reg 2025 - law venue presentation - transport

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Page 1: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Aug 2016

Page 2: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

How should transport be

regulated in 2025?

• In order to decide whether we can simply build

on existing law, or need new law, we explored:

What drives regulatory changes

What changes will we see in the transport sector

Can we adapt current law or will we need new law

Regulation 2025

What are the implications for NZ

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 3: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

How should transport be

regulated in 2025?

• In order to decide whether we can simply build

on existing law, or need new law, we explored:

What drives regulatory changes

What changes will we see in the transport sector

Can we adapt current law or will we need new law

What are the implications for NZ

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 5: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulatory systems are always

changing in response to demands

Driving change • Public risk perception

• New regulatory

ideologies

• New business models

• New technologies

Regulation 2025

Inhibiting change • Social norms

• Regulatory inertia

• Established business

interests

• Ludditism

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 6: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulatory systems are always

changing in response to demands

Driving change • Public risk perception

• New regulatory

ideologies

• New business models

• New technologies

Regulation 2025

Inhibiting change • Social norms

• Regulatory inertia

• Established business

interests

• Ludditism

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 7: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can drive better outcomes

through technological innovation

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 8: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can drive better outcomes

through technological innovation

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 9: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can drive better outcomes

through technological innovation

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 10: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can ensure

diffusion of technology

Regulation 2025

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 11: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can ensure

diffusion of technology

Regulation 2025

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 12: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation can ensure

diffusion of technology

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 13: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

We need to deliver a good regulatory

environment not a minimal environment

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 14: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

How should transport be

regulated in 2025?

• In order to decide whether we can simply build

on existing law, or need new law, we explored:

What drives regulatory changes

What changes will we see in the transport sector

Can we adapt current law or will we need new law

What are the implications for NZ

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 15: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Disruptions to transport

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 16: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Disruptions to transport

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 17: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Disruptions to transport

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 18: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Regulation 2025

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 19: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Slowly and Surely

Regulation 2025

•People prefer face to face interactions

•Ride-sharing is increasing

•Regulation is light touch and guiding

Social Cohesion International

Competitiveness

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 20: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Embracing Connectivity

Regulation 2025

•Greater willingness to share private

information and data

•Autonomous vehicle fleets

•Regulation is liberal in places, hard-lined

in others

Road toll System Risks

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 21: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Can’t Get Enough

Regulation 2025

•Pockets of different transport

technologies are adopted

•Regulation is light handed, for now

•Objective of regulator is to improve

interoperability

System risks Social cohesion

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 22: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Keeping our Boundaries

Regulation 2025

•People value privacy and security

•The transport system is similar to

today

•Regulation is deliberative and

protective

System risks Efficiency

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 23: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

How should transport be

regulated in 2025?

• In order to decide whether we can simply build

on existing law, or need new law, we explored:

What drives regulatory changes

What changes will we see in the transport sector

Can we adapt current law or will we need new law

What are the implications for NZ

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 24: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

We will need to manage

three different types of risk

Regulation 2025

Software

Security

Systems

Self-driving vehicles Integrated

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 25: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

• Trials to certification

• Comply – will it

• Stability

• Fail-safe

Software

System

issues

Security

Regulation 2025

Performance

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 26: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

• Issue for today

• Who is in control?

• Test of character?

Software

System

issues

Security

Regulation 2025

Human Interface

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 28: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

• Emergent behaviour

• Effectiveness

• Stability

• Fail-safe

• Compatibility

Software

System

issues

Security

System Performance

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 30: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

• Who owns the data?

• Expectations on data sharing

• Expectations on data storage

• Protection

Software

System

issues

Security

Data

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 31: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

• Vehicle

• Fleet

• Management system

Software

System

issues

Security

Physical security

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 32: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

How should transport be

regulated in 2025?

• In order to decide whether we can simply build

on existing law, or need new law, we explored:

What drives regulatory changes

What changes will we see in the transport sector

What are the implications for NZ

Regulation 2025

Can we adapt current law or will we need new law

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 33: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Adapt New

NZ strategic choices – self

driving transport system

Regulation 2025

Regulating Use

Insurance and rapid response Proactive enforcement

Data

Accreditation Certification

Technical

Performance based Rule based

Jurisdiction

Domestic International

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 34: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

NZ strategic choices –

integrated transport system

Regulation 2025

Regulating Use

Reactive rapid response Proactive enforcement

Data

Regulation Market

Technical

Regulation Standards

Jurisdiction

Domestic International

Adapt New

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 35: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Transport

Land

Air Sea

Intelligence

NZ strategic choices -

regulatory structure

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 36: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Comms

Transport

Finance

Intelligence

NZ strategic choices -

regulatory structure

Regulation 2025 This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 37: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport

Strategic Choices

Regulation 2025

AVs Integrated

Open Proactive

Single regulatory system

Software

Security

Systems

This publication does not reflect government policy

Page 38: Reg 2025 - Law Venue Presentation - Transport