redefining health systems · industry leaders stress impact potential of vbhc michael mahony ceo,...
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Redefining health systems "Stop looking for the keys under the street light"
Netherlands March17, 2017
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Concerned or optimistic about the future ?
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Agenda
Starting point
From activity volume to patient value
The train has left the station
Conclusion
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Health-adjusted life expectancy globally
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
6’000 7’000 8’000 0 1’000 2’000 3’000 5’000 4’000
Outcome: Health-adjusted life expectancy (years, 2010)
Input: Health expenditure per capita (PPP US$, 2010)
Emerging economies
Developed economies
Health expenditure
as % of GDP
Ideal path
Path to avoid
Health-adjusted life expectancy: Estimates the number of years in full health an individual is expected to live at birth by subtracting the years of ill health (weighted according to severity) from overall life expectancy
Sources: World Bank, WHO, The Lancet, BCG
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100
200
300
400
1995 2005 2000 2015 2010
HC Spend
GDP
Income
Index
(1995=100)
HC expenditure 2015:
9.3% of GDP
HC expenditure 2015:
17.1% of GDP
HC expenditure 2015:
11.1% of GDP Index
(1995=100)
HC expenditure 2015:
12.9% of GDP Index
(1995=100)
Index
(1995=100)
HC expenditure 2015:
9.7% of GDP Index
(1995=100)
100
200
300
400
HC Spend
Income
GDP
2000 2005 2010 2015 1995
100
200
HC Spend
Income
GDP
2015 2010 2005 2000 1995
100
200
300
400
HC Spend
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
GDP
Income
100
150
200
250
Income
HC Spend
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
GDP
100
200
300
Income
2015 2010 1995 2000 2005
HC Spend
GDP
HC expenditure 2015:
11.8% of GDP Index
(1995=100)
Notes: Indexes based on local currencies; Income = Personal Disposable Income; HC expenditures as % of GDP are OECD calculation/estimates. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit April 2016, BCG analysis
With an unsustainable cost increase in developed nations
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Medicine is developing exponentially
Exponential increase
in medical knowledge
# of new MEDLINE publications per year
1947 1980 2013
Number of human
genomes sequenced
doubles every
12 months
1M
0
Exponential growth in
the complexity of
medical practice
1950
2010 # of US MD Subspecialties
2005 2010
2.0
2015
0.0
1990 2000 1995
# of sequenced human genomes (M)
A dramatic increase in complexity in healthcare system
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6
Cost increases
brought strong
focus on
process opti-
mization to
increase
efficiency
Healthcare system
Source: Joint Economic Committee, Republican Staff; Congressman Kevin Brady, Ranking House Republican Member
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Growing pressure and dissatisfaction across Health care
Nurse turnover up to 20%. Doctors
increasingly unhappy with choice of
profession.
Economic provider crisis: wards
closing, reductions in staff, growing
pressure on price and productivity
Fewer medical doctors are
interested in becoming hospital
leaders
Clinical research often deprioritized
Increasing price pressure and
access limitations to innovative
suppliers
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Agenda
Starting point
From activity volume to patient value
The train has left the station
Conclusion
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=
Value
Outcomes
that matter to
patients
Cost per
patient
Defining Health care value
Processes Patient
experience/ engagement
Indicators
Patient
initial
conditions
Outcomes
that matter
to patients
Structure e.g., Staff certification, facilities standards
• PSA
• Gleason Score
• Surgical margin
• (…)
Protocols/ guidelines
• Survival
• Continence
• Erectile function
• Anxiety
• Adequate
information
• Expectations
agreed with
physician
• (...)
• Age
• Comorbidity
• (...)
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Starting point is high quality outcomes measurement
by patient group...
Feedback
and learning
Transparent outcomes data
Analyze
variation
Identify
current best
practices Change
behavior
Value created at every stage of
process
Outcomes transparency supports continuoius improvement
Better outcomes Reduced variation Lower cost of care Continous improvement
Improved patient value
...which brings improvement
Value
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Large Intl variation in PE/blindness after cataract surgery
Incidence of PE (%)
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
Sweden
Bascom-Palmer (US)2
India (Aravind Eye Hospital)
Univ. Eye Center (US)1
Australia1
Saskatoon (Can)1
Netherlands1 Germany1
Ireland1
ESCRS3
ESCRS3
Japan1
UK1
Bascom-Palmer (US)2
Ontario (Can)
US Medicare
1. Multicenter study over several years. Figures in above diagram shows last year of study (and not year of publication). 2. Bascom Palmer Eye Institute is rated the nation's best ophthalmic hospital by board-certified ophthalmologists from across the United States for seven consecutive years (U.S. News & World Report's America's Best Hospitals issue). 3. The ESCRS study gives values for patients now receiving cefuroxime and patients who don't (lower value are patients receiving cefuroxime). Source: ESCRS, The Incidence of Endophthalmitis after Cataract Surgery among the U.S. Medicare Population Increased between 1994, Emely West et al, Ophthalmology 2005, Post cataract endophthalmitis in South India incidence and outcome, Lalitha P, Ophthalmology 2005.
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Transparency with dramatic effect on patient outcomes Example: Swedish myocardial infarction registry
1. Percutaneous coronary intervention 2. on angiography and PCI 3. Riks-HIA Source: SVT.se; Aftonbladet 2007-03-08; DN 2009-05-06; Dagens Medicin 2008-08-26; Läkartidningen nr 44 vol. 104, 2007; Värmlands Folkblad 10 Oct 2007
Care cycle redone
PCI1 - unit established
Emergency care expanded
to 24/7 coverage
Care aligned with national
treatment guidelines2
New specialist departments
for specific coronary
conditions started
Staffing improved
Ka
rls
tad
ce
ntr
al h
os
pit
al
Ha
lms
tad
ho
sp
ita
l
1 year mortality
20%, ranked
#68 of 73 hospitals
Ranked #43 of 73
hospitals
Before
Quality index
raised from 1 to 4
Mortality reduced
by 50%
Ranked #45
Quality index3
raised from 1 to
8,
30-day mortality
reduced by 50%
Ranked #22
After
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Data made public
2
3
4
5
6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
RIKS-HIA
Quality index
+13%
+22%
Bottom half 2007 (n=34) All hospitals (n=69)
+7%
+40%
Transparency increasing compliance to guidelines Example: Swedish myocardial infarction registry
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UK mortality for AMI significantly higher than in Sweden
59%
89%
7.6%
1.0
22%
78%
10.5%
1.37
30-day
mortality
1. Acute Myocardial Infarction 2. Mortality rate adjusted for 17 casemix characteristics. 3. Primary PCI (Percutaneous Coronary Intervention) is recommended in guidelines in the USA since 2004 and in Europe since 2005 but did not become UK national policy until October 2008. β blocker at discharge has been recommended in guidelines in the USA and Europe since 1996 and in the UK since 2001, but statin therapy and ACE inhibitors or ARBs are still more commonly prescribed in the UK. Note: The study period was 2004-2010. Source: Chung et al, The Lancet, Jan 23, 2014.
Outcomes1
Primary PCI3
Treatment
β blocker at
discharge4
Standardized
mortality
rate2
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qA
The world's leading prostate cancer center
Source: Hospital quality reports 2010
Martini Klinik does over 2k
prostatectomies /year – largest in EU 5 year disease-specific survival
Martini Klinik 95%
Average Hospital 94%
Severe erectile dysfunction
75.5%
34.7%
Average Hospital
Martini Klinik
6.5%
43.3% Average Hospital
Incontinence
Martini Klinik
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Developing team excellence in clinical practice
Institutional learning curve for urinary continence after
radical prostatectomy
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Agenda
Starting point
From activity volume to patient value
The train has left the station
Conclusion
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ICHOM Developing global outcomes standards
A physician-patient partnership
ICHOM facilitates a process with
physician leaders and patient
representatives to develop the
Outcomes Minimum Standard Set
ICHOM is an independent not-for-profit organization,
main funding of work from patient associations
Source: ICHOM, the International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement
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* Accepted for publication 1. In the U.S. referred to as Frail Elderly Source: www.ICHOM.org
Burden of
Disease
Covered
Standard sets rapidly published in peer reviewed papers
1. Localized Prostate
Cancer
2. Lower Back Pain
3. Coronary Artery
Disease
4. Cataracts
5. Parkinson’s Disease*
6. Cleft Lip and Palate
7. Stroke
8. Hip and Knee
Osteoarthritis*
9. Macular Degeneration*
10. Lung Cancer*
11. Depression and Anxiety*
12. Advanced Prostate
Cancer
13. Breast Cancer
14. Dementia
15. Older Persons1
16. Heart Failure
17. Pregnancy and Childbirth
18. Colorectal Cancer
19. Overactive Bladder
20. Craniofacial Microsomia
21. Inflammatory Bowel
Disease
18% 35% 45%
22. End Stage Renal Failure
23. Oral Health
24. Brain Tumors
25. Drug and Alcohol
Addiction
26. Bipolar Disorder
27. Burns
28. Melanoma
29. Head and Neck Cancer
30. Pediatric Oncology
(Condition(s) TBD)
31. Rheumatoid Arthritis
32. Liver Transplantation
33. Congenital Hand
Malformations
34. Chronic Rhinosinusitis
35. Congenital Hemolytic
Anemia
36. Rotator Cuff Disease
37. Malaria
Standard Sets
Complete
(2013)
Conditions in
Year Three
(2015)
Standard Sets
Complete
(2014)
Under Consideration
for 2016
Macular
Degeneration*
Cleft Lip and
Palate*
Localized
Prostate Cancer
Low Back
Pain
Stroke
Coronary
Artery Disease
Cataract
Advanced
Prostate Cancer
Hip and Knee
Osteoarthritis
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PLATINUM
GOLD
SILVER
BRONZE
*As of September 10, 2015
STRATEGIC PARTNERS
ICHOM globally funded by patients, payers and providers ICHOM’s Strategic and Sponsoring Partners*
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Care providers around the globe adopting ICHOM standards
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Innovative companies seeking closer clinical partnerships
Recent increase in
M&A with VBHC rationale
Medtronic acquired
Covidien
''...enormous ability to
identify and create further
value-based solutions...''
Becton Dickinson
acquired Carefusion
''better positioned
to...provide safer, more
economical and improved
care.”
Danaher acquired
Nobel Biocare
''...will lead to better
clinical outcomes [and]
shorter treatment times to
the benefit of patients
and dental practitioners.''
Source: Press release, BCG Commercial Excellence Benchmarking Study in MedTech 2015 , BCG analysis
Industry leaders stress
impact potential of VBHC
Michael Mahony
CEO, Boston Scientific
''Our market today is evolving
in the direction of value-based
healthcare”
''Moving to a value-based
healthcare system is the only
thing that can keep MedTech
from being commoditized''
Omar Ishrak
Chairman and
CEO, Medtronic
Frans van Houten
CEO, Phillips
''...pressures on health
systems to shift to value-based
business models in relation to
rising costs of care''
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Future Health system defined by population needs
Policy Payments
Delivery organization
Benchmarking research & tools
Informatics
Outcomes
Costs
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Agenda
Starting point
From activity volume to patient value
The train has left the station
Conclusion
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People is our most critical asset
Discipline
Motivation
Demand compliance with
clinical practice
guidelines
Manage health care on
production volume and
process efficiency
Stimulate competition on
outcomes, enable
cooperation and
innovation
Facilitate sharing of
good clinical practice
and peer recognition
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Opportunities for Santeon and the Netherlands
Adopt international quality standards
Be willing to share results, build trust
Learn from each other, best practice
Compete with others on outcomes, and
reap financial benefits
Increase focus and patient volume –
reallocate patientgroups between units
Broaden collaboration across borders
Become the first European hospital
network focussing on value
improvement – serve European patients
New innovative corporate partnerships
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