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REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering Systems Massachusetts Institute of Technology March 26, 2003

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Page 1: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ITS RESEARCH

THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION

Joseph M. SussmanJR East Professor

Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineeringand Engineering Systems

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

March 26, 2003

Page 2: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

CLIOS

ComplexLarge-scaleIntegratedOpenSystems

Page 3: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

NESTED COMPLEXITY

POLICY

SYSTEM

PHYSICAL

SYSTEM

Page 4: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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NESTED COMPLEXITY AND LAYERING

Visualize the interactions: policy sphere of

institutional, organizational, political and social actors

physical layers, representing technological, natural and economic subsystems

Clarify the set of actual decisionmakers that influence the development of the system Example: colectivo drivers

versus route associations

Page 5: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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WHAT IS A COMPLEX POLICY ANALYSIS?

Aspects of complex policy analysis

1. CLIOS Representation Nested Complexity CLIOS Representation (physical system) CLIOS Representation (institutional system)

2. Integrated Assessment Interdisciplinary approach to understanding system behavior Consideration of multiple, simultaneous policy options Formulating results of value to decisionmaking Focus on process for building consensus

3. Scenarios Consideration of future uncertainties Policy options that are robust across multiple futures Flexible strategies Preparing decisionmakers for recognizing alternative futures

4. Regional Architecture Institutional relationships Information flows

Page 6: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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RELATED META-CONCEPTS

REGIONAL ARCHITECTURE

TO REPRESENT INSTITUTIONAL RELATIONSHIPS,ESPECIALLY THOSE WHICH CHANGE WITH NEWTECHNOLOGIES

CLIOS REPRESENTATION

TO DEAL WITH “NESTED COMPLEXITY” OF A COMPLEXPHYSICAL SYSTEM AND A COMPLEX POLICYMAKINGSYSTEM

SCENARIOS

TO DEAL WITH DEVELOPING ROBUST STRATEGIES IN THEFACE OF AN INHERENTLY UNPREDICTABLE FUTURE --ORGANIZATIONAL LEARNING

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT

TO DEAL WITH INHERENTLY INTERDISCIPLINARYSYSTEMS AND TO PROVIDE RESULTS UNDERSTANDABLEAND OF VALUE TO DECISIONMAKING

Page 7: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS

INSTITUTIONS

Page 8: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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ITS AS AN

INTEGRATING THEME

Page 9: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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Figure 1. Proposed ITS Deployment Framework

-- Sandi Lin

Figure 1. Proposed ITS Deployment Framework

Developing vs. Developed Regions

ORGANIZATION

Horizontalintegration

Verticalintegration

Public/privatepartnerships

FINANCE

Capitalbudgeting

O&Mbudgeting

Mainstreaming

LEGAL &REGULATORY

Procurement Intellectual

property Liability Privacy

INFORMATION

Data issues Standards Training Public

education

Political Environment

ITSDeployment

Page 10: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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ITS TECHNOLOGIES IN KUALA LUMPUR

ETC (Electronic Toll Collection System) Traffic Information System On Expressways/

Highways Smart Traffic Control Traffic Information System Bus Information Kiosks Red Light Enforcement Automatic Vehicle Location Electronic Fare Payment Plus more now and planned

-- Sandi Lin

Page 11: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE ITS RESEARCH

Creation of a national-level ITS strategic office

Creation of a national ITS architecture Exploration of alternative forms of ITS

public/private partnerships Research into legal issues

-- Sandi Lin

Page 12: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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THE MALAYSIA MIT REGION STRATEGIES/ITS TEAM

March 26, 2003

Team Director: Joseph M. Sussman, JR East Professor, Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering Systems

Name Degree Objective Research Interests

Rebecca Dodder Ph.D. in Technology,Management and Policy

CLIOS (Complex, Large-Scale, Integrated,Open Systems) Analysis – Application inMexico City. Use of similar framework for KL.

Ralph Hall Ph.D. in Technology,Management and Policy

Sustainable Transportation.

Sandi Lin MSc in Civil Engineering(Construction Management)

Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS).Comparative study of ITS in KL and othercities globally.

Josh McConnell Ph.D. in Technology,Management and Policy

Strategic planning for metro-based regions.Real Options.

SgourisSgouridis

MSc in Technology and Policy Port Development and competition. ITSapplications for Freight Transportation.

John Ward MSc in Technology and Policy Public-Private Partnerships in MalaysianTransportation (esp. toll roads and the nationalcar). Use of partnerships to promote ITS.

Zulina Zakaria MSc in Technology and Policy Sustainable Transportation in KL. Land usepatterns, Public Transportation.

Page 13: REGIONAL STRATEGIES/ ITS RESEARCH THE MIT/MUST COLLABORATION Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor Professor of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Engineering

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SOME INTEGRATING THEMES

Dealing with fragmentation (ETC, public transportation, …)

Institutional Map: Understanding how organizations fit together to structure investment, policy and operations

Public-Private Partnerships as a key strategy Sustainability Flexibility in long-term planning Vision of the future for Kuala Lumpur and Malaysia

and how it relates to its transportation system Malaysia’s role internationally Malaysia’s industry and economic plan Malaysia’s land use