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Page 1: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

WelcomeRedistricting Community

Engagement Workshop #3

Page 2: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop

Dr. Nettie Collins-HartSuperintendent of Schools

February 5, 2018

Page 3: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Purpose• Last redistricting more than ten years ago

• Shifts in enrollment patterns

• More capacity than needed – (i.e. repurposing EMS)

• Schools imbalanced

Page 4: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Timeline2017-18: Study Year, Review of Demographics

2018-19: Update Demographics, make decisions on options

2019-20: Implement Redistricting Plan

Page 5: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

The Website

Mrs. Kimberly McKenzieDirector of

Communications and Marketing

Page 6: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Hazelwood School District:https://www.hazelwoodschools.org/

Page 7: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

The Process

Mr. Chris NormanChief Financial Officer

Page 8: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Process• Host Four (4) Community Engagement Workshops • Develop Options for Drawing Attendance Zones • Host 2nd Round of Community Engagement Workshops

to Evaluate Options• Consider Staffing • Make Report to the Board of Education

Page 9: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DEMOGRAPHIC SERVICESFOR

REDISTRICTINGA COLLABORATIVE APPROACH

PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT MEETING

Page 10: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

PROJECT TEAM Charles Kofron, Ph.D. LLC Gloria Davis District Leadership Solutions UNICOM•ARC

Page 11: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

OVERVIEWData Collection and Processing

• Base Geographic Data Planning area parameters

• Student Data• Birth Data

• Fact Finding• Public Engagement Parameters for facilities and staffing

• Develop enrollment projections based on current attendance area geography• Staffing and facility analysis

Page 12: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

OVERVIEWOption Development

• Planning Areas Student and birth counts

• Staffing and Facility Analyses

• Interactive Map Charrette

Final Plan• Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map

• Advance Better Option

Page 13: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGBase Mapping Data

• Acquire and Process Base Reference Data LayersData Source: St. Louis CountyData Layers

o School District Boundarieso Street CenterlinesoParcelsoAddress Points

• Additional Reference DataEDULOG Attendance AreasTR,i Architects St. Louis

Page 14: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

BASE MAPPING LAYERS

Page 15: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGData Processing Objectives

• Develop Planning Area Geography

Logical groupings of parcels within attendance areas

• Develop Student and Birth Counts by Planning Area

Review and assign in-District unmatched records to planning areas

• Develop Enrollment Projection Model Using Planning Area Counts

Page 16: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGSpatial Planning Parameters for Defining Planning Areas

• Limit number of planning areas to manageable number• Identify planning areas to contain concentrations of studentsNeighborhoodsSubdivisionsApartment complexes

• Use parcel and street centerlines as boundaries• Keep planning areas contiguous• Define planning areas within existing attendance areas• Where possible, define planning areas within intersections of major

arterial roads, highways, creeks, and fenced-in structures (i.e., planning area boundaries do not cross these types of roads, hydrographic features, and other cultural features)

Page 17: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGPlace Student Addresses on Base Map

• Geocode 10 Years of Student AddressesExtracted from fall (September 30) 2016 student addresses

oHelp define planning area geography

Page 18: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGPlanning Area Summary

300 Planning Areas

16,985 Student Records from 2016

• 276 planning areas with 2016 students

• 24 planning areas without 2016 students

• 2016 student counts range from 1 to 205

• Average 2016 student count is 62

Page 19: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSING20 Elementary Attendance Areas

9 areas without middle school area splits(Elementary Area, Number of Planning Areas, Middle School Area)

• Amstrong (16 West)

• Brown (17 North)

• Garrett (13 West)

• Jury (17 Central)

• Larimore (18 Southeast)

• Lusher (20 Northwest)

• McCurdy (14 Northwest)

• Townsend (10 Central)

• Walker (7 Northwest)

Page 20: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSING11 areas with middle school area splits

(Elementary Area, Number of Planning Areas, Middle School Area)

• Arrowpoint (3 East, 19 Southeast)• Barrington (6 Central, 15 North)• Cold Water (11 North, 1 Northwest)• Grannemann (11 East, 2 Southeast)• Jamestown (15 Central, 1 East)• Jana (13 North, 1 Northwest)

• Keeven (1 Central, 11 East)• Lawson (6 Northwest, 8 West)• McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West)• Russell (1 Northwest, 20 West)• Twillman (7 East, 4 Southeast)

Page 21: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSINGImportance and Uses of Planning Areas

•Develop Enrollment Projections

•Used in Interactive Map Charrettes

•Used in Option Development

Page 22: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Any Questions?

Page 23: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

FACT FINDINGStudent Record Geocoding

• Last 10 School YearsAssign student addresses to

planning areasReview unmatched student

records and assign in-District records to planning areasDevelop final counts of

students by planning areas and by school year

Page 24: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

FACT FINDINGGeocoded Student Record Summary

• Total Records – 165,718

• In District Records – 154,224

• Records Requiring Review – 11,222

Page 25: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

FACT FINDINGGeocoding Live Birth Records

• Used to project Kindergarten enrollments

Last 10 Years (2005-2016)• Obtain live birth (mother’s address) data from Missouri Department of

Health and Senior Services (MoDHSS)• Assign Kindergarten cohort years based on birth month and year• Assign birth addresses to planning areas• Review unmatched birth records and assign in-District records to

planning areas• Develop final counts of births by planning areas and by Kindergarten

cohort year

Page 26: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Geocoded Birth Record Summary• Total Records – 29,896

• In District Records – 14,404

• Records Requiring Review – 15,492

FACT FINDING

Page 27: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Data Review and Purpose• To Account for, Locate, and Count All in-District Student and Birth

Record Addresses Within Planning Areas

Base Map Data Reports for Data Review• Planning Area Maps by Elementary Attendance Area• Address Points (individual addresses) by Planning Area and

Elementary Area• Street Centerlines by Planning Area and Elementary Area

After Record Review…

FACT FINDING

Page 28: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Enrollment Projection Model Development• Arrange/Code Planning Areas to Unique Elementary/Middle School

Areas• Sum Planning Area Counts for Unique Elementary/Middle School

Areas Birth counts Student counts

• Develop First Round of Enrollment Projections for Unique Elementary Attendance Areas

FACT FINDING

Page 29: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Counts and Enrollment Projections by Class Cohorts

FACT FINDING

Page 30: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Cohort Survival Ratios• Calculated for Each Unique Attendance Area• Applied to Last Grade Counts to Generate Projections

Grades High Mid Low SnapshotB-K 1.226351 1.185318 1.07876 1.186916K-1 1.129547 1.099966 1.065816 1.0418251-2 1.037421 1.028509 1.018638 1.0396982-3 1.034723 1.022169 1.01714 1.02873-4 1.023394 1.015418 1.009013 1.0348534-5 1.026129 1.017375 1.005966 1.0281945-6 1.029701 1.020744 1.016286 1.0425886-7 1.015955 1.014877 1.013402 1.0169877-8 1.013456 1.010378 1.003645 1.0185198-9 1.026614 1.024201 1.019246 1.0275919-10 1.014818 1.0087 1.00433 1.01034710-11 0.999642 0.99171 0.98698 1.00816311-12 0.995141 0.991661 0.98667 0.987491

FACT FINDING

Page 31: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

• 4 Series of Projections (High, Mid, Low, Snapshot)• Based on Births, Student Residence Counts, Current Attendance Area Geography, and Cohort Survival Ratios

FACT FINDING

Page 32: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Staffing and Facility Planning Parameters• Enrollment Projections• Staffing Goals• Facility Analysis

FACT FINDING

Page 33: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Any Questions?

Page 34: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

OPTION DEVELOPMENTInteractive Map Charrette

Guided ByStaffing and Facility Planning Parameters

Page 35: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Redrawing Attendance Areas Using Planning Area Geography• Based on Student Resident Counts and Births

OPTION DEVELOPMENT

Page 36: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Current Enrollment Impacts of Planning Area Geography Changes

OPTION DEVELOPMENT

Page 37: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Develop 3 Map Scenarios

• Input of Planning Group

• Identify Better Option

• 2nd Round of Public Engagement

Using Better Option…

• Recode Planning Areas

• Develop Enrollment Projections Based on Revised Planning Area Geography

OPTION DEVELOPMENT

Page 38: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

FINAL PLANFinal Report

• Planning Parameters• Map Scenarios• Staffing Analysis• Facility Analysis• Enrollment Projections• Recommended Plan

Board Presentation

Page 39: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

SUMMARYData Collection and Processing

• Obtain and Process Base Map Data • Obtain, Geocode, and Count Student Records• Obtain, Geocode, and Count Birth Records

Fact Finding• Develop Planning Areas Using Spatial Planning Parameters• Develop Enrollment Projections Using Planning Area Geography

Page 40: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

SUMMARYOption Development

• Staffing Analysis• Facility Analysis• Map Charrette• Alternate Series of Enrollment Projections Using Revised

Attendance Area Geography from Map CharretteFinal Plan Recommendation

• Final Enrollment Projections• Staffing Analysis Results• Facility Analysis Results• Better Plan Recommendation

Page 41: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Working Group Activity

Page 42: Redistricting Community Engagement Workshop · 2018-01-31 · Final Plan • Develop Enrollment Projections Using final redistricting map ... • McNair (7 Northwest, 5 West) •

Thank you for attending…

Good Night Everyone!