.400.450.4580.0023.6623.661979.470.700.7058.934.404.40409.922190.4068840.360.4476066.6916.961704088.510.500.503.27360081.44
2200.410.4172.420.450.4580.0223.4323.431980.180.700.7058.954.354.35410.052200.4068851.500.4476079.0116.791704558.600.500.503.24360172.11
2210.400.4072.430.450.4580.0323.2023.201980.900.690.6958.974.314.31410.182210.3968863.710.4476092.5016.621705073.910.490.493.21360271.48
2220.400.4072.440.440.4480.0522.9822.981981.610.680.6858.994.274.27410.312220.3968875.390.4376105.4116.451705567.540.490.493.17360366.66
2230.400.4072.450.440.4480.0622.7622.761982.290.680.6859.014.234.23410.442230.3968887.330.4376118.6016.291706072.450.480.483.14360464.01
2240.390.3972.460.430.4380.0722.5422.541982.990.670.6759.034.194.19410.572240.3868898.760.4276131.2316.121706556.150.480.483.11360557.25
2250.390.3972.480.430.4380.0822.3322.331983.660.660.6659.054.154.15410.692250.3868910.440.4276144.1415.961707050.940.480.483.08360652.63
2260.380.3872.490.420.4280.1022.1222.121984.350.660.6659.074.114.11410.822260.3768921.990.4176156.9015.801707540.710.470.473.04360747.02
2270.380.3872.500.420.4280.1121.9121.911985.030.650.6559.094.074.07410.952270.3768933.050.4176169.1215.641708009.950.470.473.01360837.44
2280.380.3872.510.420.4280.1221.7021.701985.650.650.6559.114.034.03411.072280.3668944.360.4076181.6115.491708490.010.460.462.98360929.94
2290.370.3772.520.410.4180.1421.5021.501986.320.640.6459.134.004.00411.192290.3668955.180.4076193.5715.331708949.980.460.462.95361018.56
2300.370.3772.530.410.4180.1521.3021.301986.960.630.6359.153.963.96411.312300.3668966.240.3976205.7915.181709420.610.450.452.92361109.22
2310.370.3772.550.400.4080.1621.1121.111987.610.630.6359.173.923.92411.432310.3568977.180.3976217.8815.031709886.530.450.452.89361198.97
2320.360.3672.560.400.4080.1720.9120.911988.240.620.6259.193.893.89411.552320.3568986.960.3976228.6914.891710303.370.440.442.87361279.25
2330.360.3672.570.400.4080.1820.7220.721988.880.620.6259.213.853.85411.672330.3568997.680.3876240.5314.751710760.530.440.442.84361367.29
2340.360.3672.580.390.3980.2020.5320.531989.520.610.6159.233.813.81411.782340.3469007.950.3876251.8714.601711198.630.430.432.81361451.65
2350.350.3572.590.390.3980.2120.3420.341990.130.610.6159.253.783.78411.902350.3469018.440.3776263.4714.461711646.960.430.432.78361537.96
2360.350.3572.600.390.3980.2220.1520.151990.760.600.6059.263.743.74412.012360.3369028.490.3776274.5814.321712076.640.430.432.76361620.68
2370.350.3572.610.380.3880.2319.9719.971991.350.590.5959.283.713.71412.122370.3369038.770.3776285.9314.181712516.370.420.422.73361705.33
2380.340.3472.620.380.3880.2419.7919.791991.970.590.5959.303.683.68412.242380.3369048.940.3676297.1714.051712951.810.420.422.70361789.14
2390.340.3472.630.370.3780.2619.6119.611992.580.580.5859.323.643.64412.352390.3269058.670.3676307.9313.911713369.190.410.412.68361869.46
2400.340.3472.640.370.3780.2719.4419.441993.120.580.5859.343.613.61412.452400.3269068.630.3576318.9313.781713796.380.410.412.65361951.66
2410.330.3372.650.370.3780.2819.2719.271993.720.570.5759.353.583.58412.562410.3269078.170.3576329.4713.651714205.870.410.412.63362030.45
2420.330.3372.660.360.3680.2919.1019.101994.290.570.5759.373.553.55412.672420.3169087.930.3576340.2513.521714625.020.400.402.60362111.09
2430.330.3372.670.360.3680.3018.9318.931994.880.560.5659.393.523.52412.782430.3169097.580.3476350.9213.391715040.150.400.402.58362190.95
2440.320.3272.680.360.3680.3118.7618.761995.440.560.5659.403.493.49412.882440.3169106.520.3476360.8013.271715424.920.390.392.55362264.95
2450.320.3272.690.350.3580.3218.6018.601996.020.550.5559.423.453.45412.992450.3169115.990.3476371.2613.151715832.440.390.392.53362343.33
2460.320.3272.700.350.3580.3318.4318.431996.590.550.5559.443.423.42413.102460.3069125.050.3376381.2713.021716223.150.390.392.50362418.47
2470.320.3272.710.350.3580.3418.2718.271997.140.540.5459.453.393.39413.202470.3069134.330.3376391.5212.901716623.130.380.382.48362495.38
2480.310.3172.720.350.3580.3518.1118.111997.700.540.5459.473.363.36413.302480.3069143.210.3376401.3412.781717006.630.380.382.46362569.11
2490.310.3172.730.340.3480.3617.9517.951998.240.530.5359.493.333.33413.402490.2969152.300.3276411.3812.671717399.260.380.382.43362644.59
2500.310.3172.740.340.3480.3717.8017.801998.790.530.5359.503.313.31413.512500.2969161.300.3276421.3212.551717788.230.370.372.41362719.36
2510.300.3072.750.340.3480.3817.6417.641999.340.530.5359.523.283.28413.612510.2969169.920.3276430.8512.431718161.200.370.372.39362791.05
2520.300.3072.760.330.3380.3917.5017.501999.830.520.5259.533.253.25413.702520.2869178.740.3176440.5912.321718543.090.370.372.37362864.44
2530.300.3072.770.330.3380.4017.3517.352000.360.520.5259.553.223.22413.802530.2869187.190.3176449.9312.211718909.300.360.362.35362934.81
2540.300.3072.770.330.3380.4117.2017.202000.880.510.5159.573.193.19413.892540.2869195.830.3176459.4912.101719284.290.360.362.32363006.87
2550.290.2972.780.320.3280.4217.0617.062001.410.510.5159.583.173.17413.992550.2869204.400.3176468.9511.991719655.840.360.362.30363078.25
2560.290.2972.790.320.3280.4316.9116.912001.920.500.5059.603.143.14414.092560.2769212.060.3076477.4111.881719988.510.350.352.28363142.16
2570.290.2972.800.320.3280.4416.7716.772002.440.500.5059.613.113.11414.182570.2769220.460.3076486.6911.781720353.630.350.352.26363212.30
2580.290.2972.810.320.3280.4516.6316.632002.950.490.4959.633.093.09414.282580.2769228.510.3076495.5911.671720703.810.350.352.24363279.56
2590.280.2872.820.310.3180.4616.4916.492003.450.490.4959.643.063.06414.372590.2769236.750.2976504.6911.571721062.440.340.342.22363348.43
2600.280.2872.830.310.3180.4716.3516.352003.950.490.4959.663.043.04414.462600.2669244.650.2976513.4211.471721406.420.340.342.20363414.49
2610.280.2872.840.310.3180.4816.2116.212004.440.480.4859.673.013.01414.552610.2669252.730.2976522.3511.361721758.720.340.342.18363482.14
2620.280.2872.840.310.3180.4916.0816.082004.940.480.4859.692.982.98414.652620.2669260.730.2976531.1911.261722107.870.340.342.16363549.17
2630.270.2772.850.300.3080.5015.9415.942005.430.470.4759.702.962.96414.742630.2669268.400.2876539.6711.161722442.780.330.332.14363613.47
2640.270.2772.860.300.3080.5115.8115.812005.870.470.4759.712.942.94414.822640.253307238569276.25566508910.2876548.3511.071722785.820.330.332.12363679.32
2650.270.2772.870.300.3080.5215.6915.692006.360.470.4759.732.912.91414.912650.250913905469283.783082250.2876556.6710.971723114.890.330.332.11363742.48
2660.270.2772.880.300.3080.5315.5615.562006.830.460.4659.742.892.89415.002660.248551275269291.488171780.2776565.1810.871723451.980.320.322.09363807.18
2670.270.2772.880.290.2980.5415.4315.432007.310.460.4659.762.862.86415.092670.246180614769299.11977083570.2776573.6110.781723786.090.320.322.07363871.29
2680.260.2672.890.290.2980.5415.3115.312007.760.460.4659.772.842.84415.172680.243952794669305.95044908370.2776581.1610.691724085.340.320.322.05363928.72
2690.260.2672.900.290.2980.5515.1815.182008.240.450.4559.792.822.82415.262690.241752660569313.44478156040.2776589.4410.601724413.890.320.322.03363991.76
2700.260.2672.910.290.2980.5615.0615.062008.700.450.4559.802.802.80415.352700.239505809769320.62995585260.2676597.3810.511724729.110.310.312.02364052.23
2710.260.2672.920.280.2880.5714.9414.942009.150.440.4459.812.772.77415.432710.237287313569327.98586257050.2676605.5110.421725052.050.310.312.00364114.18
2720.250.2572.920.280.2880.5814.8114.812009.610.440.4459.832.752.75415.512720.235096420769335.03875519290.2676613.3010.331725361.900.310.311.98364173.62
2730.250.2572.930.280.2880.5914.7014.702010.050.440.4459.842.732.73415.602730.232932995769342.25967806080.2676621.2810.241725679.360.300.301.96364234.51
2740.250.2572.940.280.2880.6014.5814.582010.500.430.4359.852.712.71415.682740.230761581369349.41328708140.2576629.1910.151725994.070.300.301.95364294.87
2750.250.2572.950.270.2780.6014.4614.462010.950.430.4359.872.682.68415.762750.228651800569356.2728410950.2576636.7710.071726296.060.300.301.93364352.78
2760.250.2572.950.270.2780.6114.3514.352011.370.430.4359.882.662.66415.842760.064388620369358.26888832470.0776638.972.841726383.980.080.080.54364369.63
2770.240.2472.960.270.2780.6214.2414.242011.810.420.4259.892.642.64415.922770.000.000.000.000.000.00
2780.240.2472.970.270.2780.6314.1214.122012.230.420.4259.902.622.62416.002780.000.000.000.000.000.00
2790.240.2472.980.270.2780.6414.0114.012012.670.420.4259.922.602.60416.082790.000.000.000.000.000.00
2800.240.2472.980.260.2680.6513.9013.902013.080.410.4159.932.582.58416.162800.000.000.000.000.000.00
2810.240.2472.990.260.2680.6513.7913.792013.510.410.4159.942.562.56416.242810.000.000.000.000.000.00
2820.230.2373.000.260.2680.6613.6813.682013.930.410.4159.952.542.54416.322820.000.000.000.000.000.00
2830.230.2373.010.260.2680.6713.5813.582014.340.400.4059.972.522.52416.392830.000.000.000.000.000.00
2840.230.2373.010.260.2680.6813.4713.472014.760.400.4059.982.502.50416.472840.000.000.000.000.000.00
2850.230.2373.020.250.2580.6813.3713.372015.160.400.4059.992.482.48416.542850.000.000.000.000.000.00
2860.230.2373.030.250.2580.6913.2713.272015.570.390.3960.002.462.46416.622860.000.000.000.000.000.00
2870.230.2373.030.250.2580.7013.1613.162015.980.390.3960.022.442.44416.702870.000.000.000.000.000.00
2880.220.2273.040.250.2580.7113.0613.062016.350.390.3960.032.422.42416.762880.000.000.000.000.000.00
2890.220.2273.050.250.2580.7112.9712.972016.750.390.3960.042.412.41416.842890.000.000.000.000.000.00
2900.220.2273.050.240.2480.7212.8712.872017.130.380.3860.052.392.39416.912900.000.000.000.000.000.00
2910.220.2273.060.240.2480.7312.7712.772017.530.380.3860.062.372.37416.982910.000.000.000.000.000.00
2920.220.2273.070.240.2480.7412.6812.682017.910.380.3860.072.352.35417.052920.000.000.000.000.000.00
2930.220.2273.070.240.2480.7412.5812.582018.300.370.3760.082.332.33417.132930.000.000.000.000.000.00
2940.210.2173.080.240.2480.7512.4812.482018.690.370.3760.102.322.32417.202940.000.000.000.000.000.00
2950.210.2173.090.230.2380.7612.3912.392019.060.370.3760.112.302.30417.272950.000.000.000.000.000.00
2960.210.2173.090.230.2380.7712.3012.302019.440.370.3760.122.282.28417.342960.000.000.000.000.000.00
2970.210.2173.100.230.2380.7712.2112.212019.810.360.3660.132.272.27417.412970.000.000.000.000.000.00
2980.210.2173.110.230.2380.7812.1212.122020.180.360.3660.142.252.25417.482980.000.000.000.000.000.00
2990.210.2173.110.230.2380.7912.0212.022020.550.360.3660.152.232.23417.552990.000.000.000.000.000.00
3000.200.2073.120.230.2380.7911.9411.942020.890.360.3660.162.222.22417.613000.000.000.000.000.000.00
3010.200.2073.120.220.2280.8011.8511.852021.260.350.3560.172.202.20417.683010.000.000.000.000.000.00
3020.200.2073.130.220.2280.8111.7711.772021.610.350.3560.182.182.18417.743020.000.000.000.000.000.00
3030.200.2073.140.220.2280.8111.6811.682021.970.350.3560.192.172.17417.813030.000.000.000.000.000.00
3040.200.2073.140.220.2280.8211.6011.602022.320.350.3560.202.152.15417.873040.000.000.000.000.000.00
3050.200.2073.150.220.2280.8311.5111.512022.680.340.3460.222.142.14417.943050.000.000.000.000.000.00
3060.200.2073.150.220.2280.8311.4311.432023.030.340.3460.232.122.12418.003060.000.000.000.000.000.00
3070.190.1973.160.210.2180.8411.3411.342023.370.340.3460.242.102.10418.073070.000.000.000.000.000.00
3080.190.1973.170.210.2180.8511.2611.262023.720.340.3460.252.092.09418.133080.000.000.000.000.000.00
3090.190.1973.170.210.2180.8511.1811.182024.060.330.3360.262.072.07418.203090.000.000.000.000.000.00
3100.190.1973.180.210.2180.8611.1011.102024.400.330.3360.272.062.06418.263100.000.000.000.000.000.00
3110.190.1973.180.210.2180.8711.0211.022024.740.330.3360.282.042.04418.323110.000.000.000.000.000.00
3120.190.1973.190.210.2180.8710.9410.942025.050.330.3360.292.032.03418.383120.000.000.000.000.000.00
3130.190.1973.190.210.2180.8810.8710.872025.380.320.3260.302.022.02418.443130.000.000.000.000.000.00
3140.180.1873.200.200.2080.8810.7910.792025.710.320.3260.312.002.00418.503140.000.000.000.000.000.00
3150.180.1873.210.200.2080.8910.7110.712026.040.320.3260.321.991.99418.563150.000.000.000.000.000.00
3160.180.1873.210.200.2080.9010.6410.642026.360.320.3260.321.971.97418.623160.000.000.000.000.000.00
3170.180.1873.220.200.2080.9010.5610.562026.690.310.3160.331.961.96418.683170.000.000.000.000.000.00
3180.180.1873.220.200.2080.9110.4910.492027.010.310.3160.341.951.95418.743180.000.000.000.000.000.00
3190.180.1873.230.200.2080.9110.4210.422027.320.310.3160.351.931.93418.803190.000.000.000.000.000.00
3200.180.1873.230.200.2080.9210.3410.342027.640.310.3160.361.921.92418.863200.000.000.000.000.000.00
3210.180.1873.240.190.1980.9310.2710.272027.950.310.3160.371.911.91418.923210.000.000.000.000.000.00
3220.170.1773.240.190.1980.9310.2010.202028.270.300.3060.381.891.89418.983220.000.000.000.000.000.00
3230.170.1773.250.190.1980.9410.1310.132028.580.300.3060.391.881.88419.043230.000.000.000.000.000.00
3240.170.1773.250.190.1980.9410.0610.062028.870.300.3060.401.871.87419.093240.000.000.000.000.000.00
3250.170.1773.260.190.1980.9510.0110.012028.990.300.3060.401.861.86419.113250.000.000.000.000.000.00
Summary
FX @ 1.31
Type Well Economics (Sales)IRR Vs. Oil Price Sensitivities
2016 Type Curve2015 Type CurveVariance
IP30EURIP30EURIP30EUR
Gas (mmcf/d): bcf2.41.72.31.54%13%
Oil (b/d); mb197711636721%6%
C3+ b/mmcf;mb376437550%16%
boe/d; mboe6904196343689%14%
DCT Costmm$ 3.30mm$ 3.30
Chance of Success%100%100
Payoutyears0.9years1.0years(0.1)
RoR%141%105%36.0
NPV10mm$ 3.4mm$ 2.8mm$ 0.6
PV10mm$ 6.7mm$ 6.1mm$ 0.6
F&Dper boe$ 7.87per boe$ 8.97per boe$ (1.10)
* WTI US$55/bbl, NYMEX gas US$3.00/mmbtu, FX $1.31. Sales Volumes (9.75% Shrinkage)
RoR
WTI2015 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)2015 Type Curve - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction2015 Type Curve -100% COS 10% Capex Increase2016 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)2016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction2016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Increase
3542.357.830.857.977.343.7
4570.893.454.394.712473.5
55105.3137.282.3140.9183.8110.5
65146.9190.8115.7198.6259.4156
FX @ 1.35
Type Well Economics (Sales)IRR Vs. Oil Price Sensitivities
2016 Type Curve2015 Type CurveVariance
IP30EURIP30EURIP30EUR
Gas (mmcf/d): bcf2.41.72.31.54%13%
Oil (b/d); mb197711636721%6%
C3+ b/mmcf;mb3356.43348.70%16%
boe/d; mboe6904126343629%14%
DCT Costmm$ 3.30mm$ 3.30
Chance of Success%100%100
Payoutyears0.9years1.0years(0.1)
RoR%147%110%37.0
NPV10mm$ 3.8mm$ 3.1mm$ 0.7
PV10mm$ 7.1mm$ 6.4mm$ 0.7
F&Dper boe$ 8.01per boe$ 9.12per boe$ (1.11)
* WTI US$55/bbl, NYMEX gas US$3.00/mmbtu, FX $1.35. Sales Volumes (9.75% Shrinkage)
RoR
WTI2015 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)2015 Type Curve - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction2015 Type Curve -100% COS 10% Capex Increase2016 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)2016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction2016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Increase
3545.361.533.361.882.146.9
4574.59857.399.6130.377.4
55109.914386147.3192115.5
65152.5198120.2206.7270.2162.3
$3.00 NYMEX & 1.31 FX
2015 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)3545556542.370.8105.3146.92015 Type Curve - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction3545556557.893.4137.19999999999999190.82015 Type Curve -100% COS 10% Capex Increase3545556530.854.382.3115.72016 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)3545556557.994.7140.9198.62016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction3545556577.3124183.8259.399999999999982016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Increase3545556543.773.5110.5156
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR BT (%)
$3.00 NYMEX & 1.35 FX
2015 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)3545556542.370.8105.3146.92015 Type Curve - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction3545556557.893.4137.19999999999999190.82015 Type Curve -100% COS 10% Capex Increase3545556530.854.382.3115.72016 Type Curve - 100% COS ($3.3 MM)3545556557.994.7140.9198.62016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Reduction3545556577.3124183.8259.399999999999982016 TC - 100% COS 10% Capex Increase3545556543.773.5110.5156
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR BT (%)
NPV15&10 - NOV '16 BOD
Ellerslie BTAX NPV15 ($M) - Capex Sensitivity - January 2017 Effective Date
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.85 US/MMBTU, Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.35, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.506191,5242,4303,338$ 2.509431,8482,7543,662$ 2.502951,2002,1063,014
$ 3.001,5552,4633,3714,281$ 3.001,8792,7873,6954,605$ 3.001,2312,1393,0473,957
$ 3.502,4963,4054,3155,225$ 3.502,8203,7294,6395,549$ 3.502,1723,0813,9914,901
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502481,0741,9032,732$ 2.505731,3992,2273,057$ 2.50(76)7501,5782,408
$ 3.001,0701,8982,7293,560$ 3.001,3942,2233,0533,884$ 3.007451,5742,4053,236
$ 3.501,8952,7253,5574,389$ 3.502,2193,0493,8814,713$ 3.501,5702,4013,2334,065
2016 TYPE CURVE150% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502,6283,9565,2856,615$ 2.502,9514,2795,6096,939$ 2.502,3043,6324,9616,292
$ 3.004,0435,3736,7048,036$ 3.004,3665,6977,0288,360$ 3.003,7195,0496,3807,712
$ 3.505,4616,7938,1259,458$ 3.505,7857,1178,4499,782$ 3.505,1376,4697,8019,134
2016 TYPE CURVE125% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.501,6242,7423,8604,980$ 2.501,9483,0654,1845,304$ 2.501,3002,4183,5374,657
$ 3.002,8003,9205,0416,162$ 3.003,1244,2445,3646,486$ 3.002,4763,5964,7175,838
$ 3.503,9805,1016,2237,345$ 3.504,3045,4256,5477,669$ 3.503,6564,7775,8997,021
2016 TYPE CURVE75% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50(394)2949851,676$ 2.50(70)6191,3092,001$ 2.50(30)6601,352
$ 3.003029931,6862,379$ 3.006261,3182,0102,704$ 3.00(22)6691,3622,055
$ 3.501,0031,6962,3903,085$ 3.501,3272,0202,7153,409$ 3.506781,3722,0662,761
2016 TYPE CURVE50% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50(551)(90)$ 2.50(226)234$ 2.50(415)
$ 3.00(551)(89)373$ 3.00(226)235698$ 3.00(414)49
$ 3.50(550)(88)375839$ 3.50(225)2377001,163$ 3.50(412)51514
COSCAPITAL ($MM)
COSCAPITAL ($MM)2.973.303.63
2.973.303.6350% TC800474149
50% TC432106(220)75% TC2,9042,5781,874
75% TC2,3432,0181,692100% TC4,9124,5874,262
100% TC4,1593,8343,509125% TC6,9106,5856,261
125% TC5,9645,6395,314150% TC8,9068,5818,256
150% TC7,7677,4427,118
COSCAPITAL ($MM)COSCAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.303.632.973.303.63
50% TC66(260)(500)50% TC(297)(500)(700)
75% TC1,7841,4591,13475% TC1,229903578
100% TC3,4073,0822,757100% TC2,6592,3342,009
125% TC5,0204,6954,370125% TC4,0793,7543,429
150% TC6,6306,3065,981150% TC5,4975,1724,847
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.63431.6106-219.575% TC2.973.33.632342.80000000000022017.51692.1100% TC2.973.33.634158.53833.53508.5125% TC2.973.33.635963.95639.15314.3150% TC2.973.33.637766.97442.27117.5
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.63799.6474.1148.675% TC2.973.33.632903.82578.41874.4100% TC2.973.33.634912.34587.34262.3999999999996125% TC2.973.33.636910.26585.46260.6150% TC2.973.33.638905.79999999999938581.18256.4
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6366-259.5-50075% TC2.973.33.631784.31458.91133.5999999999999100% TC2.973.33.6334073082.12757.1125% TC2.973.33.635019.846954370.2150% TC2.973.33.636630.26305.55980.8
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.63-296.8-500-70075% TC2.973.33.631228.8903.4578.1100% TC2.973.33.632658.82333.80000000000022008.8125% TC2.973.33.634078.83753.93429.1150% TC2.973.33.635496.55171.84847.1000000000004
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
Payout - OCT 2016
Ellerslie Payout - Capex Sensitivity
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.84 US/MMBTU (avg from NOV BOD), Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.31, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI (avg from NOV BOD)
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL DECREASE 10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502.01.31.00.9$ 2.501.61.20.90.8$ 2.502.51.61.21.0
$ 3.001.41.10.90.8$ 3.001.21.00.80.7$ 3.001.71.21.00.8
$ 3.501.20.90.80.7$ 3.501.00.80.70.6$ 3.501.31.00.90.8
2016 TYPE CURVE80% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.503.62.01.51.2$ 2.502.61.71.21.0$ 2.506.12.51.71.3
$ 3.002.11.51.21.0$ 3.001.81.31.00.9$ 3.002.61.81.41.1
$ 3.501.61.31.00.9$ 3.501.41.10.90.8$ 3.501.91.51.21.0
2016 TYPE CURVE70% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502.91.91.4$ 2.504.12.21.61.2$ 2.503.92.31.7
$ 3.003.02.01.51.2$ 3.002.31.61.31.0$ 3.004.02.41.81.4
$ 3.502.11.61.31.1$ 3.501.71.31.10.9$ 3.502.51.81.51.2
2016 TYPE CURVE60% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.505.92.81.9$ 2.503.42.11.6$ 2.503.72.4
$ 3.005.92.92.01.6$ 3.003.62.21.61.3$ 3.003.82.51.9
$ 3.503.02.11.61.3$ 3.502.31.71.41.1$ 3.504.02.61.91.5
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502.51.61.21.0$ 2.502.01.41.10.9$ 2.503.31.91.41.2
$ 3.001.71.31.00.9$ 3.001.41.10.90.8$ 3.002.01.51.21.0
$ 3.501.31.10.90.8$ 3.501.20.90.80.7$ 3.501.51.21.00.9
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2015 TC - 100% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 354555652.51.61.21 $3.00 354555651.71.310.9 $3.50 354555651.31.10000000000000010.90.8
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 70% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 354555652.91.91.4 $3.00 35455565321.51.2 $3.50 354555652.11.61.31.1000000000000001
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 70% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 354555654.09999999999999962.20000000000000021.61.2 $3.00 354555652.29999999999999981.61.31 $3.50 354555651.71.31.10000000000000010.9
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 70% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555653.92.29999999999999981.7 $3.00 3545556542.41.81.4 $3.50 354555652.51.81.51.2
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 354555655.92.81.9 $3.00 354555655.92.921.6 $3.50 3545556532.11.61.3
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 354555653.42.11.6 $3.00 354555653.62.20000000000000021.61.3 $3.50 354555652.29999999999999981.71.41.1000000000000001
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555653.72.4 $3.00 354555653.82.51.9 $3.50 3545556542.61.91.5
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 3545556521.310.9 $3.00 354555651.41.10000000000000010.90.8 $3.50 354555651.20.90.80.7
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 354555651.61.20.90.8 $3.00 354555651.210.80.7 $3.50 3545556510.80.70.6
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2015 TC - 100% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 3545556521.41.10000000000000010.9 $3.00 354555651.41.10000000000000010.90.8 $3.50 354555651.20.90.80.7
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2015 TC - 100 COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555653.31.91.41.2 $3.00 3545556521.51.21 $3.50 354555651.51.210.9
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555652.51.61.21 $3.00 354555651.71.210.8 $3.50 354555651.310.90.8
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 80% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 354555653.621.51.2 $3.00 354555652.11.51.21 $3.50 354555651.61.310.9
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 80% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 354555652.61.71.21 $3.00 354555651.81.310.9 $3.50 354555651.41.10000000000000010.90.8
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
2016 TC - 80% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555656.12.51.71.3 $3.00 354555652.61.81.41.1000000000000001 $3.50 354555651.91.51.21
WTI ($US/bbl)
Payout (yrs)
NPV15-NOV '16 BOD-Jan 16 Eff
Ellerslie BTAX NPV15 ($M) - Capex Sensitivity - January 2016 Effective Date
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.85 US/MMBTU, Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.35, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.505381,3252,1132,902$ 2.508201,6062,3953,184$ 2.502561,0431,8312,621
$ 3.001,3522,1412,9313,722$ 3.001,6342,4233,2134,004$ 3.001,0701,8592,6493,440
$ 3.502,1702,9603,7524,543$ 3.502,4523,2424,0334,825$ 3.501,8882,6793,4704,261
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502169341,6542,376$ 2.504981,2161,9362,658$ 2.50(66)6521,3722,094
$ 3.009301,6512,3733,095$ 3.001,2121,9332,6553,377$ 3.006481,3692,0912,814
$ 3.501,6472,3693,0933,816$ 3.501,9292,6513,3744,098$ 3.501,3652,0872,8113,534
2016 TYPE CURVE150% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.502,2853,4394,5955,752$ 2.502,5663,7214,8776,034$ 2.502,0033,1584,3145,471
$ 3.003,5154,6725,8296,987$ 3.003,7964,9536,1117,269$ 3.003,2334,3905,5486,706
$ 3.504,7495,9067,0658,224$ 3.505,0306,1887,3478,505$ 3.504,4675,6256,7837,942
2016 TYPE CURVE125% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.501,4122,3843,3574,330$ 2.501,6942,6653,6384,612$ 2.501,1302,1023,0754,049
$ 3.002,4343,4084,3835,358$ 3.002,7163,6904,6645,639$ 3.002,1533,1264,1015,076
$ 3.503,4604,4355,4116,387$ 3.503,7424,7175,6936,669$ 3.503,1794,1545,1296,105
2016 TYPE CURVE75% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50(343)2568561,457$ 2.50(61)5381,1381,739$ 2.50(26)5741,175
$ 3.002628641,4662,069$ 3.005441,1461,7482,351$ 3.00(20)5821,1841,787
$ 3.508721,4752,0782,682$ 3.501,1541,7572,3602,964$ 3.505901,1931,7962,400
2016 TYPE CURVE50% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50(479)(79)$ 2.50(197)204$ 2.50(361)
$ 3.00(479)(78)324$ 3.00(197)204606$ 3.00(360)42
$ 3.50(478)(77)326729$ 3.50(196)2066081,011$ 3.50(359)44447
COSCAPITAL ($MM)
COSCAPITAL ($MM)2.973.303.63
2.973.303.6350% TC
50% TC75% TC
75% TC100% TC
100% TC125% TC
125% TC150% TC
150% TC
NPV10 ($M)IRR(%)
0.75 $/Mcf Gas VariableCOSCAPITAL ($MM)CAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.33.632.973.33.63
50%39296(200)22.312.65.2
COSCAPITAL ($MM)COSCAPITAL ($MM)75%2,1301,8341,53890.868.452.0
2.973.303.632.973.303.63100%3,7803,4853,189192.0147.3115.5
50% TC50% TC125%5,4215,2164,831339.7259.1203.3
75% TC75% TC150%7,0606,7656,470500.0414.1322.4
100% TC100% TC
125% TC125% TCNPV10 ($M)IRR(%)
150% TC150% TC0.25 $/Mcf Gas VariableCOSCAPITAL ($MM)CAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.33.632.973.33.63
50%72743113533.021.713.2
75%2,6392,3442,048113.686.767.3
100%4,4654,1703,874236.5181.9143.4
125%6,2825,9865,691419.3319.3250.7
150%8,0967,8007,505600.0500.0398.4
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6375% TC2.973.33.63100% TC2.973.33.63125% TC2.973.33.63150% TC2.973.33.63
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6375% TC2.973.33.63100% TC2.973.33.63125% TC2.973.33.63150% TC2.973.33.63
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6375% TC2.973.33.63100% TC2.973.33.63125% TC2.973.33.63150% TC2.973.33.63
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6375% TC2.973.33.63100% TC2.973.33.63125% TC2.973.33.63150% TC2.973.33.63
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
NPV10 - NOV'16 BOD - Jan16 Eff
Ellerslie NPV10 ($M) - Capex Sensitivity - January 2016 Effective Date
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.85 US/MMBTU, Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.35, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.003,485$ 3.003,780$ 3.003,189
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE50% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.0096$ 3.00392$ 3.00(200)
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE75% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.001,834$ 3.002,130$ 3.001,538
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE125% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.005,126$ 3.005,421$ 3.004,831
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE150% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.006,765$ 3.007,060$ 3.006,470
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
COSCAPITAL ($MM)
COSCAPITAL ($MM)2.973.303.63
2.973.303.6350% TC727431135
50% TC39296(200)75% TC2,6392,3442,048
75% TC2,1301,8341,538100% TC4,4654,1703,874
100% TC3,7803,4853,189125% TC6,2825,9865,691
125% TC5,4215,2164,831150% TC8,0967,8007,505
150% TC7,0606,7656,470
NPV10 ($M)IRR(%)
0.75 $/Mcf Gas VariableCOSCAPITAL ($MM)CAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.33.632.973.33.63
50%39296(200)22.312.65.2
COSCAPITAL ($MM)COSCAPITAL ($MM)75%2,1301,8341,53890.868.452.0
2.973.303.632.973.303.63100%3,7803,4853,189192.0147.3115.5
50% TC60(236)(500)50% TC(270)(500)(700)125%5,4215,2164,831339.7259.1203.3
75% TC1,6221,3261,03075% TC1,117821525150%7,0606,7656,470500.0414.1322.4
100% TC3,0972,8012,506100% TC2,4172,1211,826
125% TC4,5634,2683,972125% TC3,7083,4123,117NPV10 ($M)IRR(%)
150% TC6,0275,7325,437150% TC4,9964,7014,4060.25 $/Mcf Gas VariableCOSCAPITAL ($MM)CAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.33.632.973.33.63
50%72743113533.021.713.2
75%2,6392,3442,048113.686.767.3
100%4,4654,1703,874236.5181.9143.4
125%6,2825,9865,691419.3319.3250.7
150%8,0967,8007,505600.0500.0398.4
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6339296.1-199.975% TC2.973.33.632129.51833.71537.8100% TC2.973.33.63378034853189125% TC2.973.33.635421.25215.89999999999964830.6000000000004150% TC2.973.33.637060.367656469.8
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 0.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.63726.6430.7134.6999999999999975% TC2.973.33.632639.42343.62047.8100% TC2.973.33.634465.34169.83874.3125% TC2.973.33.636281.55986.25690.9150% TC2.973.33.638095.77800.47505.2
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.25 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.6359.7-236.2-50075% TC2.973.33.631621.71325.91030.0999999999999100% TC2.973.33.633096.92801.42505.9125% TC2.973.33.6345634267.60000000000043972.3150% TC2.973.33.6360275731.75436.5
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS) - 1.75 $/Mcf Gas Variable
50% TC2.973.33.63-270-500-70075% TC2.973.33.631116.8821525.1100% TC2.973.33.632416.69999999999982121.19999999999981825.7125% TC2.973.33.633707.534123116.8150% TC2.973.33.634996.39999999999964701.10000000000044405.8999999999996
CAPITAL ($MM)
NPV10 ($M)
Payout - NOV '16 BOD
Ellerslie Payout - Capex Sensitivity - Jan 2017 Effective Date
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.84 US/MMBTU (avg from NOV BOD), Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.30, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI (avg from NOV BOD)
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.000.9$ 3.000.8$ 3.001.0
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE50% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.003.2$ 3.002.4$ 3.004.7
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE75% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.001.3$ 3.001.1$ 3.001.6
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE125% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.000.7$ 3.000.6$ 3.000.8
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE150% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.000.6$ 3.000.5$ 3.000.6
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565
$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.001.0$ 3.000.9$ 3.001.2
$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
COSCAPITAL ($MM)
2.973.303.63
50%2.43.24.7
75%1.11.31.6
100%0.80.91.0
125%0.60.70.8
150%0.50.60.6
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2016 TC - $55 WTI/$3 NYMEX (varying COS)
50%2.973.33.632.43.24.775%2.973.33.631.10000000000000011.31.6100%2.973.33.630.80.91125%2.973.33.630.60.70.8150%2.973.33.630.50.60.6
CAPITAL ($MM)
Payout (years)
ROR - OCT 2016
Ellerslie BTAX IRR - Capex SensitivityEllerslie BTAX IRR - Capex Sensitivity
Oil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf TransportOil $7.30 Offset, Gas $0.20/mcf Transport
Aeco Basis $0.84 US/MMBTU (avg from NOV BOD), Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.30, Processing $0.75/mcfAeco Basis $0.85 US/MMBTU, Energy Content 1,130 BTU/SCF, F/X 1.35, Processing $0.75/mcf
NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI (avg from NOV BOD)NGL Factors C3 = 13.3%, C4 = 37%, C5 = 85% WTI
BASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASEBASE CASE10% CAPITAL REDUCTION10% CAPITAL INCREASE
CAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MMCAPEX $3.3MMCAPEX $2.97MMCAPEX $3.63MM
2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI2016 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565354555653545556535455565
$ 2.5030.261.3100.6150.0$ 2.5043.782.6132.8196.8$ 2.5020.245.877.6116.9$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.0057.994.7140.9198.6$ 3.0077.3124.0183.8259.4$ 3.0043.773.5110.5156.0$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.5089.2132.7186.9256.9$ 3.50116.0171.9242.7331.5$ 3.5069.7104.6147.5199.9$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE80% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI2016 TYPE CURVE80% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565354555653545556535455565
$ 2.508.228.753.182.5$ 2.5017.142.072.3109.5$ 2.501.418.839.063.0$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.0027.550.578.3111.7$ 3.0039.868.3103.4146.1$ 3.0018.337.460.187.1$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.5048.274.5106.2144.2$ 3.5064.797.8138.2187.4$ 3.5036.057.583.1113.5$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE70% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI2016 TYPE CURVE70% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565354555653545556535455565
$ 2.5015.234.456.7$ 2.505.625.648.976.8$ 2.507.423.642.0$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.0014.732.854.079.0$ 3.0024.346.472.7104.3$ 3.007.422.740.260.6$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.5031.451.575.3103.4$ 3.5044.069.099.0134.8$ 3.5021.838.658.180.8$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2016 TYPE CURVE60% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI2016 TYPE CURVE60% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565354555653545556535455565
$ 2.501.215.832.1$ 2.508.926.346.3$ 2.507.821.6$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.001.515.431.048.8$ 3.008.825.344.366.4$ 3.007.821.035.8$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.5015.029.946.966.6$ 3.5024.442.563.688.3$ 3.507.820.434.650.7$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI2015 TYPE CURVE100% COSNYMEXWTINYMEXWTINYMEXWTI
354555653545556535455565354555653545556535455565
$ 2.5019.644.474.2110.2$ 2.5030.660.998.2144.0$ 2.5011.432.256.785.9$ 2.50$ 2.50$ 2.50
$ 3.0042.370.8105.3146.9$ 3.0057.893.4137.2190.8$ 3.0030.854.382.3115.7$ 3.00$ 3.00$ 3.00
$ 3.5067.6100.7140.7188.7$ 3.5088.8130.8182.1244.5$ 3.5052.079.0111.2149.3$ 3.50$ 3.50$ 3.50
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
&D &T
2015 TC - 100% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 3545556519.60000000000000144.474.2110.2 $3.00 3545556542.370.8105.3146.9 $3.50 3545556567.599999999999994100.7140.69999999999999188.7
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 354555651.215.832.1 $3.00 354555651.515.43148.8 $3.50 354555651529.946.966.599999999999994
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 354555658.926.346.3 $3.00 354555658.800000000000000725.344.366.400000000000006 $3.50 3545556524.442.563.688.3
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 60% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 354555657.821.6 $3.00 354555657.82135.799999999999997 $3.50 354555657.820.39999999999999934.650.7
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $3.3MM
$2.50 3545556530.261.3100.6150 $3.00 3545556557.994.7140.9198.6 $3.50 3545556589.2132.69999999999999186.9256.89999999999998
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $2.97MM
$2.50 3545556543.782.6132.80000000000001196.8 $3.00 3545556577.3124183.8259.39999999999998 $3.50 35455565116171.9242.7331.5
WTI ($US/bbl)
ROR (%)
2016 TC - 100% COS - $3.63MM
$2.50 3545