reliability-based design optimization of composite wind ... · • design reliable and...

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New Hotspot Found Manufacturing Variability d RELIABILITY-BASED DESIGN OPTIMIZATION OF COMPOSITE WIND TURBINE BLADES FOR FATIGUE LIFE UNDER WIND LOAD UNCERTAINTY Motivation • Design reliable and cost-effective composite wind turbine blades considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability for 20-year operation at various locations. Objective • Develop reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of composite wind turbine blades for fatigue life considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability . • Obtain RBDO optimum design which minimizes cost and satisfies reliability requirement for 20-year operation. College of Engineering, The University of Iowa Weifei Hu, K.K. Choi, Hyunkyoo Cho, Nicholas J. Gaul, Olesya I. Zhupanska, James H.J. Buchholz Future Work RBDO of other wind turbine components, e.g., gear and bearing, considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability. Methodology Dynamic Wind Load Uncertainty Model Application Conclusions Developed RBDO of composite wind turbine blades for reliability considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability for 20-year operation. Optimized for cost-effective and reliable wind turbine blade using RBDO. Manufacturing Variability Model Accurate Surrogate Models for 10-Minute Fatigue Damage RBDO Flowchart RBDO Initial Design Check Hotspot Create Local Surrogate Models of 10-minute Fatigue Damages at Selected Hotspots MCS of 10-minute Fatigue Damages Evaluated Using Local Surrogate Models MCS of 20-year Fatigue Damages for Probabilistic Constraints Reliability Analysis Using MCS & Sensitivity Analysis Using Score Functions RBDO Optimizer Optimization Converged? MCS of Designs Matlab Optimizer Manufacturing Variability Update Design After Four Iterations? MCS samples of 20 Sets of (C, k, a, b, τ) Wind Load Uncertainty Joint PDFs of V 10 & I 10 Wind Load Probabilities RBDO Optimum Design Check Hotspot New Hotspot Found? Yes No Yes No No Yes Measured Wind Speed Data Distributions of (C, k, a, b, τ) (Wind Load Uncertainty in Large Spatiotemporal Range)) Distribution of Probability of Wind Condition (i.e., V 10 & I 10 ) Joint PDF of V 10 & I 10 Determined by (C, k, a, b, τ) (Annual Wind Load Variation) Dynamic Wind Load Uncertainty Model Parametric FE Model of a 5 MW Composite Blade Variables: Material Distribution Layer Thickness No. of Layers Wind Pressure Calculation for FEA Given V 10 & I 10 Fatigue Damage Evaluation under Complex Stress State Experimental Fatigue Data C, k, a, b, τ RBDO of The Composite Wind Turbine Blade RBDO Results Random design variables: 7 normalized laminate thicknesses Objective: total composite material cost Constraints: (9 hotspots 10 hotspots ) ( ) tar Fatigue Life 20 Years 2.275% F P P < = Aft Shear Web Forward Shear Web Root Leading Edge Trailing Edge Spar Cap Tip d 1 d 2 d 3 d 4 d 5 d 6 d 7 Normalized Cost Probability of Failure Mass (ton) RBDO Initial 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50.06% 21.805 RBDO Optimum 1.133 1.571 1.818 1.299 1.115 1.091 0.867 1.03 2.28% 24.192

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Page 1: RELIABILITY-BASED DESIGN OPTIMIZATION OF COMPOSITE WIND ... · • Design reliable and cost-effective composite wind turbine blades considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing

New Hotspot Found

Manufacturing Variability

d

RELIABILITY-BASED DESIGN OPTIMIZATION OF COMPOSITE WIND TURBINE BLADES FOR FATIGUE LIFE UNDER WIND LOAD UNCERTAINTY

Motivation• Design reliable and cost-effective composite wind turbine

blades considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturingvariability for 20-year operation at various locations.

Objective• Develop reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of

composite wind turbine blades for fatigue life consideringwind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability.

• Obtain RBDO optimum design which minimizes cost andsatisfies reliability requirement for 20-year operation.

College of Engineering, The University of IowaWeifei Hu, K.K. Choi, Hyunkyoo Cho, Nicholas J. Gaul, Olesya I. Zhupanska, James H.J. Buchholz

Future Work• RBDO of other wind turbine components, e.g., gear and bearing,

considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability.

Methodology• Dynamic Wind Load Uncertainty Model

Application

Conclusions• Developed RBDO of composite wind

turbine blades for reliability considering wind load uncertainty and manufacturing variability for 20-year operation.

• Optimized for cost-effective and reliable wind turbine blade using RBDO.

• Manufacturing Variability Model

• Accurate Surrogate Models for 10-Minute Fatigue Damage

• RBDO FlowchartRBDO Initial

Design

Check Hotspot

Create Local Surrogate Models of 10-minute Fatigue Damages

at Selected Hotspots

MCS of 10-minute Fatigue Damages Evaluated Using Local

Surrogate Models

MCS of 20-year Fatigue Damages for Probabilistic Constraints

Reliability Analysis Using MCS & Sensitivity Analysis

Using Score Functions

RBDO Optimizer

Optimization Converged?

MCS of Designs

Matlab Optimizer

Manufacturing Variability

Update Design

After Four Iterations?

MCS samples of 20 Sets of (C, k, a, b, τ)

Wind Load Uncertainty

Joint PDFs of V10 & I10

Wind Load Probabilities

RBDO Optimum Design

Check Hotspot

New Hotspot Found?

Yes

No Yes

No

NoYes

Measured Wind Speed Data

Distributions of (C, k, a, b, τ) (Wind Load Uncertainty in

Large Spatiotemporal Range))

Distribution of Probability of Wind Condition (i.e., V10 & I10)

Joint PDF of V10 & I10 Determined by (C, k, a, b, τ)

(Annual Wind Load Variation)

Dynamic Wind Load Uncertainty Model

• Parametric FE Model of a 5 MW Composite Blade

Variables:Material DistributionLayer ThicknessNo. of Layers

• Wind Pressure Calculation for FEA

GivenV10 & I10

• Fatigue Damage Evaluation under Complex Stress State

Experimental Fatigue Data

C, k, a, b, τ• RBDO of The Composite Wind Turbine Blade

• RBDO Results

Random design variables: 7 normalized laminate thicknesses Objective: total composite material cost Constraints:

(9 hotspots 10 hotspots ) ( ) tarFatigue Life 20 Years 2.275%FP P< ≤ =

Aft Shear Web

Forward Shear Web

Root

Leading Edge

Trailing Edge Spar Cap Tip

d1 d2 d3 d4 d5 d6 d7Normalized

CostProbabilityof Failure

Mass (ton)

RBDO Initial 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50.06% 21.805

RBDO Optimum 1.133 1.571 1.818 1.299 1.115 1.091 0.867 1.03 2.28% 24.192