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    number of groundwater models, spatial variations in fluid

    density can affect groundwater flow patterns significantly

    (Bear et al. 1999; Christensen et al. 2001). For example,

    groundwater flow near the coast is often influenced by

    density variation, and more complex density-dependent

    models are required to simulate the processes such as

    saltwater intrusion and submarine groundwater discharges.

    Efforts have been made to simulate density-dependentflow with a MODFLOW base code coupled with an

    advective and dispersive transport program (Langevin and

    Guo 2006). The SEAWAT model uses a combination of

    the approaches used by MODFLOW and MT3DMS model

    to represent solute transport processes (Guo and Langevin

    2002; McDonald and Harbaugh 2003).

    This paper discusses a numerical study of saltwater

    intrusion in the central Godavari delta region situated

    adjacent to the Bay of Bengal coast in East Godavari

    District of Andhra Pradesh, India. Significant quantity of

    groundwater is withdrawn from the Ravva On-shore Ter-

    minal located in the study area. The main aim of this workis to provide useful information that can aid in the pro-

    tection of groundwater resources in the study area from

    saltwater ingress. A three-dimensional numerical ground-

    water flow and solute transport model were developed with

    SEAWAT, which draws upon hydrogeological and hyd-

    rochemical data collected as part of this study.

    Description of the study area

    The Godavari delta region is situated in the East Godavari

    District of Andhra Pradesh, situated on the east coast of

    India. The study region, spread over an area of 295 km2 in

    the southern part of Godavari delta, is bounded by the Bay

    of Bengal on the east, the Vainateya River on the west, and

    alluvial plains on the north (Fig. 1). The exploration wells

    for oil are located 1.1 km from the coastline of the Bay of

    Bengal, while the Ravva On-shore Terminal wells are

    located 0.6 km inland from the coastline. The area has

    extensive tidal flats and inlets that receive sea water during

    high tides. The area also experiences periodic flooding by

    the Godavari River (Gurunadha Rao et al. 2011). Paddy

    cultivation and fresh water aquaculture are the major land

    uses within the region. The well-distributed Godavari

    irrigation canal network acts as a source for irrigation and

    drinking water throughout the year. Vasalatippa, Kunava-

    ram, and Pikaleru drains are carrying out the irrigation

    return flows through the Ravva On-shore Terminal area and

    flow into the Bay of Bengal. This 100-year-old canal net-

    work contributes significantly to groundwater recharge,

    thereby reducing the potential for saltwater intrusion into

    shallow aquifers (Chachadi and Teresa 2002; Gurunadha

    Rao et al.2011; Naidu et al. 2013).

    Geology

    The area is underlain by deltaic sediments of early Holo-

    cene age with varying proportions of clay, silt, sand, and

    gravel with a gentle slope of 0.001 km/km toward the

    coast. Groundwater occurs under water table conditions.

    However, semi-confined and confined conditions tend to

    develop in the area where impervious clay layers overliethe saturated granular zones. Groundwater is being tapped

    from shallow open wells with depth range of 38 m as well

    as filter point wells penetrating up to 20 m depth. A series

    of marine transgression and regression events have greatly

    influenced the depositional environments of the delta in the

    past. The beach ridges are associated with the delta pro-

    gradation (Rengamannar and Pradhan 1991). The study

    area includes fluvial landforms such as channels, levees,

    back swamps, and geologic floodplains as well as land-

    forms influenced by marine processes, such as tidal flats,

    beach ridge complexes, and mangrove swamps. The area is

    rich in Quaternary alluvial sediments derived from theGodavari River (Rao 1993; Bobba 2002). Since the Qua-

    ternary period, the Godavari River has been discharging

    large amounts of sediments into the Bay of Bengal, thereby

    supporting the delta building processes. The upper delta

    region sediments are essentially fluvial, while those in the

    lower delta region are fluvio-marine in origin (GSI2006).

    The concentrations of iron, manganese, sodium and pH are

    increased towards the delta where they approach the mar-

    ine environment. The distribution patterns of calcium and

    magnesium are mostly controlled by the amounts of shell

    fragments and clay minerals, particularly montmorillonite

    (Seetaramaswamy and Poornachandra Rao1975).

    Hydrogeology

    The average annual rainfall in the study area is about

    1,137 mm distributed unevenly among an average of 57

    rainy days of the year (Gurunadha Rao et al. 2008). About

    72 % of the rainfall occurs during the southwest monsoon

    season (JuneSeptember), while the rest occur during the

    northeast monsoon (OctoberDecember). The area consists

    of alluvium with thickness varying from a few meters to

    300 m. Clay is present in varying proportions along with

    silt and gravel. The alluvium overlies the Rajahmundry

    sandstones (CGWB1999). The hydrogeology of the study

    area is mainly derived from borehole geophysical logs

    collected at Amalapuram, Vodalarevu, and Surasanayanam

    villages. Geophysical imaging was carried out with Multi

    Electrode Resistivity Tomography (ERT) at 13 different

    locations in the Godavari deltaic region, the results of

    which indicate that loamy sandy soils are underlain by

    thick clay beds of about 3035 m and followed by coarse-

    grained sands (Gurunadha Rao et al. 2011, 2013; Lagudu

    L. Surinaidu et al.

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    et al. 2013). The geophysical logs collected from three

    locations at Ravva On-shore Terminal revealed that sandy

    clay is underlain by 4555-m-thick clay with fine sand

    followed by medium-to-coarse-grained sands up to a depthof 120 m below which clays saturated with saline water are

    found up to a depth of 143 m (Gurunadha Rao et al. 2011;

    Naidu et al. 2013).

    Groundwater occurrence and flow direction

    The occurrence and behavior of groundwater are controlled

    by topography, soils, climate, geology, and land use of the

    area. In the central deltaic region, the groundwater slope is

    very gentle with an average hydraulic gradient of 0.3 m/km.

    Groundwater levels in the entire Godavari delta fluctuate

    significantly in response to recharge and groundwater

    withdrawals (CGWB 1999). Forty-two observation wellswere selected to monitor groundwater levels and ground-

    water quality in the area. In general, the groundwater levels

    near canals and ditches fluctuate 34 m between the pre-

    monsoon and post-monsoon season (CGWB1999). How-

    ever, during the study period (20062007), they were

    observed to be less than 2 m. Maximum groundwater ele-

    vation of 5 m above mean sea level (MSL) has been

    observed at Amalapuram, while a minimum of -12 m

    (MSL) is observed inside the Ravva On-shore Terminal

    A

    B

    AB Profile

    Fig. 1 Location map of the

    central Godavari delta, East

    Godavari District, A.P, India

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    wells. The groundwater elevation contours during the pre-

    monsoon (2006) period indicate the groundwater flow

    direction to be toward the Bay of Bengal coast with a

    groundwater gradient of 0.43 m/km from Amalapuram to

    coast (Fig.2), and the same trend was observed for

    remaining three monitoring periods (Post-monsoon 2006,

    Pre- and Post-monsoon 2007).

    Materials and methods

    For the assessment of groundwater quality, groundwater

    samples were collected in the pre- and post-monsoon

    periods in 2006 and 2007 from 42 representative dug wells,

    bore wells, and hand pumps (filter point wells) distributed

    throughout the area (Fig. 1). Samples were analyzed for

    pH, electrical conductivity, major ions calcium (Ca2?),

    magnesium (Mg2?), sodium (Na?), bicarbonate (HCO3-),

    chloride (Cl-), sulfate (SO42-), fluoride (F-), and nitrate

    (NO3-) using standard methods recommended by the

    American Public Health Association (APHA 2005). The

    net groundwater recharge due to monsoon rainfall and

    irrigation return flow was estimated using a water level

    fluctuation method (GEC 2009) with the following

    equation:

    Recharge R SyDhArea

    where Sy is specific yield and Dh is water level fluctuation

    from pre-monsoon to post-monsoon.

    SEAWAT, a computer program for simulation of three-

    dimensional, variable density, transient groundwater flow

    in porous media (Langevin et al. 2003), was constructed

    using geophysical data collected during field investigations

    in April 2007 by Gurunadha Rao et al. (2011); Naidu et al.

    (2013); and Lagudu et al. (2013) and supported with geo-

    physical logs collected by Central Ground Water Board

    (CGWB), Southern region, India, and Cairn Energy India

    Ltd.

    N

    Amalapuram

    Rave terminal

    Gudilanka

    Vodalarevu

    N.Kottaplli

    Anantavaram

    Fig. 2 Groundwater elevation

    contours in m (amsl) in the pre-

    monsoon period (2006)

    L. Surinaidu et al.

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    Major ion chemistry

    The pre- and post-monsoon variations in total dissolved

    solids (TDS) in the groundwater during the years 2006 and

    2007 are presented in Fig. 3. The TDS values of wells C1,

    C4, C5, and C6 show very high variations over the 2 years.

    Further, the pre-monsoon values tend to be very high in

    shallow wells due to seawater infiltration and mixing ofseawater through mudflats. In wells in the Ravva On-shore

    Terminal, tapped from greater depth ([67 m), groundwater

    is also observed to possess very high salinity.

    The mean, minimum, and maximum values for major

    ions in groundwater during both pre- and post-monsoon

    seasons for the years 2006 and 2007 are shown in Tables 1

    and2. In general, the groundwater samples were found to

    be brackish in nature with pH varying from 7.5 to 8.9. The

    increase in pH during the post-monsoon season suggests

    that dissolution has been enhanced due to high interaction

    between soil and rainwater as well as due to dilution from

    the influx of rainwater of lower alkalinity (Subramanianand Saxena 1983). Total dissolved solids in the pre-mon-

    soon season ranged from 256 to 25,088 mgL-1 with an

    average value of 5,149 mgL-1, whereas in the post-mon-

    soon, the range was from 141 to 28,536 mgL-1 with a

    mean value of 6,486 mgL-1. Chloride during the pre-

    monsoon ranges from 43 to 13,490 mgL-1 with a mean

    value of 2,104 mgL-1, whereas during the post-monsoon,

    the mean value increased to 2,943 mgL-1. The seasonal

    increase in total dissolved solids and chloride possibly

    indicates the dissolution of marine clays by rain water and

    irrigation return flows (Gurunadha Rao et al. 2013).

    Nitrate, sulfate, and bicarbonate values were found to

    increase during the post-monsoon period, which may be

    due to the addition of sulfate by organic substances of

    weathered soils, sulfate leaching from fertilizers, and other

    anthropogenic influences (Kumar et al. 2007). Concentra-

    tions of the major cations (Ca2?, Mg2?, Na?, K?) in the

    groundwater are very high compared to Bureau of Indian

    Standards (BIS) for drinking water in both the pre- and

    post-monsoon seasons (BIS2012). The high salinity levels

    in the central Godavari delta are attributed to dissolution of

    marine sediments and upconing of brines (Gurunadha Rao

    et al. 2013; Lagudu et al. 2013).

    SEAWAT modeling

    The SEAWAT model is a useful tool for simulating various

    types of variable density fluid flow through complex

    geometries and geological settings, including saltwater

    intrusion in coastal aquifers, submarine groundwater dis-

    charge, brine transport, and groundwater flow near salt

    domes (Ding et al.2014). The fundamental concept of the

    SEAWAT model is to combine the two commonly used

    groundwater flow and solute transport modeling programs,

    MODFLOW (Anderson and Woessner1992; Harbaugh and

    McDonald1996) and MT3DMS (Zheng and Wang 1999;

    Zheng and Bennett2002) into a single program that solvesthe density-dependent groundwater flow and solute trans-

    port equations. The governing equation for density-

    dependent groundwater flow in terms of freshwater head as

    represented in MODFLOW routines and SEAWAT is well

    described by Andersen et al. (1988), Zheng and Bennett

    (2002), Langevin et al. (2003), Bakker et al. (2004),

    Zimmermann et al. (2006), and Lin et al. (2009).

    Model discretization

    In this study, the SEAWAT model was applied to Ravva

    On-shore Terminal area, in the Godavari Delta region to

    simulate three-dimensional, variable density groundwater

    flow in porous media. The study area has been divided into

    125 rows and 115 columns with a spacing of 200 m. The

    aquifer thickness and layer thicknesses were determined by

    geophysical investigations at 13 locations and borehole

    Cairn Pumping Wells

    TDS

    (mg/l)

    Wells near the coast

    Fig. 3 Total dissolved solids

    (TDS) in mg/l in the central

    Godavari delta in year

    (20062007)

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    well data at 5 locations (Gurunadha Rao et al.2011; Naidu

    et al.2013). A six-layer model was developed to represent

    the entire hydrogeological conditions of the study area

    using the available borehole geologic logs, largely pro-

    vided by Cairn Energy India Ltd. and CGWB. In the

    model, layers 1, 3, and 5 represent aquifers, whereas layer

    2, 4, and 6 represent confining layers. In the region, there is

    no major groundwater fluctuation (Gurunadha Rao et al.

    2008), and therefore, the modeling was performed in

    steady state with a total 50-year simulation period.

    Hydrogeological parameters

    Hydraulic conductivity of the groundwater system was

    determined through pumping tests conducted in the study

    area using Cooper and Jacob (1946) method. Water sam-

    ples were also collected for analyses during the pumping

    test. Packer tests were also adopted to estimate the

    hydraulic properties of different horizons within the aquifer

    system (CGWB1999). Average values were computed for

    each zone, and the mean hydraulic conductivity value was

    assigned to the entire zone. The size of zones was initially

    estimated, but then adjusted during model calibration. The

    hydraulic conductivity of the sandy layers was determined

    to be approximately 10 m day-1 (layers 1, 3, and 5) and

    clay layers approximately 1 m day-1 (layers 2, 4, and 6).

    The vertical hydraulic conductivity was assumed to be

    10 % of the horizontal hydraulic conductivity. The distri-

    bution of conductivity values from top to bottom is shown

    in Fig.4. The average water level rise in the post-monsoon

    of 2006 was 1.07 m. The study area is mostly covered bysandy clay; hence, the specific yield was taken as *0.07

    (Sastri et al. 1973; Seetaramaswamy and Poornachandra

    Rao 1975). The estimated recharge was 73 mm year-1,

    and it is applied only to the upper most active layer. There

    is no significant withdrawal of groundwater in the delta

    region except from the Cairn Energy India Ltd. pumping

    wells in Ravva On-shore Terminal area. The net ground-

    water pumping inside the Ravva On-shore Terminal has

    been simulated through 5 pumping wells (C30 to C34 in

    Table 1 Statistical analysis of

    major ions in groundwater,

    central Godavari delta, 2006

    All values are mg/l except pH

    Pre-monsoon 2006 Post-monsoon 2006

    Mean Minimum Maximum Mean Minimum Maximum

    pH 7.9 7.3 8.9 7.9 7.4 8.8

    TDS 8,266 274 27,856 6,307 248 27,771

    HCO3-

    109 37 220 238 61 1,037

    Cl- 1,606 57 6,308 1,665 64 6,996

    F- 0.7 0.25 0.95 0.7 0.32 1.02

    NO3-N 11 2.2 79.2 3.1 1.1 22

    SO42- 88 20 285 97 30 350

    Na?

    3,753 24 14,260 2,164 32 12,906

    K? 247 2 803 163 2 789

    Ca2?

    156 12 952 210 24 1,864

    Mg2?

    136 10 596 93 5 803

    Table 2 Statistical analysis of

    major ions in groundwater,

    central Godavari delta, 2007

    All values are mg/l except pH

    Pre-monsoon 2007 Post-monsoon 2007

    Mean Minimum Maximum Mean Minimum Maximum

    pH 8.2 7.4 8.9 7.6 6.9 8.2

    TDS 5,149 256 25,088 6,486 141 28,536

    HCO3- 290 85 610 442 70 2,008

    Cl- 2,104 43 13,490 2,943 19 16,221

    F- 0.72 0.37 1.06 0.30 0.05 0.74

    NO3-N 3 1 18 6 2 47

    SO42- 109 30 365 364 11 1,870

    Na?

    1,276 12 7,898 1,507 6 8,019

    K? 67 2 275 61 5 336

    Ca2? 254 16 1,224 147 30 1,408

    Mg2?

    110 5 684 342 4 2,159

    L. Surinaidu et al.

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    Fig.1) each with a pumping rate of 3,500 m3 day-1 in four

    wells. These waters are directly injected into the oil

    exploratory wells to realize higher production, while the

    water from the fifth well is used for domestic use and

    drawing about 4,700 m3 day-1. However, the water from

    fifth well has been subjected to reverse osmosis for the use

    of drinking and cooking.

    Boundary and initial conditions

    Because the model is set up to simulate saltwater intrusion

    in coastal aquifers, boundary conditions are required for

    both groundwater flow and solute transport. Streams and

    rivers are specified with the river boundary conditions in

    the flow model using the MODFLOW package. Width,

    depth, and elevation of the river/drains in the study area

    were determined from topographic maps and also from

    field observations. Constant-head boundary conditions

    were assigned in the model to allow for lateral inflow

    across the western boundary near the Amalapuram area and

    lateral outflow to the Bay of Bengal with zero head in the

    East. The groundwater salinity at different depths was

    analyzed by CGWB (1999) and reported as 35,000 mgL-1

    below 122 m depth. Therefore, in the bottom-most layer of

    the density-dependant solute, transport model starts at an

    elevation of-120 m (amsl) with groundwater salinity of

    35,000 mgL-1. The zone between -120 and -90 m (amsl)

    was given a salt concentration of 30,000 mgL-1 and the

    overlying zone a concentration of 20,000 mgL-1 up to an

    elevation of-10 m (amsl) near the coast. The intervening

    layer with a salt concentration of 10,000 mgL-1 has been

    assumed between -60 and -10 m (amsl) for the interior

    region of the study area. Along the coast, it has been

    assumed with a slightly elevated concentration up to

    20,000 mgL-1 for the same layer as per quality analysis.

    Up to -10 m (msl) elevation, the salt concentration of

    1,000 mgL-1 has been given for interior areas away from

    coast based on analytical results of the groundwater sam-

    ples at different depths in the study area provided by

    CGWB and Cairn Energy India Ltd. as shown in Fig. 5. A

    boundary condition constant concentration was specified to

    simulate the potential mass flux transport through upconing

    phenomena to facilitate the dispersion processes along the

    vertical section of the model. The values specified for the

    constant concentration boundaries are consistent with the

    reported values of initial concentrations of each layer by

    CGWB and from the pumping wells of Ravva On-shore

    Terminal.

    Results and discussions

    In this study, groundwater flow model calibration has been

    achieved through a trial and error method by adjusting the

    two key parameters (i.e., hydraulic conductivity and

    recharge rates) until head values as calculated by SEA-

    WAT match the observed hydraulic head values to a sat-

    isfactory degree. During the model calibration, 42 observed

    hydraulic head values measured in 2006 were used. The

    aquifer hydraulic conductivity decreased with depth due to

    the effect of increased weight of overburden on the aquifer

    material (Davis and Deweist1966; De Marsily1986). The

    conductivity of the aquiclude (2, 4, and 6 layers) was

    reduced to 0.72, 0.61, and 0.55 m day-1 from top to bot-

    tom from the initial value of 1 m day-1, whereas con-

    ductivity of the aquitard was increased to 11.1, 10.9, and

    10.2 m day-1 from 10 m day-1 from top to bottom (1, 3,

    and 5 layers). The groundwater recharge was marginally

    reduced from 73 to 70 mm year-1. Calibration results

    show an overall correlation coefficient of 0.91, root-mean-

    square (RMS) error of 1.389 m, standard error of 0.258 m,

    and normalized RMS of 8.71 % indicating a reasonable

    match between observed and calculated heads (Fig. 6). The

    80000 84000 87000 90000 93000 96000 99000 103000

    0.5

    -30

    -60

    -90

    -120

    -150

    -180

    -200

    (m)

    (m) (m)

    Fig. 4 A typical vertical cross

    section of the multilayer aquifer

    system and permeability

    distribution

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    calibrated model also was compared against the 2007 post-

    monsoon data. The results did not reflect any significant

    change in the root-mean-square or standard errors.

    The regional groundwater budget was estimated by

    assigning different zones in the study area using a zonebudget package (Harbaugh and McDonald1996; Harbaugh

    2005). Results derived from the zone budget indicate that

    lateral inflow into the study area was about

    5,229 m3 day-1; recharge was about 36,856 m3 day-1, and

    groundwater discharge to the Bay of Bengal was about

    13,843 m3 day-1. While streams and rivers were receiving

    a base flow of 9,146 m3 day-1, the total groundwater dis-

    charge through pumping wells that included for oil

    exploration and domestic needs was 18,700 m3 day-1. The

    difference between total inflow and outflow in the central

    Godavari alluvial aquifer was -396 m3 which is the model

    mass balance error or model discrepancy that was 0.9 %.

    The computed regional groundwater budget clearly showsthat there is a significant groundwater outflow

    (13,843 m3 day-1) toward the Bay of Bengal, and hence,

    there was no possibility of lateral inflow of sea water into

    the delta or the coastal aquifers from the Bay of Bengal.

    Further modeling was performed to simulate density-

    dependent solute transport modeling using SEAWAT with

    2006 pre-monsoon hydrogeological parameters including

    TDS values in mgL-1. The computed concentration values

    were correlated with observed TDS values, obtained from

    35000

    30000

    20000

    10000

    Salt (TDS) = 1000 mg/l

    (m)80000 84000 87000 90000 93000 96000 99000

    0.5

    -30

    -60

    -90

    -120

    -150

    -180

    -200

    (m)

    103000

    InactiveFlow

    InactiveFlow

    Fig. 5 Salt concentrations

    (mgL-1) of groundwater at

    different depths in the

    SEAWAT model, along the

    profile AB in Fig.1

    Fig. 6 Observed versus calculated heads in the SEAWAT model

    Observed Concentration (mgL-1)

    CalculatedConcentration(mgL-1)

    No. Of Data Points : 28Normalized RMS : 10.2%Correlation Coefficient : 0.914

    Fig. 7 Observed versus calculated salt concentrations in the SEA-

    WAT model

    L. Surinaidu et al.

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    the analytical results. During the initial simulations, the

    correlation levels were unacceptable. Therefore, greater

    effort was made to improve the match by modifying the

    magnitude and distribution of the background salt con-

    centration closer to the analyzed values. However, the

    situation could not be improved much. An attempt was

    then made to change the transport parameters: dispersivity

    and effective porosity. The dispersivity was changed to

    95 m (from 100 m) and effective porosity to 0.17 (from

    0.15). With these changes, a good match between observed

    and computed TDS concentrations was obtained with acorrelation coefficient of 0.914 and normalized error of

    10.28 %. For the concentration calibration, 28 observation

    wells were utilized to represent the study area including

    four wells in Ravva On-shore Terminal (Fig. 7).

    The calculated model was then simulated for the next

    50 years using the same hydrological parameters for future

    prediction and to assess the extent of saltwater intrusion

    due to pumping wells in the deltaic region. Upconing

    phenomena were predicted for the years 2011, 2016, 2026,

    2036, 2046, and 2056. The simulations indicated that the

    phenomena of upconing can extend up to 500 m2 around

    the Ravva On-shore Terminal in the year 2056. The cone ofdepression is mainly due to point groundwater withdrawal,

    and the groundwater velocity vectors do not show any

    lateral flow from Bay of Bengal entering the On-shore

    Terminal. Variable density-dependent groundwater flow is

    responsible for upconing of salt concentration around the

    area due to groundwater withdrawals. The SEAWAT

    model shows that the upconing of salt up to a concentration

    of about 20,000 mgL-1 has been confined to the layers just

    below the Ravva On-shore Terminal. The mixing process

    and upconing phenomena in and around pumping wells for

    2016 were shown in (Fig. 8).

    Comparison of upconing characteristics of the year 2006

    with 2016 in the Ravva On-shore Terminal indicates that

    200 m2 around the wells could be affected with elevated

    salt concentrations. The upconing of salt occurs only in a

    very small area confined to in and around the Ravva On-

    shore Terminal wells. The pumping wells are tapping

    groundwater from a depth [67 m. Further, the aquifer

    system separated with insulating clay layer (the second

    layer in the model) significantly isolates the vertical flowduring pumping. As a result, the shallow aquifer zone (the

    first layer in the model) does not contribute to groundwater

    being pumped. Therefore, there was no significant impact

    of groundwater pumping on the shallow aquifers around

    the pumping wells. This could be seen in typical three-

    dimensional cut-away section for the year 2056 (Fig. 9).

    The upconing phenomenon is observed to be highly

    localized due to excess groundwater pumping at point

    locations.

    Limitations

    The numerical model developed in this study represents the

    interpretation of a simplified hydrogeological model

    observed in the field. The model synthesizes the current

    hydrogeological knowledge prevailing in the region. The

    regional aquifer formations are simulated as equivalent

    porous media, which is considered reasonable at the given

    scale. This knowledge, often qualitative, was translated

    into numerical model parameters by a process that involves

    various assumptions and simplifications. The vertical

    Fig. 8 Upconing phenomena

    around groundwater pumping

    wells at Ravva On-shore

    Terminal after 10 years of

    pumping (2016) along the

    profile AB in Fig.1

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    distribution of aquifer parameters and subsurface concep-

    tualization of model have the potential to cause large

    errors. These sources of uncertainty have to be suitably

    considered when interpreting the modeling results. The

    model results should only be used to address questions

    pertaining to groundwater flow and its management at a

    regional scale. Moreover, the model was calibrated for

    steady-state conditions, ignoring transient conditions that

    occurred preceding the 50-year simulation period, seasonal

    variations, or other density-driven changes in the flow

    conditions.

    Conclusions

    In the Godavari delta, there was no considerable change in

    groundwater elevations over the 2 years of observation

    period between 2006 and 2007. The groundwater contours

    indicate that the groundwater flow is directed toward the

    Bay of Bengal with a steep groundwater gradient. The high

    salinity in the shallow groundwater is assumed to be theresult of interaction with marine clays and dissolution of

    evaporates of early Holocene period. The major ion

    chemistry indicates that coastal wells are highly vulnerable

    to saltwater intrusion associated with upconing of brines

    and mixing of marine waters. The estimated regional

    groundwater budget from the model studies indicates that a

    significant amount of groundwater discharges as outfall to

    the Bay of Bengal. The computed and observed salt con-

    centrations from the SEAWAT model do not show

    elevated concentrations exceeding 25,000 mgL-1 around

    pumping wells in Ravva On-shore Terminal. The presence

    of thick impermeable subsurface clay layers regulates the

    lateral and vertical flow pattern in the region that can avoid

    sea water intrusion during heavy pumping from the deep

    aquifer. The large-scale groundwater pumping at point

    location was insulated by clay layer and restricted the

    upconing of elevated salt concentrations to the close sur-

    roundings of the Ravva On-shore Terminal only. The steep

    groundwater hydraulic gradients, high hydraulic conduc-

    tivity, and the upconing characteristics of the coastal

    aquifer system do not permit seawater intrusion despite the

    large-scale groundwater withdrawals taking place from

    deep aquifers in the region, and the salt concentration was

    stable at 25,00028,000 mgL-1 since the beginning of

    pumping in 1991. Assuming present hydrological condi-

    tions and groundwater pumping, no considerable advance

    of saltwater would be expected in the coastal aquifer sys-

    tem of the central Godavari delta. Continued groundwater

    level and quality monitoring on a regular basis are needed

    to verify the efficacy of the models developed and also lead

    to a better understanding on process-response characteris-

    tics of saltwater mixing in coastal aquifers under heavy

    pumping conditions.

    Acknowledgments The authors are grateful to the Director, CSIR

    National Geophysical Research Institute, Hyderabad, for his kind

    permission to publish the paper. We are also thankful to Dr. Paul

    Pavelic, International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Hydera-

    bad, for his critical inputs and editing the manuscript. The time

    provide by IWMI to write this paper is highly appreciated. We thank

    Fig. 9 A typical three-dimensional cut-away section of upconing of salt concentration (mgL-1) around Ravva On-shore Terminal wells (NW

    SE direction) after 50 years of pumping

    L. Surinaidu et al.

    1 3

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    Dr. Virginia Burkett, United States Geological Survey (USGS) for her

    useful suggestions and language editing to improve quality of the

    paper.

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