renault exane european seminar - groupe renault · renault exane european seminar june ... *...
TRANSCRIPT
RENAULTExane European Seminar June 11th 2009
Thierry MOULONGUETEVP - CFO
2INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
AGENDA
1. Group commercial results
� Update at end May 2009
2. 2009 Funding Plan
� Renault & RCI Banque
3. Renault-Nissan Alliance
� €1.5bn additional synergies in 2009
� All contributing to the 2009 action plan
�Aiming for a positive Free Cash Flow
3INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
01 COMMERCIAL RESULTS END MAY’09RENAULT GROUP
4INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
AT END MAY’09 : SALES AT -20% VS. 2008
Thousand units (PC+LCV)D+1 prelimianry figures
International-22.5%
872
1089
2008 2009
GlobalGlobal--19.9%19.9% 708
577
2008 2009
EuropeEurope--18.5%18.5%
(incl. France(incl. France--11.0%)11.0%)
89116
2008 2009
11997
2008 2009
5332
2008 2009
93 77
2008 2009
EuroMedEuroMed--18.2%18.2%
AsiaAsia //AfricaAfrica--17.7%17.7%
EurasiaEurasia--39.3%39.3%
AmericasAmericas--23.0%23.0%
5INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
- 6.0%
+ 4.0%
- 7.0%
+ 4.2%
+ 0.4%
- 2.2%
+ 6.5%
+ 2.5%
- 3.5%
- 21.8%
Production
Auto RevenuesRegistrations
Q1 2008
Q2 2008 Q3 2008
- 45.0%
Q4 2008
- 30.0%Change vs. previous year
Q4 2008 A RAPID & BRUTAL DOWNTURN
Q1 2009
- 38.2%
-31.8%
- 22.4%
6INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
PRODUCTION LEVEL ADAPTED TO DEMAND
260
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Thousand units 2008
60
Production forecast – Feb’09Renault global industrial output
Actual production level
2009
2009
7INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
2009 EUROPE ORDER BANK ABOVE 2008 SINCE END Q1 – SCRAPPING INCENTIVES STIMULATING DEMAND
Europe Orderbank PC+LCV(At the start of each month)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 2008 2009
8INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
Megane Renault Sport
Trafic ph3
2009 ACTION PLANPRODUCT LAUNCHES
2009
1st HALF
Scenic& Grand Scenic
Megane Estate
Clio III ph2KangooBe Bop
MeganeCoupé
SM3
2nd HALF
SM5
Vehicles outside Renault Commitment 2009 product planning
9INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
40
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
Dec-8
9Ju
n-90
Dec-9
0Ju
n -91
Dec-9
1Ju
n -92
Dec-9
2Ju
n -93
Dec-9
3Ju
n-94
Dec-9
4Ju
n-95
Dec-9
5Ju
n-96
Dec-9
6Ju
n-97
Dec-9
7Ju
n -98
Dec-9
8Ju
n-99
Dec-9
9Ju
n-00
Dec-0
0Ju
n -01
Dec-0
1Ju
n-02
Dec-0
2Ju
n-03
Dec-0
3Ju
n-04
Dec-0
4Ju
n-05
Dec-0
5Ju
n-06
Dec-0
6Ju
n-07
Dec-0
7Ju
n-08
Dec-0
8Ju
n-09
Dec-0
9
Global TIV (million units)
12-month sliding average
2009 level estimation(3-mth seasonal adjustment : Nov 08, Dec 08, Jan 09 )
64YTD end 2008 situation
2009 OUTLOOK
68
-14%-19%
55
10INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
02 2009 FUNDING PLAN
11INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
2009 AUTOMOBILE DIVISION FUNDING SUMMARY
Liquidity reserves(at Dec 31st 2008)
Cash = € 1.1 BnCredit lines = € 4.2 Bn(of which drawn = € 0.5 Bn)
TOTAL = € 4.8 Bn
Funding
>= € 3.4 Bn
French State = € 3 Bn
EIB = € 0.4 Bn
Capital markets ?
Funding needs
€ 3.5 BnCap. Market funding renewal= € 3 Bn
Credit line rebuild = € 0.5 Bn
� Plan on track : €3.4bn received� €0.4 bn from the EIB for CO2 investment support.
� €3 bn loan from the French Government
� Net automobile financial indebtedness :� The automobile division is focused on its priority : optimizing FCF
� At end Q1’09, net automotive financial debt increased by less than 10% vs. end Dec 2008 (€7.9 bn), including the change in law for supplier payables in France
� For information : Yen liabilities decreased from Y503 bn at end Dec’08 to Y282 bn at end Mar’09
12INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
2009 RCI BANQUE FUNDING SUMMARY
Liquidity reserves(at Dec 31st 2008)
Cash = € 0.5 BnECB eligible = € 1.5 BnCredit lines = € 5.2 Bn(of which drawn = € 0.75 Bn)
TOTAL = € 6.5 Bn
Funding
€ 3 Bn
SFEF funding = € 1 BnAdditional securitization = € 1 Bn
Capital market / Bank funding
Funding needs
€ 3 Bnof which…
� Plan on track : new funding concluded� RCI medium and long term funding :
� €0.8 bn SFEF : 2/3 of the available envelop. At end Q1
� € 750m 3-year bond ( 8.125% coupon)
� € 500m 18-month bond (5.875% coupon) finally increased by €250m, i.e. € 750m issued in total
� In line for its 2009 securitization plan
13INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
03 €1.5bn SYNERGIES : RENAULT-NISSAN ALLIANCE
14INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
Yesterday
The Alliance was a preferred option to optimize the performance of each partner in an environment where each company h ad the ability to grow.
Today
The Alliance is a priority lever to go through the crisis and prepare for the future growth to follow post-crisis
�Collaboration is no longer optional, but MANDATORY
�Our 10 year relationship is a UNIQUE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE to push the synergies further in a context of industry consolidation
A NEW STEP FOR THE ALLIANCE
15INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
ALLIANCE TEAM TO ACCELERATE SYNERGIES(within existing RNBV structure)
44%
15%
Joint companiesRNPO - RNIS
RE
NA
ULT
NIS
SA
N
50%50% RENAULT-NISSAN B.V.
Dedicated Alliance team
16INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
11 people fully dedicated to the generation and implem entation of existingand future synergies
� 4 Alliance Managing Directors responsible for managing both company’s functions andaccountable of their performance
�Purchasing – RNPO �Zero emission business�Global logistics�IS/IT
� 5 Alliance Directors coordinating functions in maximizing synergies (with po wer to stop projects)
�Powertrain�Common platforms and parts�Support functions�Research and advanced technologies�Global sourcing
� 1 Alliance Director acting as Economic advisor helping arbitration and providing commonmethodology
� 1 Alliance Director of the Alliance CEO-Office dedicated to global coordination, corporategovernance and global monitoring of synergies
A DEDICATED ALLIANCE TEAM TO ACCELERATE SYNERGIES
17INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
REINFORCE ALLIANCE SYNERGIES
1.5 billion euros of Alliance synergies
o/w : 45% for Renault – 55% for Nissan
18INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
ALLIANCE SYNERGIES: €1.5 billion FOR 2009
breakdown
279
289
115363
102
48
Vehicle Engineering Powertrain EngineeringResearch and Advanced Engineering Manufacturing and logisticsLCV PurchasingSales & Marketing IS & Support functions
157*
147
* €231m including synergies on purchasing costs spread in other functions
19INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
SOME CONCRETE EXAMPLES OF SYNERGIES
� LCV
Co-development on a common platform to build two diff erentiated light commercial vehicle with cancellation of Nissan M1 V an for Europe stand-alone development
� Powertrain engineering
New development and co-ownership of a new 1.6L Dies el
� Research and advanced technology
Fuel cell and next generation Li-ion battery are de veloped by Nissan and Renault stopped planned development on these techno logies
� Manufacturing & Logistics
11 cross-manufactured models – including 4 new vehic les in 2009 (2 in South Africa, 2 in Brazil) with 78% of Curitiba Ren ault LCV Plant capacity used by Nissan
20INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
04 CONCLUSION
21INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
2009 ACTION PLAN8 MEASURES & 2 LEVERS TO FACE THE CRISIS
AIMING FOR A POSITIVE FREE CASH FLOW
Maximization of revenue sources1. Increase market shares (10 model launches in 2009)
Cost reduction2. Reduce R&D expenses (-15% vs. 2007)
3. Decrease G&A and overheads (-€1bn vs. 2007)
Free Cash Flow management4. Reduce inventories (-€0.8bn to -€1bn vs. 2008)
5. Adapt our production level (Q1’09 +7% vs. Q4’08)
6. Cut investments (-24% vs. 2007)
7. Cash in customer receivables (>€200m vs. 2008)
8. Carry out real estate divestments (€300m to €500m)
� Reinforce the Renault Nissan Alliance synergies
� Work conjointly with governments in France & in Eur opeLEVERS
22INVESTOR RELATIONS DEPARTMENT
Q&A