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Recent Developments in Semi-/Non-Parametric Estimation of Censoring, Sample Selection, Missing Data, and Measurement Error in Panel Data Yvette Yu Zhang * , Qi Li , Dong Li May 10, 2011 Abstract This article reviews the recent developments in the estimation of panel data models, in which some variables are only partially observed. Specially we consider the issues of censoring, sample selection, attribution, missing data and measurement errors in panel data models. Although most of these issues, except attribution, occur in cross sectional or time series data as well, panel data models introduce some particular challenges due to the presence of persistent individual effects. The past two decades have seen many stimulating developments in the econometric and statistical methods in dealing with these problems. This review focuses on two strands of research of the rapidly growing literature on semi- or non-parametric methods for panel data models: (i) estimations of panel models with discrete/limited dependent variables, and (ii) estimations of panel models based on nonparametric deconvolution methods. * Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University; email: [email protected] Department of Economics, Texas A&M University; email: [email protected] Department of Economics, Kansas State University; email: [email protected]

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Page 1: Recent Developments in Semi-/Non ... - Texas A&M University

Recent Developments in Semi-/Non-ParametricEstimation of Censoring, Sample Selection, Missing

Data, and Measurement Error in Panel Data

Yvette Yu Zhang∗, Qi Li†, Dong Li‡

May 10, 2011

Abstract

This article reviews the recent developments in the estimation of panel data models,in which some variables are only partially observed. Specially we consider the issues ofcensoring, sample selection, attribution, missing data and measurement errors in paneldata models. Although most of these issues, except attribution, occur in cross sectionalor time series data as well, panel data models introduce some particular challenges dueto the presence of persistent individual effects. The past two decades have seen manystimulating developments in the econometric and statistical methods in dealing withthese problems. This review focuses on two strands of research of the rapidly growingliterature on semi- or non-parametric methods for panel data models: (i) estimationsof panel models with discrete/limited dependent variables, and (ii) estimations of panelmodels based on nonparametric deconvolution methods.

∗Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University; email: [email protected]†Department of Economics, Texas A&M University; email: [email protected]‡Department of Economics, Kansas State University; email: [email protected]

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1 Introduction

This article reviews the recent developments in the estimation of panel data models in which

some variables are only partially observed. Some of the issues, such as censoring, sample

selection, missing data and measure errors in variables, manifest themselves in other sampling

schemes, such as cross sectional or time series data as well. On the other hand, attrition

is unique in panel data. The complications associated with the incomplete information,

combined with the unique structure of panel data models, can be rather challenging and

calls for particular care in model construction and estimation.

Censoring has been extensively studied by economics. Tobin (1958) considered the rela-

tionship between expenditures on durable goods and disposable income. Even if the under-

lying latent variable enters the model linearly, the observed expenditures enter the model

nonlinearly because we only observe zero or positive expenditures on durable goods. Tobin

(1958) proposed a maximum likelihood estimator for the model, which was latter dubbed the

Tobit model by Amemiya (1985). Amemiya (1985) further coined the terms Type I to Type

V Tobit models that gained some popularity in econometrics literature. According to his

terminology, Heckman (1976)’s two-step estimator is in fact a Type III Tobit model. Other

early studies on the topic include Heckman (1979), Nelson (1977) Maddala (1980, 1983),

Hausman and Wise (1979), Ridder (1990, 1992). As panel data models become increasingly

popular in economic research, economists carry over the research on censoring and sample

selection from cross-sectional data to panel data. With more and more micro panel data sets

are available, attrition becomes a prominent problem. Cameron and Trivedi (2005, pp. 800-

801) briefly reviewed the parametric methods on these models. Wooldridge (2010, Chapter

19) provided an in-depth coverage of the topics in both parametric and non/semi-parametric

estimations. Verbeek and Nijman (1996) presented an early review of these models in panel

data. More recently, Honore, Vella, and Verbeek (2008) provided a comprehensive review on

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both parametric and non/semi-parametric methods in panel data.

A second focus of this review is deconvolution-based methods in panel data models.

Deconvolution is commonly used in estimations with measurement errors in variables. This

method lends itself naturally to panel data models. For example, the composite error terms

in panel data models can be viewed as the convolution between a persistent individual effect

µi and an idiosyncratic error νit. This is the approach taken by Horowitz and Markatou

(1996). Alternatively, Evdokimov (2010) treats the observed outcome Yit in a panel data as

the convolution between a conditional mean m(xit, µi) and the error νit, where the structural

part is modeled nonparametrically without assuming the separability between the conditional

mean E[Yit|xit] and µi. We go through these two papers in details to familiarize readers with

this line of research.

2 Models with incomplete data

In this section we review estimators for panel data methods with censoring, sample selection

or missing data issues. This section draws heavily on Li and Racine (2007) and Ai and Li

(2008). In estimating linear panel data models, in which the dependent variable is a linear

function of the unobservable individual effect, we usually eliminate the individual effects

through first-differencing or the within transformation. But in all the models considered in

this section, the observed dependent variable is a nonlinear function of the individual effect

and thus no simple transformation is available to remove the individual effects.

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2.1 Censoring

Consider the following panel data censored regression model:

y∗it = x′itβ + µi + νit, (1)

yit = max0, y∗it, i = 1, 2, . . . , n; t = 1, 2, . . . , T. (2)

The observed dependent variable, yit, is nonlinear in the unobservable individual effects. So

the usual techniques in removing the unobservable individual effects (µi’s), including the

within transformation (yit − yi·) and the time difference transformation (yit − yis) cannot

remove the unobservable individual effects.

Applying a simple time-difference yields

(yit − x′itβ)− (yis − x′isβ) = maxµi + νit,−x′itβ −maxµi + νis,−x′isβ. (3)

If the right-hand-side of the above equation has a zero conditional mean, standard regression

techniques can estimate the parameters consistently. For the right-hand-side to have a zero

conditional mean, the two sufficient conditions are: (i) conditional on (xit, xis, µi), νit and

νis are identically distributed; and (ii) the censoring values −x′itβ and −x′isβ are identical.

Condition (i) can be imposed as an assumption on the model. Condition (ii) is usually

satisfied through a nonlinear differencing by artificially censoring the observed dependent

variable so that the two error terms are censored at the same value of max−x′itβ,−x′isβ.

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For that purpose, define

e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ) = maxyit − x′itβ,−x′isβ

= maxµi + νit,−x′itβ,−x′isβ,

e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ) = maxyis − x′isβ,−x′itβ

= maxµi + νis,−x′isβ,−x′itβ.

Then the conditional expectation of the difference between the above two terms is zero:

E e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ)− e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ)|xit, xis = 0. (4)

A GMM estimator can be constructed based on the above moment condition. But moment

conditions based on zero conditional mean are usually more complicated than those based

on zero unconditional mean. A better alternative is to find a convex objective function ρ so

that its first order condition coincides with some unconditional moment conditions implied

by (4). For example, consider the following function

A(β) ≡ Eρ(yit, yis, (xit − xis)′β), (5)

with

ρ(y1, y2, δ) =

y21/2− δy1 − y1y2, if δ ≤ −y2;

(y1 − y2 − δ)2/2, if − y2 < δ < y1;

y22/2 + δy2 − y1y2, if y1 ≤ δ.

(6)

The above objective function satisfies the unconditional moment condition

∂A(β)

∂β= E (e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ)− e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ)) (xit − xis) = 0, (7)

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which is a necessary but non-sufficient condition for (4). It gives rise to the nonlinear least

squares estimator β to minimize

n∑i=1

∑t<s

ρ(yit, yis, (xit − xis)′β). (8)

which is the estimator proposed by Honore (1992) under certain sufficient conditions. Also

see Honore and Kyriazidou (2000), Charlier et al. (2000), Hu (2002), and Honore and Hu

(2004) for related studies.

If νit and νis are identically distributed conditional on (xit, xis, µi),

E ψ(e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ))− ψ(e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ))|xit, xis = 0 (9)

for any function ψ(·). Ai (2005) proposed an estimator that is more efficient than the

estimator in Honore (1992) by utilizing more moment conditions based on the above con-

dition. For integers k1 and k2, let q(u) = (q1(u), q2(u), ..., qk1(u))′ denote some known ba-

sis functions that approximate any square integrable function of u, and let p(xit, xis) =

(p1(xit, xis), p2(xit, xis), ..., pk2(xit, xis))′ denote some known basis functions that approximate

any square integrable function of (xit, xis). Equation (9) implies

E (q(e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ))− q(e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ)))⊗ p(xit, xis) = 0, for t > s, (10)

where ⊗ denotes the Kronecker product. Define

φ(yi, xi, β) = vec (q(e(yit − x′itβ, x′isβ))− q(e(yis − x′isβ, x′itβ)))⊗ p(xit, xis) , (11)

where s = 1, 2, . . . , T − 1; t = s + 1, s + 2, . . . , T . Then we can estimate the unknown

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parameter β by minimizing the following objective function in GMM fashion:

minβ

(n∑i=1

φ(yi, xi, β)

)′Ω−1

(n∑i=1

φ(yi, xi, β)

), (12)

where Ω−1 is a positive definite weighting matrix. Ai (2005) showed the asymptotic properties

of this GMM estimator by allowing both k1 and k2 to grow with sample size. A disadvantage

of the GMM estimator is that the objective function is not globally convex and may have

local minimums. One can try many different starting values or simply start with Honore

(2002) estimator.

Along this line of research, Ai and Li (2006) considers the following partially additive

semiparametric Tobit model:

y∗it = x′itβ +m∑k=1

hk(wit,k) + µi + νit, (13)

yit = max0, y∗it, i = 1, 2, . . . , n; t = 1, 2, . . . , T, (14)

where hk(·)’s are unknown smooth functions. Using the series method to approximate the

unknown functions, Ai and Li (2006) derived the asymptotic properties of the GMM esti-

mator following a procedure similar to (9) to (12). See also Guell and Hu (2006), Chen

and Khan (2008), Honore and Hu (2010) for related studies. More recently, Shiu and Hu

(2010) considered nonparametric estimation of nonlinear dynamic panel data models with

unobserved covariates. They proposed a sieve maximum likelihood estimator for dynamic

discrete choice models and for dynamic censored models and established the asymptotic

properties of the estimator.

One difficulty in estimating the Tobit-type panel data models is that the moment con-

ditions or the likelihood functions are highly nonlinear and nontrackable, which often leads

to high dimensional integration or other complications. Li and Zheng (2008) considered a

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semiparametric Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for dynamic Tobit panel data models.

One advantage of this method is that the marginal effects, as well the parameters, can be

easily computed.

2.2 Sample selection

The censored models can be viewed as a special sample selection model in which the primary

regression and the selection process coincide with each other. Now consider a more general

sample selection panel data model:

yit = dit · (x′itβ + µi + νit), (15)

dit = 1z′itγ + αi + εit > 0. (16)

Conditional on dit = 1, dis = 1, xit,, zit, xis, zis, µi, αi, if νit and νis are identically distributed,

we can use the following moment condition to construct a GMM estimator:

E ψ(yit − x′itβ)|dit = 1, dis = 1, xit,, zit, xis, zis, µi, αi

=E ψ(yis − x′isβ)|dit = 1, dis = 1, xit,, zit, xis, zis, µi, αi ,

for any function ψ(·). νit and νis are conditionally identically distributed only if z′itγ = z′isγ.

Kyiazidou (1997) proposed the following kernel estimator

β =

[∑i

∑s<t

1

hK

((zit − zis)′γ

h

)ditdis(xit − xis)(xit − xis)′

]−1[∑

i

∑s<t

1

hK

((zit − zis)′γ

h

)ditdis(xit − xis)(yit − yis)′

], (17)

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where γ is a consistent estimator from (14). Kyiazidou (1997) established the consistency

and the asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator. Honore and Kyriazidou (2000b)

further extended the model and showed that similar estimators can be constructed for other

types of the Tobit models in Amemiya (1985). Again here it is possible to derive more efficient

estimators by utilizing more moment conditions similar to that in Ai (2005). Lee and Vella

(2006) proposed a semiparametric estimator for censored selection models with endogeneity.

Lewbel (2005) proposed a GMM style estimator for panel data models with sample selection.

The estimator is based on Honore and Lewbel (2002), which studies the binary choice panel

data model, and Lewbel (2004), which studies selection in cross-sectional models. Semykina

and Wooldridge (2010) proposed a parametric correction and a semiparametric correction in

panel data models with endogeneity and selection using Mills ratio.

2.3 Attrition and missing Data

The mechanism of attrition and missing data is similar to that of sample selection – some

or all variables for some observations have missing values or are not observed. Imbens and

Wooldridge (2007) provided a recent survey on the issue. Here we will focus on non/semi-

parametric estimations of panel data models with missing data.

Suppose the model is described by the following two equations:

yit = dit · (x′itβ + uit), (18)

dit = 1z′itγ + eit > 0. (19)

So when dit = 0 the observation on yit and x′it is missing.

Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is often used to estimate models with attrition and

missing data. The basic idea of IPW is to weigh the (observed) moment conditions or

the loglikelihood function by ditpit

, where pit is the propensity of being observed. Robins,

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Rotnitzky, and Zhao (1995) proposed a semi-parametric estimator that is based on the IPW

principle and a likelihood function that does not have to be fully specified. We maintain the

assumption that attrition is an absorbing state – once a person drops out of the sample, she

is gone from the sample forever. Suppose the loglikelihood function for the itth observation

is given by lit. The loglikelihood estimation based on the IPW principle can be constructed

asn∑i=1

T∑t=1

ditpitlit. (20)

pit is sequentially estimated as a product of the past probabilities of being in the sample

using a binary choice model. Of course such estimators do not have to be based on likelihood

functions. Moment conditions can be constructed similarly to equation (20). Rotnitzky,

Robins, and Scharfstein (1998) and Vansteelandt, Rotnitzky, and Robins (2007) proposed

estimators based on similar principles. Recently Rotnitzky (2008) reviewed the use of IPW

in longitudinal data. Moffitt, Fitzgerald, and Gottschalk (1999) was among the first few

economists who used the IPW in panel data.

Another approach of dealing with missing data is to impute the missing data. Little and

Rubin (2002) provided a comprehensive treatment of missing data, including the imputation

methods. However, imputation never seemed to gain much popularity in economics.

Xie, Qian, and Qu (2010) approached the missing data problem from a different angle

in cross-sectional models. They proposed a generalized additive model - this allows a wide

range of missing data patterns. Their paper essentially proposed the semiparametric version

of the index of local sensitivity to nonignorability (Troxel, Ma, and Heitjan, 2004). The

proposed method is computationally simple.

Lastly, readers interested in applications of attrition in panel data are referred to a special

issue in Journal of Human Resources (Vol. 33.2, 1998) on this topic.

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3 Measurement Error

In this section, we review estimation methods for panel data models, which are based on

deconvolution and share some similarities with the literature on measurement errors. Mea-

surement errors commonly occur in many economic variables. Carroll et al. (2006) suggest

two likely effects of measure error in variables: bias in parameter estimation and loss in

power. For recent treatments of measurement errors, see, e.g., Carroll et al (2006) and Chen

et al. (forthcoming).

Let X be a covariate of interest. Suppose that X is contaminated by an error U such

that the researcher observes instead W = X+U . In this case, a naive regression of Y on the

observed W , as a proxy for X, usually gives biased estate of E[Y |X]. For instance, consider

the simple linear regression Y = β0 + βX + ν, where E[ν|X] = 0. Under the assumption

of classical measurement error that U is independent of X and ν, and E[U ] = 0, the OLS

coefficient of Y on W converges to λβ, where λ = σ2ν

σ2u+σ

and σ2ν and σ2

u are the variance of ν

and u respectively. This is the well known attenuation bias of classical measurement errors

in linear regressions.

The bias due to measurement errors can be more complicated than the simple attenuation

bias, depending on the nature of the measurement error and the functional form of the model

in question. There is a large body of literature on the treatment of measurement errors, with

a focus on removing or mitigating the bias. Usually validation data are required to tackle

measure error issues. Depending on the extent to which parametric assumptions are utilized,

various methods can be grouped into three broad categories: parametric, semi-parametric

and nonparametric methods.

In this subsection, we focus on the nonparametric methods for measurement errors. A

common theme in nonparametric treatments of measurement error is the method of decon-

volution. For the example given above, W is the result of convolution between two random

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variables X and U . Consequently, the estimation of the distribution of X given that of U

and data on W is called deconvolution.

We note that a panel data model can be treated in the framework of measure error

problem in the sense that the individual effect µi can be viewed as a measurement error

to the (unobserved) conditional mean E[yit|xit]. As a matter of fact, this is the approach

employed by Horowitz and Makartou (1996) and Evdokimov (2010), among others.

Below we first review the deconvolution of densities, followed by a detailed discussion of

a deconvolution-based estimator of panel data model by Horowitz and Markatou (1996) and

further developments offered in Evdokimov (2010).

3.1 Deconvolution of densities

The building stocks of nonparametric deconvolution are the characteristic functions. See,

e.g., Stuart and Ord (1987) for detailed treatments. The characteristic function of a random

variable X with density fX is given by ψx(t) =∫

exp(ιtx)fX(x)dx, where ι =√−1.1 Assume

that the measurement error U is independent of X and ψu(t) 6= 0 for all real, finite t, then

ψW (t) = ψX(t)ψU(t). It follows that one can obtain the density of X through the inverse

Fourier transformation:

fX(x) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtxψW (t)

ψU(t)dt. (21)

Suppose the distribution of U is known, deconvolution proceeds by first estimating ψW

and then calculating the density of X via the inverse Fourier transformation. Like the

empirical CDF function, the characteristic function of W can be estimated as the following:

ψW (t) =1

n

n∑i=1

exp(ιtWi).

1We use ι rather than the usual i for the imaginary unit to distinguish it from the typical subscript iused in panel data models.

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One can then replace ψW in the deconvolution formula by ψW to estimate fX . There is,

however, one numerical difficulty associated with this approach. The inverse Fourier trans-

formation (21) assumes that the distribution of W has a density such that ψW (t)/ψU(t)→ 0

as t → ∞. But the empirical distribution of W is discrete and has no density. Thus

ψW (t)/ψU(t) does not necessarily converge to 0 as t → ∞. A method to solve this prob-

lem is to convolute the empirical distribution of W with the distribution of a continuously

distributed random variable that becomes degenerate as n→∞.

Smoothing the distribution of W amounts to multiplying the empirical characteristic

function ψW by the characteristic function of a smooth distribution. In particular, let ζ

be a random variable with a bounded characteristic function ψζ whose support is [−1, 1].

Further let vn be a sequence of positive constants that converges to 0 as n → ∞. The

smoothing is carried out by replacing W with W + vnζ in the estimation, yielding the

following smoothed/regularized deconvolution estimator of fX :

fX(x) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtxψW (t)ψζ(vnζ)

ψU(t)dt. (22)

The integral (22) exists because the integral is 0 if |t| > 1/vn. If vn does not converge to 0

too rapidly as n→∞, then fX(x) is consistent for fX(x).

If the distribution and subsequently characteristic function of U is unknown, one can in

principle replace it by its sample counter part. It follows that the density of X is estimated

by

fX(x) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtxψW (t)ψζ(vnζ)

ψU(t)dt. (23)

Note that only one regularization term is used when either or both characteristic functions of

W and U are replaced by their sample counterparts. Lastly the CDF of X can be estimated

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by integrating fX :

FX(x) =

∫ x

−Mn

fX(z)dz,

where Mn →∞ as n→∞.

The convergence rate of deconvolution is often very slow. Carroll and Hall (1988), Fan

(1991), and Stefanski and Carroll (1990, 1991) investigate the asymptotic properties of fX .

Under some regularity conditions, fX converges to fX at the rate in power of lnn, which is

slower than the root-n rate of parametric estimators and the usual n−2/5 rate for nonparamet-

ric density estimators. It transpires that the rate of convergence is largely controlled by the

thickness of the tails of the characteristic functions of U , which in term is determined by the

smoothness of the distribution of U . For example, when the tails of characteristic functions

of U decrease exponentially fast, the fastest possible rate of convergence is logarithmic of

n. This family includes the normal, Cauchy, and Type I extreme value distributions. Faster

convergence rates are possible when the tails of the characteristic functions of U decrease

only geometrically fast. The Laplace and symmetrical gamma distribution satisfy this con-

dition. For a detailed discussion on the large sample properties of deconvolution estimation,

see Horowitz (2009).

3.2 Linear panel models

The method of deconvolution can be used in panel data model in which a composite error

can be viewed as the convolution between the individual effect and an idiosyncratic error

term. This approach is taken by Horowitz and Markatou (1996), which is reviewed below.

Consider again the following typical linear panel model:

yit = x′itβ + µi + νit, i = 1, . . . , n.

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For simplicity, let t = 1, 2. Let β be an n−1/2-consistent estimator of β. Define, for i =

1, . . . , n,

Wit = Yit −X ′itβ, t = 1, 2,

ηi = Wi1 −Wi2.

It follows that as n → ∞, Wit converges in distribution to W = µ + ν and ηi converges

in distribution to the random variable η that is distributed as the difference between two

independent realizations of ν. It is seen that if the distribution of ν is known, one can

use the deconvolution estimator discussed above to estimate the density of µ. The problem

here, however, is that the distribution of ν is not known; furthermore, it cannot be sampled

directly since we do not observe random realizations of ν, which are convoluted with the

individual effect in panel models.

Although ψν cannot be estimated directly, ψη can be estimated from the first differenced

errors. Note that ψη(t) = |ψν(t)|2, where | · | denotes the modulus of the complex variable

between the bars. Horowitz and Markatou (1996) proceed by assuming that the distribution

of ν is symmetric about zero and ψν(t) 6= 0 for all finite t. It follows that ψν(t) is real and

strictly positive for all finite t, and

ψν(t) = ψη(t)1/2.

We can then estimate the density of ν and µ as follows:

fν(ν) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtνψη(t)1/2dt

fµ(µ) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtµψW (t)

ψη(t)1/2dt.

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Since ψW and ψη are unknown, they are estimated by their sample analogs:

ψW (t) =1

2n

n∑i=1

exp(ιtWi1) + exp(ιtWi2)

ψη(t) =1

n

n∑i=1

exp(ιtηi).

As discussed above, fν and fµ may not be estimated if we simply plug the empirical

characteristic functions ψW and ψη into the inverse Fourier transformation formula because

the resulting integrals do not exist in general. Again regularization is called for to smooth

the empirical distributions of W and η. Let ζ be a random variable whose characteristic

function ψζ has support [−1, 1] and vnν and vnµ be sequences of positive bandwidths

that converge to 0 as n→∞. The smoothed estimator of fW and fν are given by

fν(ν) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtν |ψη(t)|1/2ψζ(vnνt)dt

fµ(µ) =1

∫ ∞−∞

e−ιtµψW (t)ψζ(vnµt)

|ψη(t)|1/2dt.

Horowtiz and Markatou (1996) establish the consistency, convergence rates and asymptotic

normality of fν and fµ under some regularity conditions. They also show that the assumption

that ν is symmetrically distributed can be relaxed and propose a method to estimate the

distribution of ν without the symmetry assumption. In addition, they present a method to

deal with serially correlated idiosyncratic errors.

Although the distribution of ν and µ are often of little direct interest, knowledge of

them are useful in many economic applications. Horowitz and Markatou (1996) use their

proposed method to estimate an earning model using data from the Current Population

Survey. The model’s transitory error component is shown to be not normally distributed.

Use of the deconvolution based nonparametric estimators yields estimates of the probability

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that individuals with low earnings will become high earners in the future that are much lower

than the estimates obtained under the assumption of normally distributed error components.

Lastly, Horowitz and Markatou (1996) show in their Monte Carlo simulations that the

deconvolution estimators can have large biases, which affect the final estimates considerably.

They propose a method of bias reduction to remove biases caused by smoothing of the em-

pirical distribution of η. Substantial improvements in the estimated transition probabilities

are reported after this bias reduction.

3.3 Nonparametric models for panel data

Evdokimov (2010) generalizes the method proposed by Horowtiz and Markatou (1996) in

two directions. He considers a nonparametric panel data model with nonadditive unobserved

heterogeneity. The individual specific effects enter the structural function nonseparably and

are allowed to be correlated with the covariates in an arbitrary manner. The idiosyncratic

disturbance term is additively separable from the structural function. Nonparametric iden-

tification of all the structural elements of the model is established. No parametric distribu-

tional or functional form assumptions are needed for identification. Thus, the model permits

nonparametric distributional and counterfactual analysis of heterogeneous marginal effects

using short panels.

In particular, Evdokimov (2010) considers the following model

yit = m(xit, µi) + νit, i = 1, . . . , n, t = 1, . . . , T, (24)

where m(xit, µi) is the conditional mean of yit given observed covariates xit and unobserved

individual effect µi. No functional assumptions are imposed except that m is increasing in

µi. The identification of the structural function m(xit, µi) in Evdokimov (2010) is based on

the following Lemma, which is an extension of Kotlarski (1967).

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Lemma 1 (Evdokimov, 2010) Suppose (Y1, Y2) = (A + U1, A + U2), where the scalar

random variables A,U1 and U2, (i) are mutually independent, (ii) have at least one absolute

moment, (iii) E[U1] = 0, (iv) ψUt(s) 6= 0 for all s and t ∈ 1, 2. Then, the distribution of

A, U1 and U2 are identified from the joint distribution of (Y1, Y2).

Evdokimov (2010) shows that under some regularity conditions, the panel model (24) is

identified for a panel with at least two periods. The estimator is constructed in three steps.

First, the conditional (on covariates Xit) distribution of the idiosyncratic disturbances is

identified using the information on the subset of individuals whose covariates do not change

across time periods. Next, conditional on covariates, one can deconvolve νit from Yit to obtain

the conditional distribution of m(Xit, µi) that is the key to identifying the structural function.

The third step identifies the structural function under two different scenarios corresponding

to the random effects or the fixed effects in the usual panel data model estimations. To save

space, below we focus our discussion on the random effects model, which assumes that the

individual effects and the observed covaraites are independent. It is also assumed that the

individual effect µi has a standard uniform distribution — a normalization that is necessary

since the function m(x, µ) is modeled nonparametrically.

The key component of Evdokimov (2010)’s estimators is the conditional deconvolution.

When the covariates are discrete, estimation can be performed using the existing deconvolu-

tion techniques. The sample us split into subgroups according to the values of the covariates

and a deconvolution is be used to obtain the estimates of necessary cumulative distribu-

tion functions. In contrast, when the covariates are continuously distributed one needs to

use a conditional deconvolution procedure. Evdokimov (2010) investigates the estimation

and large sample properties of conditional characteristic function estimations, which not

only plays a key role in his nonparametric estimators of panel data models, but also is of

independent interest in itself.

Noting that the conditional characteristic function ψYit(s|Xit) = E[exp(ιsYit)|Xit = xt],

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Evdokimov (2010) proposes a kernel estimator

ψYit(s|xt) =

∑ni=1 exp(ιsYit)KhY (Xit − xt)∑n

i=1KhY (Xit − xt),

where hY → 0 is a bandwidth parameter, Kh(·) = K(·/h)/h and K(·) is a standard kernel

function. Under the random effect model assumption that µi and Xit are independent, the

distributions of the idiosyncratic errors are identified based on Lemma 1. Their corresponding

conditional distributions can be obtained through conditional deconvolutions in a similar

manner. Consider first the simplest case where the conditional distribution of νit is symmetric

and the same across t = 1, 2. Conditional on Xi1 = Xi2 = x for all x ∈ X , then for any

x ∈ X , the conditional characteristic function of Yi2 − Yi1 equals

ψYi2−Yi1(s|Xi2 = Xi1 = x) = ψν(s|x)ψν(−s|x) = |ψν(s|x)|2,

where ψν(s|x) is the conditional characteristic function of νit, conditional on Xit = x. It

follows that this conditional characteristic function can be estimated by

ψν(s|x) =

∣∣∣∣∣∑T−1

t=1

∑Tτ=t+1

∑ni=1 expιs(Yit − Yiτ )Khν (Xit − x)Khν (Xiτ − x)∑T−1

t=1

∑Tτ=t+1

∑ni=1Khν (Xit − x)Khν (Xiτ − x)

∣∣∣∣∣1/2

,

where the bandwidth hν → 0. In the absence of the assumption that the distribution of νit is

symmetric and remains the same across the time periods, one can estimate the conditional

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characteristic function of νit using the following general formula2

ψνit(s|xt) =1

T − 1

T∑τ=1τ 6=t

exp

τ

∫ s

0

∑ni=1 Yite

τξ(Yit−Yiτ )Khν (Xit − x)Khν (Xiτ − x)∑ni=1 e

τξ(Yit−Yiτ )Khν (Xit − x)Khν (Xiτ − x)dξ

−τs∑n

i=1 YitKhY (Xit − xt)∑ni=1KhY (Xit − xt)

.

Next using the fact that

ψm(Xit,µi)(s|Xit = xt) = ψYit(s|Xit = xt)/ψνit(s|Xit = xt),

we can estimate the conditional characteristic function using its empirical analog ψm(xt,µi) =

ψYit(s|xt)/ψνit(s|xt). One can then calculate a smoothed conditional CDF of m(xt, µi) using

the following formula:

Fm(xt,µi)(w|xt) =1

2−∫ ∞−∞

e−ιsw

2πιsψζ(hζs)ψm(xt,µi)(s|xt)ds,

where ψζ(·) is the Fourier transform of a kernel function ζ(·) and hζ → 0 is a bandwidth.

Again, this extra convolution is needed to ensure integrability of the empirical conditional

characteristic function. Since the estimated CDF obtained by inverting an empirical charac-

teristic function is not necessarily monotonic, the rearrangement technique in Chernozhukov

et al. (2007) is employed to render the estimated CDFs monotonic and the estimated quantile

functions well behaved. It is noted that the random effect model estimated in this manner

can be interpreted as quantile regression with measurement error νit.

Denote the rearranged version of the estimated conditional CDF by Fm(xt,µi)(w|xt). The

2See the proof of Lemma 1 in Evdokimov (2010) for the derivation of this general result.

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corresponding conditional quantile function is then given by

Qm(xt,µi)(q|xt) = minw

Fm(xt,µi)(w|xt) ≥ q

.

Finally, the structural function of interest in the random effect model is given by

m(x, µ) =1

T

T∑t=1

Qm(x,µ)(µ|Xit = x), µ ∈ (0, 1).

Evdokimov (2010) then proceeds to establish the large sample properties of the proposed

estimator. An alternative fixed effect estimator is also presented. Interested readers are

referred to his paper for details. A small scale Monte Carlo simulations illustrates the finite

sample performance of the the proposed estimators.

The deconvolution based method for panel data is also employed by Bonhomme and

Robin (2008) in a multi-factor loading model. They construct a non-parametric estimator

of the distributions of latent factors in linear independent multi-factor models under the

assumption that factor loadings are known. Their approach allows estimation of the distri-

butions of up to L(L + 1)/2 factors given L measurements. Their estimator uses empirical

characteristic functions, like many available deconvolution estimators. They apply the gen-

eralized deconvolution procedure to decompose individual log earnings from the panel study

of income dynamics (PSID) into permanent and transitory components.

We conclude this section by referring interested readers to the recent developments in the

literature on measurement errors that use deconvolution methods. Many of these estimators

can be applied to panel data model whose error components consist of an individual specific

effect and an idiosyncratic error. The list includes, among others, Li (2002), Hong and

Tamer (2003), Schennach (2004a, 2004b, 2007), Hu and Schennach (2008) and Chen, Hu,

and Lewbel (2008a, 2008b, 2009). In addition, Zhang (2002) and Kim (2007) suggest some

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semiparametric estimation strategies for panel count data with measurement errors. Biørn

and Krishnakumar (2008) present a survey on recent measurement error in panel data.

4 Concluding remarks

In this article we review some recent developments in the semi- or non-parametric estimations

of panel data models, for which some variables are only partially observed. We focus on two

areas of interest: (i) panel models with discrete/limited dependent variables; (ii) estimations

of panel models based on nonparametric deconvolution methods. Due to the limitation of

time and space, a comprehensive coverage of the rapidly growth literature on the semi-

parametric and non-parametric estimations of panel data models is beyong the scope of this

review. Interested readers are referred to Diggle et al. (2002), Arellano (2003), Arellano and

Hahn (2007), and Li and Racine (2007) for general treatments on the recent developments

of panel data models.

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