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Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels Ronald Steenblik, Special Counsellor, Fossil-Fuel Subsidy Reform, OECD G7 Workshop on Environmentally Harmful Subsidies and Environmental Fiscal Reforms Rome, 14-15 March 2017

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Page 1: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels

Ronald Steenblik, Special Counsellor,

Fossil-Fuel Subsidy Reform, OECD

G7 Workshop on Environmentally Harmful Subsidies

and Environmental Fiscal Reforms

Rome, 14-15 March 2017

Page 2: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

2 2 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

The IEA’s estimates of global fossil-fuel consumption subsidies*

2015

*Those measurable

through an obser-

vable price gap.

Sources: IEA (2015 & 2016), World Energy Outlook, OECD/IEA, Paris.

Page 3: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

3 3 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

The OECD’s estimates of fossil-fuel support in OECD countries and the BRIICS

Sources: OECD (2015), OECD Companion to the Inventory of Support Measures for Fossil Fuels 2015, OECD Publishing, Paris.

Mexico accounts

for most of the

recent decline

End of diesel

subsidies in

India

2015 reform in

Indonesia? OECD

countries

Brazil, Russian Federation,

India, Indonesia, China, and

South Africa

US

D m

illi

on

s

Coal Coal

Natural

gas

Crude oil &

petroleum

products

Crude oil &

petroleum

products

Page 4: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

WHAT IS HAPPENING AT THE INTERNATIONAL LEVEL?

4

Page 5: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

5 5 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

• G20, APEC, and G7

• Friends of Fossil Fuel Subsidy reform (Costa Rica, Denmark, Ethiopia,

Finland, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Uruguay)

• WTO (proposed work programme by NZ)

• Several bilateral free-trade agreements (FTAs) and regional trade

agreements (RTAs)

• Various activities by inter-governmental organisations

• IEA

• IMF

• OECD

• World Bank

• Regional development banks (ADB, IDB)

Numerous intergovernmental initiatives

Page 6: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

6 6 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

• This led in December 2013 to a joint announcement by the People’s

Republic of China and the United States of America that the two countries

would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies

under the G20 process.

• Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have since joined

China and the United States in agreeing to undertake peer reviews of their

own under the G20.

• A similar exercise is taking place in the context of APEC, with Peru, New

Zealand, the Philippines, and Chinese Taipei each having already

undergone a peer review of their subsidies between March 2014 and

September 2016, and Viet Nam and Brunei Darussalam have also

volunteered to undertake APEC peer reviews.

The G20 and APEC voluntary peer reviews

Page 7: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

7 7 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

The G20 and APEC timelines to date

Group of Twenty (20)

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)

Po

litic

al p

ha

se

-o

ut co

mm

itm

ent

Po

litic

al p

ha

se

-o

ut co

mm

itm

ent

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

EW

G r

eco

mm

en

ds

peer

revie

ws

PR

gu

ide

line

s

G2

0 F

ina

nce

Min

s.

ca

ll fo

r p

ee

r re

vie

ws

CH

N &

US

A v

olu

nte

er

for

PR

s

CH

N &

US

A P

Rs

publis

hed

FFSR formed

FFSR Communiq.

Pe

ru P

R p

ub

lish

ed

NZ

L P

R p

ub

lish

ed

Pe

ru P

R v

isit

NZ

L P

R v

isit

CH

N &

US

A P

R

vis

its

DE

U &

ME

X P

R

vis

its

DE

U &

ME

X P

Rs

to

be p

ublis

hed

TW

N

TW

N

PH

L

PH

L

VN

M

VN

M

TO

R fo

r P

Rs a

gre

ed

b

etw

ee

n C

HN

& U

SA

BR

N

CH

N &

US

A s

ub

mit

se

lf r

evie

ws

Page 8: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

8 8 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

The G20 voluntary peer-review of FFS process

Produce self

review

People’s Republic of China (China)

United States of America (USA)

Agree TOR

China review team: Germany, Indonesia, USA,

IMF, OECD

USA review team: China, Germany, Mexico,

OECD

Q & A

Q & A

Hold in-person

meeting

Hold in-person

meeting

Produce self

review Nominate review team

Nominate review team Produce

final report

Produce final

report

Page 9: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

9 9 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

Participation in a peer reviews encourages a country to think about the

sequencing of reform, and what it can commit to publicly.

The self reviews, and the peer reviews themselves have been more detailed

or covered more policies, or both, than the progress reports.

Preparing for the reviews can be a salutary learning experience for both the

country under review (including across ministries) and the peer reviewers.

There has been an element of precedent-setting in both the structure and

conduct of the reviews, and in what types of policies were discussed and

how they were discussed.

A common understanding of what is meant by terms like “subsidy” and

“inefficient” is likely to emerge.

Voluntary peer reviews: vehicles for knowledge transfer and support between G20 countries

Page 10: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

10 10 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

• Agree a target phase-out date for “inefficient fossil-fuel subsidies”

• Consult with trade experts, in addition to experts from finance and energy

ministries.

• Develop a central repository for peer-review reports and country progress

reports (recently established : http://www.oecd.org/site/tadffss/publication/).

• Establish a mechanism for monitoring follow-up to the peer reviews.

• Establish peer-review processes for economies that are not members of

either APEC or the G20.

• Develop common criteria for ranking different types of policies (or

combinations of policies) for reform.

How to improve and build on the PR process?

Page 11: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

WHAT ABOUT UNILATERAL CHANGES?

11

Page 12: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

12 12 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

• Major price reforms for petroleum products by India, Indonesia, Mexico, and

for natural gas and electricity in Argentina

• Major increases in natural gas prices in Ukraine

• Most of the Gulf Cooperation States (including Saudi Arabia) have raised

prices for petroleum fuels, and some also for electricity

• Recent price reforms by Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia

• Imminent ending of hard-coal subsidies in Germany

However, more work to be done. And the durability of the reforms will be

tested if and when international petroleum and natural gas prices rise

significantly again.

Lots of activities – examples:

Page 13: Removing EHS roundtable: Fossil fuels · would undertake a reciprocal peer review of their fossil-fuel subsidies under the G20 process. •Other countries—Germany, Mexico, and Indonesia—have

13 Trade and Agriculture Directorate | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) | www.oecd.org/tad | [email protected]

13 13 13

[email protected]

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