renewables 2011 global status report

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    Renewables 2011 GlobalStatus Report

    Let's get updated!

    Evoanne SantosAugust 23, 2011

    SAVER Lecture Series

    UP SAVER

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    Disclaimer

    'Renewables 2011 Global Status Report'- made and released by Renewable Energy Policy Network for the

    21st Century (REN21)

    - available online atwww.ren21.net

    * all information presented here came from the 'Renewables 2011 GlobalStatus Report' (pre-release version), unless otherwise stated

    http://www.ren21.net/http://www.ren21.net/
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    Outline

    * Background and Introduction* Executive Summary* Selected Indicators and Top Five Countries* Global Market Overview

    * Investment Flows* Industry Trends* Policy Landscape* Rural Renewable Energy

    * QUIZ ;)

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    Background and Introduction

    REN21

    created as an outcome of the Renewables 2004

    convenes international multistakeholder leaders to enable a rapid global

    transition to renewable energy

    Global Status Report

    first release on 2005

    provides a yearly update of the status of renewable energy worldwide

    Researchers from the Philippines Rafael Senga (WWF)

    Amalie Obusan (Greenpeace)

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    Background and Introduction

    REN21

    created as an outcome of the Renewables 2004

    convenes international multistakeholder leaders to enable a rapid global

    transition to renewable energy

    Global Status Report

    first release on 2005

    provides a yearly update of the status of renewable energy worldwide

    Researchers from the Philippines Rafael Senga (WWF)

    Amalie Obusan (Greenpeace)

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    Background and Introduction

    Past and Recent Events- indirectly or directly affected the renewable energy development

    Economic Recession

    Several governments announced incentive cuts for solar energy Natural gas prices remained low

    Temporarily reducing competitiveness of renewable energy

    Oil and Fossil Fuels

    BP Oil Spill

    Arab Spring

    Nuclear Energy

    Fukushima nuclear disaster

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    Background and Introduction

    A positive constant amid this turbulence

    has been the global performance ofrenewable energy.

    - Mohammed Alshry,Chairman of REN21

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    "Renewable Energy continued to grow strongly in all end-

    use sectors, and global investment reached newhighs. As policies spread, the geography of renewables

    is also expanding."

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    Executive Summary

    Propelling forces for RE development

    Development banks

    Creation of new industries and generation of new jobs

    Policies

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    SELECTED INDICATORS andTOP FIVE COUNTRIES

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    Selected Indicators andTop Five Countries

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    Selected Indicators andTop Five Countries

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    GLOBAL MARKET OVERVIEW

    "Renewables represented half of newly installed

    electric capacity worldwide in 2010, and they arebecoming increasingly important in the heating and

    transport sectors."

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    Global Market Overview

    Note: final energy consumption VS primary energy consumption

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    Global Market Overview

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    Global Market Overview

    Four Distinct Markets

    Power Generation

    Heating and Cooling

    Transport and Fuels

    Rural/Off Grid Energy Services

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation

    * of total global

    power-generatingcapacity, with most of

    this provided by

    hydropower

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Wind Power)

    For the first year since

    2007, wind power did not

    account for the largestshare of new electric

    capacity additions

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Wind Power)

    Although the total wind capacity remains small, the

    offshore wind industry continued to pick up speed,

    increasing by 1.2 GW to 3.1 GW at the end of 2010, with

    most of its capacity in Europe and the rest inChina(0.1 GW) and Japan (0.02 GW)

    Source: wwww.caboncommentary.com Source: wwww.ecofriend.com

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Biomass Power)

    Significant increase in use of biomass for power production

    Estimated 62 GW of biomass power capacity by end of 2010

    United States still leads

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)

    * EU 13.2 GW, enough to power some 10 million European households

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)

    Utility-scale solar PV plants Larger than 200 kilowatts (kW) 3,200 plants in 2009 to 5,000 in 2010

    Grid-connected Off-grid has a declining share with each passing year

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Geothermal Power)

    Development slowed in 2010 Up by only 240 MW from 2009 Lack of available drilling rigs and qualified workforce But expected to rise on 2013

    Top countries by the beginning of 2011

    1. United States 3.1 GW

    2. Philippines 1.9 GW3. Indonesia 1.2 GW

    4. Mexico just under 1 GW

    5. Italy 0.9 GW

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Concentrating Solar Thermal Power)

    CSP comeback After years of inactivity, about 740 MW added from 2007-2010 Spain and United States

    Challenge of solar PV Reduction in solar PV costs Utility-scale PV plants are preferred over CSP

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    Global Market Overview

    Power Generation (Hydropower)

    - available in some 150 countries

    - increased more than 5%

    - about 16 % of global electricity production

    Top countries for hydro capacity:

    - China

    - Brazil

    - United States

    - Canada- Russia

    Top countries by generation:

    - China

    - Canada

    - Brazil

    - United States- Russia

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    INVESTMENT FLOWS

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    Investment Flows

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    Investment Flows

    Factors that increased investments:

    China leader for the second year in a row due mainly to wind power capacity green stimulus packaged in 2008

    Developing countries Increase in asset finance dominated by wind

    Mexico Successful financing of large wind projects and one geothermal project

    Africa Strong performances in Egypt and Kenya

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    Investment Flows

    Development and National Bank Finance

    Leading development banks in financing renewables projects European Investment Bank ($ 5.4 billion) Brazil's BN DES ($ 3.1 billion) Germany's KfW ($ 1.5 billion)

    Other banks Asian Development Bank International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

    International Development Association Global Environment Facility

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    INDUSTRY TRENDS

    "Strong growth continued in manufacturing, sales

    and installation despite a changing policy landscape

    in many countries, while consolidation andinternationalization continued."

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    Industry Trends

    Increased solar PV manufacturing Technology cost reductions in solar PV Same with wind turbines and biofuel processing technologies

    Industry consolidation Biomass and biofuels industries Manufacturing firms into project development

    Internationalization Global wind turbine manufacturers focus in Chinese market Chinese solar PV manufacturers selling more in Europe

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    Industry Trends

    Wind Power Industry

    Focused mainly on China Growth driven by continued political and regulatory support and lower

    labor and manufacturing costs Europe focused increasingly on offshore technologies USA 14 new turbine manufacturinng plants in 2010

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    Industry Trends

    Wind Power Industry

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    Industry Trends

    Solar Power Industry

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    Industry Trends

    Hydropower IndustryMost matured of the renewables industry Repowering, relicensing, pumped storage development

    Solar Heating and Cooling Industry

    Dominated by China Need for systematic improvements in quality and product

    standardization

    Ethanol Industry Recovered in 2010 in response to rising oil prices

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    Industry TrendsJobs in Renewable Energy

    - manufacturing, installations, operations, maintenance

    - automation of manufacturing may moderate the growth rate of employment

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    POLICY LANDSCAPE

    "The number of countries with renewable targets or

    support policies more than doubled between 2005and 2011, from 55 to 119, and an increasing number

    of city and local governments are promoting

    renewable energy."

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    Policy Landscape

    - policies play a major role in driving renewable energy market

    - but success does not only depend on policy choice, but also on policy

    design and implementation

    - synergy between policies that promote renewable energy and thosethat encourage energy efficiency becomes clearer

    - combination of policies has proved more successful than taking a

    single approach

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    Policy Landscape

    Policy Targets

    Philippines:

    * 15, 304 MW RE capacity

    by 2030

    Source: www.doe.gov.ph

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    Policy Landscape

    Feed-in Tariffs (FIT) Most common Many variations, no one definition

    Basically, promotion policy that pays a guaranteed price forpower-generated from a renewable energy source

    Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) An obligation placed by government on a utility company, or

    consumers to provide or use a predetermined share from

    renewables of either installed capacity, electricity generated or

    electricity sold Certificate schemes for trading

    Net Metering

    Power Generation Policies

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    Policy Landscape

    Green Energy Purchasing and Labeling Utility green pricing programs green marketing Trading of renewable energy certificates Germany world's green power leader

    Transport Policies Biofuels subsidies, tax exemptions, blending mandates Biofuels targets

    EU 10% renewable transport energy by 2020 US 36 billion gallons biofuels blended by 2022

    Electric vehicle policies

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    Policy Landscape

    City and Local Government Policies governmental stakeholders

    Renewable energy or CO2emission reduction

    Urban planning that incorporates renewable energy Incorporation of renewable energy in building codes or permitting US Mayors' Climate Protection Agreement, European Solar Cities

    Initiative, Japanese Eco-Model City Project

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    RURAL RENEWABLE ENERGY

    "Even in the most remote areas of the world,

    renewable technologies are providing access toenergy services and fostering economic

    development."

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    Rural Renewable Energy

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    Rural Renewable Energy

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    Rural Renewable Energy

    Lighting Africa International Finance Corporation and World Bank Promote private sector innovation and new lighting technologies

    Solar Home Systems China 400,000 sold in 2008 India 600,000 in 2010 Sri Lanka 125,000 in 2010

    Cooking and HeatingGlobal Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (GACC) UN in 2010

    Biomass cookstoves 100 million by 2020

    R l R bl E

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    Rural Renewable Energy

    Motive Power, Irrigation and Village-Scale Systems Require tailor made power systems Main financial barrier is the upfront investment cost Nepal's Village Micro Hydro Program 41,000 households

    Solar Home Systems China 400,000 sold in 2008 India 600,000 in 2010 Sri Lanka 125,000 in 2010

    Cooking and Heating

    Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (GACC) UN in 2010 Biomass cookstoves 100 million by 2020

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    QUIZ!!! :D

    Let's see if you remembered anything!

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    What does REN21 stand for?

    Question No. 1

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    Which renewable technologyhas the highest growth rate of

    energy capacity for 2010?

    Question No. 2

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    Which country has the highestrenewable investment for

    2010?

    Question No. 3

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    How much is the RE capacitytarget of the Philippines by

    2030?

    Question No. 4

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    Share any bright idea or

    thought about RE that cameinto your mind during or after

    this lecture.

    Question No. 5

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    The End

    I hope you learned a lotand that you felt the real

    SAVER spirit in you! :D

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    References

    Renewables 2011 Global Status Report[Online]. Available:

    http://bit.ly/REN21_GSR2011

    Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21).

    [Online]. Available: http://www.ren21.net/

    DOE Portal. [Online]. Available : http://www.doe.gov.ph/

    http://bit.ly/REN21_GSR2011http://www.ren21.net/http://www.ren21.net/http://bit.ly/REN21_GSR2011