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REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN SOLUTIONS SETH MERRIN FOUNDER AND CEO, LIQUIDNET May 3, 2016

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Page 1: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN SOLUTIONS

SETH MERRIN

FOUNDER AND CEO, LIQUIDNET

May 3, 2016

Page 2: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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“I CANNOT SAY IT LOUDLY ENOUGH – THE INDUSTRY MUST GET TOGETHER AND CREATE PRIVATE MARKET SOLUTIONS, SOLUTIONS THAT ACTUALLY WORK AND ARE EFFICIENT, BEFORE THE GOVERNMENT IMPOSES ITS WORLDVIEW.”

FORMER SEC COMMISSIONER DAN GALLAGHER

MAR. 10, 2015

Page 3: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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ABOUT LIQUIDNET…

Page 4: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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LIQUIDNET THE GLOBAL INSTITUTIONAL TRADING NETWORK

1 Q1 2016. 2 Sep 29, 2015 – Apr. 22, 2016

EQUITIES1

• Launched 2001 • 800+ Member firms globally • 44 markets • $81B in average daily liquidity • 42K shares average execution

size (US) FIXED INCOME2

• Launched Sept. 2015 • 170 Member firms in US and

Europe • $7.9B in average daily liquidity • $2.3M average trade size

Page 5: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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MARKET STRUCTURE TODAY…HOW DID WE GET HERE?

Page 6: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

BUILDING A HOUSE OF CARDS

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MARKETS EVOLVE ORGANICALLY, BUT TECHNOLOGY HAS GREATLY ACCELERATED THE RATE OF CHANGE

Page 7: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

BUILDING A HOUSE OF CARDS

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MARKETS EVOLVE ORGANICALLY, BUT TECHNOLOGY HAS GREATLY ACCELERATED THE RATE OF CHANGE

Page 8: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

BUILDING A HOUSE OF CARDS

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MARKETS EVOLVE ORGANICALLY, BUT TECHNOLOGY HAS GREATLY ACCELERATED THE RATE OF CHANGE

Page 9: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

A HOUSE OF CARDS

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THE MARKETS CAN’T KEEP UP WITH THE TECHNOLOGY AND ADAPT ADEQUATELY

Page 10: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

A HOUSE OF CARDS

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THE MARKETS CAN’T KEEP UP WITH THE TECHNOLOGY AND ADAPT ADEQUATELY

MARKET STRUCTURE BECOMES A “HOUSE OF CARDS”

Page 11: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

BAND-AIDS AND LEAKY ROOFS

Circuit Breakers

SEC Tick Pilot

Dark pool volume reporting

Routing Analysis

The IEX Model

CAT

Exchange intraday auctions

REG ATS N proposal

Page 12: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE

DARK POOL

Page 13: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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EXCHANGE

RETAIL INVESTOR

EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE

DARK POOL

Page 14: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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EXCHANGE

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

RETAIL INVESTOR

EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE

DARK POOL

Page 15: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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EXCHANGE

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

RETAIL INVESTOR

EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

Page 16: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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EXCHANGE

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR

RETAIL INVESTOR

EXCHANGE

EXCHANGE

HFT

HFT

HFT

HFT

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

DARK POOL

Page 17: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

THE RESULT…

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DEFAULT

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DESIGN

Page 18: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

THE RESULT…

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DEFAULT

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DESIGN

Page 19: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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A LITTLE BIT ON DARK POOLS…

Page 20: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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“IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER DARK POOLS CONTINUE TO PERFORM THE FUNCTIONS THAT WERE ORIGINALLY INTENDED.”

SEC COMMISSIONER KARA STEIN

SEP. 30, 2015

Page 21: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

DARK POOLS

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40+ Dark Pools

43% Industry volume1

217 Average trade size2

1Tabb Group: “US Market Structure Report: Q4-2015”

2 FINRA ATS data Q1 2016.

Page 22: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

DARK POOLS

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40+ Dark Pools

43% Industry volume1

217 Average trade size2

** Q1-2016.

42K

LIQUIDNET AVERAGE EXECUTION SIZE in shares (Liquidnet Negotiation ATS)**

Page 23: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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LET’S TALK FIXED INCOME…

Page 24: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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“THE MORE WE STUDY THE PROBLEM, THE MORE WE ARE CONVINCED THAT LOW MARKET LIQUIDITY IS THE ‘NEW NORMAL’ FOR CORPORATE BOND MARKETS.”

ZERO HEDGE

NOV. 10, 2015

Page 25: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

FIXED INCOME

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FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER, CORPORATE BOND INVENTORIES HAVE TURNED NEGATIVE

Exhibit 1: Dealer inventories of IG bonds have fallen by much more than a simple model based on new issue volumes and mutual fund flows would imply.

Source: Lipper, Haver, FRBNY, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Page 26: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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CORPORATE BONDS: A CHALLENGING MARKET

Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US Corporate Bond Market Liquidity: A Riddle, Wrapped in a Mystery, Inside a Riddle”, September 2014; Wall Street Journal, “Trading Firm Liquidnet Preps Bond Venue”, Friday August 8, 2014

Manual and voice driven

Most securities not actively traded

Buy side AUM doubled since 2008, while dealer inventory has decreased

“Efficiently sourcing liquidity” and “executing in size” two of the biggest challenges

Page 27: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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CORPORATE BONDS: A CHALLENGING MARKET

Manual and voice driven

Most securities not actively traded

Buy side AUM doubled since 2008, while dealer inventory has decreased

“Efficiently sourcing liquidity” and “executing in size” two of the biggest challenges

$2B* PRINCIPAL TRADED

$7.9B

AVERAGE DAILY GLOBAL LIQUIDITY**

$3.1M

AVERAGE TRADE SIZE***

* As of April 29, 2016 **For Q1 2016. *** For April 2016

Page 28: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

MARKET SOLUTIONS TEST

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DOES IT CREATE MARKET EFFICIENCY?

DOES IT PROMOTE THE CAPITAL FORMATION PROCESS?

DOES IT INSTILL INVESTOR CONFIDENCE?

Page 29: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

MARKET SOLUTIONS TEST

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DOES IT CREATE MARKET EFFICIENCY?

DOES IT PROMOTE THE CAPITAL FORMATION PROCESS?

DOES IT INSTILL INVESTOR CONFIDENCE?

Page 30: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

MARKET SOLUTIONS TEST

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DOES IT CREATE MARKET EFFICIENCY?

DOES IT PROMOTE THE CAPITAL FORMATION PROCESS?

DOES IT INSTILL INVESTOR CONFIDENCE?

Page 31: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

THE RESULT…

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DEFAULT

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DESIGN

Page 32: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

THE RESULT…

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DEFAULT

MARKET STRUCTURE BY DESIGN

Page 33: REPAIRING OUR INDUSTRY THROUGH MARKET-DRIVEN … · Source: TABB Group, “The Future of Fixed Income: Laying Down Foundations for a New Market Structure”, March 2014, and “US

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DISCLAIMER © 2016 Liquidnet Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Liquidnet, Inc. is a member of FINRA/SIPC. Liquidnet Europe Limited is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK, is licensed by the Financial Services Board in South Africa, and is a member of the London Stock Exchange and a remote member of the Warsaw Stock Exchange and SIX Swiss Exchange. Liquidnet Canada Inc. is a member of IIROC and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. Liquidnet Asia Limited is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission as a licensed dealer and a provider of automated trading services pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance and is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore as a Recognized Market Operator. Liquidnet Japan Inc. is regulated by the Financial Services Agency of Japan and is a member of JSDA/JIPF. Liquidnet Australia Pty Ltd. is registered with the Australian Securities and Investment Commission as an Australian Financial Services Licensee, AFSL number 312525, and is registered with the New Zealand Financial Markets Authority as a Financial Service Provider, FSP number FSP3781. Confidential & Proprietary

This slide should be at the end of every external-facing presentation. No need to put a disclaimer on every slide.